Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:222 :464       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAGER WORTHY 2 3 1½     1 16 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 120 2.00 13% 6.80 1.20 W
GLOBAL EMPRESS 7 1 33     3 26 (anderson patric)ADAMS L 114 2.50 49% 1.00 2.20 P
TAPTAP 5 2 5     4 3 (pyke joseph)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.50 6.20  
PIPERS GOLD 3 4 2½     2 48 (daniel o)RIOS-CONDE A 124 5.00 10% 9.40 4.00  
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE 6 5 6     5 512¾ (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 10.30  
TRACE ESTATE 1 6 710     613 615½ (collyer d)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00 54.70  
BOWMANS LAZY GIRL 4 7 4     717 721 (bowman d)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 57.90  
 
CT-2   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:221 :462       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT FOR GOLD 3 3 1½     1 1 (brown a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00 26.20  
MARTHA'S BANNER 4 4 4     2 2 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 0.60 59% 0.70 0.40 P
LADY LICIOUS 6 2 3     35 3 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 4.20  
GRAM'S GAL 1 7 5     5 4 (pennella rhea )BATISTA A 122 12.00 15.20  
BAYOU BOUGIE 7 1 2½     45 5 (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
MOJO MATTERS 2 6 6     6 6 (davis e)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 15% 5.50 16.60  
BETTER BOAT 5 5 75     711¾ 715 (downie lofflin)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00 69.00  
 
CT-3   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:213 :444       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMAL DESTINY 4 1 1     17 1 (patterson ke)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 0.40 38% 1.70 0.20 W
SHACKLEFORDS STORM 5 2 4     48 2 (ginter jr)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 15.70  
TO THE FRONT 3 3 2     27 3 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 38% 1.70 3.90 S
BULL SHARK 1 4 3     3 47 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 9.50  
SCOTTY SILVER 2 5 5     514½ 5 (straughn willia)THORPE DARIUS 120 30.00 33.70  
SCR  MASAI MAN               (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 15.00    
SCR  RULING               (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
 
CT-4   07/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:142 1:411   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEMS MINESHAFT RVF 1 1 4 3 22 2nk 1½ (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 6% 15.90 3.10 W
SCOTTSDALE 6 6 14 1 12 1nk 2½ (pennella rhea )BATISTA A 122 3.00 1.90  
BIG RINNE 4 3 24 2 32 31 33 (maldonado jon)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00 5% 17.20 2.50 S
BOATSWAIN 2 5 5 57 5 47 4 (farrior antho)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 61% 0.60 2.60  
STEP OUT DANCING 3 4 610 612 6 510 5 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00 22.80  
ENVISION SUCCESS 5 2 34 44 47 614 627¾ (hummer richar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00 33.00  
SCR  SURE WOULD FOREST               (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40    
 
CT-5   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:22 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIES LIL CASTLE 1 7 1½     1 1 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 8.00 14.50  
WINDSOR'S PLAY 2 8 52     2 2 (rideout ant)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 8.00 15% 5.80 7.60 P
CASTLE LIGHTS 4 3 42     53 3 (casey james )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 14% 6.10 12.00 S
YOLO CHARLOTTE 7 5 74     65 4 (lyster s)HO WESLEY 124 1.40 24% 3.30 0.70  
CEDAR'S WISH 3 6 2½     32 5 (grams timothy )MORALES KELVIN 116 6.00 10.50  
COUSIN WINNIE 8 1 3     43 6 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.00 9% 9.60 3.00  
SISTER JOANN 5 2 63     7 7 (hess g)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 45.10  
LIME AFTER LIME 6 4 88     810¼ 811¼ (jackson s)NUNEZ ANAHI 116 15.00 32.20  
 
CT-6   07/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CHANGE 6 6 2½ 11   1 1 (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 0.80 63% 0.60 0.30 W
RUNNIN'TOLUVYA 1 1 1½ 21   32 2 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 8% 11.40 7.70 P
CANDY INVASION 3 5 6 65   5 3 (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00 5.30  
MARTIN MAN 2 2 4 55   6 4 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 34.80  
COMMAND THE CAT 5 4 5 3   2 5 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
HERO'S MAN 4 3 3 4   4 64 (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 7.70  
 
CT-7   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:213 :451       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD KARMA (GB) 5 4 1½     13 1 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   5% 19.00 8.10 W
INCLUDE THE BEAST 7 1 2½     23 2 (garrido raul)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00 25.30  
MY LOVELY GIRL 1 8 52     34 35 (larrosa a)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00 13.80  
HEATED 8 2 3     4 4 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50 28% 2.60 1.00  
PEPPA STARR 3 6 8     55 5 (contreras javie)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 44% 1.30 3.90  
NICE N' BROAD 2 7 63     7 6 (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 7.70  
MANAROLA 4 5 74     8 77 (contreras jav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00 16.20  
OUR DIAMOND GIRL 6 3 42     65 8 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 6.10  
SCR  STROLLING THROUGH               (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:213 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY CONGRATS 1 6 2½     11 1½ (brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 9% 10.00 4.50 W
ZAINO BOYZ 5 3 32     21 2½ (davis billy)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 15% 5.70 3.80 P
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD 4 5 7     6 3 (maldonado jo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 14.20  
KUKULKAN (MEX) 2 7 44     3 4 (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 10.90  
FLUENT IN SARCASM 3 8 8     7 5 (shanley m)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 19.00  
I'D LIKE TO KNOW 7 2 5     5 6 (butts e)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 48.70  
10  STRONG LIKE BULL 8 1 1½     4 717¼ (jackson l)LARROSA G 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.60  
ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO 6 4 6     826½ 858¼ (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 20% 3.90 3.40  
SCR  CASH FOR THE SOUL               (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
SCR  WIDGET FACTORY               (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.