Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LS-1   07/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
See original race card.
:213 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RUSH THE COLORS 10 6 71½ 42¾   22 1¾ (calhoun w)TORRES A 124 1.60 34% 2.00 1.80 W
2  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED 2 11 95½ 94½   33 2¾ (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 121 4.50 25% 2.90 7.90 P
12  MORO MERICA 12 1 83½ 63   43 31¼ (chacaltana d)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 20.00 35.70  
3  COLEMAN CREEK 3 5 3.2 1nk   12 42½ (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 ★ 3.50  
9  LUCKY PROMISE 9 10 119 108½   98½ 53¼ (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 9% 10.00 7.50  
8  CINCO RICHIE 8 9 108 118½   109 64¾ (cruz eduardo)QUINONEZ S 121 20.00 30.00  
1  UNBRIDLED POSSE 1 8 61¼ 52¾   76 78¼ (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00 36.00  
4  REYNARDINE 4 7 1nk 3.2   64½ 88¾ (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 121 20.00 9.60  
7  LAMP OIL 7 3 2nk 2nk   53½ 910 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 15.30  
5  ON THE HONOR ROLL 5 4 51¼ 73½   88 1010¾ (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 30.00 25.30  
11  BLING ME THE MONEY 11 12 1219 1218½   1217½ 1112½ (young bob)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00 7.70  
6  BOLDCAPO 6 2 4¾ 84   1110½ 1215¾ (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 122 15.00 9% 10.10 35.00  
 
LS-2   07/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT-12:28
See original race card.
:234 :474       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LET'S TIE ONE ON 7 4 1½     1½ 1nk (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00 8.00  
6  NOISE COMPLAINT 5 6 41½     2½ 2nk (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.00 25% 2.90 2.60 P
3  GUITAR BOY 3 2 2½     32½ 3½ (fincher t)TORRES A 119 2.50 11% 8.30 4.10 S
1  TAKE MY MONEY 1 7 72¾     56 42½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.80 38% 1.70 1.70  
4  NIGHTWIND 4 3 31     44 54¾ (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00 17.40  
2  RED DRAW 2 1 62½     66 66¾ (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 8.00 6% 15.60 5.10  
7  MORO EXPRESS 6 5 51½     78 711½ (davidson sar)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00 16.80  
SCR  MY BOY BLING               (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 119 15.00 ★    
 
LS-3   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 F PT-12:56
See original race card.
:221 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR LIVELY 1 4 1½ 1½   13 18 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 26% 2.90 3.10 W
11  FOOLISH DELIGHT 9 7 2½ 2½   23 28 (green greg)ERAMIA E 119 8.00 ★ 3.50 P
7  JORDAN 5 3 52½ 45   47 39½ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00 6.50  
10  PIVOSKY 8 2 75½ 89¼   57 412 (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 2.50 29% 2.40 4.30  
2  WILD ROSEY 2 10 109¼ 911¾   79 514½ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 21% 3.80 16.90  
5  WOMANONTHEWARPATH 4 5 97¼ 1013¾   1010¼ 614¾ (tracy greg)MELANCON JANSEN 119 30.00 20.10  
8  BREEZY BELLE 6 6 87 79   68 716¼ (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 12.00 10.40  
12  NEW DESTINY 10 1 31 32   36 817 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 20.00 19.10  
9  HIT'EM UP 7 9 63½ 56   89¼ 918½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 15.40  
4  MUCH ALOHA 3 8 42½ 66   99¼ 1023¾ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
SCR  ACCELERATING BABE               (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 15.00    
SCR  HIGHLANDER'S EDGE               (dodwell dal)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
 
LS-4   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 1:24
See original race card.
:22 :463 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALTO ROAD 4 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 1¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.00 42% 1.40 3.00 W
12  CAMPFIRE CREED 11 9 74¼ 62¼   1nk 2¼ (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 2.50 23% 3.40 1.50 P
11  HARD GOLD 10 6 63¾ 51¾   43½ 35 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00 6% 16.80 8.20 S
10  CHUY GARZA Y. G. 9 2 32½ 31   32 46¼ (mendoza edg)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 36.00  
8  BACKSIDE BUZZ 7 8 84¼ 84¾   55 511½ (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 9% 10.70 11.60  
7  MOR BIG LEE 6 7 52¾ 41½   65¼ 616 (gelner jayde )EIKLEBERRY RY 119 20.00 42.30  
6  KISSES PER DIEM 5 1 95¼ 98¼   99¾ 716¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 10.70  
4  BRILLIANT COLORS 3 4 42½ 73¾   89¼ 819½ (a)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 ★ 6.20  
9  SWEET ALEX 8 11 106¾ 109¼   1011¾ 925¾ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 12.00 32.50  
3  KENTUCKY ICE 2 10 117 119¼   1112¼ 1027 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 15.00 15.30  
1  BYE 1 5 1½ 2nk   77¾ 1128¼ (green greg)ERAMIA E 119 15.00 25.40  
SCR  EL DEAL ME ACES               (calhoun w)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
LS-5   07/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:112 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NO MAS TEQUILA 3 3 31½ 33 31 2nk 11½ (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 1.20 31% 2.30 0.70 W
7  ROSIE JANE 5 4 42½ 44½ 42½ 42¼ 21½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 3.80  
3  IMALUCKYCHARM 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 31½ (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 6.00 7% 13.40 4.80 S
2  DISCREET SMILE 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 45¼ (john)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 5.00 17% 4.80 4.60  
6  KEEP THE BLING 4 5 54 55½ 53½ 55¼ 58 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 12.00 ★ 8.50  
SCR  BOERNE               (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MY BABYS GONE               (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 12.00    
 
LS-6   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 C/G PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:214 :454 :59     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VIETNAM VICTORY 5 2 2½ 2½   2nk 12 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 2.50 13% 6.40 9.70 W
7  VILLAGE WAY 7 4 41½ 41½   1nk 22 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.00 12% 7.10 4.70 P
2  LITTLE JONY 2 7 68½ 610½   58½ 38 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 118 30.00 26.10  
6  STRAIGHT LUCK 6 1 31½ 31½   45½ 410¾ (pish danny)SORENSON D 118 4.50 24% 3.10 2.30  
3  BLING BLING BLING 3 3 1½ 1½   32 511¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 1.20 30% 2.40 0.90  
4  MOR VICTORY 4 5 57½ 58½   68¾ 612 (gelner j)LUZZI J 118 30.00 ★ 21.40  
1  LEGAL EAGLE 1 6 78¾ 710¾   710¼ 714¾ (a)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 31.00  
 
LS-7   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOERNE 6 1 1½ 11½   11 1½ (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 120 4.50 13% 6.70 2.60 W
8  IMA DISCREET LADY 8 7 54¼ 32½   21 2½ (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80 35% 1.90 2.60 P
7  HEAVENLY RHYTHM 7 9 911¾ 87¼   55 34 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 14.00  
3  TOLONDA 3 2 2½ 21½   33 47½ (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 10% 8.90 7.00  
5  ITS MY MONEY TOO 5 3 64¾ 54½   45 57½ (baldillez)TORRES A 120 20.00 12.70  
9  HAPPY SAILOR 9 8 77¼ 64½   75¼ 69¼ (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 10.00 8.40  
2  MISS PERFECTA 2 4 34 43½   65¼ 79¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 6.00 ★ 6.40  
4  KITTY'S QUEEN 4 5 811¼ 97¾   99¾ 810 (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00 14.30  
1  SHES OUR FASTEST 1 6 44 74¾   85¾ 914 (gelner jay)ERAMIA E 118 4.00 20% 4.10 8.70  
 
LS-8   07/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:112 1:231   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  KENAI BOB 10 2 11½ 12 12 14 15 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 1.60 39% 1.50 2.00 W
7  ROBO 6 6 21½ 32½ 22 24 25 (govea ces)TORRES A 121 20.00 14.80  
3  DUST EM 2 9 64¼ 54 63¼ 36 37¾ (dela)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 ★ 6.70 S
6  BUBBA BLING 5 8 108¼ 107¾ 74¾ 68 48½ (dupuy allen)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 10.00 6% 17.00 10.10  
4  MEN OF KYLE 3 3 53¼ 74½ 85¼ 78¼ 59 (duhon paul)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 14.90  
10  EASTER SNAP 9 5 43 43½ 42¼ 46½ 69½ (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 12.00 15.60  
5  STANS HOOKIN BULL 4 1 74¾ 64 53¼ 810¼ 714¼ (j)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 19% 4.20 4.00  
2  QUARTERBACK DAK 1 10 97¾ 97¾ 107¾ 1012¼ 814¾ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 15.00 6.80  
9  COWBOY RIDGE 8 4 31½ 22 32 58 915½ (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00 18.00  
8  MR. NIGHTBLINGER 7 7 86¾ 87½ 96¼ 911¾ 1019 (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00 8.60  
SCR  GOLD PILOT               (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
LS-9   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:22 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FREE DROP MADDY 2 2 1½ 11½   13½ 11¾ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 1.20 29% 2.50 1.80 W
11  GUITAR WOMAN 11 7 74¼ 44   34 21¾ (duhon o)MORA GERARDO 118 20.00 8% 11.30 23.90 P
5  CAJUN GUMBOW 5 4 2½ 21½   23½ 33¼ (gelner j)LUZZI J 118 10.00 ★ 9.20 S
7  VIEWING TRAIL 7 11 116½ 87¼   67 46½ (broberg k)TORRES A 118 15.00 25.20  
3  SANTA FE GOLD 3 6 51¾ 65   55½ 57½ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 2.00 26% 2.90 1.90  
12  COME TO THE PARTY 12 1 41½ 32½   44½ 610¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 8.00 15% 5.50 5.40  
1  BOSSADUSU 1 10 84¼ 97¼   78 713¾ (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 30.00 43.80  
10  ROCKIN SIDNEY 10 8 106¼ 117½   911½ 814¼ (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00 38.30  
8  LEOPARD BAIT 8 9 95¾ 107½   1012 921 (a)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 15.90  
9  QUEEN OF BEERS 9 12 129½ 1211½   1213 1023 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 20.00 19.00  
6  PHUNK 6 5 62¾ 55   810 1124¼ (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 30.00 44.80  
4  GRACIE'S KITTEN 4 3 31½ 77   1112½ 1227 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 118 30.00 45.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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