Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   04/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Mar30 Feb28 Feb15 Jan25 Jan10 (mccartney ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
2  COLAVITO Apr07 Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 Jan24 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  BUBBA BAY Mar31         (o'brien )FLETCHER D 122 15.00 14% 6.00    
4  STANLEY RYDER Mar31 Mar17 Mar09 Feb02 Jan24 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 ★    
5  TALKIN MALICE Mar24 Feb28 Feb17 Jan31 Jan18 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 ★    
6  THEY'RE GRRREAT Mar31 Mar09 Jan31 Jan19   (lucarelli fran)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00    
7  AUTISM CAN DO Feb14 Jan26 Jan14     (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-2   04/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALTIMORE BEECHO Mar21 Mar08 Feb17 Feb04 Jan05 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  HUNTINGTONS RITHM Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan27   (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00 ★    
3  CAPTAIN SCOTTY Mar28 Feb28 Jan10     (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
4  ENOUGH NONSENSE Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 (jimenez a)MAWING A 122 6.00    
5  BUTTERED NOODLES Feb20 Jan17       (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
6  REDACTION Apr01 Feb11 Jan18     (ortiz l)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00 ★    
7  UNION BROTHER Mar25 Mar17 Mar07 Feb11 Jan31 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 7% 14.10    
 
TUP-3   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG LARRY Mar23 Feb10 Jan26     (mart)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 13% 6.50    
2  SHAKELAS DESTINY Mar23 Mar07 Feb10 Jan19   (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00    
3  RISE UP MOSCOW Apr07 Mar07 Feb22 Feb04 Jan20 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
4  LUCKY CHANCE Apr07 Mar07 Jan28 Jan20 Jan11 (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
SCR  BY MOONLIGHT Mar23 Mar10 Mar01 Feb07 Jan15 (mckinney kyn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Mar21 Mar07 Feb14 Jan10   (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 ★    
7  ELLIE THE NURSE Mar10 Feb07 Jan10     (silva rodrigu)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.50 ★    
8  RI' PIN SNAP Mar22 Feb08       (soto antonio)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 12.00    
 
TUP-4   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.74K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT WAGER Mar16 Feb21 Jan11     (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  ASTRONOMICAL Apr06 Mar17 Mar02 Jan25 Jan05 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  THE BEAT Feb21 Feb02 Jan13     (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  RAIL HUGGER Apr01 Mar14 Feb14     (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
5  JACKS OUTLAW Apr01 Mar10 Jan14     (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★    
6  TIZONA Apr01 Mar10 Jan03     (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 122 5.00 6% 16.20    
7  SEBASTIAN'S BOY Mar17 Mar02 Jan25     (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 4.50    
 
TUP-5   04/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($25.13K) 3 F PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISSCZECH Mar28 Mar11 Feb10 Jan12   (jimenez migue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  CADILLAC MARGARITA         (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
3  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Mar28 Mar04       (silva jose )VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 ★    
4  ELLIE CAN PLAY Mar21         (hudson jeff)SCRIVER L 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
5  ADDYDIDIT Mar28 Mar15 Mar04 Feb21 Jan30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
6  AUTISM PRISM Feb16 Jan10       (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  SMILING SALSA Mar17 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17   (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00    
 
TUP-6   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH OF EDEN (IRE) Mar08 Feb22 Jan24 Jan11   (silva rodrigu)SCRIVER L 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  LEXOPHILIA Mar17 Feb22 Jan15     (gutierrez qu)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
3  MAD GRACE Mar27 Mar05 Jan14     (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
SCR  BIG NEWS COMING Mar22 Mar07 Feb18 Feb08   (jimenez migue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
5  CONVINCE Mar30 Feb22 Jan04     (brown r)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
6  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Mar15 Jan31 Jan04     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  MISS YOU MOM Mar15 Feb22 Jan23     (valerio raymo)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 ★    
8  SMOOTH RITHMS Apr06 Mar28 Mar16 Feb28 Feb09 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KONA COAST Mar21 Feb22 Jan25 Jan06   (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  BLAME IT ON KITTY Mar21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan31 Jan17 (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  PERFECT COME BACK Apr01 Mar21 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 (moreno edgar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Mar21 Feb22 Feb01 Jan06   (elston brent)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00    
5  SPIRIT MISSION Apr01 Feb25 Feb09 Jan17   (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
6  CONQUEST COBRA Feb22 Feb14 Feb01 Jan17   (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  ANGELO'S PRIDE Feb22 Feb09 Jan31 Jan06   (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 ★    
8  MAD LUTHER Mar30 Mar14 Feb25 Feb16 Jan25 (lavanway days)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
9  EL BORRACHO Apr04 Mar25 Mar04 Jan31 Jan07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00    
SCR  FINAL ROSE Apr04 Mar18 Mar04 Feb10 Jan19 (mccartney jack)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00    
11  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Apr05 Jan26 Jan12     (wheeler travis)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   04/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WUMPMUG Mar11 Feb07 Jan17     (barr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 118 10.00    
2  TAHOE BLUE Mar28 Feb24 Feb10 Jan26   (elston brent)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00    
3  SNOOZY SUZY Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 Mar04 Feb21 (wheeler travis)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 12.00 16% 5.20    
4  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Mar28 Mar12 Feb24 Jan06   (simpson sha)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
5  MISYA GIRL Apr01         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
6  PAYNT THE KITTY Apr08 Mar09 Feb04     (belvoir vann)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 1.80 26% 2.80    
7  KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Mar09 Feb15 Jan26     (grissom robe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 ★    
8  SUCH A LADY Jan30         (heinen h)MAWING A 124 8.00    
9  MISS REBEKAH Mar28 Mar17 Jan26 Jan06   (barraza rafae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
10  SHESLITTLEMISCHIEF         (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  SANDRA C         (rivera sall)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.