Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   07/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED POSSE Jun23 May30       (davidson m )HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 30.00    
UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Jun16 May29 May07 Feb16 Jan30 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 121 4.50 25% 2.90    
COLEMAN CREEK Jun18 May29 Apr07 Mar03 Jan28 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
REYNARDINE Jun23 May29 May06     (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 121 20.00    
ON THE HONOR ROLL Jun23 May30 May19 May01 Mar09 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 30.00    
BOLDCAPO Mar26 Mar09       (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 122 15.00 9% 10.10    
LAMP OIL Jun23 May29 May13     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00    
CINCO RICHIE Jun23 May29 May15 Feb19 Jan30 (cruz eduardo)QUINONEZ S 121 20.00    
LUCKY PROMISE Jul08 Jun23 May29 May15 May07 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 9% 10.00    
10  RUSH THE COLORS Jul08 May29 May06 Apr07 Feb17 (calhoun w)TORRES A 124 1.60 34% 2.00    
11  BLING ME THE MONEY Jul08 Jun18 May29 May06   (young bob)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00    
12  MORO MERICA Jul04 Jun16 May30 May19 May01 (chacaltana d)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 20.00    
 
LS-2   07/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE MY MONEY         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.80 38% 1.70    
RED DRAW Jun26         (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 8.00 6% 15.60    
GUITAR BOY         (fincher t)TORRES A 119 2.50 11% 8.30    
NIGHTWIND Jun26         (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
SCR  MY BOY BLING Jun19         (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 119 15.00    
NOISE COMPLAINT         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
MORO EXPRESS Jul08 Jun05       (davidson sar)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00    
LET'S TIE ONE ON Jun19 May15       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
 
LS-3   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR LIVELY         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
WILD ROSEY         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  ACCELERATING BABE Jun25 Jun09       (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 15.00    
MUCH ALOHA Jun19 Jun05       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
WOMANONTHEWARPATH         (tracy greg)MELANCON JANSEN 119 30.00    
SCR  HIGHLANDER'S EDGE Jun25         (dodwell dal)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
JORDAN Jun29         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
BREEZY BELLE         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 12.00    
HIT'EM UP         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
10  PIVOSKY Jun09 May19       (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
11  FOOLISH DELIGHT Jul04         (green greg)ERAMIA E 119 8.00    
12  NEW DESTINY Jun25         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 20.00    
 
LS-4   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE Jul08         (green greg)ERAMIA E 119 15.00    
SCR  EL DEAL ME ACES Jun25         (calhoun w)TORRES A 119 12.00    
KENTUCKY ICE         (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 15.00    
BRILLIANT COLORS         (a)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
ALTO ROAD Jul03         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
KISSES PER DIEM Jun25         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00    
MOR BIG LEE Jun25         (gelner jayde )EIKLEBERRY RY 119 20.00    
BACKSIDE BUZZ Jun25 May20       (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 9% 10.70    
SWEET ALEX         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 12.00    
10  CHUY GARZA Y. G. Jun25         (mendoza edg)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
11  HARD GOLD Jun19 May20       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00 6% 16.80    
12  CAMPFIRE CREED         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
LS-5   07/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOERNE Jun19 May21 Apr28 Mar26 Feb19 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
DISCREET SMILE Jun19 Jun05 May19 Mar26   (john)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
IMALUCKYCHARM Jun19 May12 Apr08 Feb17 Jan27 (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 6.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  MY BABYS GONE Jul12 Jun24 Jun16 May28 Apr30 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 12.00    
NO MAS TEQUILA Jun19 May21 May06 Mar26 Feb19 (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 1.20 31% 2.30    
KEEP THE BLING Jul02 May28 May12 Mar26 Mar02 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 12.00    
ROSIE JANE Jun17 May06 Mar26     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
 
LS-6   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 C/G PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGAL EAGLE Jun19         (a)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
LITTLE JONY Jun19 May24       (rangel raul)DIEGO V 118 30.00    
BLING BLING BLING Jun19 May04       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 1.20 30% 2.40    
MOR VICTORY Jun26 Jun05       (gelner j)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
VIETNAM VICTORY May15         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 2.50 13% 6.40    
STRAIGHT LUCK Jun25 May20       (pish danny)SORENSON D 118 4.50 24% 3.10    
VILLAGE WAY May20         (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
LS-7   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES OUR FASTEST Apr28 Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Jan20 (gelner jay)ERAMIA E 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
MISS PERFECTA Jun19 May21       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 6.00    
TOLONDA May07 Mar26 Feb09     (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
KITTY'S QUEEN Jun17 May20 Apr30 Mar10 Feb25 (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00    
ITS MY MONEY TOO Jun17 May06 Apr28 Mar18 Mar04 (baldillez)TORRES A 120 20.00    
BOERNE Jun19 May21 Apr28 Mar26 Feb19 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
HEAVENLY RHYTHM May30 Apr28 Mar26 Feb16   (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
IMA DISCREET LADY Jun19 May21 Apr28 Mar26 Feb25 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
HAPPY SAILOR Jul09 Jun17 May27 May21 May07 (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 10.00    
 
LS-8   07/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD PILOT May27 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan15 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
QUARTERBACK DAK Jul04 Jun19 May27 May01 Feb26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
DUST EM Jun19 May08 Mar26 Feb19 Feb04 (dela)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
MEN OF KYLE Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 Mar17 Feb11 (duhon paul)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00    
STANS HOOKIN BULL Jun19 May13 Apr07 Mar26 Feb19 (j)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 19% 4.20    
BUBBA BLING Jun19 May22 May01 Mar26 Mar11 (dupuy allen)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 10.00 6% 17.00    
ROBO Jun25 Jun04 May07 Mar26 Mar03 (govea ces)TORRES A 121 20.00    
MR. NIGHTBLINGER Jun23 May28       (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00    
COWBOY RIDGE Jun25 May29 May08 Apr09 Mar09 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00    
10  EASTER SNAP Jul08 Jun19 May22 May01 Mar26 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 12.00    
11  KENAI BOB Jun19 May27 Mar26 Feb19 Jan20 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
LS-9   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSADUSU Jun25         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 30.00    
FREE DROP MADDY Jun10         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 1.20 29% 2.50    
SANTA FE GOLD Jun25         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
GRACIE'S KITTEN Jul04 Jun05       (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 118 30.00    
CAJUN GUMBOW Jul02         (gelner j)LUZZI J 118 10.00    
PHUNK Jun26 May13       (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 30.00    
VIEWING TRAIL Jun25 Jun09       (broberg k)TORRES A 118 15.00    
LEOPARD BAIT         (a)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
QUEEN OF BEERS May14         (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 20.00    
10  ROCKIN SIDNEY Jun25         (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00    
11  GUITAR WOMAN Jun20         (duhon o)MORA GERARDO 118 20.00 8% 11.30    
12  COME TO THE PARTY Jun19 May19       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.