Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   08/05/2022 5490ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:114 1:354   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NIGHT COMMAND 3 8 88 75¾ 63¼ 32½ 1¾ (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 ★ 7.10  
4  QUEEN LUCKY 4 6 64½ 43½ 41¾ 22 2¾ (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 14% 5.90 5.70 P
9  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE 8 4 53 33 1nk 12 31½ (matz micha)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 2.60  
5  NATURE TRAIL 5 1 11½ 11 2nk 43 46 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 47% 1.10 3.30  
2  SULTRY SKY 2 7 76 65½ 86½ 58½ 58 (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 10.00 6.10  
8  MYRA FLEENER 7 2 32½ 87¾ 76¼ 69 68¼ (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 5% 19.00 9.50  
6  HEAVENLY HEART 6 3 43 53½ 53¼ 79 78¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 13% 6.80 5.00  
1  WIN FOR LAILA 1 5 21½ 21 31½ 820 836¼ (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 40.70  
SCR  CHASING ARTEMIS               (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RYE SENSE OF HUMOR 4 3 53½ 43 31½ 1nk 1¼ (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 117 3.50 71% 0.40 0.90 W
3  LEFT BLANK 3 5 74½ 74¼ 63¼ 2nk 2¼ (wyatt tod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 ★ 3.70 P
6  SACHMO 6 7 64 53½ 41¾ 3.2 31½ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 ★ 10.20 S
2  SOROLLA 2 9 96½ 99¼ 97½ 62¼ 42 (milosevic mil)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 ★ 12.70  
8  STILL THE ONE 8 1 11½ 11½ 1nk 4¾ 52½ (smith s)LLOYD W 122 20.00 67.40  
9  AUCHINCRUIVE 9 2 21½ 33 51¾ 51¾ 63 (leatherbury king )CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 ★ 5.80  
7  OCEAN DEEP 7 8 86 86¼ 86½ 82¾ 73¼ (pregman jr)WHITNEY G 122 4.50 10.80  
1  MR DUBAI 1 4 32 21½ 2nk 72¾ 86¼ (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 24.20  
5  SUPER REIGN 5 6 42 64 73½ 94¾ 97 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 45.90  
 
PEN-3   08/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:101 1:213   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PEACE WITH HONOR 7 2 1½ 1nk 12 18 110¾ (mcmahon de)SANCHEZ J 113 4.50 13% 6.70 2.40 W
3  LOOP THE LOOP 3 1 54 43½ 33½ 28 210¾ (shea h)CORA D 120 20.00 19.60  
9  MELODIA 8 7 78 78 54½ 59½ 312 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 4.30  
2  SKY OF DREAMS 2 5 66½ 55½ 44 48½ 412¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 16% 5.30 3.40  
5  FALSE RULING 5 8 812 812 77 611½ 512¾ (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00 55.90  
4  OH SO JAZZY 4 3 2½ 2nk 22 38½ 613½ (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 15.30  
6  STEELY BAND 6 6 43 66 87½ 815¾ 718½ (deiter kell)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 15.00 13.00  
1  LIME SQUASH 1 4 32½ 33 66 715½ 822¼ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 24% 3.20 2.20  
SCR  A RING THING               (soto c)DAVIS A 120 3.50 5% 18.30    
SCR  JANE               (rodriguez fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
SCR  WHITE LILACS               (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 1.60 22% 3.60    
 
PEN-4   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:121 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER DUDE 1 2 52¼ 53 44½ 42 1¼ (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 122 2.50 14% 5.90 2.10 W
2  CONTRAFLOW 2 3 21 31 1½ 11 2¼ (magee kie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 9% 9.60 2.80 P
6  HOT N SPICY LOVE 6 4 31 2½ 31 21 35¼ (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 49% 1.00 1.90 S
5  GRAB THE GOLD 5 1 11 1½ 2½ 32 45½ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 ★ 5.50  
3  TERRY'S CHARM 3 6 64¼ 66½ 612½ 614½ 513¼ (geist dav)VARGAS L 120 6.00 10.50  
4  A T M AWESOME 4 5 42 41½ 510½ 514 616½ (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 ★ 18.50  
 
PEN-5   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:131 1:253   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COLONEL MOORHEAD 3 3 11½ 1½ 1½ 12 14½ (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 ★ 1.50  
2  CHARGING LION 2 1 21½ 2½ 2½ 22 24½ (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 ★ 7.90 P
1  RUNNINGFORHOME 1 4 43 44 43 44½ 35 (santaella-c)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 6.00 1.40  
6  FACTOR THIS IN 5 2 31½ 33½ 32½ 34 48½ (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 29% 2.40 4.50  
4  CORT'N ASONG 4 5 5100 5100 5100 5100 5100 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 11% 8.00 8.90  
SCR  LADDIE LIAM               (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
PEN-6   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CONDITION ONE 6 4 3½ 32   2½ 1½ (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 8.90  
3  LILTONYTWOPHONES 3 3 2nk 1½   1½ 2½ (moysey che)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 ★ 2.60 P
1  ADY'S MUNNY 1 7 62½ 55½   57 35½ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 23% 3.30 8.90 S
2  WICKED IRISHMAN 2 2 41½ 45½   45 45¾ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 16.50  
5  PARTICIPLE 5 1 1nk 2½   34½ 58¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 41% 1.40 3.00  
4  BUBBA G 4 6 75 79¼   710 610½ (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 ★ 6.20  
7  KAZTHAROS 7 5 52 65¾   68 710¾ (synnefias)VARGAS L 122 3.50 12% 7.50 2.40  
 
PEN-7   08/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14 1:403   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PARANOIA 2 3 2½ 1nk 12 11 1½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 23% 3.30 7.00 W
3  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 3 4 33 34 22 21 2½ (fields kevin)CORA D 122 5.00 ★ 10.00 P
6  BIRD TRAFFIC 6 6 66 66 55 44½ 31 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 122 2.50 25% 2.90 1.90 S
4  SHATTER ME 4 1 55 44½ 33½ 34 45¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 4.60  
5  SLEEPY N JOYFUL 5 5 45 55 44 516½ 525¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 18% 4.70 5.20  
1  HAY BUCK 1 2 1½ 2nk 65½ 617½ 630 (wyner harold)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 ★ 2.10  
 
PEN-8   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:213 :442 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JET FORCE 6 1 13 13   13 11¾ (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 0.80  
3  DWELLER 2 5 44½ 46½   43½ 21¾ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 118 4.00 8% 11.20 8.10 P
6  RAECHEL'S RISK 5 2 33 23   23 33¾ (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 4.50 35% 1.90 2.90 S
1  BET THE QUEEN 1 4 67¾ 59½   59 47¼ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00 ★ 6.00  
4  VINO TINTO 3 6 23 33   33½ 57¾ (martin jr)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 6% 14.60 8.60  
5  LUSCIOUS LOLA 4 3 57½ 610½   614 617½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 21.70  
SCR  MEMPHIS MAFIA               (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.