Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   08/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHAKRA 3 1 1½ 1nk   14 17¼ (tomlinson mi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 17% 5.00 9.30 W
5  SHANIAH 5 6 64½ 54½   44½ 27¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 3.50 ★ 6.70 P
1  CANADIAN GINGER 1 4 31½ 31   24 39½ (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.40 S
7  CONTINENTALCONGRES 6 3 2½ 2nk   34 49¾ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 5.30  
4  PURRFECT 4 5 42½ 43½   57½ 512¾ (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.20 37% 1.70 0.90  
2  MILENITA 2 2 53½ 66½   69½ 618¾ (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00 46.60  
SCR  BEDTIMEBOURBON               (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
 
CNL-2   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :462 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOLLYWOOD WALK 7 4 42 31   1nk 11¾ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 3.00 25% 3.10 11.70 W
8  CHAMBEAU 8 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 21¾ (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 122 1.60 40% 1.50 0.50 P
6  CAROLINA SUN 6 8 64 61¾   32 33 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.00 9.80  
2  OUR STRONG VOWS 2 7 75 74¾   54 44 (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00 13.70  
5  HELLO GRACIE 5 5 53 51¾   74¾ 56½ (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
1  DETERMINED TRUTH 1 3 31 41½   64¼ 66½ (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 30.00 ★ 10.30  
4  MY SWEET KAT 4 1 1½ 1nk   43 76¾ (werre dann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 8% 11.30 7.20  
3  I'M GITTIN THERE 3 6 85½ 85¾   87¾ 88¼ (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 10.00 24.10  
 
CNL-3   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:142 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOFT TOUCH 5 1 11½ 12 11 12½ 11 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 ★ 7.90  
3  PERSONAL BEST 2 4 53½ 63¾ 31½ 22½ 21 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 21% 3.70 2.70 P
1  MOZAY 1 3 63½ 53½ 62½ 34½ 31½ (mott willi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.00 35% 1.80 0.40 S
4  STERN CHASER 3 2 32 32 42 45 46¼ (matz michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 55.50  
5  PARTYLINE 4 6 42½ 43 52 57½ 57¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 17.60  
7  BETHPAGE 6 5 21½ 22 21 68½ 618½ (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 14.50  
8  KELSEY'S SHOT 7 7 76½ 76¼ 76 716½ 731 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 12.00 ★ 60.60  
SCR  TAKE JOY               (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 19% 4.30    
 
CNL-4   08/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:094     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLE D'ESPRIT 1 1 5¾ 63½   1nk 11¼ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00 15% 5.70 6.90 W
6  KALYPSO 6 4 63¼ 41   3.2 21¼ (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 6.00 7.50  
3  AMUSING ANTICS 3 5 73¾ 74½   51¼ 33¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 11.50  
9  CARRIBEAN CAPER 8 7 4¾ 2nk   2nk 44½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70  
4  SWAYIN TO AND FRO 4 3 3½ 3½   4¼ 55 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00 25.40  
8  THE GRASS IS BLUE 7 8 84¾ 51½   61½ 65¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 16.90  
5  CHEETARA (CHI) 5 2 2nk 1nk   73½ 79½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 5.00 7% 14.00 2.80  
2  EDIE MEENY MINY MO 2 6 1nk 86½   8100 8100 (hemingway mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 8.00 19% 4.30 4.50  
SCR  KAYLASAURUS               (kreiser timot)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 6% 16.50    
 
CNL-5   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:14 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SCANNO 9 5 2½ 21½ 2nk 11 12 (stidham michae)ROCCO S 123 4.50 7% 13.60 3.60 W
3  FEBRUARY SON 2 9 52 53 51¼ 32 22 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 6% 15.10 9.00 P
6  HEY PADRE 5 1 1½ 11½ 1nk 21 33¼ (nagle sarah)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 11.30  
2  THE HAPPY GIANT 1 3 106¾ 106¾ 92½ 53½ 44 (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00 10.10  
7  CALRISSIAN 6 6 31½ 32 31 43 54¾ (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 26.30  
4  KARTANO 3 7 73½ 73¼ 41¼ 63½ 66½ (loza jr)RIOS M 123 4.00 60% 0.70 2.80  
8  AMENDED 7 8 62½ 63¼ 61½ 75½ 77¼ (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 30.00 85.70  
5  STEAL THE CASH 4 2 83¾ 94¾ 72 86 810½ (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 118 20.00 50.70  
10  ASHAAB 8 10 94¼ 84¼ 82½ 98 912¾ (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 123 20.00 ★ 12.50  
12  ANSEL 10 4 41½ 42 10100 10100 10100 (maker mic)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 5% 18.70 1.90  
SCR  IN EFFECT               (morris neil )ARROYO S 123 8.00    
SCR  ROBERT'S LUXURY               (mcdermott sean)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
 
CNL-6   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:114 1:354   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DIDIA (ARG) 10 6 76 64 85¼ 1nk 1¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50 30% 2.40 3.00 W
11  ALMS 11 10 44½ 75 74¼ 41 2¼ (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 17% 5.00 10.20 P
4  IN A HURRY 4 2 21½ 21½ 21 3½ 32 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00 10.10  
8  MARKET RUMOR 8 7 86¼ 85¼ 64 72¼ 43 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 3.50  
1  CHEERMEISTER 1 1 11½ 11½ 11 2nk 54¼ (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 22% 3.50 5.00  
9  DECIDING VOTE 9 9 107¾ 96¼ 106¾ 93¼ 64½ (graham edw)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 5% 17.50 17.10  
7  GLADYS 7 5 32½ 33 32 82¾ 74½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 19.90  
5  TIC TIC TIC BOOM 5 3 55 43½ 53 52 84¾ (bedard alan)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 20.00 ######  
12  SHE CAN'T SING 12 8 66 54 42 62¼ 95 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 ★ 4.80  
2  QUEEN OF THE GREEN 2 4 97¾ 107¼ 95¾ 103¾ 106½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 124 15.00 31.30  
3  FLOWN 3 12 1210¾ 129¼ 117¾ 115¼ 117¾ (walsh brendan)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00 15.80  
6  POR QUE NO 6 11 119¼ 118¼ 129¾ 1211¼ 1213¼ (servis tyle)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00 28.00  
SCR  TIGHTLY TWISTED               (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:122 1:354   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KING VEGA (GB) 4 3 11½ 1½ 12 14 11½ (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 3.70  
8  MILITARIST 7 8 74¼ 83¼ 85 54¼ 21½ (vaccarezza car)CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00 7.40  
1  ENGLISH TAVERN 1 9 96¾ 95¼ 64¾ 65¼ 33 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 9.00  
9  EONS 8 7 53½ 61¾ 52¾ 24 43¾ (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 20% 3.90 2.70  
2  BAKERS BAY 2 1 43½ 41½ 32½ 44¼ 54¼ (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 9.00 DH
4  BEACON HILL 3 2 63¾ 51½ 42½ 34 54¼ (matz michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 11% 8.00 3.00 DH
10  EAMONN 9 5 84¼ 73¼ 74¾ 76¼ 75¾ (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00 15% 5.60 12.20  
7  ROADSTER 6 6 21½ 2½ 22 810¼ 819¼ (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 9% 9.70 11.80  
6  AFRICAN HERITAGE 5 4 33 31 95 914¼ 920 (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 20.00 34.30  
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON               (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
CNL-8   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:22 :44 :553     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NECKER ISLAND 6 7 65 52¼   3.2 1¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 54% 0.90 2.60 DQ↓3
3  JALEN JOURNEY 2 1 31 32   2nk 2¼ (cash norman )ARROYO S 124 20.00 16.60  
6  FACTOR IT IN 3 6 54 42¼   4¾ 33 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 36.50  
13  JUST MIGHT 8 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 43¼ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 9% 9.50 1.30  
7  TORONTOTORO 4 8 77 77¼   61¾ 54½ (mcentee pau)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 20.00 29.90  
1  ARTHUR'S HOPE 1 3 1nk 1nk   51¾ 66½ (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 8.40  
8  MUCHO 5 4 43 64¼   72¾ 76¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 9% 10.40 3.60  
14  VERB 9 5 87¼ 810¼   87¾ 811¼ (cook b)ROCCO S 122 20.00 19.00  
11  BOLDOR 7 9 99¼ 914¼   917¾ 937¼ (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 12.00 29.30  
SCR  BEREN               (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAKATOMI               (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES               (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE               (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
SCR  THREES OVER DEUCES               (capuano a)TBA 122 20.00    
 
CNL-9   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIKI BAR 5 5 53 42   13 12½ (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00 2.40 W
6  SUN BEE 6 7 85½ 65   23 22½ (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5.70  
3  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER 3 8 97 86¼   53¼ 32¾ (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 18.10  
4  DETERMINED JESTER 4 4 2½ 1nk   33 45¼ (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 18% 4.50 1.60  
9  AUNT MARGARET 8 1 1½ 2nk   43¼ 56¼ (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 119 12.00 15% 5.80 10.00  
10  KAKE'S TAP DANCER 9 9 75 75¼   87 68¼ (matz michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 13.00  
2  X Y LADY 2 3 41½ 53   65¼ 710½ (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00 28.20  
1  TIME FOR AN ANGEL 1 2 64 97¾   910 811¼ (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 5.70  
8  MY BATON ROUGE 7 6 31 31   75½ 914¼ (ramos o)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00 74.60  
SCR  AIR ONE               (dickey keith)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  AMAZON BARBIE               (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.