Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/05/2022 5490ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR LAILA Jul20         (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
2  SULTRY SKY Jun23 May26 Mar09     (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 10.00    
3  NIGHT COMMAND         (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
4  QUEEN LUCKY Jul14 Jun23 May26 May11 Apr18 (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
5  NATURE TRAIL Jul01 Jun16       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  HEAVENLY HEART Jul14 Jun23       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  CHASING ARTEMIS Feb24         (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
8  MYRA FLEENER Jul20 May21 Apr09 Mar25 Jan22 (maymo jorge )HADDOCK DEXTER 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE         (matz r)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR DUBAI Jul13 Jun02 May05 Apr22 Mar02 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
2  SOROLLA Jul16         (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 ★    
3  LEFT BLANK Jul18 Jun25       (wyatt tod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 ★    
4  RYE SENSE OF HUMOR Jul12 Jun25 May29 May12 Apr16 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 3.50 71% 0.40    
5  SUPER REIGN Jul13 Jun10 May21 May06 Apr20 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
6  SACHMO Jul08 Jun29 May27 Jan07   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
7  OCEAN DEEP Jun18 May20 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 4.50    
8  STILL THE ONE Jul14         (smith s)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
9  AUCHINCRUIVE Jul13 Jun23 Jun04     (leatherbury ki)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   08/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIME SQUASH Jul15 Jul01 Apr20 Mar08 Feb22 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  SKY OF DREAMS Jul01 Jun11 May27 May12 Apr21 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
3  LOOP THE LOOP Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 May27   (shea h)CORA D 120 20.00    
4  OH SO JAZZY Jul15 Jul01 May12 Mar30 Jan26 (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
5  FALSE RULING Jul20 May05 Apr20 Mar30 Mar18 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
6  STEELY BAND Jul06 Jun09 Mar26 Jan28   (deiter kell)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 15.00    
SCR  WHITE LILACS Jul05 Jun15 Apr29 Mar19   (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 1.60 22% 3.60    
8  PEACE WITH HONOR Jun02         (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.50 13% 6.70    
9  MELODIA Jul15 Jul01 May27 May07 Mar11 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  JANE Jul15 Jun24 May27     (rodriguez fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
SCR  A RING THING Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 Mar18 Feb24 (soto c)DAVIS A 120 3.50 5% 18.30    
 
PEN-4   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER DUDE Jul25 Jul04 Jun07 May10 Apr18 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 14% 5.90    
2  CONTRAFLOW Feb03         (magee kie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 9% 9.60    
3  TERRY'S CHARM Jul22 Jun12 May25 Apr20 Mar23 (geist dav)VARGAS L 120 6.00    
4  A T M AWESOME Jun15 May19 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 ★    
5  GRAB THE GOLD Jul21 Jul06 May20 Apr27 Mar23 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 ★    
6  HOT N SPICY LOVE Jul15 Jul01 Jun01 May21 Apr01 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-5   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINGFORHOME Jul20 Jul13 Jun25 Jun15 May21 (santaella-c)RAMOS C 113 6.00    
2  CHARGING LION Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr28 Apr01 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
3  COLONEL MOORHEAD Jul15 Apr27 Jan19     (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 ★    
4  CORT'N ASONG Jul22 Jul01 May20 Mar09 Feb18 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  LADDIE LIAM Jul01 Jun01 May06 Mar25 Mar01 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  FACTOR THIS IN Jul13 Jun29 May16 Apr04 Mar09 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-6   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADY'S MUNNY May11 Apr08 Mar23 Feb16 Jan28 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  WICKED IRISHMAN Jul01 Mar16       (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
3  LILTONYTWOPHONES Jun29 Jun10       (moysey che)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 ★    
4  BUBBA G Jun29 Jun01 May09     (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
5  PARTICIPLE Jul01 Jun10       (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  CONDITION ONE         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
7  KAZTHAROS Jul15 Jul01 Apr22 Apr07 Mar16 (synnefias)VARGAS L 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
 
PEN-7   08/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY BUCK Jul13 May30 May03 Mar29 Mar09 (wyner harold)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 ★    
2  PARANOIA Jul27 Jul06 Jun11 May20 Mar22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
3  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Jun15 May26 Apr28 Mar22 Feb08 (fields kevin)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
4  SHATTER ME Jul07 Apr29 Apr08     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
5  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Jul01 Jun09 May07 Mar22 Mar02 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
6  BIRD TRAFFIC Jul14 Jun09 May26 May13 Apr28 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
PEN-8   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET THE QUEEN Jul18 Jun19 Jun02 Mar18 Feb18 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  MEMPHIS MAFIA Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 May25 May07 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  DWELLER Apr27 Apr07 Feb22 Feb01   (kulp l)WHITNEY G 118 4.00 8% 11.20    
4  VINO TINTO Jun23         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 6% 14.60    
5  LUSCIOUS LOLA Jul07 Jun11 May13 May02 Apr12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
6  RAECHEL'S RISK Jul13 Jun16       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
7  JET FORCE Jul13 Jun16 Jun06 May10 Apr24 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.