Handicappers' Race Results

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Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAKRA 3 1 1½ 1nk   14 1 (tomlinson mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 17% 5.00 9.30 W
SHANIAH 5 6 6 5   4 2 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 3.50 6.70 P
CANADIAN GINGER 1 4 3 31   24 3 (asmussen steven)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.40 S
CONTINENTALCONGRES 6 3 2½ 2nk   34 4 (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 5.30  
PURRFECT 4 5 4 4   5 512¾ (stidham micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.20 37% 1.70 0.90  
MILENITA 2 2 5 6   6 618¾ (mejia in)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00 46.60  
SCR  BEDTIMEBOURBON               (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
 
CNL-2   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :462 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD WALK 7 4 42 31   1nk 1 (trombetta michae)ROSADO JOHAN 118 3.00 25% 3.10 11.70 W
CHAMBEAU 8 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2 (aguirre anthony)KARAMANOS A 122 1.60 40% 1.50 0.50 P
CAROLINA SUN 6 8 64 6   32 33 (cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.00 9.80  
OUR STRONG VOWS 2 7 75 7   54 44 (godsey den)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00 13.70  
HELLO GRACIE 5 5 53 5   7 5 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
DETERMINED TRUTH 1 3 31 4   6 6 (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 30.00 10.30  
MY SWEET KAT 4 1 1½ 1nk   43 7 (werre danny)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 8% 11.30 7.20  
I'M GITTIN THERE 3 6 8 8   8 8 (smith hamilto)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 10.00 24.10  
 
CNL-3   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:142 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFT TOUCH 5 1 1 12 11 1 11 (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 7.90  
PERSONAL BEST 2 4 5 6 3 2 21 (mcgaughey claude)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 21% 3.70 2.70 P
MOZAY 1 3 6 5 6 3 3 (mott william)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.00 35% 1.80 0.40 S
STERN CHASER 3 2 32 32 42 45 4 (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 55.50  
PARTYLINE 4 6 4 43 52 5 5 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 17.60  
BETHPAGE 6 5 2 22 21 6 618½ (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 14.50  
KELSEY'S SHOT 7 7 7 7 76 716½ 731 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 12.00 60.60  
SCR  TAKE JOY               (correas ignacio)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 19% 4.30    
 
CNL-4   08/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:094     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILLE D'ESPRIT 1 1 5¾ 6   1nk 1 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00 15% 5.70 6.90 W
KALYPSO 6 4 6 41   3.2 2 (asmussen steven)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 6.00 7.50  
AMUSING ANTICS 3 5 7 7   5 3 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 11.50  
CARRIBEAN CAPER 8 7 4¾ 2nk   2nk 4 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70  
SWAYIN TO AND FRO 4 3 3½ 3½   4¼ 55 (serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00 25.40  
THE GRASS IS BLUE 7 8 8 5   6 6 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 16.90  
CHEETARA (CHI) 5 2 2nk 1nk   7 7 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 5.00 7% 14.00 2.80  
EDIE MEENY MINY MO 2 6 1nk 8   8100 8100 (hemingway mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 8.00 19% 4.30 4.50  
SCR  KAYLASAURUS               (kreiser timothy)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 6% 16.50    
 
CNL-5   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:14 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SCANNO 9 5 2½ 2 2nk 11 12 (stidham michael)ROCCO S 123 4.50 7% 13.60 3.60 W
FEBRUARY SON 2 9 52 53 5 32 22 (granitz anthony )CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 6% 15.10 9.00 P
HEY PADRE 5 1 1½ 1 1nk 21 3 (nagle sarah)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 11.30  
THE HAPPY GIANT 1 3 10 10 9 5 44 (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00 10.10  
CALRISSIAN 6 6 3 32 31 43 5 (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 26.30  
KARTANO 3 7 7 7 4 6 6 (loza jr)RIOS M 123 4.00 60% 0.70 2.80  
AMENDED 7 8 6 6 6 7 7 (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 30.00 85.70  
STEAL THE CASH 4 2 8 9 72 86 810½ (covello a)PELTROCHE F 118 20.00 50.70  
10  ASHAAB 8 10 9 8 8 98 912¾ (escobar alison)ZAYAS J 123 20.00 12.50  
12  ANSEL 10 4 4 42 10100 10100 10100 (maker micha)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 5% 18.70 1.90  
SCR  IN EFFECT               (morris r)ARROYO S 123 8.00    
SCR  ROBERT'S LUXURY               (mcdermott sean)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
 
CNL-6   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:114 1:354   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DIDIA (ARG) 10 6 76 64 8 1nk 1¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50 30% 2.40 3.00 W
11  ALMS 11 10 4 75 7 41 2¼ (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 17% 5.00 10.20 P
IN A HURRY 4 2 2 2 21 3½ 32 (mcgaughey claude)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00 10.10  
MARKET RUMOR 8 7 8 8 64 7 43 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 3.50  
CHEERMEISTER 1 1 1 1 11 2nk 5 (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 22% 3.50 5.00  
DECIDING VOTE 9 9 10 9 10 9 6 (graham edwar)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 5% 17.50 17.10  
GLADYS 7 5 3 33 32 8 7 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 19.90  
TIC TIC TIC BOOM 5 3 55 4 53 52 8 (bedard alan)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 20.00 ######  
12  SHE CAN'T SING 12 8 66 54 42 6 95 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 4.80  
QUEEN OF THE GREEN 2 4 9 10 9 10 10 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 124 15.00 31.30  
FLOWN 3 12 1210¾ 12 11 11 11 (walsh p)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00 15.80  
POR QUE NO 6 11 11 11 12 1211¼ 1213¼ (servis tyler)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00 28.00  
SCR  TIGHTLY TWISTED               (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:122 1:354   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING VEGA (GB) 4 3 1 1½ 12 14 1 (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 3.70  
MILITARIST 7 8 7 8 85 5 2 (vaccarezza carlo)CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00 7.40  
ENGLISH TAVERN 1 9 9 9 6 6 33 (smith hamilto)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 9.00  
EONS 8 7 5 6 5 24 4 (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 20% 3.90 2.70  
BAKERS BAY 2 1 4 4 3 4 5 (mcgaughey c)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 9.00 DH
BEACON HILL 3 2 6 5 4 34 5 (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 11% 8.00 3.00 DH
10  EAMONN 9 5 8 7 7 7 7 (orseno jose)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00 15% 5.60 12.20  
ROADSTER 6 6 2 2½ 22 810¼ 819¼ (stidham michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 9% 9.70 11.80  
AFRICAN HERITAGE 5 4 33 31 95 914¼ 920 (mejia in)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 20.00 34.30  
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON               (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
CNL-8   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:22 :44 :553     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NECKER ISLAND 6 7 65 5   3.2 1¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 54% 0.90 2.60 DQ↓3
JALEN JOURNEY 2 1 31 32   2nk 2¼ (cash l)ARROYO S 124 20.00 16.60  
FACTOR IT IN 3 6 54 4   4¾ 33 (mancilla a)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 36.50  
13  JUST MIGHT 8 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 4 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 9% 9.50 1.30  
TORONTOTORO 4 8 77 7   6 5 (mcentee paul)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 20.00 29.90  
ARTHUR'S HOPE 1 3 1nk 1nk   5 6 (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 8.40  
MUCHO 5 4 43 6   7 7 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 9% 10.40 3.60  
14  VERB 9 5 8 810¼   8 811¼ (cook b)ROCCO S 122 20.00 19.00  
11  BOLDOR 7 9 9 914¼   917¾ 937¼ (asmussen steven)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 12.00 29.30  
SCR  BEREN               (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAKATOMI               (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES               (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE               (desormeaux k)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
SCR  THREES OVER DEUCES               (capuano a)TBA 122 20.00    
 
CNL-9   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIKI BAR 5 5 53 42   13 1 (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00 2.40 W
SUN BEE 6 7 8 65   23 2 (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5.70  
LIFELOVENLAUGHTER 3 8 97 8   5 3 (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 18.10  
DETERMINED JESTER 4 4 2½ 1nk   33 4 (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 18% 4.50 1.60  
AUNT MARGARET 8 1 1½ 2nk   4 5 (huffman kennet)ARROYO S 119 12.00 15% 5.80 10.00  
10  KAKE'S TAP DANCER 9 9 75 7   87 6 (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 13.00  
X Y LADY 2 3 4 53   6 710½ (lopez g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00 28.20  
TIME FOR AN ANGEL 1 2 64 9   910 811¼ (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 5.70  
MY BATON ROUGE 7 6 31 31   7 914¼ (ramos o)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00 74.60  
SCR  AIR ONE               (dickey keith)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  AMAZON BARBIE               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.