The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lonestar Park
Saturday - June 04, 2022

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LS-1   06/04/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:23 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN PLAY 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.00 25% 3.10 1.00 W
VALDINA DREAMS 4 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 2¾ (payne w)MORA GERARDO 121 1.60 22% 3.50 1.30 P
CAPTAINS COVE 5 4 3 33   33 3(butler w)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 24.30  
SHANGHAI GOLD 6 3 54 5   444 (echeverria hector)LUZZI J 124 8.00 7.30  
CIBOLO ERL 2 6 4 45   55(jolley e)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 10.00 18% 4.70 18.30  
DADA BOOM RIDGE 7 7 610 615¼   616½ 621¾ (kotara ronald)PIVARAL GERBER 121 20.00 40.10  
MUSTBELIEVE 1 5 713 7100   7100 7100 (butler w)MATA U 124 20.00 13% 6.70 11.40  
 
LS-2   06/04/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:214 :451       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBO 4 4 4 31   2½ 1¼ (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 122 4.00 4.40  
LET'S GO ALAMO 2 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¼ (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 39% 1.60 1.60 P
BOBBY BRINKLEY 1 6 5 5   52 3(lucarelli frank)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50 7% 13.50 3.90 S
J C'S NIGHTCAP 5 1 3 4   31 4(willis mindy)GONCALVES R 120 6.00 11% 7.70 4.20  
MEN OF KYLE 6 5 6 6   64 5(duhon paul)DIEGO V 120 8.00 5.60  
ARYESCELESTIC MAN 3 2 2nk 2nk   42 6(garcia jr)BENAVIDES D 120 3.00 7.60  
SCR  CARBON STRYKER               (broberg karl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 2.00 19% 4.30    
 
LS-3   06/04/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
:221 :46 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY MATT 5 4 3½ 21   11(davis h)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 18% 4.60 2.90 W
TENTH OF GOLD 4 6 5 54   42(durham danele)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 5.00 17% 5.00 4.20 P
JAMES GANG 2 5 2½ 3   33 3(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 2.60 S
WILLACY 3 3 6 6   54(asmussen m)TORRES A 124 4.50 5.50  
RUNINGDOWNTHEDREAM 6 1 4¾ 4   2511 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 2.50 33% 2.00 3.30  
SGT. QUINCANNON 1 2 1½ 11   6100 6100 (barton amanda)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00 7.30  
 
LS-4   06/04/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
:221 :45 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEW BY YOU 2 5 2nk 2nk   11(broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 2.00 2.10  
BLOW SUM SMOKE 6 2 5 5   43 2(pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 8.00 19% 4.10 5.10 P
LOVEY DOVEY 3 4 4¾ 32   335 (rossi j)MONTALVO C 119 8.00 7.60  
SHE HIT A HOMER 1 6 1nk 1nk   24(gelner j)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.00 3.20  
B'ESAME ME MUCHO 4 3 6 6   56 5(davis h)ALVAREZ L 121 2.50 34% 1.90 2.20  
GEM KEY 5 1 3½ 4   612 629¼ (garza e)LUZZI J 121 6.00 17% 4.70 11.90  
 
LS-5   06/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
:23 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER CAT 5 1 12 13   11(eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 3.50 23% 3.40 0.70 W
TWENTYTWENTYREDO 3 2 22 23   32(pish danny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 4.00 8.80 P
ANGIE AT THEOFFICE 1 4 4 33   23(cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 2.50 40% 1.50 2.10 S
CONTEMPO GRAY 4 3 3 45   4415 (smith p)MONTALVO C 120 12.00 20.70  
SISTER SIS 6 5 611 612½   613 519¾ (jenkins brandon)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 3.00 6.60  
SMOKEY ANN 2 6 56 5   510½ 621 (jenkins brandon)STEINBERG GARRETT 120 4.50 8% 10.80 18.30  
 
LS-6   06/04/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:213 :444       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER SANGRIA 6 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 1nk (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.80 1.10  
MY GOLDEN BLING 1 2 4 4   2½ 2nk (chacaltana domingo)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 5% 18.90 2.60 P
STALEMATE 4 3 5 54   33(cravens iii)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00 3.50 S
AIKEN TO BE 5 5 31 31   54(broberg karl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 7.40  
IGNIS 2 6 6 611   65(davidson nicole)PIVARAL GERBER 119 12.00 18% 4.70 9.30  
SWANKY 3 1 1nk 2nk   469 (roubion steve)SORENSON D 119 20.00 18.20  
SCR  BLUE DARTER               (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
LS-7   06/04/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
:223 :45 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAIGA 4 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 1(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.80 22% 3.50 3.80 W
BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT 5 3 4¼ 2nk   2½ 2(baldillez jr)HAMILTON WESTON 120 20.00 16% 5.10 8.80 P
TAP ME A TEXT 2 4 3.2 5   44 3(fincher w)ALVAREZ L 120 6.00 5.20 S
ONLY SHOW IN TOWN 3 5 6 6   54(asmussen m)TORRES A 120 5.00 8.30  
RIVERCREST GIRL 6 7 5 3.2   33 58 (pish danny)SORENSON D 120 20.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
JACKIE FLASH 1 6 1nk 4¾   66 614¾ (hebert matt)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 1.20 39% 1.60 0.90  
IT'S PERSONAL UN 7 1 712¾ 713¼   717 729 (ewing earl)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00 23.10  
 
LS-8   06/04/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
:23 :453 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRA MAURO 4 7 6 3   12 1½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 25% 2.90 3.30 W
BIG POWER RED 1 6 3 44   22 2½ (cravens iii)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 11% 7.80 9.10 P
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY 2 5 5 5   43(padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00 12% 7.50 15.30 S
IRISH EXPECTATIONS 3 4 7 8   53 4(hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 118 6.00 4.80  
EUROEXIT 8 8 9 7   85 5(villafranco martin)WETHEY JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
WILDCAT'S BLING 5 1 4 6   66(smith p)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 9.00  
10  DREAMS OF VALOR 9 2 22 23   74 7(broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 2.00 26% 2.90 1.70  
EXCALIBUR RIDGE 7 9 8 910   98 811 (villafranco martin)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00 25.90  
ANALYZE THIS JET 6 3 12 13   3911¼ (eoff terry)TORRES A 120 15.00 8.20  
SCR  THE HUNK NEXT DOOR               (broberg karl)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
 
LS-9   06/04/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
:242 :483 1:13 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOSI 8 9 7 75 5 3½ 1¼ (petalino joe)DIEGO V 122 20.00 5% 19.00 16.40 W
CAIRO WARRIOR 7 3 2½ 21 2½ 2nk 2¼ (cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 6.90  
BROCK ON BY 6 5 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 3¼ (ashford ray)GONCALVES R 122 4.00 36% 1.80 5.10 S
AQUIMINE 5 6 31 3 3½ 41 4(gustafson austin)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 3.70  
WHISKEY NOT WINE 4 11 94 96 82 55(lucarelli frank)ERAMIA E 122 6.00 5.50  
UNCLE ARTIE 1 8 6 5 6 864 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.50 31% 2.30 2.70  
11  EVIE'S PRINCE 10 10 104 10 102 77(dodwell dale)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 23.10  
12  OLD SOT 11 1 82 8 7 685 (govea cesar)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 40.80  
10  TRULY DANZIG 9 4 5 65 92 104 9(willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00 12.00  
GORDON ANTHONY 3 2 41 42 41 94 108 (duhon paul)MONTALVO C 122 15.00 31.20  
SWEET MEDICINE 2 7 114 11 11 11119 (bravo francisco)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 7% 14.10 13.30  
SCR  WESTWARD LOOK               (caramori caio)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.