Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAILEYS RUN 6 6 42 42   1½ 1 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 59% 0.70 1.00 W
WILLACY 4 3 6 54   5 2 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 2.00 2.00 P
AGENT MULGANNON 3 4 3½ 2½   2½ 32 (del castillo)MENESES MARCOS 124 10.00 21.90 S
COMMAND TO FIRE 7 1 1nk 1½   31 4 (duffy sean)MORRISON AILSA 112 20.00 73.30  
SWIFT DANCER 2 2 2nk 3½   42 57 (munoz carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 12% 7.30 3.50  
CHARMING COUNCIL 5 7 7 7   6 6 (lusk r)REYES LEONEL 119 20.00 18.40  
SERGEANT PARKER 1 5 5 65   79 716¼ (payne beal)ARROYO S 119 10.00 11.30  
 
CNL-2   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY A DREAM 8 8 7 6   31 1 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00 23% 3.40 4.80 W
BLACK CURRENCY 4 4 4¼ 2½   2½ 2 (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 119 3.50 0.60 P
KIMSFAVORITESTORM 2 3 2nk 1½   1½ 33 (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 112 6.00 8.60  
RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE 6 5 5 5   4 4 (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 119 8.00 17% 4.90 6.60  
NOBLE PRESENT 1 2 1nk 3½   5 511 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00 23% 3.40 9.30  
HOLLYWOOD HONEY 3 1 3.2 42   6 614½ (reardon c)ARAUJO DENIS 119 10.00 13.70  
EXPECT A CIRCUS 5 7 8 8   7 715¼ (hester leanne)MARTIN MATTIE 112 8.00 9% 10.30 22.60  
FIVE K KITTEN 7 6 6 7   813½ 829¾ (rodrigue)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 30.00 52.50  
 
CNL-3   08/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:141 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITALE 4 2 1 1 1 12 1 (block chris)AVILES YAN 113 10.00 3.40  
MINT GAME 5 5 5 53 2 22 2 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 1.20  
STRAIGHT UP GUY 6 6 2 2 3 32 3 (brown keit)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 5.00 19.10 S
FEISTY KITTEN 1 4 6 6 6 54 4 (reardon c)ARROYO S 125 4.00 7.80  
EMPHASIZE 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 16% 5.40 4.70  
BETTER THINK TWICE 2 1 4 42 43 4 6 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00 53% 0.90 7.50  
POINT OF GRACE 3 3 3 3 5 6 7 (cooney s)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 8.10  
SCR  SEVILLE ROW               (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
 
CNL-4   08/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:234 :464 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA SAMANA LAURA 2 1 11 11   13 1 (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.60 35% 1.90 0.50 W
SERIOUS MOMENT 5 2 21 21   23 2 (hester leann)ARROYO S 124 12.00 31.30  
FASHIONISTA 4 5 5 3   34 3 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 120 4.00 32% 2.10 2.90 S
HOT BOTTOM GIRL 3 7 42 52   4 4 (kelly bl)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 10.00 14.10  
PIPERS GOLD 1 4 7 7   56 5 (daniel joh)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00 21.20  
IMAGINTHEKISS 7 6 6 6   78 6 (morgan carla)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 12.20  
KERFORD'S COMMISH 6 3 32 4   67 7 (nixon justi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 12.00 8.40  
SCR  CARNELIAN               (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 115 3.00 11% 8.40    
 
CNL-5   08/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:253   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOTTED CAT 7 1 2½ 4 31 1nk 1¾ (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.00 21% 3.70 1.00 W
10  STIMULUS MAKER 10 4 41 2nk 1nk 3.2 2¾ (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.50 36% 1.80 4.00 P
MENTALIST 5 5 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 32 (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 123 8.00 7% 13.90 6.40 S
PLAYBOY ROY 6 7 7 9 6 4 4 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00 16.90  
SAM IN STYLE 2 8 96 7 7 6 5 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 118 6.00 11% 8.50 5.10  
SKYDIVING 3 10 85 31 42 5 6 (cooper thomas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 13.80  
THE WILD FLYER 4 6 6 6 9 8 7 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 20.00 51.50  
THATZA ALPHA 8 2 52 5 53 7 812½ (viands grego)MORRISON AILSA 111 30.00 66.90  
SIMILAR TASTE 9 3 31 8 1010¼ 9 913¾ (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00 ######  
LOVE ME ARCHIE 1 9 107 10 8 10 1014¼ (kelly bl)STRANDBERG MALLORY 123 20.00 14.70  
 
CNL-6   08/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:262 :522 1:163 1:281   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHORUS GIRL 5 6 5 31 4 21 1¼ (matz r)ROCCO S 118 5.00 6% 16.30 4.90 W
ROSALITA 6 1 11 1½ 11 11 2¼ (tomlinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 6.00 3.20 P
TAKE JOY 7 4 42 5 5 5 33 (correas ig)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 45% 1.20 2.90 S
LA SOBRINA 3 3 21 2½ 31 3 4 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.00 12% 7.40 2.00  
SHE'S LIKE THUNDER 1 2 3 41 21 4 5 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50 14% 6.30 4.20  
STORMARELLA 4 5 63 6 6 6 611½ (reardon c)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00 49.00  
LIVELY REMARK 2 7 73 73 7 7 711¾ (reardon c)ARROYO S 118 12.00 45.10  
SCR  NANCY MY LOVE               (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 113 15.00    
 
CNL-7   08/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDEFATIGABLE 6 5 5 4   2 1½ (allen ferri)ALVELO C 124 3.50 9% 9.60 4.70 W
ETCHED IN STONE 7 8 7 53   42 2½ (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 51% 1.00 0.80 P
BOSS IS A PAL 8 3 31 1½   1 3 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00 8% 12.20 3.70 S
FREELANCE 3 7 6 65   54 43 (hester leanne)REYES LEONEL 122 15.00 7.10  
FREE FLAYME 5 2 1½ 2½   32 5 (duffy sean)MORRISON AILSA 115 5.00 18.50  
RULING FRONT 2 4 43 75   7 6 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 10.00  
OVERPRAISE 4 6 8 87   88 78 (duffy sean)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00 53.20  
SIMMARDSTRIKE 1 1 2½ 32   66 8 (vigil jaime)ARROYO S 122 30.00 57.60  
SCR  HUSHED HIJINKS               (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 11% 8.50    
 
CNL-8   08/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:121 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTALYA 1 1 7 6 44 23 12 (granitz antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 13% 6.60 2.90 W
STACK SHACK 5 2 11 1 11 13 22 (rivelli larry)REYES LEONEL 125 2.00 36% 1.70 2.30 P
RED WIND 6 5 21 2 21 33 3 (mcgoey monic)ARROYO S 125 6.00 5% 18.60 4.80 S
MAP EM UP 7 7 4 3 3 4 4 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 123 8.00 4.00  
OBLIO'S WISH 2 3 31 43 6 5 512 (rodrigue)STRANDBERG MALLORY 123 30.00 71.60  
KINDA LUCKY 4 4 6 54 5 610½ 616¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50 21% 3.80 4.90  
ALL ABOUT KATHERN 3 6 5 7 7 713½ 730 (eppler e)ALVELO C 123 15.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
SCR  GOLD TIME VIXEN               (howard c)AVILES YAN 120 15.00    
SCR  TIZ SUSAN ANN               (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
 
CNL-9   08/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132 1:254   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOICATTARO 7 8 9 99 54 21 1¼ (lopez bernardo)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 38% 1.70 3.80 W
BRAZIL NUT 8 5 5 54 75 3 2¼ (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 6.00 5.40  
SON OF GRACE 1 2 21 2 2½ 11 3¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 10% 9.20 4.20 S
CANYOUHEARMENOW 6 9 8 8 6 53 4 (duffy sean)MORRISON AILSA 118 8.00 8.10  
FEAR THE DEER 2 1 11 1 1½ 42 5 (kurtinecz lilli)AVILES YAN 118 4.50 21% 3.70 1.60  
SWIFT KID 4 6 7 65 3 6 6 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 41.90  
TRIPLE TITOS 3 4 43 43 42 75 7 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 6.00 10.70  
10  VISION BOARD 9 7 6 76 97 8 810¼ (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 10% 9.40 13.40  
TEMPTING MOMENT 5 3 31 32 8 9 918 (hester lea)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 30.00 74.40  
SCR  HELLFIRE BOB               (vigil jaime)ARROYO S 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.