Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Saturday - June 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   06/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSTBELIEVE         (butler w)MATA U 124 20.00 13% 6.70    
CIBOLO ERL         (jolley )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 10.00 18% 4.70    
MORE THAN PLAY May20         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.00 25% 3.10    
VALDINA DREAMS May13 May01 Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 121 1.60 22% 3.50    
CAPTAINS COVE Feb09         (butler ken )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
SHANGHAI GOLD Apr09 Mar09       (echeverria hecto)LUZZI J 124 8.00    
DADA BOOM RIDGE Mar03 Jan15       (kotara ronald)PIVARAL GERBER 121 20.00    
 
LS-2   06/04/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY BRINKLEY May07 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11   (lucarelli fra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50 7% 13.50    
LET'S GO ALAMO May06 Feb11 Jan22     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
ARYESCELESTIC MAN May14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan28 (garcia jr)BENAVIDES D 120 3.00    
ROBO May07 Mar26 Mar03 Feb19 Feb05 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
SCR  CARBON STRYKER May30 Apr20 Mar31 Mar26 Feb09 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 2.00 19% 4.30    
J C'S NIGHTCAP May07 Mar17 Feb11     (willis mi)GONCALVES R 120 6.00 11% 7.70    
MEN OF KYLE Mar17 Feb11 Jan22     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 120 8.00    
 
LS-3   06/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SGT. QUINCANNON May27         (barton amanda)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00    
JAMES GANG         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00    
WILLACY         (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 4.50    
TENTH OF GOLD May01 Apr09 Mar26 Feb12   (durham danele)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
MIGHTY MATT Apr20         (davis h)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
RUNINGDOWNTHEDREAM         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
LS-4   06/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE HIT A HOMER May20         (gelner jayde )MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.00    
FLEW BY YOU May13 Feb24 Jan22 Jan06   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 2.00    
LOVEY DOVEY May13 May01 Apr07 Mar10 Feb24 (rossi j)MONTALVO C 119 8.00    
B'ESAME ME MUCHO May12 Mar12 Jan28     (davis h)ALVAREZ L 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
GEM KEY May13 Apr10 Feb27     (garza e)LUZZI J 121 6.00 17% 4.70    
BLOW SUM SMOKE May01         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 8.00 19% 4.10    
 
LS-5   06/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGIE AT THEOFFICE May15 Mar18 Jan19     (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
SMOKEY ANN Feb23 Jan21 Jan05     (jenkins bra)STEINBERG GARRETT 120 4.50 8% 10.80    
TWENTYTWENTYREDO May28 May06 Mar19 Feb11 Jan29 (pish danny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 4.00    
CONTEMPO GRAY         (smith p)MONTALVO C 120 12.00    
SUMMER CAT May21 Mar03 Feb12 Jan21   (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 3.50 23% 3.40    
SISTER SIS Feb23 Jan19       (jenkins)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 3.00    
 
LS-6   06/04/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GOLDEN BLING May07 May01 Apr01 Mar23 Mar09 (chacaltana domin)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 5% 18.90    
IGNIS Apr01 Feb18       (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 119 12.00 18% 4.70    
SWANKY (GB) May14         (roubion steve)SORENSON D 119 20.00    
STALEMATE May20 Apr30 Apr02 Feb17 Jan29 (cravens ronni)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00    
SCR  BLUE DARTER May12 Jan20       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
AIKEN TO BE Mar09 Feb16 Jan14     (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00    
SUMMER SANGRIA May14 Apr01 Feb18 Jan06   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.80    
 
LS-7   06/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE FLASH May19         (hebert matt)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
TAP ME A TEXT May02 Mar21       (fincher w)ALVAREZ L 120 6.00    
ONLY SHOW IN TOWN Apr24 Mar13 Feb18     (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 5.00    
TAIGA Apr29         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.80 22% 3.50    
BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT         (baldillez ale)HAMILTON WESTON 120 20.00 16% 5.10    
RIVERCREST GIRL Apr29         (pish danny)SORENSON D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S PERSONAL UN May12 Apr02 Mar12     (ewing ear)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
 
LS-8   06/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG POWER RED May22 Apr26 Apr09 Mar25 Mar16 (cravens ronni)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  THE HUNK NEXT DOOR May29 Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 Feb22 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Apr29 Apr09 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
IRISH EXPECTATIONS May12 Apr01 Feb19 Jan20   (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 118 6.00    
FRA MAURO May13 Apr03 Feb09 Jan08   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 25% 2.90    
WILDCAT'S BLING         (smi)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
ANALYZE THIS JET May14         (eoff terry)TORRES A 120 15.00    
EXCALIBUR RIDGE May22 May01 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 (villafranco m)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00    
EUROEXIT Apr29 Apr09 Mar04 Feb23 Feb09 (villafranco m)WETHEY JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  DREAMS OF VALOR Apr28 Apr07       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
LS-9   06/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WESTWARD LOOK May04 Apr09 Mar19 Feb25 Jan21 (caramori caio)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
UNCLE ARTIE May13 Apr09 Mar24 Mar11 Feb24 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
SWEET MEDICINE Apr07 Feb26 Jan30 Jan22   (bravo francis)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 7% 14.10    
GORDON ANTHONY May22 May08 Apr28 Apr09 Mar16 (duhon paul)MONTALVO C 122 15.00    
WHISKEY NOT WINE May13 Apr07 Jan29     (lucarelli fr)ERAMIA E 122 6.00    
AQUIMINE May13 Apr28 Feb26 Jan28   (gustafson aust)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
BROCK ON BY May13 Mar17 Mar09 Feb23 Feb12 (ashford h)GONCALVES R 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
CAIRO WARRIOR May13 Apr28 Apr08 Mar17 Feb12 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
COLOSI Apr29 Mar20 Feb21 Jan09   (petalino joe)DIEGO V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TRULY DANZIG May13 Apr07 Feb11     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00    
11  EVIE'S PRINCE May19 Mar10 Feb25 Jan22   (dodwell da)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
12  OLD SOT May13 Apr07 Feb17 Jan30 Jan08 (gov)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.