Handicappers' Race Results

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Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:121 1:234   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM HAGEN 4 3 1 12 12 14 15 (meyers madison )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 8% 11.70 2.70 W
SPERLE 3 2 3 33 22 24 25 (gambolati cam)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 16% 5.10 4.10 P
SIR TERRE 2 1 4 44 33 3 36 (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 123 6.00 5.00 S
MINT GAME 1 5 5 6 55 48 4 (magana j)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 4.60  
ULTIMATE IRONY 5 7 66 55 65 5 5 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 2.50 38% 1.60 2.90  
MY WAY OR NO WAY 6 4 2 22 4 610 613¾ (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 3.00 11% 7.80 6.20  
GENERATOR 7 6 7 79 713 730 744¼ (vance thoma)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 47.30  
 
CNL-2   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :49 1:141 1:264   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY AZTECA 6 4 57 6 5 11 11 (lopez g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00 3.40  
MORGAN'S BLUFF 4 6 6 5 3½ 3 21 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 119 4.50 13% 7.00 4.40 P
NUWANDA 2 7 710 7 6 42 3 (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 32% 2.20 2.30 S
BALI BALIFLY 5 2 2 21 1nk 21 4 (huffman g)AVILES YAN 114 15.00 18.50  
ZITA OF BOURBON 9 8 4 4 7 64 510 (morgan carla)ARROYO S 119 5.00 19% 4.20 4.30  
BANK BUSTER 1 3 36 31 2nk 52 611 (ryan derek )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 9% 9.80 6.60  
HAINT BLUE (FR) 7 9 917 910¾ 9 9 715¼ (smith a)ROCCO S null   10.70  
MISS GRAND SLAM 3 5 811 8 8 89 817½ (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 31.80  
AIR ONE 8 1 1 11 41 77 922½ (dickey keith)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00 32.70  
 
CNL-3   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK YOUR MIND 1 1 11 11   13 1 (cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 12.00 14.10  
JACK'S LILLY 2 2 3 43   23 2 (huffman g)AVILES YAN 109 10.00 10.40 P
GENIUS 6 5 5 33   3 3 (vance d)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 3.20 S
BLOKE 3 3 4 5   4 46 (locklear james)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 18.90  
SAMURAI ISLAND 5 6 6 6   5 5 (vance thoma)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 13.90  
SCOOBER 4 4 21 21   6 616½ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 0.80 62% 0.60 0.30  
SCR  CARSON'S KITTEN               (mccutchen jason)MARTIN MATTIE 112 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  GREEN DOT BRAH               (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
 
CNL-4   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:224 :454 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGPIN 1 1 31 31   1½ 1 (stidham micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 35% 1.90 0.70 W
SCIENCE (IRE) 7 5 5 6   4 2 (gorham e)AVILES YAN 117 5.00 14.90 P
ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN 8 4 4 41   3 3 (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.20 S
LUCKY PROMISE 5 8 7 5   5 4 (vance thoma)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 13% 6.60 16.30  
GREAT CAMANOE 2 3 1nk 1½   2½ 5 (meyers f)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.50 5.30  
COMMODORE BARRY 3 6 8 8   6 6 (cooper thomas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 14% 6.30 21.40  
TEMPTING MOMENT 4 2 2nk 2½   75 710½ (hester leann)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00 ######  
SPRITZER 6 7 6 7   8 811¼ (hester leanne)ARROYO S 124 10.00 53.60  
 
CNL-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALAXY MUSIC 4 4 21 1½   12 11 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 6.00 12.90  
SATURN BOY 6 8 56 3   22 21 (asmussen steven)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.40 P
ALL ABOUT LUCKY 8 5 45 4   32 3 (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00 14.40  
CITY HUMOR 5 3 11 2½   4 4 (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00 2.40  
MILLERS RITE 2 2 67 5   5 5 (vance thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 4.30  
DUKE OF DOOLY 7 6 813 8   7 67 (smith a)ARAUJO DENIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
LE GRIFFON 9 7 78 6   6 7 (escobar alison)ZAYAS J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
JIMBO'S DREAM 1 1 35 7   813¾ 819¾ (reardon c)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 57.80  
PORCH SWING 3 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (smith a)ROCCO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
 
CNL-6   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILIGREE 2 3 6 5   32 1½ (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 2.90  
ARGYLL 5 2 4 4   4 2½ (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 114 4.50 1.70 P
AGENT MULGANNON 1 9 8 105   5 3 (del j)MENESES MARCOS 124 30.00 ######  
HE IS BONAFIDE 7 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 46 (garza hector)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 4.20  
GORUN 3 10 94 95   7 5 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.00 39% 1.60 9.30  
10  CUP MATCH 9 7 2nk 2nk   2½ 6 (allen ferris)ALVELO C 124 20.00 41.00  
13  MOCA MONSTER 12 8 114 115   11 7 (cooper thoma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 30.00 57.30  
11  CIRCLE THE KID 10 4 5 6   9 811½ (demeritte larr)ARROYO S 119 20.00 18.00  
12  ABENDEGO 11 5 3.2 3.2   6 912¼ (clement p)REYES LEONEL 119 30.00 29.40  
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME 8 12 104 8   10 1013½ (oxendine adam)ARAUJO DENIS 119 20.00 81.90  
LUXURY BOY 6 6 7 7   8 1113¾ (reardon c)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 72.50  
SOLID GUY 4 11 1219 1225   1227¾ 1232¾ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 40% 1.50 5.30  
SCR  COLORS               (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 119 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:121 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICKFORD 5 6 7 7 53 42 11 (conto kevin)REYES LEONEL 123 10.00 7% 12.40 6.90 W
THOMOND PARK 4 7 55 5 32 3½ 21 (hendriks richar)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 2.70 P
GOLDEN DECISION 1 1 2½ 31 2½ 2½ 31 (lawrence ja)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 33% 2.00 2.00 S
10  CLEAR N CONVINCING 8 5 88 8 64 53 41 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 16% 5.40 6.20  
MISSIN THE BIG DOG 2 2 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 5 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00 2.40  
STUNNING BABY 7 8 6 6 75 611 613½ (dye steven)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 20.00 54.70  
TY RAN A HOMER 6 4 33 21 86 711½ 714½ (murtaugh andr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 116 20.00 42.60  
IT'S FATE 3 3 4 42 43 816½ 826½ (agostini arthur)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 15.00 36.20  
SCR  MAID THE JOURNEY               (corrales jose)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
SCR  ROHRBACHER               (mcmahon i)ALVELO C 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
CNL-8   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAGETOWN 8 7 6 5   12 1 (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 9.00  
LIKE A SALTSHAKER 2 1 5 3½   32 2 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 24% 3.20 8.30 P
LONGSHADOW 5 6 7 83   6 3 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 8.00 18.70  
BEVERLY PARK 6 8 8 6   7 4 (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 6.00 6.30  
TROPHY CHASER 7 4 3½ 4¾   5 5 (avila carlo)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90 7.60  
UPHOLD THE LAW 1 2 1nk 1nk   22 64 (stidham michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 34% 2.00 1.60  
MUCH BETTER 3 5 2nk 2nk   4 7 (asmussen steven)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 4.50 3.60  
SWING SHIFT (GB) 4 3 4¾ 7   8 89 (toner james)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 7.10  
 
CNL-9   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXIS S 6 3 4 3   3½ 1 (escobar alison)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 25% 3.00 3.60 W
10  ROCK WITH YOU 9 2 22 21   2nk 2 (payne beale)ARROYO S 119 15.00 66.70  
CATCHTHISWINNER 5 1 12 11   1nk 3 (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 124 4.00 5.60 S
LUNAR DASH 3 6 54 4   5 4 (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 45% 1.20 2.90  
BUDDY BUDDY 1 4 3 6   42 5 (collins tim)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00 9% 10.50 8.70  
DOM GERVASIO 8 10 87 9   63 6 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 3.80  
I'M JUNETEENTH 4 7 65 7   74 7 (woodson shawn)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 69.90  
CELTIC SEA 2 5 9 8   96 8 (cooney s)AVILES YAN 114 10.00 14.80  
PER DIEM 7 8 76 5   8 910 (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 6.00 4.20  
11  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE 10 9 10 10   1011 1014½ (corrales jose)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 88.50  
SCR  STORMARELLA               (reardon c)ALONSO LUIS 119 15.00    
 
CNL-10   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL'S ON FIRE 4 3 1 13 1½ 12 11 (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 123 4.50 1.70  
FOXTROT SEVILLE 3 8 65 6 6 3 21 (trombetta michae)BOYCE FOREST 125 4.00 21% 3.80 2.30 P
10  WASSER 9 9 9 9 10 6 3 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00 15.00  
HEART LIGHT 5 4 2 23 2½ 22 4 (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 9% 9.90 13.50  
BACKSTREET GAL 6 5 43 44 4 5 5 (milosevic milan)ALVELO C 123 20.00 16.20  
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY 1 1 33 34 3 4 6 (o'connell ka)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50 25% 3.10 5.00  
11  SCHATZI 10 10 10 10 9 9 74 (held dieter )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 15.00 15.00  
BYEGONE DAYS 7 7 8 7 83 8 8 (oxendine adam)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 37.20  
TIZ NENA 2 2 54 55 7 7 910½ (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00 11% 8.20 10.10  
C'EST PARTI 8 6 7 8 5 1012¼ 1013 (agostini arthu)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 15.00 38.80  
SCR  FORGOT PASSWORD               (lyster step)CARRASCO R 123 10.00 8% 11.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.