Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZEZZY Jan13         (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50    
GIO DUDE Jan13         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 20% 4.00    
SHAMCAT         (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
CRAZY IDEA         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
EPIC WEST         (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 112 8.00    
OWEN'S WAY Jan12         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
CT-2   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT YEARS         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT AN OX Jan15         (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
LATE IN THE GAME Jan15         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
CHASE LIL ME         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
WITH SECRET ENERGY Jan15         (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
ROAD PARTY         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 3.50    
FIGAROS FORTUNE         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
 
CT-3   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERTH AMBOY Jan14         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 16% 5.30    
GRECIAN ADMIRAL Jan26         (greaves verno)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.80 59% 0.70    
HENRY STANDINGBEAR Jan13         (roman-salon nelsi)LARROSA G 124 50.00    
LET US MAKE GOLD Jan15         (frock cha)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00    
STRONG SAFETY         (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 8.00    
INDIANA RED Jan14 Jan01       (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
INJECT THE LIGHT Jan28         (davis samu)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAGRADA RAY Jan23         (capuano gar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.20 38% 1.70    
SUPER JORDAN Jan13         (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
CLOUD CREEK         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
STALKING         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINING DANCER         (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
FOREST FROST         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
CLASSIC TUXEDO         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 30.00    
MORNING ARTIE         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 30.00    
 
CT-5   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER YOO Jan27         (downie loffl)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
LIL MR MATT Jan27         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
OMEGA GOLD         (johnson jennif)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00    
CHESTNUT LIME         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 12.00 8% 11.00    
TOWERING CHANCE         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
LUCKY PENGUIN Jan27         (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
THORN OF ROSE HILL Jan27         (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
HERCULES HARBOR Jan13         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
 
CT-6   02/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYS CASTLE Jan13         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHICA PICANTE Jan14         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
OFFICER SLEW Jan14         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
MAY MAYS CASTLE Jan13         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Jan17         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F null      
TENNIS TAP Jan13         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50    
CEDAR'S WISH         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 10.00    
I SHALLBE RELEASED Jan13         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
EMBERLY Jan13         (garza hector)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.50    
 
CT-7   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHIE'S B L Jan26         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Jan26         (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
ZIP THE LIP Jan26         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
HARTEL Jan26         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
BLUE COLLAR BOY         (hess g)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
HELLO CARLO Feb02         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
JAIME JAMEL Jan14         (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
RUN RABBIT Jan28         (shanley timothy)WHITACRE B 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER PUNCH         (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
DEREKA'S BLUFF Feb02         (johnson r)LIMA FELINO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
YOU'RE DOING FINE         (covello andre)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
HANDSOME JOANIE         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.00 6% 16.30    
LADY SPARROW Jan12         (myers larry)LARROSA G 121 20.00    
SISTER JOANN Feb02         (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 30.00    
MARLEESBEEBEE         (bowman elex )ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 12.00    
REVEIRS MINUTE         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
 
CT-9   02/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS FIBER Jan28         (ramos agosto)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
U S FUNDS         (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  LUNAR PRAYER Feb02 Jan12       (boykins kevin)SIMPSON JASON 122 5.00    
SINGING HARMONY Jan28         (knoblauch-per)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
SCR  CITY PRINCESS Jan28         (geris s)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 30.00    
SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00 10% 8.80    
NELLYSFORD Jan28         (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
MARY BOPPINS TOO Jan28         (dollinger)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
WINDSOR'S CHAMPION         (espinosa victor)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
10  BAYOU BOUGIE         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.