Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANADIAN GINGER Jul27 Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Jan30 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  MILENITA Jun09 May14 Mar19 Feb26 Feb20 (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
3  CHAKRA Jun27 May01 Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 (tomlinson mi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
4  PURRFECT Jul12         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.20 37% 1.70    
5  SHANIAH Jul27 Jun17 Jan20 Jan01   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  BEDTIMEBOURBON Jul27 May20 Apr08     (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
7  CONTINENTALCONGRES Jul11 Jun11 May19 Apr29 Apr03 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
 
CNL-2   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETERMINED TRUTH Jul20 Feb18 Jan29     (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 30.00 ★    
2  OUR STRONG VOWS Aug01 Jul19       (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00    
3  I'M GITTIN THERE Jun18 Jun03 May01 Apr14 Mar11 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 10.00    
4  MY SWEET KAT Aug02 Jun17 May31 Apr19   (werre dann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 8% 11.30    
5  HELLO GRACIE Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 May14 Apr24 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAROLINA SUN Jul11 May29       (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.00    
7  HOLLYWOOD WALK Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 Apr30 Apr15 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
8  CHAMBEAU Jul11         (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
CNL-3   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOZAY Jul23 May28 May01 Mar11 Feb10 (mott willi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  TAKE JOY Aug01 Jun25 May28 Apr27 Mar24 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 19% 4.30    
3  PERSONAL BEST Jun17 Apr15 Mar13     (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  STERN CHASER Jul20         (matz michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
5  PARTYLINE Jul12         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
6  SOFT TOUCH Jul12         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 ★    
7  BETHPAGE Jul16         (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
8  KELSEY'S SHOT Jun30 Jun11 May05 Mar23   (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 12.00 ★    
 
CNL-4   08/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLE D'ESPRIT Jul16 Jun17 May21 Apr16 Mar19 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
2  EDIE MEENY MINY MO Jul02 Jun05 Apr16     (hemingway mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  AMUSING ANTICS Jul02 Feb25 Jan23     (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 124 10.00    
4  SWAYIN TO AND FRO Aug06 Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 May26 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00    
5  CHEETARA (CHI) Jul16 Jun04 Apr30 Mar12   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 5.00 7% 14.00    
6  KALYPSO Jun25 May30 Apr09 Feb05   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 6.00    
SCR  KAYLASAURUS Jul16 Jun17 Apr23 Mar13 Feb19 (kreiser timot)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 6% 16.50    
8  THE GRASS IS BLUE Jul02 May14       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00    
9  CARRIBEAN CAPER         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
CNL-5   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROBERT'S LUXURY Aug08 Jul27 Jun20 May30   (mcdermott sean)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
2  THE HAPPY GIANT Jul27 Jul11 Jun07 Feb13   (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
3  FEBRUARY SON Jul13 Jun09 Jan14     (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 6% 15.10    
4  KARTANO         (loza jr)RIOS M 123 4.00 60% 0.70    
5  STEAL THE CASH Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun10 May21 (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 118 20.00    
6  HEY PADRE Jul18 Jun18       (nagle sarah)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
7  CALRISSIAN Jul10 May30 Apr28 Mar25   (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00    
8  AMENDED Jul23 Jul17 Jul04 Jun26 May29 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 30.00    
SCR  IN EFFECT Jul13 Jun26 Jun01 Apr08 Feb27 (morris neil )ARROYO S 123 8.00    
10  ASHAAB Aug01 Jul11       (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 123 20.00 ★    
11  SCANNO Jul19         (stidham michae)ROCCO S 123 4.50 7% 13.60    
12  ANSEL Jul13         (maker mic)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 5% 18.70    
 
CNL-6   08/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEERMEISTER Jul03         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  QUEEN OF THE GREEN Jul12 Jun07 May11 Apr24 Mar20 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 124 15.00    
3  FLOWN Jul11 May29 Apr15     (walsh brendan)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00    
4  IN A HURRY Jul16 May21 Apr23 Jan29   (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00    
5  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Jul16 Jul12 Jun14 May31 May21 (bedard alan)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 20.00    
6  POR QUE NO May30         (servis tyle)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00    
7  GLADYS Jul09 Jun14 May19 Apr21 Mar12 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
8  MARKET RUMOR Jul17 Jun05 Apr23 Mar20   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00    
9  DECIDING VOTE Jul16 Jun14 Apr23     (graham edw)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 5% 17.50    
10  DIDIA (ARG) Jul18         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
11  ALMS Jul16 Jun18 Apr16 Mar05 Jan29 (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
12  SHE CAN'T SING Jun22 May06 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  TIGHTLY TWISTED Jul16 Jun14       (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH TAVERN Jul16 May20 Apr22     (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00    
2  BAKERS BAY Jul27 Apr02 Jan29     (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON Jun25 May28 Mar26 Feb19   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  BEACON HILL Jul16 Jun14 May21 Apr20   (matz michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
5  KING VEGA (GB) Jul18 Jun18 May20 Apr13   (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
6  AFRICAN HERITAGE Jul10 Apr15 Feb04     (mejia maria )SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
7  ROADSTER Apr02         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
8  MILITARIST Jun04 May07 Apr13     (vaccarezza car)CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00    
9  EONS Jul16 Jun14 Apr10 Feb05   (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
10  EAMONN Jul19 Jun18 May21 Apr22 Mar27 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
 
CNL-8   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHUR'S HOPE Jul13 Jun19 May21 Apr08 Mar27 (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 122 10.00    
SCR  THREES OVER DEUCES Jul16 Jun17 May21 Apr16 Feb19 (capuano a)NO RIDER 122 20.00    
3  JALEN JOURNEY Jul27 Jul02 Jun04 May08 Mar25 (cash norman )ARROYO S 124 20.00    
SCR  NAKATOMI Jun26         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE Jul24 May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar10 (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
6  FACTOR IT IN Jul10         (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
7  TORONTOTORO Jul06 Jun11 May03 Mar04 Jan15 (mcentee pau)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 20.00    
8  MUCHO Feb21 Jan15       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
9  NECKER ISLAND Jul24 Jul02 Jun04 May07 Apr02 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  BEREN Jul16 Jun17 Apr25     (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  BOLDOR Jul11 May30 Mar25 Feb20 Jan29 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 12.00    
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES Aug10 Jul02 Jun17 May21 May07 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
13  JUST MIGHT Jul18 Jun11 May06 Apr09 Feb19 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 9% 9.50    
14  VERB Jul03 Jun12 May20 May03 Mar27 (cook b)ROCCO S 122 20.00    
 
CNL-9   08/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR AN ANGEL         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 8.00    
2  X Y LADY Jun22         (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
3  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00    
4  DETERMINED JESTER Jul21         (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  TIKI BAR Jul26         (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUN BEE         (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Jul13         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  MY BATON ROUGE Jul19 Jun29 Jun08     (ramos o)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00    
9  AUNT MARGARET Aug03         (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 119 12.00 15% 5.80    
10  KAKE'S TAP DANCER         (matz michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  AIR ONE Jul26         (dickey keith)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  AMAZON BARBIE         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.