Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACE ESTATE Jul07         (collyer jamie)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
2  WAGER WORTHY Jul07 May27 Apr29 Mar24 Mar10 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 120 2.00 13% 6.80    
3  PIPERS GOLD         (daniel o)RIOS-CONDE A 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Jun30 May12       (bowman elex)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
5  TAPTAP Jul07 Jun18 May28 Apr29 Apr16 (pyke joseph)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.50    
6  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Jul07 Jun18 May18 Apr16 Mar31 (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00    
7  GLOBAL EMPRESS Jul15 Jun02 May12 Mar10   (anderson patr)ADAMS L 114 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
CT-2   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAM'S GAL Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 May19 May07 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
2  MOJO MATTERS Jun24 Jun03 May12 Apr22 Apr01 (davis russell)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
3  NOT FOR GOLD Jun25 Jun10 May11 Apr01 Mar23 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
4  MARTHA'S BANNER Jul08 Jun25       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 0.60 59% 0.70    
5  BETTER BOAT Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 May11 Apr23 (downie loffl)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
6  LADY LICIOUS Jul08 Jul01 Jun03 May11 Apr01 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50    
7  BAYOU BOUGIE Jun25 Mar23 Feb10     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RULING Jun09 May26 May13 Apr22 Apr01 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
2  BULL SHARK May20 May12 Apr30 Apr02 Jan16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
3  SCOTTY SILVER Jul09 May13       (straughn will)THORPE DARIUS 120 30.00    
SCR  MASAI MAN Jul05 Jun13 May18 Jan09   (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 15.00    
5  TO THE FRONT Jul08 Jun09 May26 May13 Apr22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
6  PRIMAL DESTINY Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr01 Feb18 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 0.40 38% 1.70    
7  SHACKLEFORDS STORM Jul06 Jun16 Jun02 May25 May11 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   07/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Jul07 Jun16 Jun04 May26 May05 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
2  BOATSWAIN Jul08 Jun17 May12 Mar02 Feb15 (farrior ant)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  SURE WOULD FOREST Jul07 May26 May05 Mar29 Feb16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40    
4  STEP OUT DANCING Jul16 May26 Apr21 Mar16 Jan26 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
5  BIG RINNE Jul07 Jun18 May07     (maldonado j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00 5% 17.20    
6  ENVISION SUCCESS May26 Mar24 Mar04     (hummer rich)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00    
7  SCOTTSDALE Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 Jun02 Apr20 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 3.00    
 
CT-5   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Jul01 Apr27 Apr09     (casey w)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
2  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jul01 Jun04 Apr27 Apr09 Mar17 (rideout a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 8.00 15% 5.80    
3  CEDAR'S WISH Jul01 Jun24 May28 May19 Apr20 (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 116 6.00    
4  CASTLE LIGHTS Jul02 May14 Apr23 Mar17 Feb19 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  SISTER JOANN Jun18 May11 Apr21 Apr09 Mar16 (hess jacob )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
6  LIME AFTER LIME Jun23 May11 Apr28 Mar16 Feb24 (jackso)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 15.00    
7  YOLO CHARLOTTE Jul02 May25 Apr23 Mar18 Feb19 (lyster s)HO WESLEY 124 1.40 24% 3.30    
8  COUSIN WINNIE Jul01 May28 May14 Apr23 Apr01 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.00 9% 9.60    
 
CT-6   07/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNIN'TOLUVYA Jul15 Apr30       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
2  MARTIN MAN Jun25 Jun03 May14 Apr21 Mar31 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
3  CANDY INVASION Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 Apr16 Mar25 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00    
4  HERO'S MAN Jul15 Jun16 Apr23     (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
5  COMMAND THE CAT Jul08 Jun25 May26 May04 Apr23 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NO CHANGE Jun16 May13 Apr23 Feb26 Jan27 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 0.80 63% 0.60    
 
CT-7   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LOVELY GIRL Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 Apr15   (larrosa)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00    
2  NICE N' BROAD Jul14 May20 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00    
3  PEPPA STARR Feb17 Jan13       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  MANAROLA Jul07 Jun18 Mar18 Feb17 Jan13 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00    
5  GOOD KARMA (GB) Jul07 Jun18 May18 Apr28 Mar18 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   5% 19.00    
6  OUR DIAMOND GIRL Jun18 May18       (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 ★    
7  INCLUDE THE BEAST Jul02 Jun11 Apr13     (garrido raul)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00    
SCR  STROLLING THROUGH Jun23 Jun04 May25 May04 Apr15 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
9  HEATED Jul07 May07 Mar04 Feb19 Feb02 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
CT-8   07/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASH FOR THE SOUL Jul14 Jun25 Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
2  HEY CONGRATS Jun25 Jun10 May20 Apr22 Feb16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
3  KUKULKAN (MEX) Jul08 Jun16 May25 May04 Feb25 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
SCR  WIDGET FACTORY Jul09 Jun11 May12 Apr15 Mar09 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
5  FLUENT IN SARCASM Jul08 Jun16 May20 Apr22 Mar31 (shanley)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
6  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Jul20 Jun10 May19 Apr10 Mar05 (maldonado )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
7  ZAINO BOYZ Jun16 May13 Apr22 Feb18 Feb02 (davis billy)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 15% 5.70    
8  ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO Jun16 May13 Apr01 Feb18 Jan27 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
9  I'D LIKE TO KNOW Jul09 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr13 (butts e)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
10  STRONG LIKE BULL Apr01 Mar03 Jan26     (jackson l)LARROSA G 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.