Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($10.36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULLY COMPLIANT         (toye joe)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  LITTLE LILY LU         (grissom w)CORBETT W 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  TEQUILA RITA Mar28         (loftin linda)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
4  CRITICAL CONDITION Mar04 Jan19       (ross courtney)MAWING A 118 5.00 ★    
5  STORMY GALE Feb24         (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 ★    
6  KNOCKON Feb21 Jan25 Jan10     (eikleberry kev)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
TUP-2   04/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIO IS AWESOME Apr03 Mar19 Feb20 Jan02   (tate)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
2  KID CAT Feb09 Jan27       (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.50 15% 5.90    
3  NAVARONES SPARKLE Mar21         (moreno edgar)SCRIVER L 122 6.00 ★    
4  DODROPIN Mar21 Feb16 Jan25     (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 11% 7.80    
5  MISCHIEF MAMA Mar16 Feb28 Feb11 Jan20   (mcfarlane dan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 9% 9.50    
6  BLUE GESSAMI Mar27 Mar19 Feb27 Feb16 Jan14 (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 122 6.00    
7  MICHELLE WHO Feb15 Jan30 Jan11     (crotts jim)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
 
TUP-3   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETHAL ALEXANDER         (meza francis)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
2  SPINNING RED Feb22 Feb07 Jan11     (sepich )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 118 12.00    
3  DARK N' HANDSOME         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 10.00 ★    
4  COASTAL KING Mar18 Feb24 Feb07     (belvoir vann)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  SHAMAN CHIEF         (hudson jeff)SCRIVER L 124 6.00    
6  SAINT PIEUS         (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00    
7  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Mar18         (koler steve)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
8  POVERTY BAY         (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 118 3.50 18% 4.40    
9  RED HURRICANE         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.50 9% 9.70    
 
TUP-4   04/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Mar27 Mar16 Feb24 Feb16 Jan31 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
2  SLY Apr02 Mar10 Feb21 Jan17   (valdez-cabral)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
3  MANY ROSES Mar25 Jan21 Jan02     (bratcher ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 ★    
4  PROVOST Mar30 Mar16 Jan31 Jan13   (mccartney jack)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 ★    
5  NOLONGERAHOBBY Apr01 Mar21 Feb28 Feb17   (saldana reed)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  TW SKIPPING STONES Mar07         (story chad)MAWING A 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  GOLDEN TIGER Mar25 Mar14 Mar01 Jan18   (stubblefield )SCRIVER L 122 15.00    
 
TUP-5   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUSING RUBBLE Mar30 Mar21 Mar03 Feb15 Feb03 (hernandez miguel )CRUZ M 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
2  PAITASKA Jan26         (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00    
SCR  COLONEL MIKE Mar26 Mar09 Mar01 Feb14 Feb02 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  CASHLINGS Mar03 Feb04 Jan07     (brown r)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 4.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  OFF THE BOOKS Mar31 Mar21 Mar07 Jan28 Jan10 (silva jose )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 12.00 7% 14.40    
6  TESTING THE WATERS Feb19         (valdez-cabral mar)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
7  STORMING WARRIOR Mar24 Feb28 Feb17     (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
8  RENO ROY Mar08         (stevens sat)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
9  ADD ON Mar21 Feb18 Jan20 Jan10   (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
10  NIGHT'S WATCH         (allred jeff)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 20.00    
 
TUP-6   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3 F PT- 6:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS GLORY BEACH Mar21         (alvarez sergio)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 12.00    
2  TEMPORARILY Mar11 Feb28 Feb10 Jan17   (hernandez l)GARCIA F 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
3  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Mar24 Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 Jan13 (rollins scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★    
4  EYES FOR GOLD Mar21 Feb28       (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  CURLIN BLESSING Mar21 Feb28 Feb07     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 6% 14.60    
6  FINGER TIP Mar24 Mar08 Feb25 Jan02   (schnell don)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★    
7  SHIRL'S HOUSE         (essex charles)FALES KATE 121 12.00    
8  STUBBORN LOVE         (smith robert)MAWING A 121 10.00    
9  LUCY K         (story ch)FLETCHER D 121 8.00    
10  MARIA KNOWS         (fearon johnat)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 15.00    
 
TUP-7   04/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVE A LIL PEPPER Mar30 Mar09 Feb02     (alvarez sergio)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
2  TOP ROCKET Mar17 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
4  ZOMBIE ALAN Mar30 Mar11 Jan13     (moreno edgar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
5  ARIZONA JEREMY         (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 124 12.00    
6  PARLEY STREET Mar22 Jan26       (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 7% 13.80    
7  I AM ALLTHATYOUARE Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 Jan26 Jan10 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00    
8  JAKE THE GREAT Mar24 Mar07 Feb25 Feb15 Jan25 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
9  TRES CHIFLADOS Mar22 Feb14 Jan25 Jan02   (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 3.00 11% 7.70    
10  OMACHE KID Mar26 Feb25 Feb08     (homer jason)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 10.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  CRACK A COLD ONE Mar25 Feb22 Jan31 Jan18   ( )TBA null      
 
TUP-8   04/11/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  N. K. ROCKET MAN Mar21 Feb28       (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  NOT NECESSARILY Mar21 Mar09 Feb14 Feb04   (esquibel mark)SCRIVER L 124 8.00    
3  GIVE EM HECK BECK Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
4  NO SLO MO Jan13         (belvoir vann)CARTER KYLE 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  AUDACE Apr01 Jan19 Jan04     (homer jason)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 10% 8.80    
6  MEET JOE Jan21 Jan03       (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
7  HOLY CROSS Mar23 Mar15 Feb21 Feb01   (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
8  CIRCLE WEST Feb14 Jan24 Jan10     (gleason m)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.