Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT PARKER         (payne beal)ARROYO S 119 10.00 ★    
2  SWIFT DANCER Aug02 Apr27 Apr15 Mar26 Mar19 (munoz carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 12% 7.30    
3  AGENT MULGANNON Aug17 May06 Apr27 Apr16 Apr10 (del castillo)MENESES MARCOS 124 10.00 ★    
4  WILLACY Jul23 Jun18 Jun04     (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 2.00 ★    
5  CHARMING COUNCIL Aug15 Jul19       (lusk r)REYES LEONEL 119 20.00    
6  BAILEYS RUN Aug02 Jun01 May11 Mar19 Feb11 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
7  COMMAND TO FIRE Aug15         (duffy sean)MORRISON AILSA 112 20.00    
 
CNL-2   08/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE PRESENT Jul26 Jul12 Jul02 Jun19 May27 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Aug03 Jul27 Jul12 Jun18   (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 112 6.00    
3  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Aug03 Jul26 Jun30 Jun02   (reardon c)ARAUJO DENIS 119 10.00    
4  BLACK CURRENCY Aug09 Jul27 Jul12     (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 119 3.50 ★    
5  EXPECT A CIRCUS         (hester leanne)MARTIN MATTIE 112 8.00 9% 10.30    
6  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE         (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 119 8.00 17% 4.90    
7  FIVE K KITTEN Aug03 Jul26 Apr23 Apr10 Feb02 (rodrigue)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 30.00    
8  TRULY A DREAM Aug03 Jul26 Jul01 Jun12   (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
CNL-3   08/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEISTY KITTEN Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 May07 Apr29 (reardon c)ARROYO S 125 4.00 ★    
2  BETTER THINK TWICE Aug02 Jun25 Jun10     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00 53% 0.90    
3  POINT OF GRACE Aug09 Jul20 Jul11 Jun17 May29 (cooney s)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
4  VITALE Aug03 Jul20 Jun26 Apr27 Feb06 (block chris)AVILES YAN 113 10.00    
5  MINT GAME Aug17 Aug05 Jul19 Jun19 May30 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50    
6  STRAIGHT UP GUY Aug09 Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 (brown keit)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 5.00 ★    
7  EMPHASIZE Jul31 Jul08 Jun30 Jun11 May27 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  SEVILLE ROW Jul31 Jul08 Jun17 May29   (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 ★    
 
CNL-4   08/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIPERS GOLD Aug14 Jul28       (daniel joh)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00 ★    
2  LA SAMANA LAURA Jul12 Jun09       (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  HOT BOTTOM GIRL         (kelly bl)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 10.00    
4  FASHIONISTA Aug02 Jul03 Jun17 May29 Apr30 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  SERIOUS MOMENT         (hester leann)ARROYO S 124 12.00    
6  KERFORD'S COMMISH         (nixon justi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 12.00    
SCR  CARNELIAN Jul20 Feb19       (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 115 3.00 11% 8.40    
8  IMAGINTHEKISS Aug02 May26 May05 Mar18 Feb18 (morgan carla)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 ★    
 
CNL-5   08/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE ME ARCHIE Jul03 Jun11 May07 Mar31 Mar06 (kelly bl)STRANDBERG MALLORY 123 20.00    
2  SAM IN STYLE Aug01 Jul12 Jul01     (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 118 6.00 11% 8.50    
3  SKYDIVING Aug01 Jul12 Jul01     (cooper thomas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
4  THE WILD FLYER Aug02 Jul01 Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 20.00    
5  MENTALIST Aug12 Jul22 Jun29 Jun01 Jan04 (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
6  PLAYBOY ROY Aug06 May26 May05 Apr14 Mar23 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00 ★    
7  SPOTTED CAT Jul12         (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.00 21% 3.70    
8  THATZA ALPHA Aug01 Jul12 Jun04 May26 Apr15 (viands gregor)MARTIN MATTIE 111 30.00    
9  SIMILAR TASTE Aug08 Aug01 Jul01 Jun12 May26 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00    
10  STIMULUS MAKER Jul28 Jul02 Jun05 May15 Apr24 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
CNL-6   08/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S LIKE THUNDER Jul31         (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  LIVELY REMARK         (reardon c)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
3  LA SOBRINA Jul27         (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.00 12% 7.40    
4  STORMARELLA         (reardon c)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00    
5  CHORUS GIRL         (matz r)ROCCO S 118 5.00 6% 16.30    
6  ROSALITA Aug01 Jul08       (tomlinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  NANCY MY LOVE Aug05         (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 113 15.00    
8  TAKE JOY Aug01 Jun25 May28 Apr27 Mar24 (correas ig)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 45% 1.20    
 
CNL-7   08/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMMARDSTRIKE Aug10         (vigil jaime)ARROYO S 122 30.00    
2  RULING FRONT Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 May06 Mar09 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
3  FREELANCE Jul22 Jun25       (hester leanne)REYES LEONEL 122 15.00    
4  OVERPRAISE Aug10 Aug02 Jun30 May04 Apr16 (duffy sean)CAMACHO SAMY 122 30.00    
5  FREE FLAYME Aug03 Jul11 Jun25 May28 Apr29 (duffy sean)MORRISON AILSA 115 5.00 ★    
SCR  HUSHED HIJINKS Aug03 Jul11 Jan05     (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 11% 8.50    
7  INDEFATIGABLE Aug08 Jul27 Jul01 May28 Apr08 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 124 3.50 9% 9.60    
8  ETCHED IN STONE Jul11 Jun17 Feb04     (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 51% 1.00    
9  BOSS IS A PAL Aug03 Jul11 Jun24 Jun11 May06 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00 8% 12.20    
 
CNL-8   08/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTALYA Jun23         (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 13% 6.60    
2  OBLIO'S WISH Aug15 Jul30       (rodrigue)STRANDBERG MALLORY 123 30.00    
3  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Jul29 Jun10 Feb10 Jan13   (eppler e)ALVELO C 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KINDA LUCKY Aug08 Jul06       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  STACK SHACK Aug08 Jun17 Jun03 May15 May01 (rivelli larry)REYES LEONEL 125 2.00 36% 1.70    
6  RED WIND Aug15 Aug02 Jul26 Jul01 Jun19 (mcgoey monic)ARROYO S 125 6.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  TIZ SUSAN ANN Jul10 Jun19 Jun12 May15 Apr22 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
SCR  GOLD TIME VIXEN Aug03 Jul21 Jul01 May30 May12 (howard c)AVILES YAN 120 15.00    
9  MAP EM UP Aug15 Apr24 Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 123 8.00    
 
CNL-9   08/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF GRACE Aug01 Jul12 Jan23 Jan09   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 10% 9.20    
2  FEAR THE DEER Aug01 Jul12 Jun18     (kurtinecz lilli)AVILES YAN 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  TRIPLE TITOS Jul27 Jun23 Jun11 May29 May08 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 6.00 ★    
4  SWIFT KID Aug01 Jul12 Jun30 May06 Apr27 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00    
SCR  HELLFIRE BOB Aug08 Aug01 Jul12 May07 Apr27 (vigil jaime)ARROYO S 123 12.00    
6  TEMPTING MOMENT Aug17 Aug02 Jul20     (hester lea)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 30.00    
7  CANYOUHEARMENOW Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun11 May28 (duffy sean)MORRISON AILSA 118 8.00    
8  NOICATTARO Jul12 Apr29       (lopez bernardo)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 38% 1.70    
9  BRAZIL NUT Jul22 Jun26       (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 6.00    
10  VISION BOARD Aug07 Jul03 Mar25 Jan13   (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.