Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FRISCO LINE 10 5 1nk 11   12 11½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.60 60% 0.70 2.60 W
1  UNCLE NICK 1 9 94½ 75½   43 21½ (vaccarezza carl)PENA JONUELLE 114 10.00 1.55  
9  SOUTHERN SENSE 9 6 62¼ 32   22 31¾ (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 113 4.50 ★ 5.30 S
1A  T MONEY 12 8 72½ 42½   53¼ 44¾ (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 1.55  
6  MR. MARIAH 6 7 52¼ 54   64¾ 57½ (pittman bonni)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 21.35  
5  BRUCE ON THE LOOSE 5 2 2nk 21   32 68 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 5.25  
4  STRICKLAND 4 12 1211½ 1113   810¾ 710¼ (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 7% 13.90 61.96  
12  INDIAN SPRINGS 11 3 84½ 910   710¾ 812¼ (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 15.00 52.37  
8  KEEP ON 8 11 1111 1214½   1114 915¾ (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 13.29  
3  CIRCLE THE KID 3 1 42 88   911¾ 1016 (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 6% 16.50 20.53  
2  SING ME AN ALIBI 2 10 109 1012   1013¾ 1117¾ (house gary)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00 7% 13.90 49.53  
7  ARTIE AND JESSIE 7 4 31 64½   1215 1221¾ (horvath k)HOLMES GAGE 117 20.00 ######  
SCR  CONCOCTION               (schlenk k)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-2   07/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 5 55 52½   2nk 11¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 3.00 ★ 4.44  
1  KENTUCKY REIGN 1 6 11 1½   1nk 21¾ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 ★ 4.12 P
5  BIG DIG 5 7 88¼ 84½   44½ 35¾ (drury thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 14.37  
7  GATHERING STORM (SAF) 7 1 31 2½   32 47¼ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 8% 11.90 1.63  
6  LADAN 6 2 21 31½   56½ 513 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 6% 14.70 30.72  
2  NEED SOME MONEY 2 8 77¾ 74½   66¾ 613 (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 6.20  
9  INQUIETA 8 4 67½ 63   89¾ 718½ (gutie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 26.67  
3  LITURGIA 3 3 43 42   79¼ 822½ (hernandez rey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 64% 0.60 4.47  
SCR  LUCKY PHOENIX               (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
 
ELP-3   07/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:223 :47 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHES BOUT A MOVER 6 2 2½ 2nk   12 1½ (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 ★ 13.36  
3  SHANNON 2 3 42 42   32 2½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 2.50 54% 0.90 1.28 P
6  DEVINE CHARGER 5 5 63¾ 63   53 3½ (blair jordan)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 16% 5.20 2.13 S
4  HEY KITTEN 3 4 32 31½   22 4¾ (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 7% 13.10 3.92  
2  MY MY MUNNY 1 1 1½ 1nk   42½ 56¾ (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 10.00 13.34  
5  ELEGANT JOY 4 6 53½ 52½   67 621¼ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 7.87  
SCR  JUST PUSH SEND               (asmussen steve)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 ★    
 
ELP-4   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THIRSTY BETRAYAL 4 6 52¼ 2½   21½ 1½ (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 2.00 ★ 4.06  
6  ONE FOR RICHIE 5 2 2nk 1½   11½ 2½ (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.40 61% 0.60 0.43 P
4  CYRIL'S BOY 3 5 42 41½   33½ 36 (poulos dee)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 12% 7.50 9.61 S
7  CAN IMAGINE 6 1 3½ 31   45 47¾ (brenn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 10.00 19.65  
3  DAVID'S GEM 2 3 1nk 51½   57 511¼ (cano mu)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 7.54  
1  FIRERY TALE 1 4 62¾ 64   69 614 (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 123 8.00 ★ 16.36  
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE               (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:222 :463 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROJA LIGERA 4 2 21 2nk   12 11¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 1.94  
3  COLLECTED GLORY 3 1 31½ 31½   22 21¼ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5.16  
1  JUST SAY SO 1 8 63½ 53   44½ 35½ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 7.62  
2  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 2 7 74½ 63½   66½ 46¼ (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.06  
9  CHANEL POINT 6 6 42½ 42   54½ 57¼ (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00 16.97  
12  FABULOSITY 9 5 85 86¾   78 69¾ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 7.83  
8  CATCHA LATER MO 5 3 11 1nk   34 710½ (hancock dana)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 36.56  
10  LADY EVELYN CAN 7 4 53 73¾   89½ 812¾ (hancock jack )PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 20.31  
11  JEFF'S JOY 8 9 910 98¾   910½ 914½ (hughes g)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 37.14  
SCR  CHARACTER COUNTS               (ortiz alexan)HOLMES GAGE 112 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  DREAMS OF YOU               (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONE STORMY LADY               (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  PIGEON CAY               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SURE ENOUGH               (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00    
 
ELP-6   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ANARCHIST 8 1 41½ 2½   1nk 11¼ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 20.00 23.54  
7  SKELLY 6 3 11 1½   2nk 21¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 10.92  
11  BOURBON HEIST 10 11 1111¼ 810   79 32¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.00 53% 0.90 1.20 S
10  TRIPLE OPTION 9 10 98¼ 78   45½ 44½ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 51.34  
3  SLIM MAN 3 5 21 33   34½ 55½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 9% 9.70 3.93  
2  GUNOE 2 9 74¼ 54½   57½ 67 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 16% 5.30 7.76  
1  REDEMPTION TIME 1 4 84¾ 64½   68 79½ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 16.28  
12  GOLDEN LUNA 11 7 31 43½   89¼ 812¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 ★ 19.48  
4  STAR ENTERTAINER 4 6 109¼ 1118   915¼ 916¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 ★ 20.22  
8  ORO DE MORO MORO 7 8 62¼ 1015   1017¼ 1020¾ (morey e)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 8.59  
5  RAMPATIOUS 5 2 51¾ 913   1121¼ 1138½ (o'nei)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00 24.10  
SCR  SUPREMELY               (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  WORDS OF WISDOM               (york keith)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSTANG LADY 1 9 914¾ 810½   46½ 1¼ (newton troy)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 23.33  
7  SPARKLING ROSE 7 2 1nk 1nk   11 2¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 5% 19.00 2.06 P
4  FLOWERDEW 4 5 33½ 35   35½ 33¼ (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5.06  
11  SAVE YOUR TEARS 9 8 77¾ 56½   56½ 45 (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 3.15  
9  SECRETS GALORE 8 1 55¼ 67   66¾ 55 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.00 13% 6.80 3.47  
5  THREE SPORT COATS 5 4 2nk 2nk   21 65½ (hancock john )PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 11.38  
2  PERFECT ROSE 2 7 813¾ 913½   712¾ 710¾ (vasquez sr)LANERIE J 119 30.00 17.80  
6  MORIARTY 6 3 67¼ 78½   915¾ 816¼ (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 28.00  
3  BOGEY FREE 3 6 43¾ 46   814¾ 917¼ (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 20.17  
SCR  ADALINDA               (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  AMAZON BARBIE               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  BRISBANE ROAD               (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  TOTAL SMOKESHOW               (calvo kelsie)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00    
SCR  WILD ACCLAIM               (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 119 6.00 ★    
 
ELP-8   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OFF WE GO 5 1 21½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 3.00 14% 5.90 4.87 W
4  CANCEL THIS 4 5 54 43   43½ 2¾ (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 15% 5.80 7.39 P
1  SHELL SHOCK 1 3 31½ 31½   32 3¾ (vaccarezza carl)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 ★ 8.01 S
3  WINGS OF AN ANGEL 3 4 11½ 2nk   2nk 41¼ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 21% 3.70 1.70  
6  FABRICATE 6 7 65 54   54 53½ (cano mu)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 17% 4.70 2.44  
2  STELLAR GRACE 2 6 43½ 64¼   66 65¾ (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.00 6.82  
7  AVENIDA MANANA 7 2 76 711¼   714 724½ (larue steve)ELLIOTT JANE 122 25.00 39.09  
 
ELP-9   07/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:26   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOUTHLAWN 2 3 2½ 21 1nk 1½ 15 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.75 W
3  COTTON CANDY ANNIE 1 1 1½ 11 2nk 2½ 25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 26% 2.90 1.96 P
7  OH POLLYANNA 4 4 44½ 44½ 44½ 46½ 38¾ (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.06 S
6  BLAME IT ON PARIS 3 2 32 33 33 35½ 48¾ (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 6.40  
9  DIAMOND DISTRICT 5 5 57 55 56½ 58 511¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 4.59  
SCR  DON'T GO CHANGING               (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard ii)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00    
SCR  BOUDICA               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 10.00    
SCR  BOLTORO               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
SCR  GRAY FROST               (reed r)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AHA MOMENT               (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.