Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - May 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   05/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.368K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARLEY STREET Apr11 Mar22 Jan26     (evans justin)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 3.00 67% 0.50    
2  THE PUBLIC HALO Mar08 Feb14 Jan26 Jan04   (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 ★    
3  CHEF Mar22 Mar10 Mar01 Feb09 Jan26 (ortiz manue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
4  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Apr12 Feb14 Jan26 Jan18   (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  EL BORRACHO Apr18 Apr04 Mar25 Mar04 Jan31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-2   05/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN SMOKE Mar30 Mar22 Mar05 Feb25 Feb14 (rumsey cory)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
2  TIM'S BUDDY Apr01 Mar18 Jan21     (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 0.80 44% 1.30    
3  CURRENTLY KRAZY Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 Jan13 (oliver victo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  NEVADAN Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 (asprino alf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
5  KING LEBRON Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 Feb02   (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★    
6  COUNT ALEXEI Mar15 Feb25 Jan21     (dennis clif)SCRIVER L 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
TUP-3   05/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3 F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP ME A TEXT Mar21         (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 ★    
2  LUCY K Apr11         (story )FLETCHER D 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
3  PAULINA'S STAR         (mcfarlane d)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  BOOSICAL LADY Apr21         (mccartney j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
5  CORAGEOUSCHRISTINE Apr13         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 ★    
6  CALI PRINCESS         (dillenbeck bruce)ZUNINO L 121 10.00    
7  MACLEAN'S BELLA Apr07 Mar21 Feb07 Jan05   (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
TUP-4   05/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING STAR Apr06 Mar15 Mar03 Jan24   (simpson s)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 70% 0.40    
2  INDIAN NIGHTS Mar30 Feb24 Jan24     (dennison da)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 ★    
3  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Apr08 Mar07       (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 118 15.00    
4  RIVER KAT Apr19 Mar14       (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 118 8.00    
5  TIZACRAFTYMINISTER         (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
6  EVIL ROCKS Mar18         (allred jeff)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 5.00 ★    
7  BUHM'S CANDY BOY Apr14 Apr07 Mar03 Feb21 Feb01 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 3.00 ★    
8  WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY Apr25         (heinen h)MAWING A 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMAS Apr07 Feb25 Jan21     (scolamieri j)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
2  MS PARKSIDE Jan10         (toye joe)MAWING A 116 8.00    
3  YELLOW DRESS Apr19         (metz jeff)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
4  CLOSING ACCOUNT Jan10         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 116 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  SO ELUSIVE Apr24 Apr12       (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00    
6  AVA K'S GIRL Apr19         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  RED VENUS Apr08 Mar17 Feb11 Jan27 Jan11 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 ★    
8  WHO B DAT Apr21 Apr06 Mar24 Mar04 Feb04 (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 12.00 8% 11.20    
 
TUP-6   05/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVOST Apr11 Mar30 Mar16 Jan31 Jan13 (mccartney ja)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 ★    
2  SHOTGUN RIDER Apr19 Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 Jan28 (bullene micha)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 8.00 ★    
SCR  LOLLY EXPRESS Apr19 Apr05 Feb16 Jan31 Jan05 (silva jr)GARCIA F 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
4  SAYIN GRACE Mar04 Jan09       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50    
5  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Apr11 Mar27 Mar16 Feb24 Feb16 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  CONQUEST COBRA Apr18 Feb22 Feb14 Feb01 Jan17 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
7  LOOKIN FOR GOLD Apr04 Mar15 Feb28 Feb10 Jan19 (weissner ta)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00    
SCR  NIGHT'S WATCH Apr11         (allred jeff)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Apr01 Mar14 Jan28 Jan13   (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 116 12.00 9% 10.50    
2  WINNING MAGIC Apr20 Apr04 Mar14 Mar02 Feb16 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
3  GIVE EM HECK BECK Apr11 Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 Feb04 (hone bart)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  THE THIRD RING Apr12 Mar23 Mar03 Feb07 Jan07 (chattong vichi)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
5  BUGLER Mar24 Feb25       (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 122 10.00 8% 11.40    
6  MR. STANG Apr01         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  PARTYOFSIXTEEN Apr13 Mar24 Feb06 Jan15   (olivas-valenzuel)MAWING A 122 8.00    
8  CHUCK NAZTY         (martinez o )SCRIVER L 122 12.00    
9  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Apr13 Mar07 Jan25     (garrett j)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
10  FULL VISION Mar30         (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-8   05/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET SHADOW Apr08 Mar17 Feb28 Jan27   (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
2  SHIP'S CREEK Apr19 Mar24 Mar11 Feb03   (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
3  DADDY'S GIRL Mar31 Mar08       (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
4  JEWEL AZUL Apr08 Mar17 Mar02 Jan27 Jan05 (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
5  INDY'S STAR Apr08 Mar11 Feb04 Jan07   (belvoir vann)CARTER KYLE 116 6.00    
6  PLUMA Apr04 Mar04 Jan14     (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 7% 13.70    
7  OPAL CREEK Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 Jan03   (essex charles)VERGARA P 116 10.00    
SCR  CURIOUS INJI Apr08 Mar31 Mar03 Jan27 Jan05 (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.