Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINT GAME Aug05 Jul19 Jun19 May30 May13 (magana j)AVILES YAN 118 5.00    
2  SIR TERRE Jul29 Jul09 Jun10 May19 Apr14 (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 123 6.00 ★    
3  SPERLE Aug02 Jun24 May01 Apr01 Mar10 (gambolati c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  TOM HAGEN Jul19 Jun18       (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 8% 11.70    
5  ULTIMATE IRONY Aug02 May30 May12 Feb25 Jan13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  MY WAY OR NO WAY Aug02 Jul12 May06 Apr10 Mar04 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 3.00 11% 7.80    
7  GENERATOR Jul04 Jun13 May30 Apr23 Mar26 (vance tho)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
 
CNL-2   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK BUSTER Jul16         (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 9% 9.80    
2  NUWANDA Aug03 Jun19       (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  MISS GRAND SLAM Jul26 Jun26 May26     (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
4  MORGAN'S BLUFF Jul22 Jun02       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 13% 7.00    
5  BALI BALIFLY Aug03         (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 114 15.00    
6  LADY AZTECA Jul13 Jun22       (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
7  HAINT BLUE (FR)         (smith hamilton)ROCCO S null      
8  AIR ONE Jul26         (dickey keith)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00    
9  ZITA OF BOURBON Jul26         (morgan carla)ARROYO S 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
CNL-3   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREEN DOT BRAH Jul20 Apr30 Mar27 Mar12 Feb27 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
2  SPEAK YOUR MIND Aug03 Jul04 Jun17     (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 12.00    
3  JACK'S LILLY Aug03         (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 109 10.00 ★    
4  BLOKE Aug02 Jul11       (locklear jame)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 ★    
5  SCOOBER Aug02         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 0.80 62% 0.60    
6  SAMURAI ISLAND Jul20 Jul12 Jun10 May19 Apr20 (vance tho)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  CARSON'S KITTEN         (mccutchen jas)MARTIN MATTIE 112 4.00 12% 7.30    
8  GENIUS Aug02         (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 ★    
 
CNL-4   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGPIN Jun29 May22       (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  GREAT CAMANOE Jul11 Jun19 May29     (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.50    
3  COMMODORE BARRY Jul11         (cooper thomas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 14% 6.30    
4  TEMPTING MOMENT Aug02 Jul20       (hester lea)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
5  LUCKY PROMISE Jul17 Jul08 Jun23 May29 May15 (vance tho)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 13% 6.60    
6  SPRITZER Aug02 Jul13 Jun10 May01 Apr07 (hester leann)ARROYO S 124 10.00    
7  SCIENCE (IRE) May29 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb16 (gorham e)AVILES YAN 117 5.00 ★    
8  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN Aug07 Jul20 May13 Mar18 Feb16 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
CNL-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMBO'S DREAM Jul19         (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
2  MILLERS RITE         (vance thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
3  PORCH SWING         (smith hamilton)ROCCO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GALAXY MUSIC         (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
5  CITY HUMOR         (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  SATURN BOY         (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  DUKE OF DOOLY         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALL ABOUT LUCKY Jul10 Jun10       (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
9  LE GRIFFON         (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGENT MULGANNON May06 Apr27 Apr16 Apr10   (del janet)NO RIDER 124 30.00    
2  FILIGREE Jun24         (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 ★    
3  GORUN Jul18 Jun24 May21 May04 Apr08 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  SOLID GUY         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  ARGYLL Mar06 Jan02       (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 114 4.50 ★    
6  LUXURY BOY Aug02         (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00    
7  HE IS BONAFIDE Aug02 Jul07 Jun21 Jun08 May10 (garza hector)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 ★    
8  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Apr22         (oxendine adam)ARAUJO DENIS 119 20.00    
SCR  COLORS Jul10 Jun11 May08 Apr09 Mar26 (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 119 30.00    
10  CUP MATCH Jul20         (allen ferris)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
11  CIRCLE THE KID Jul31         (demeritte la)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
12  ABENDEGO Jul19 Jun30 Jun04     (clement roland)REYES LEONEL 119 30.00    
13  MOCA MONSTER Jul20 May21 Jan23     (cooper tho)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROHRBACHER Jul26         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  GOLDEN DECISION Aug05 Jul01 Jun15 Mar12 Jan20 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  MISSIN THE BIG DOG Jul22 Jun29 Jun03     (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
4  IT'S FATE Aug03 Jun30 Jun11 Apr27 Apr15 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 15.00    
5  THOMOND PARK Jul20 Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 Apr09 (hendriks rich)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  MAID THE JOURNEY Jul29 May15 Apr28 Apr15 Apr09 (corrales jose)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
7  PICKFORD Jul24 Jul10 May30     (conto kevin)REYES LEONEL 123 10.00 7% 12.40    
8  TY RAN A HOMER Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 May11 Apr04 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 116 20.00    
9  STUNNING BABY Aug03 Jul18 Jun21 Jun06 Apr15 (dye steven)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 20.00    
10  CLEAR N CONVINCING Aug09 Jun24 Jun10 May13   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
CNL-8   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPHOLD THE LAW Jan02         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Jul06 Jun15 May25 May07 Apr17 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  MUCH BETTER Jul29 Jul03 Jun12 Apr24 Mar05 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 4.50 ★    
4  SWING SHIFT (GB) Jul02 Apr02 Mar02 Jan29   (toner jam)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
5  LONGSHADOW Jul27         (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
6  BEVERLY PARK Jul23 Jul15 Jun30 Jun18 Jun02 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 6.00 ★    
7  TROPHY CHASER Feb27         (avila car)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
8  GAGETOWN Jul20 Jul04 Jun08     (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
 
CNL-9   08/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORMARELLA         (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 119 15.00    
2  BUDDY BUDDY Jul19 Jun04 May25 May11 Apr27 (collins tim)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00 9% 10.50    
3  CELTIC SEA Jul30 Jul13 Jul01 May05   (cooney s)AVILES YAN 114 10.00    
4  LUNAR DASH Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  I'M JUNETEENTH Jul29 May28       (woodson shawn)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
6  CATCHTHISWINNER Jul30 Jul19 Apr15     (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 124 4.00 ★    
7  ALEXIS S Jul14         (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  PER DIEM Aug10 Jul30 Jul15 May22 May07 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 6.00 ★    
9  DOM GERVASIO Jul19 Apr23       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
10  ROCK WITH YOU         (payne beal)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
11  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE         (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
 
CNL-10   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 Apr24 Apr09 (o'connell )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  TIZ NENA Aug02 Jul12 May04 Apr06 Mar11 (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00 11% 8.20    
3  FOXTROT SEVILLE Jul28 Jul03 Jun18 May30 Feb04 (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  GIRL'S ON FIRE Jul28 Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May19 (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 123 4.50    
5  HEART LIGHT Aug03         (morgan carla)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  FORGOT PASSWORD Mar24 Feb25       (lyster st)CARRASCO R 123 10.00 8% 11.40    
7  BACKSTREET GAL Jul10 Jun19 May01 Apr14 Mar26 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
8  BYEGONE DAYS Aug02 Jul13 Apr23     (oxendine adam)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00    
9  C'EST PARTI Jul26 Jul02 Apr13 Mar05 Feb16 (agostini art)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 15.00    
10  WASSER Aug03 Jul12 Jun12 May19 Apr27 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00    
11  SCHATZI Aug08 Jul12 May04 Apr09 Mar20 (held diete)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.