The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 16, 2022
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CNL-1   08/16/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
:23 :46 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHAKRA 3 1 1½ 1nk   14 17¼ (tomlinson a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 17% 5.00 9.30 W
5  SHANIAH 5 6 64½ 54½   44½ 27¼ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 122 3.50 ★ 6.70 P
1  CANADIAN GINGER 1 4 31½ 31   24 39½ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.40 S
7  CONTINENTALCONGRES 6 3 2½ 2nk   34 49¾ (trombetta j)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 5.30  
4  PURRFECT 4 5 42½ 43½   57½ 512¾ (stidham michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.20 37% 1.70 0.90  
2  MILENITA 2 2 53½ 66½   69½ 618¾ (mejia ines)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00 46.60  
SCR  BEDTIMEBOURBON               (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
 
CNL-2   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:224 :462 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOLLYWOOD WALK 7 4 42 31   1nk 11¾ (trombetta j)ROSADO JOHAN 118 3.00 25% 3.10 11.70 W
8  CHAMBEAU 8 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 21¾ (aguirre jr)KARAMANOS A 122 1.60 40% 1.50 0.50 P
6  CAROLINA SUN 6 8 64 61¾   32 33 (cooney s)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.00 9.80  
2  OUR STRONG VOWS 2 7 75 74¾   54 44 (godsey dennehy)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00 13.70  
5  HELLO GRACIE 5 5 53 51¾   74¾ 56½ (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
1  DETERMINED TRUTH 1 3 31 41½   64¼ 66½ (schoenthal phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 30.00 ★ 10.30  
4  MY SWEET KAT 4 1 1½ 1nk   43 76¾ (werre danny)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 8% 11.30 7.20  
3  I'M GITTIN THERE 3 6 85½ 85¾   87¾ 88¼ (smith a)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 10.00 24.10  
 
CNL-3   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
:241 :494 1:142 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOFT TOUCH 5 1 11½ 12 11 12½ 11 (stidham michael)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 ★ 7.90  
3  PERSONAL BEST 2 4 53½ 63¾ 31½ 22½ 21 (mcgaughey iii)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 21% 3.70 2.70 P
1  MOZAY 1 3 63½ 53½ 62½ 34½ 31½ (mott i)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.00 35% 1.80 0.40 S
4  STERN CHASER 3 2 32 32 42 45 46¼ (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 55.50  
5  PARTYLINE 4 6 42½ 43 52 57½ 57¾ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 17.60  
7  BETHPAGE 6 5 21½ 22 21 68½ 618½ (motion graham)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 14.50  
8  KELSEY'S SHOT 7 7 76½ 76¼ 76 716½ 731 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 12.00 ★ 60.60  
SCR  TAKE JOY               (correas iv)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 19% 4.30    
 
CNL-4   08/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
:221 :45 1:094     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLE D'ESPRIT 1 1 5¾ 63½   1nk 11¼ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00 15% 5.70 6.90 W
6  KALYPSO 6 4 63¼ 41   3.2 21¼ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 6.00 7.50  
3  AMUSING ANTICS 3 5 73¾ 74½   51¼ 33¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 11.50  
9  CARRIBEAN CAPER 8 7 4¾ 2nk   2nk 44½ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70  
4  SWAYIN TO AND FRO 4 3 3½ 3½   4¼ 55 (serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00 25.40  
8  THE GRASS IS BLUE 7 8 84¾ 51½   61½ 65¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 16.90  
5  CHEETARA (CHI) 5 2 2nk 1nk   73½ 79½ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 5.00 7% 14.00 2.80  
2  EDIE MEENY MINY MO 2 6 1nk 86½   8100 8100 (hemingway michelle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 8.00 19% 4.30 4.50  
SCR  KAYLASAURUS               (kreiser c)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 6% 16.50    
 
CNL-5   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
:24 :493 1:14 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SCANNO 9 5 2½ 21½ 2nk 11 12 (stidham michael)ROCCO S 123 4.50 7% 13.60 3.60 W
3  FEBRUARY SON 2 9 52 53 51¼ 32 22 (granitz j)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 6% 15.10 9.00 P
6  HEY PADRE 5 1 1½ 11½ 1nk 21 33¼ (nagle sarah)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 11.30  
2  THE HAPPY GIANT 1 3 106¾ 106¾ 92½ 53½ 44 (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00 10.10  
7  CALRISSIAN 6 6 31½ 32 31 43 54¾ (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 26.30  
4  KARTANO 3 7 73½ 73¼ 41¼ 63½ 66½ (loza jr)RIOS M 123 4.00 60% 0.70 2.80  
8  AMENDED 7 8 62½ 63¼ 61½ 75½ 77¼ (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 30.00 85.70  
5  STEAL THE CASH 4 2 83¾ 94¾ 72 86 810½ (covello a)PELTROCHE F 118 20.00 50.70  
10  ASHAAB 8 10 94¼ 84¼ 82½ 98 912¾ (escobar alison)ZAYAS J 123 20.00 ★ 12.50  
12  ANSEL 10 4 41½ 42 10100 10100 10100 (maker j)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 5% 18.70 1.90  
SCR  IN EFFECT               (morris r)ARROYO S 123 8.00    
SCR  ROBERT'S LUXURY               (mcdermott sean)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
 
CNL-6   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
:232 :473 1:114 1:354   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DIDIA (ARG) 10 6 76 64 85¼ 1nk 1¼ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50 30% 2.40 3.00 W
11  ALMS 11 10 44½ 75 74¼ 41 2¼ (stidham michael)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 17% 5.00 10.20 P
4  IN A HURRY 4 2 21½ 21½ 21 3½ 32 (mcgaughey iii)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00 10.10  
8  MARKET RUMOR 8 7 86¼ 85¼ 64 72¼ 43 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 3.50  
1  CHEERMEISTER 1 1 11½ 11½ 11 2nk 54¼ (delacour arnaud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 22% 3.50 5.00  
9  DECIDING VOTE 9 9 107¾ 96¼ 106¾ 93¼ 64½ (graham edward)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 5% 17.50 17.10  
7  GLADYS 7 5 32½ 33 32 82¾ 74½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 19.90  
5  TIC TIC TIC BOOM 5 3 55 43½ 53 52 84¾ (bedard alan)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 20.00 ######  
12  SHE CAN'T SING 12 8 66 54 42 62¼ 95 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 ★ 4.80  
2  QUEEN OF THE GREEN 2 4 97¾ 107¼ 95¾ 103¾ 106½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 124 15.00 31.30  
3  FLOWN 3 12 1210¾ 129¼ 117¾ 115¼ 117¾ (walsh p)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00 15.80  
6  POR QUE NO 6 11 119¼ 118¼ 129¾ 1211¼ 1213¼ (servis tyler)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00 28.00  
SCR  TIGHTLY TWISTED               (bennett juanita)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:234 :484 1:122 1:354   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KING VEGA (GB) 4 3 11½ 1½ 12 14 11½ (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 3.70  
8  MILITARIST 7 8 74¼ 83¼ 85 54¼ 21½ (vaccarezza carlo)CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00 7.40  
1  ENGLISH TAVERN 1 9 96¾ 95¼ 64¾ 65¼ 33 (smith a)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 9.00  
9  EONS 8 7 53½ 61¾ 52¾ 24 43¾ (delacour arnaud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 20% 3.90 2.70  
2  BAKERS BAY 2 1 43½ 41½ 32½ 44¼ 54¼ (mcgaughey iii)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 9.00 DH
4  BEACON HILL 3 2 63¾ 51½ 42½ 34 54¼ (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 11% 8.00 3.00 DH
10  EAMONN 9 5 84¼ 73¼ 74¾ 76¼ 75¾ (orseno f)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00 15% 5.60 12.20  
7  ROADSTER 6 6 21½ 2½ 22 810¼ 819¼ (stidham michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 9% 9.70 11.80  
6  AFRICAN HERITAGE 5 4 33 31 95 914¼ 920 (mejia ines)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 20.00 34.30  
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON               (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
CNL-8   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:22 :44 :553     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NECKER ISLAND 6 7 65 52¼   3.2 1¼ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 54% 0.90 2.60 DQ↓3
3  JALEN JOURNEY 2 1 31 32   2nk 2¼ (cash l)ARROYO S 124 20.00 16.60  
6  FACTOR IT IN 3 6 54 42¼   4¾ 33 (mancilla a)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 36.50  
13  JUST MIGHT 8 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 43¼ (lovell michelle)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 9% 9.50 1.30  
7  TORONTOTORO 4 8 77 77¼   61¾ 54½ (mcentee paul)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 20.00 29.90  
1  ARTHUR'S HOPE 1 3 1nk 1nk   51¾ 66½ (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 8.40  
8  MUCHO 5 4 43 64¼   72¾ 76¾ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 9% 10.40 3.60  
14  VERB 9 5 87¼ 810¼   87¾ 811¼ (cook b)ROCCO S 122 20.00 19.00  
11  BOLDOR 7 9 99¼ 914¼   917¾ 937¼ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 12.00 29.30  
SCR  BEREN               (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAKATOMI               (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES               (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE               (desormeaux keith)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
SCR  THREES OVER DEUCES               (capuano a)TBA 122 20.00    
 
CNL-9   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:29
:224 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIKI BAR 5 5 53 42   13 12½ (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00 2.40 W
6  SUN BEE 6 7 85½ 65   23 22½ (motion graham)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5.70  
3  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER 3 8 97 86¼   53¼ 32¾ (trombetta j)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 18.10  
4  DETERMINED JESTER 4 4 2½ 1nk   33 45¼ (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 18% 4.50 1.60  
9  AUNT MARGARET 8 1 1½ 2nk   43¼ 56¼ (huffman g)ARROYO S 119 12.00 15% 5.80 10.00  
10  KAKE'S TAP DANCER 9 9 75 75¼   87 68¼ (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 13.00  
2  X Y LADY 2 3 41½ 53   65¼ 710½ (lopez g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00 28.20  
1  TIME FOR AN ANGEL 1 2 64 97¾   910 811¼ (trombetta j)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 5.70  
8  MY BATON ROUGE 7 6 31 31   75½ 914¼ (ramos o)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00 74.60  
SCR  AIR ONE               (dickey keith)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  AMAZON BARBIE               (catalano m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.