Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:121 1:234   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOM HAGEN 4 3 11½ 12 12 14 15 (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 8% 11.70 2.70 W
3  SPERLE 3 2 32½ 33 22 24 25 (gambolati c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 16% 5.10 4.10 P
2  SIR TERRE 2 1 43½ 44 33 35½ 36 (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 123 6.00 ★ 5.00 S
1  MINT GAME 1 5 55½ 66½ 55 48 49½ (magana j)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 4.60  
5  ULTIMATE IRONY 5 7 66 55 65 58½ 59½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 2.50 38% 1.60 2.90  
6  MY WAY OR NO WAY 6 4 21½ 22 43½ 610 613¾ (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 3.00 11% 7.80 6.20  
7  GENERATOR 7 6 77½ 79 713 730 744¼ (vance tho)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 47.30  
 
CNL-2   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :49 1:141 1:264   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LADY AZTECA 6 4 57 61¾ 51¼ 11 11 (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00 3.40  
4  MORGAN'S BLUFF 4 6 68½ 51¾ 3½ 31½ 21 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 13% 7.00 4.40 P
2  NUWANDA 2 7 710 73¼ 61¼ 42 31¼ (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 32% 2.20 2.30 S
5  BALI BALIFLY 5 2 24½ 21 1nk 21 47¾ (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 114 15.00 18.50  
9  ZITA OF BOURBON 9 8 46½ 41½ 73¾ 64 510 (morgan carla)ARROYO S 119 5.00 19% 4.20 4.30  
1  BANK BUSTER 1 3 36 31 2nk 52 611 (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 9% 9.80 6.60  
7  HAINT BLUE (FR) 7 9 917 910¾ 99¼ 99½ 715¼ (smith hamilton)ROCCO S null   10.70  
3  MISS GRAND SLAM 3 5 811 88¼ 85¼ 89 817½ (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 31.80  
8  AIR ONE 8 1 14½ 11 41 77 922½ (dickey keith)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00 32.70  
 
CNL-3   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPEAK YOUR MIND 1 1 11 11   13 11½ (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 12.00 14.10  
3  JACK'S LILLY 2 2 31½ 43   23 21½ (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 109 10.00 ★ 10.40 P
8  GENIUS 6 5 52½ 33   33½ 34¼ (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 ★ 3.20 S
4  BLOKE 3 3 42½ 54½   45½ 46 (locklear jame)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 ★ 18.90  
6  SAMURAI ISLAND 5 6 65½ 66½   56½ 58½ (vance tho)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 13.90  
5  SCOOBER 4 4 21 21   68½ 616½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 0.80 62% 0.60 0.30  
SCR  CARSON'S KITTEN               (mccutchen jas)MARTIN MATTIE 112 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  GREEN DOT BRAH               (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
 
CNL-4   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:224 :454 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGPIN 1 1 31 31   1½ 12½ (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 35% 1.90 0.70 W
7  SCIENCE (IRE) 7 5 51¾ 61¾   42½ 22½ (gorham e)AVILES YAN 117 5.00 ★ 14.90 P
8  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN 8 4 41¼ 41   32½ 32¾ (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.20 S
5  LUCKY PROMISE 5 8 73¾ 51½   53½ 43¾ (vance tho)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 13% 6.60 16.30  
2  GREAT CAMANOE 2 3 1nk 1½   2½ 54¼ (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.50 5.30  
3  COMMODORE BARRY 3 6 83¾ 82¾   64½ 65¼ (cooper thomas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 14% 6.30 21.40  
4  TEMPTING MOMENT 4 2 2nk 2½   75 710½ (hester lea)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00 ######  
6  SPRITZER 6 7 62¼ 71¾   85¼ 811¼ (hester leann)ARROYO S 124 10.00 53.60  
 
CNL-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GALAXY MUSIC 4 4 21 1½   12 11 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 6.00 12.90  
6  SATURN BOY 6 8 56 31½   22 21 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.40 P
8  ALL ABOUT LUCKY 8 5 45 41½   32 32¼ (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00 14.40  
5  CITY HUMOR 5 3 11 2½   42¼ 43½ (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00 2.40  
2  MILLERS RITE 2 2 67 53½   54¼ 55¾ (vance thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 4.30  
7  DUKE OF DOOLY 7 6 813 87¾   77¾ 67 (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
9  LE GRIFFON 9 7 78 66½   67¼ 78¼ (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
1  JIMBO'S DREAM 1 1 35 77½   813¾ 819¾ (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 57.80  
3  PORCH SWING 3 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (smith hamilton)ROCCO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
 
CNL-6   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FILIGREE 2 3 62¼ 53¾   32 1½ (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 ★ 2.90  
5  ARGYLL 5 2 41¼ 42¼   42½ 2½ (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 114 4.50 ★ 1.70 P
1  AGENT MULGANNON 1 9 83¾ 105   52½ 34½ (del castillo)MENESES MARCOS 124 30.00 ######  
7  HE IS BONAFIDE 7 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 46 (garza hector)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 ★ 4.20  
3  GORUN 3 10 94 95   73¾ 56¼ (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.00 39% 1.60 9.30  
10  CUP MATCH 9 7 2nk 2nk   2½ 66¾ (allen ferri)ALVELO C 124 20.00 41.00  
13  MOCA MONSTER 12 8 114 115   117¾ 78½ (cooper tho)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 30.00 57.30  
11  CIRCLE THE KID 10 4 51¾ 64¼   96¼ 811½ (demeritte la)ARROYO S 119 20.00 18.00  
12  ABENDEGO 11 5 3.2 3.2   62¾ 912¼ (clement roland)REYES LEONEL 119 30.00 29.40  
8  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME 8 12 104 84¾   107¼ 1013½ (oxendine adam)ARAUJO DENIS 119 20.00 81.90  
6  LUXURY BOY 6 6 72¼ 74¼   85¾ 1113¾ (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 72.50  
4  SOLID GUY 4 11 1219 1225   1227¾ 1232¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 40% 1.50 5.30  
SCR  COLORS               (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 119 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:121 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PICKFORD 5 6 76½ 74¼ 53 42 11 (conto kevin)REYES LEONEL 123 10.00 7% 12.40 6.90 W
5  THOMOND PARK 4 7 55 52¼ 32 3½ 21 (hendriks rich)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 ★ 2.70 P
2  GOLDEN DECISION 1 1 2½ 31 2½ 2½ 31 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 123 3.50 33% 2.00 2.00 S
10  CLEAR N CONVINCING 8 5 88 85¼ 64 53 41 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 16% 5.40 6.20  
3  MISSIN THE BIG DOG 2 2 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 52¾ (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00 2.40  
9  STUNNING BABY 7 8 66½ 64¼ 75 611 613½ (dye steven)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 20.00 54.70  
8  TY RAN A HOMER 6 4 33 21 86 711½ 714½ (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 116 20.00 42.60  
4  IT'S FATE 3 3 43½ 42 43 816½ 826½ (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 15.00 36.20  
SCR  MAID THE JOURNEY               (corrales jose)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
SCR  ROHRBACHER               (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
CNL-8   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GAGETOWN 8 7 61¾ 51¼   12 11¾ (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 9.00  
2  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 2 1 51¼ 3½   32 21¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 24% 3.20 8.30 P
5  LONGSHADOW 5 6 74¼ 83   64¾ 32¼ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 8.00 18.70  
6  BEVERLY PARK 6 8 84¼ 62¾   74¾ 42¼ (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 6.00 ★ 6.30  
7  TROPHY CHASER 7 4 3½ 4¾   52¾ 53¾ (avila car)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90 7.60  
1  UPHOLD THE LAW 1 2 1nk 1nk   22 64 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 34% 2.00 1.60  
3  MUCH BETTER 3 5 2nk 2nk   42¼ 74½ (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 4.50 ★ 3.60  
4  SWING SHIFT (GB) 4 3 4¾ 72¾   86¾ 89 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 7.10  
 
CNL-9   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ALEXIS S 6 3 43½ 31½   3½ 11½ (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 25% 3.00 3.60 W
10  ROCK WITH YOU 9 2 22 21   2nk 21½ (payne beal)ARROYO S 119 15.00 66.70  
6  CATCHTHISWINNER 5 1 12 11   1nk 31¾ (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 124 4.00 ★ 5.60 S
4  LUNAR DASH 3 6 54 42½   52½ 44¼ (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 45% 1.20 2.90  
2  BUDDY BUDDY 1 4 32½ 62¾   42 54¾ (collins tim)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00 9% 10.50 8.70  
9  DOM GERVASIO 8 10 87 95¾   63 65¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 3.80  
5  I'M JUNETEENTH 4 7 65 73¾   74 78¼ (woodson shawn)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 69.90  
3  CELTIC SEA 2 5 97½ 84¾   96 89¾ (cooney s)AVILES YAN 114 10.00 14.80  
8  PER DIEM 7 8 76 52½   85½ 910 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 6.00 ★ 4.20  
11  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE 10 9 108½ 109¾   1011 1014½ (corrales jose)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 88.50  
SCR  STORMARELLA               (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 119 15.00    
 
CNL-10   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GIRL'S ON FIRE 4 3 11½ 13 1½ 12 11 (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 123 4.50 1.70  
3  FOXTROT SEVILLE 3 8 65 65½ 62¾ 32½ 21 (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 125 4.00 21% 3.80 2.30 P
10  WASSER 9 9 96¼ 96¾ 104½ 65½ 31¾ (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00 15.00  
5  HEART LIGHT 5 4 21½ 23 2½ 22 41¾ (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 9% 9.90 13.50  
7  BACKSTREET GAL 6 5 43 44 41½ 54½ 52¾ (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 20.00 16.20  
1  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY 1 1 33 34 31½ 42½ 63¼ (o'connell )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50 25% 3.10 5.00  
11  SCHATZI 10 10 106¾ 107¼ 93½ 97¼ 74 (held diete)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 15.00 15.00  
8  BYEGONE DAYS 7 7 85¾ 75¾ 83 86¼ 86¼ (oxendine adam)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 37.20  
2  TIZ NENA 2 2 54 55 72¾ 75¾ 910½ (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00 11% 8.20 10.10  
9  C'EST PARTI 8 6 75¼ 86¼ 51¾ 1012¼ 1013 (agostini art)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 15.00 38.80  
SCR  FORGOT PASSWORD               (lyster st)CARRASCO R 123 10.00 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.