Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   04/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEY'RE GRRREAT 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 11 (lucarelli fran)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00 1.80  
COLAVITO 2 5 4 3   2nk 21 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 2.00 37% 1.70 5.00 P
STANLEY RYDER 4 3 3 4   44 3 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 12.20 S
TALKIN MALICE 5 4 55 5   5 4 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 3.00  
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 1 6 66 6   32 5 (mccartney ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 12.00  
BUBBA BAY 3 7 714 7   6 67 (o'brien )FLETCHER D 122 15.00 14% 6.00 40.50  
AUTISM CAN DO 7 1 1½ 2½   712¾ 717¾ (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 18% 4.60 2.10  
 
TUP-2   04/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:22 :44 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTINGTONS RITHM 2 6 54 4   32 1¼ (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00 14.00  
UNION BROTHER 7 1 43 33   22 2¼ (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 7% 14.10 1.90 P
CAPTAIN SCOTTY 3 3 1½ 11   12 3½ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 4.00 27% 2.80 2.00 S
BUTTERED NOODLES 5 2 3 5   5 4 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 4.50 5.10  
BALTIMORE BEECHO 1 5 6 69   69 5 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 45% 1.20 2.70  
ENOUGH NONSENSE 4 4 2½ 21   46 66 (jimenez a)MAWING A 122 6.00 16.30  
REDACTION 6 7 710 714½   715 711¾ (ortiz l)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00 21.70  
 
TUP-3   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKELAS DESTINY 2 3 43 3 1½ 1½ 1 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 7.40  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 5 1 56 56 53 32 2 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 1.40 P
RISE UP MOSCOW 3 6 3 44 42 42 3 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 18% 4.70 5.40 S
BIG LARRY 1 4 21 21 2½ 2½ 4 (mart)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 13% 6.50 15.90  
RI' PIN SNAP 7 7 611 710½ 6 53 5 (soto antonio)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 12.00 25.50  
LUCKY CHANCE 4 5 711 610 78 6 611 (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 4.20  
ELLIE THE NURSE 6 2 11 11 32 78 720½ (silva rodrigu)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.50 2.40  
SCR  BY MOONLIGHT               (mckinney kyn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TUP-4   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.74K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTRONOMICAL 2 2 11 1 11 13 1 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 1.30  
SEBASTIAN'S BOY 5 1 21 3 44 46 2 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 2.50  
JACKS OUTLAW 3 3 56 4 31 23 3 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 7.40 S
PERFECT WAGER 1 4 3 2 21 3 4 (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 27% 2.80 2.10  
TIZONA 4 5 45 5 58 515 526¼ (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 122 5.00 6% 16.20 8.00  
SCR  RAIL HUGGER               (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
SCR  THE BEAT               (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   04/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($25.13K) 3 F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING SALSA 6 4 6 44   33 1½ (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00 6.30  
ADDYDIDIT 4 2 2nk 2½   2½ 2½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 1.00 P
ELLIE CAN PLAY 3 3 1nk 1½   1½ 3 (hudson jeff)SCRIVER L 121 4.00 11% 7.80 4.60 S
ROSES FOR SUZZETT 2 5 4 5   44 4 (silva jose )VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 3.00  
AUTISM PRISM 5 1 3.2 3   56 54 (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 121 3.50 21% 3.70 4.70  
CADILLAC MARGARITA 1 6 5 6   615 616½ (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 28.60  
SCR  MISSCZECH               (jimenez migue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-6   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:103 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD GRACE 3 4 4 4 22 31 1½ (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 4.10  
MISS YOU MOM 6 7 78 7 45 4 2½ (valerio raymo)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 7.70 P
NORTH OF EDEN (IRE) 1 2 32 32 3 21 3½ (silva rodrigu)SCRIVER L 122 5.00 27% 2.70 15.20 S
SMOOTH RITHMS 7 1 11 1½ 12 11 4 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 1.80  
CONVINCE 4 6 6 6 78 56 5 (brown r)CRUZ M 122 8.00 6.80  
LEXOPHILIA 2 5 5 54 6 6 6 (gutierrez qu)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 47.60  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 5 3 21 2½ 5 7 710 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 23% 3.30 1.50  
SCR  BIG NEWS COMING               (jimenez migue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
TUP-7   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:104 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT COME BACK 3 8 8 7 43 2nk 11 (moreno edgar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 46% 1.20 1.10 W
BLAME IT ON KITTY 2 9 9 9 8 5 21 (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 13% 6.90 3.10 P
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 4 5 6 5 32 3.2 3 (elston brent)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 79.20  
KONA COAST 1 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 4 (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 6.00 16% 5.40 14.80  
11  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 9 7 7 8 76 6 5 (wheeler tra)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 10.10  
EL BORRACHO 8 6 5 6 65 7 6 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 7.80  
CONQUEST COBRA 6 1 3 3½ 2nk 4 7 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 3.60  
MAD LUTHER 7 3 4 4¾ 5 810¾ 816 (lavanway days)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 29.50  
SPIRIT MISSION 5 4 2 2½ 911¼ 919¾ 925 (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 44.60  
SCR  ANGELO'S PRIDE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
SCR  FINAL ROSE               (mccartney jack)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00    
 
TUP-8   04/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:213 :45       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS REBEKAH 9 1 31 3   41 1¾ (barraza rafae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 36% 1.80 0.90 W
PAYNT THE KITTY 6 7 7 67   64 2¾ (belvoir vann)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 1.80 26% 2.80 1.60 P
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY 7 3 1nk 1½   1½ 3 (grissom robe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 5.50 S
SUCH A LADY 8 6 6 5   53 4 (heinen h)MAWING A 124 8.00 57.80  
TAHOE BLUE 2 2 42 4   3½ 53 (elston brent)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 79.50  
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF 4 5 2nk 2½   2½ 64 (simpson sha)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 ######  
MISYA GIRL 5 9 8 88   76 7 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 16.80  
SNOOZY SUZY 3 8 9 9   87 8 (wheeler travis)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 12.00 16% 5.20 30.30  
WUMPMUG 1 4 5 77   9 910 (barr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 118 10.00 14.90  
10  SHESLITTLEMISCHIEF 10 10 1017½ 1018¼   1015½ 1014¾ (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 10.00 39.60  
SCR  SANDRA C               (rivera sall)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.