Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   02/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:15 1:414   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMCAT 3 1 1nk 1½ 1 11 1 (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 7.10  
TIZEZZY 1 2 4¼ 4 32 31 2 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 1.80  
OWEN'S WAY 6 3 3.2 3 2 21 3 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.60 28% 2.60 2.10 S
GIO DUDE 2 4 5 5 53 42 4 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 20% 4.00 4.40  
CRAZY IDEA 4 5 6 6 64 5 5 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 14% 6.40 5.10  
EPIC WEST 5 6 2nk 2½ 43 610 624¾ (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 112 8.00 11.90  
 
CT-2   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD PARTY 6 6 11 11   11 13 (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 3.50 2.30  
WHAT AN OX 2 1 21 21   21 23 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00 4.20  
WITH SECRET ENERGY 5 5 5 45   3 3 (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 2.50 21% 3.70 2.00 S
LATE IN THE GAME 3 3 6 611   49 4 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00 49% 1.00 2.50  
TWILIGHT YEARS 1 2 32 3   514 514½ (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
CHASE LIL ME 4 4 4 59   614 614½ (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00 73.20  
FIGAROS FORTUNE 7 7 723½ 729   732 735¾ (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 20.70  
 
CT-3   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET US MAKE GOLD 4 2 44 42   3.2 1¼ (frock cha)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 3.40  
INDIANA RED 6 6 3 31   4 2¼ (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.00 P
PERTH AMBOY 1 1 22 2½   1nk 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 16% 5.30 2.00 DQ↓6
GRECIAN ADMIRAL 2 5 65 52   5 411¼ (greaves verno)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.80 59% 0.70 1.40 S
INJECT THE LIGHT 7 7 5 63   6 513¾ (davis samu)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 39.20  
HENRY STANDINGBEAR 3 4 7 75   710¼ 618 (roman-salon nelsi)LARROSA G 124 50.00 34.70  
STRONG SAFETY 5 3 12 1½   2nk 7100 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 8.00 9.00  
 
CT-4   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAGRADA RAY 1 8 2nk     1nk 1 (capuano gar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.20 38% 1.70 0.80 W
SUPER JORDAN 2 6 1nk     2nk 2 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 21% 3.70 3.30 P
FOREST FROST 6 4 66     47 3 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 18% 4.70 2.70 S
STALKING 4 5 3     5 49 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
CLOUD CREEK 3 7 55     3 59 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 20.20  
DIVINING DANCER 5 3 4     6 612 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 39.90  
MORNING ARTIE 8 2 712     710½ 718 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 30.00 49.90  
CLASSIC TUXEDO 7 1 813     814½ 826¼ (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 30.00 56.50  
 
CT-5   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHESTNUT LIME 4 4 42 34   31 1¼ (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 12.00 8% 11.00 5.10 W
LIL MR MATT 2 3 2nk 2nk   11 2¼ (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 3.50 12% 7.50 2.70 P
TOWERING CHANCE 5 5 31 4   42 3½ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.20 32% 2.10 1.10 S
OMEGA GOLD 3 1 1nk 1nk   21 43 (johnson jennif)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 9.20  
THORN OF ROSE HILL 7 8 7 712¾   7 5 (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 21% 3.70 13.50  
HERCULES HARBOR 8 6 5 5   5 610 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 7.00  
MASTER YOO 1 2 6 612¾   69 710¾ (downie loffl)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00 75.40  
LUCKY PENGUIN 6 7 812 820¾   816½ 821 (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 48.30  
 
CT-6   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:141     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR'S WISH 7 5 21 3   1nk 1nk (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 10.00 29.10  
MAY MAYS CASTLE 4 2 3 21   32 2nk (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 8.60  
EMBERLY 9 9 11 11   2nk 32 (garza hector)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.50 3.70 S
BAYS CASTLE 1 1 911 714¾   712¼ 46 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
TENNIS TAP 6 7 6 6   49 5 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 4.50  
OFFICER SLEW 3 4 45 4   5 610 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 49.80  
I SHALLBE RELEASED 8 8 56 5   6 710¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 61% 0.60 1.90  
CHICA PICANTE 2 3 8 919¾   819¼ 815 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 20.20  
GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) 5 6 79 818¾   921¼ 924 (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F null   4.80  
 
CT-7   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:223 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAIME JAMEL 7 1 22     2½ 1 (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.00 13% 7.00 2.50 W
DOESN'T MAKE CENTS 2 6 12     1½ 2 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 45.00  
HELLO CARLO 6 2 32     3 3 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 17% 5.00 1.80 S
HARTEL 4 5 5     4 44 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 45% 1.20 1.90  
ZIP THE LIP 3 4 6     6 5 (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00 39.00  
RICHIE'S B L 1 8 43     55 6 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
RUN RABBIT 8 3 7     7 7 (shanley timothy)WHITACRE B 120 8.00 13.00  
BLUE COLLAR BOY 5 7 812¼     810½ 811¾ (hess g)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 64.70  
 
CT-8   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:223 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER PUNCH 1 7 21     1½ 1 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 2.00 22% 3.50 0.70 W
DEREKA'S BLUFF 2 8 46     4 2 (johnson r)LIMA FELINO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 3.50 P
SISTER JOANN 6 2 33     3 3 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 30.00 42.40  
HANDSOME JOANIE 4 4 5     58 4 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.00 6% 16.30 8.40  
MARLEESBEEBEE 7 1 11     2½ 5 (bowman elex )ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 12.00 24.50  
LADY SPARROW 5 5 7     79 6 (myers larry)LARROSA G 121 20.00 31.60  
REVEIRS MINUTE 8 3 8     811 710½ (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 7.60  
YOU'RE DOING FINE 3 6 6     69 810¾ (covello andre)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.80 47% 1.10 8.30  
 
CT-9   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT-10:45
See original race card.
:222 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BAYOU BOUGIE 8 1 2nk     1nk 1¼ (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.00 W
WINDSOR'S CHAMPION 7 3 1nk     2nk 2¼ (espinosa victor)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 55% 0.80 0.70 DQ↓7
NELLYSFORD 5 4 4     4 3¼ (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 13% 7.00 3.00 P
SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS 4 7 8     8 4 (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00 10% 8.80 6.90 S
U S FUNDS 2 8 6     5 5 (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00 7.90  
LIL MISS FIBER 1 6 3½     32 64 (ramos agosto)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 24.10  
MARY BOPPINS TOO 6 2 5     6 75 (dollinger)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 32.90  
SINGING HARMONY 3 5 7     7 8 (knoblauch-per)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 50.50  
SCR  CITY PRINCESS               (geris s)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 30.00    
SCR  LUNAR PRAYER               (boykins kevin)SIMPSON JASON 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.