Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lone Star Park
Saturday - July 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   07/23/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
See original race card.
:22 :443       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER RATIO 3 5 11 1½   1 1 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 5.00 49% 1.10 4.20 W
TIME MACHINE 2 4 32 4   2 2 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50 19% 4.20 4.40 P
HONDO LANE 4 3 21 2½   42 3 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 7.40 S
READY EDGE 7 2 53 52   54 4 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 8% 12.30 1.80  
PAPAWS BOY 5 1 75 86   87 56 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 5.10  
TRADE DEADLINE 8 8 4 31   32 6 (willis )GONCALVES R 122 15.00 10.60  
RECKLESS RED 1 7 64 6   6 78 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 121 30.00 13.50  
NOT NECESSARILY 6 6 87 7   76 8 (johns)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 30.00 14.50  
SCR  DECLARATIONOFSPEED               (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 3.00    
 
LS-2   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTAMONTES DIVA 8 1 31 2nk   1nk 14 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 1.80 25% 3.00 1.60 W
EXPECT THE BOSS 3 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 52% 0.90 2.00 P
GEE SHE'S FANCY 2 7 6 6   3 3 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 8.10 S
DAVID'S DREAM GIRL 7 8 5 4   54 4 (uriegas hen)HAMILTON WESTON 121 15.00 16.80  
MORO LINGERIE 1 6 4 52   43 5 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 2.00 4.20  
HIGH DEF RIDGE 5 5 8 8   7 614 (kotara rona)INIRIO J 121 20.00 17.90  
AMANTE DE SARA 6 4 7 7   66 715¼ (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 17.70  
TALTY 4 3 1nk 31   89 830¾ (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00 18.40  
 
LS-3   07/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
See original race card.
:232 1:012         1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOAH 8 7 3 23   3 11 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 13% 7.00 2.90 W
CAPTAINS COVE 4 8 7 6   66 21 (butler ken )INIRIO J 124 2.50 8% 11.60 1.80 P
JUST HANGIN RIDGE 2 1 2 33   22 3 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 3.50 10% 9.10 7.40 S
MOROLICIOUS 5 6 6 7   55 43 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 45% 1.20 4.60  
DOUBLE TRAP 6 4 5 4   4 5 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 121 15.00 17.90  
SHANGHAI GOLD 7 3 4 5   76 6 (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 124 4.50 7.60  
LECTERN 1 5 8 8   8 7 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 15.00 12.70  
STRAWMAN 3 2 1 13   12 87 (kotara rona)HAMILTON WESTON 121 12.00 12.20  
 
LS-4   07/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:24
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:253   1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TAYLORS TAP 9 9 4 4   14 1 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 10.00 5.90  
TEQUILA EMPIRE 4 8 7 65   24 2 (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 2.50 28% 2.60 2.70 P
MENDI'S GIRL 3 3 6 76   611½ 3 (young bob)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00 4.80  
GUITAR GROUPIE 5 2 5 5   510 410¾ (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.00 4.80  
WESTLAND 7 7 8 9   812½ 511¾ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 17.00  
QUEENS HOLIDAY 2 6 9 8   4 612½ (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
GINGER MOON 6 5 21 3   915½ 716¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 25% 3.00 3.60  
TEXAS ATTITUDE 1 1 11 11   37 818¼ (dodwell dal)DIEGO V 119 20.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
HOT TAMALLI 8 4 31 21   712½ 922½ (bravo franc)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 14.90  
SCR  HOT COOKIE               (herreros )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-5   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY MACHO 8 3 6 4   1nk 1½ (dodwell j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 6.00 6.70  
FARM DOG 7 2 3.2 1nk   2nk 2½ (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.00 11% 8.20 4.80 P
DOUGH BOY 2 4 5 5   31 34 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.40 63% 0.60 0.70 S
TOP HONORS 3 8 7 6   5 4 (a)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 11.60  
SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE 4 7 8 813¾   6 5 (gelner jayde)ALVAREZ L 119 20.00 18.30  
WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR 6 6 4¾ 3.2   4 6 (smith josep)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 17.40  
MORO MAFIA 1 5 1nk 2nk   7 720½ (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 119 12.00 12.20  
MORO TRENDSETTER 5 1 2nk 7   8 867 (gustafson aust)LUZZI J 119 12.00 9.70  
 
LS-6   07/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:13     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESMYBROKER 4 8 6 6   44 1 (davidson sar)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 15.00 18.20  
STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO 5 5 5 5   11 2 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.60 P
SUPER LEGS 7 7 911½ 811¼   610 3 (hurley tina)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 21.70 S
GALILETA 1 3 1nk 1nk   21 4 (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 18.60  
FLOWER HOUSE 3 9 710 911¾   811½ 5 (norris tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 10.00 10.80  
11  COCO LOCO MAMA 9 4 810 711¼   913 611¼ (echeverria )HERRERA GUSTAVO 123 20.00 14.70  
SCARLET POSITION 6 2 4¼ 2nk   3 711¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 6.00 22% 3.60 4.20  
FIRE OF GOLD 8 1 3.2 3.2   710½ 816¾ (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 9.40  
MISS M J 2 6 2nk 4¾   5 923½ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 5.00 12% 7.30 2.90  
SCR  BOATHOUSE VIEW               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50    
SCR  DOHA (ARG)               (ewing ea)SANCHEZ M 121 30.00    
 
LS-7   07/23/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:214 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUCELEA 6 7 5 3   2 1¾ (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 10.00  
HEZA FREAK 3 2 11 1   1 2¾ (villafranco marti)DIEGO V 121 20.00 14.10  
WILTON 7 4 7 7   53 3 (g)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 8% 11.70 6.00 S
HARD CANDY 9 1 94 6   4 4 (hernandez)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 3.50 21% 3.70 7.30  
10  BIG WAVE JAMES 10 9 4 4   3 5 (eoff terr)TORRES A 121 12.00 4.60  
WILLACY 5 6 31 2   6 65 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.00 46% 1.20 1.70  
PRAIRIE DOLLAR 2 10 84 8   8 78 (ashford)GONCALVES R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
JERSEY JOE 1 3 21 5   74 89 (green greg)HAMILTON WESTON 121 20.00 19.60  
STORM THREAT 8 8 108 10   911 911¾ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 20.00 9.70  
LOUISIANA TRIP 4 5 6 9   1015 1019 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 30.00 17.10  
 
LS-8   07/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERD IMMUNITY 3 3 11 1   17 1 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70 W
CONATIVE 9 2 8 6   27 2 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 6.20  
G'S TURN 1 9 63 7   710¼ 39 (caldwell r)DIEGO V 124 3.50 22% 3.60 6.40 S
FLIP THE COIN JAN 7 6 7 8   48 410¾ (castellanos)INIRIO J 120 8.00 11% 8.30 9.50  
WILDCAT'S BLING 8 1 52 2   37 511½ (smith p)SORENSON D 120 10.00 9.80  
WITH THE BAND 6 4 4 3   6 614¾ (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00 14.20  
WESTFEST 2 7 3 5   5 717¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 3.60  
EXCALIBUR RIDGE 5 5 9 9   913¾ 820¾ (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 14.40  
HE'S A RANGER 4 8 21 4   811¾ 923½ (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 15.00 7% 14.20 18.30  
 
LS-9   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONESHILOHSPECIAL 3 3 2nk 2nk   11 1 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 18% 4.50 2.30 W
FACESTER 1 4 5 32   33 2 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 4.50 5.60  
BODEMISTRESS 2 2 1nk 1nk   21 38 (smith josep)HAMILTON WESTON 118 12.00 6.80  
FEARLESS FACTOR 5 7 73 6   4 411 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00 8.40  
THOUGHTSANDPRAYERS 4 5 6 76   7 512 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 5.00 16% 5.30 2.90  
10  A SONG FOR MICKEY 8 6 32 4   5 613¾ (bust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SWEET PERFECTION 7 1 4 5   6 714¼ (duhon paul)DIEGO V 121 20.00 11.30  
THINKITASADONATION 6 8 85 8   8 818½ (garza joaqu)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 20.00 13% 6.80 10.50  
SCR  LACEY BOSS               (c)DE CRUZ 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  NANCY'S RESCUE               (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
 
LS-10   07/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:112 1:231   1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TASK DON'TTELL 4 4 23 22   14 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 18% 4.50 1.60 W
10  COLOSI 8 5 65 5   24 2 (petalino joe)DIEGO V 124 3.50 5.20  
PALUXY 6 7 7 7   5 3 (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 8.00 16% 5.30 9.30 S
BIZZY LEGS 5 6 5 6   3 4 (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 12.50  
SUNRISE KITTEN 3 8 87 8   7 5 (g)DE CRUZ 124 5.00 7.20  
COWBOY COOL 1 2 44 33   67 6 (green greg)ALVAREZ L 122 20.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
MOONLITE GRAHAM 2 1 13 12   45 78 (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 12.00  
ENGLANDER 7 3 34 4   810½ 89 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 4.50 38% 1.60 3.60  
SCR  EZMOSH               (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
SCR  HALF OURS TO KEEP               (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.