Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - May 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   05/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.368K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:232 :453 1:091     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEF 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (ortiz manuel )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 2.40  
PARLEY STREET 1 4 43 42   3½ 2½ (evans justin)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 3.00 67% 0.50 1.50 P
THE PUBLIC HALO 2 3 3 2nk   2nk 3 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 1.10 S
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 4 1 2nk 3½   4 4 (johnston kimberley)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 8.10  
SCR  EL BORRACHO               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50    
 
TUP-2   05/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIM'S BUDDY 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 0.80 44% 1.30 1.00 W
KING LEBRON 4 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (crotts jim)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 1.40 P
COUNT ALEXEI 5 5 5 4   4 36 (dennis clifto)SCRIVER L 122 3.50 24% 3.20 3.10 S
WESTERN SMOKE 1 4 32 3   3 4 (rumsey cory)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 10.70  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 3 2 4 5   5 513 (oliver victor )GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00 31.70  
SCR  NEVADAN               (asprino alfre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
 
TUP-3   05/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3 F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACLEAN'S BELLA 7 1 2nk 1   17 1 (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 116 2.00 29% 2.40 3.30 W
LUCY K 2 4 6 58   37 2 (story ch)FLETCHER D 121 5.00 15% 5.70 2.20 P
PAULINA'S STAR 3 7 5 4   4 34 (mcfarlane dan)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 3.00 30% 2.30 8.70 S
BOOSICAL LADY 4 2 3.2 2   27 4 (mccartney jac)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 2.50  
TAP ME A TEXT 1 3 1nk 34   5 57 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5.30  
CALI PRINCESS 6 6 722¾ 721   615¾ 612¼ (dillenbeck br)SCRIVER L 121 10.00 17.70  
CORAGEOUSCHRISTINE 5 5 4 610   716¼ 714¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 7.10  
 
TUP-4   05/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUHM'S CANDY BOY 7 5 2nk 11 12 12 1¾ (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 3.00 5.00  
LIGHTNING STAR 1 6 3 31 22 22 2¾ (simpson sha)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 70% 0.40 0.50 P
TIZACRAFTYMINISTER 5 8 76 713 610 59 3 (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 23.10  
WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY 8 7 8 6 715 712 4 (heinen h)MAWING A 124 5.00 10.50  
RIVER KAT 4 4 43 4 43 3 510 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 118 8.00 11.00  
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 3 3 1nk 21 3 4 611¼ (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 118 15.00 70.00  
EVIL ROCKS 6 2 5 5 55 610½ 712¾ (allred jeff)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 5.00 5.90  
INDIAN NIGHTS 2 1 65 8100 8100 8100 8100 (dennison dan )SCRIVER L 124 6.00 9.70  
 
TUP-5   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMAS 1 4 21 2   2nk 1 (scolamieri j)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 11% 7.90 5.00 W
RED VENUS 6 2 5 4   3 2 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 2.90 P
CLOSING ACCOUNT 4 3 11 1   1nk 3 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 116 3.50 26% 2.80 9.90 S
AVA K'S GIRL 5 1 3 3   4 43 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 25% 3.00 0.80  
MS PARKSIDE 2 7 4 55   5 5 (toye joe)MAWING A 116 8.00 14.50  
WHO B DAT 7 6 75 78   6 6 (christian bil)SCRIVER L 122 12.00 8% 11.20 24.40  
YELLOW DRESS 3 5 63 67   7 7 (metz jeffre)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 7.10  
SCR  SO ELUSIVE               (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   05/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:102 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE'RE JUST SAYIN 4 5 610½ 610½ 56 3 1 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 31% 2.20 0.60 W
SHOTGUN RIDER 2 6 32 3 32 2nk 2 (bullene michael)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 8.00 9.50 P
PROVOST 1 1 11 11 1 1nk 37 (mccartney jack)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 7.90 S
CONQUEST COBRA 5 4 42 4 2 42 4 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 32% 2.10 2.60  
SAYIN GRACE 3 2 21 21 43 5 511¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 5.40  
LOOKIN FOR GOLD 6 3 5 55 612 619½ 630½ (weissner tash)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00 28.20  
SCR  LOLLY EXPRESS               (silva jr)GARCIA F 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  NIGHT'S WATCH               (allred jeff)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:17
See original race card.
:22 :442 :562     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. STANG 6 3 4 1nk   2½ 1hd (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 27% 2.70 2.20 W
WINNING MAGIC 2 7 31 2nk   1½ 2hd (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 3.90  
10  FULL VISION 10 2 5 5   5 3 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 6.00  
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 9 1 1½ 6   4 4 (garrett j)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 11% 8.00 3.90  
GIVE EM HECK BECK 3 6 7 44   3 5 (hone bart)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 15% 5.70 6.20  
BUGLER 5 8 1012¼ 1012¾   8 6 (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 122 10.00 8% 11.40 12.30  
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 7 5 8 7   7 73 (olivas-valenzuela )MAWING A 122 8.00 7.30  
CHUCK NAZTY 8 10 911¼ 9   66 8 (martinez a)SCRIVER L 122 12.00 68.70  
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY 1 9 6 8   910¾ 9 (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 116 12.00 9% 10.50 18.70  
THE THIRD RING 4 4 2½ 3   1014¾ 1012 (chattong vichien)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00 88.00  
 
TUP-8   05/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:114 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUMA 6 1 14 11 1½ 13 1 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 7% 13.70 7.20 W
STREET SHADOW 1 6 710¼ 7 55 4 2 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 4.00 23% 3.30 1.50 P
DADDY'S GIRL 3 5 5 42 4 55 35 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 21.00  
SHIP'S CREEK 2 7 24 21 3 34 45 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 3.00  
INDY'S STAR 5 2 34 31 2½ 23 5 (belvoir vann)SCRIVER L 116 6.00 4.50  
JEWEL AZUL 4 3 47 64 7 68 67 (woolley l)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 30% 2.30 3.50  
OPAL CREEK 7 4 6 53 6 710 711½ (essex charles)VERGARA P 116 10.00 16.60  
SCR  CURIOUS INJI               (silva jose )VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.