Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($10.36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKON 6 3 4 32   1nk 1¾ (eikleberry kev)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 2.00 34% 2.00 1.00 W
LITTLE LILY LU 2 5 32 4   4 2¾ (grissom w)CORBETT W 124 4.00 24% 3.10 3.00 P
STORMY GALE 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 5.10 S
TEQUILA RITA 3 6 6 6   5 45 (loftin linda)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 24.00  
CRITICAL CONDITION 4 2 1nk 1nk   3.2 5 (ross courtney)MAWING A 118 5.00 3.30  
FULLY COMPLIANT 1 4 5 5   6 68 (toye joe)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 3.00 16% 5.10 10.50  
 
TUP-2   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MAMA 5 1 11 1½   1½ 1¼ (mcfarlane dan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 9% 9.50 0.50 W
MICHELLE WHO 7 3 32 3½   2½ 2¼ (crotts jim)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 35% 1.80 2.90 P
DODROPIN 4 4 42 2½   31 3¾ (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 11% 7.80 4.80 S
BRIO IS AWESOME 1 6 77 7   54 4¾ (tate)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 17.90  
BLUE GESSAMI 6 2 21 42   43 5 (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 122 6.00 22.60  
KID CAT 2 5 5 56   67 68 (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.50 15% 5.90 14.50  
NAVARONES SPARKLE 3 7 65 6   7 7 (moreno edgar)SCRIVER L 122 6.00 57.30  
 
TUP-3   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:21 :432 :554     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT PIEUS 6 4 6 6   4 1¾ (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00 5.30  
POVERTY BAY 8 6 5 22   1 2¾ (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 118 3.50 18% 4.40 7.80 P
COASTAL KING 4 3 4 57   3 3 (belvoir vann)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 3.00 50% 1.00 1.70 S
RED HURRICANE 9 1 33 33   2 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.50 9% 9.70 2.50  
SPINNING RED 2 8 812¾ 817   811 53 (sepich )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 118 12.00 62.50  
DARK N' HANDSOME 3 5 22 45   5 64 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 10.00 4.60  
SHAMAN CHIEF 5 7 7 711   710¾ 7 (hudson jeff)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 23.70  
MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF 7 2 12 12   610¾ 89 (koler steve)MAWING A 124 6.00 9.30  
LETHAL ALEXANDER 1 9 924¾ 929   923 915 (meza francis)GARCIA F 124 20.00 77.70  
 
TUP-4   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:233 :454 1:093 1:214   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLY 2 5 33 33 2 1nk 1 (valdez-cabral)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 0.60  
NOLONGERAHOBBY 5 2 1nk 12 1 2nk 2 (saldana reed)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.00 P
WE'RE JUST SAYIN 1 7 7 78 58 35 3 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 17% 4.90 5.70 S
TW SKIPPING STONES 6 4 4 44 34 48 414½ (story chad)MAWING A 122 3.50 25% 3.00 5.90  
PROVOST 4 6 6 67 47 5 520¾ (mccartney jack)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 24.50  
GOLDEN TIGER 7 1 5 5 713 616½ 626 (stubblefield )SCRIVER L 122 15.00 52.10  
MANY ROSES 3 3 2nk 22 611 720½ 733¾ (bratcher ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 15.30  
 
TUP-5   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:22 :442 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NIGHT'S WATCH 7 1 2 2½   1½ 1 (allred jeff)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 20.00 9.20  
ROUSING RUBBLE 1 5 1 1½   2½ 2 (hernandez miguel )CRUZ M 122 6.00 19% 4.40 1.50 P
RENO ROY 5 4 5 43   4 3 (stevens sat)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 9.00  
TESTING THE WATERS 3 3 4 3   31 44 (valdez-cabral mar)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 18% 4.70 1.90  
ADD ON 6 2 3 6   6 5 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 9.30  
PAITASKA 2 7 6 55   5 610½ (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 11.30  
STORMING WARRIOR 4 6 7 78   79 712¼ (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 5.30  
SCR  CASHLINGS               (brown r)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 4.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  COLONEL MIKE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  OFF THE BOOKS               (silva jose )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 12.00 7% 14.40    
 
TUP-6   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3 F PT- 6:42
See original race card.
:214 :441 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN BLESSING 5 2 1nk 1½   2½ 1 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 6% 14.60 6.70 W
EYES FOR GOLD 4 6 43 3   1½ 2 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 47% 1.10 1.80 P
FINGER TIP 6 1 3 43   3 315¾ (schnell don)CRUZ M 121 6.00 12.30 S
TEMPORARILY 2 8 89 810½   6 417½ (hernandez l)GARCIA F 121 6.00 26% 2.90 6.40  
LUCY K 9 3 6 6   5 517¾ (story ch)FLETCHER D 121 8.00 6.30  
STUBBORN LOVE 8 10 9 914½   8 619¼ (smith robert)MAWING A 121 10.00 3.80  
MS GLORY BEACH 1 4 2nk 2½   44 719¾ (alvarez sergio)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 12.00 21.90  
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 3 9 77 7   9 820 (rollins scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 7.30  
SHIRL'S HOUSE 7 5 54 55   7 921¼ (essex charles)FALES KATE 121 12.00 24.10  
10  MARIA KNOWS 10 7 1010 1017½   1015¼ 1031 (fearon johnat)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 15.00 40.50  
 
TUP-7   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:09
See original race card.
:214 :434 :554     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES CHIFLADOS 8 1 1nk 12   1 12 (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 3.00 11% 7.70 1.30 W
ARIZONA JEREMY 4 8 5 22   2 22 (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 124 12.00 15.40  
PARLEY STREET 5 9 7 7   4 3 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 7% 13.80 2.50 S
TOP ROCKET 2 5 4 44   35 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 6% 14.60 9.60  
JAKE THE GREAT 7 2 3.2 65   6 5 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 46% 1.20 4.40  
HAVE A LIL PEPPER 1 7 9 910½   89 6 (alvarez sergio)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 14.10  
ZOMBIE ALAN 3 6 8 8   7 7 (moreno edgar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 37.70  
10  OMACHE KID 9 4 6 55   9 8 (homer jason)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 10.00 7% 14.30 26.70  
I AM ALLTHATYOUARE 6 3 2nk 3   5 911¼ (birdwell tena)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 6.00 9.10  
SCR  CRACK A COLD ONE               ( )TBA null      
 
TUP-8   04/11/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:36
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:102 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET JOE 3 2 3½ 2nk 11 1 1 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 3.20  
NO SLO MO 2 5 59 5 3 4 2 (belvoir vann)CARTER KYLE 122 4.00 2.60 P
GIVE EM HECK BECK 1 4 4 4 4 3 34 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 10% 8.60 2.20 S
CIRCLE WEST 5 3 2nk 3.2 21 2 4 (gleason m)CORBETT W 122 8.00 3.60  
HOLY CROSS 4 1 1nk 1nk 53 5 58 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 44% 1.30 3.20  
SCR  AUDACE               (homer jason)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  N. K. ROCKET MAN               (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  NOT NECESSARILY               (esquibel mark)SCRIVER L 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.