Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:122 1:354   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE OF WAR 1 1 1½ 2nk 3 1 1nk (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 7.68  
ELLE EST FORTE 7 6 5 52 6 2 2nk (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.65 P
SHE'S GONE 4 3 7 7 7 5 3.2 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 13% 6.50 6.22 S
MALIBU MARLEE 6 7 4 1nk 1½ 3 4 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00 19.21  
LIVY B 2 2 2½ 3½ 2½ 42 5 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 125 10.00 34.02  
LUCY'S CAKES FLY 3 5 31 4 4 6 6 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 2.00 21% 3.70 1.50  
TWILIGHT 5 4 6 6 5 7 76 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 8.53  
 
ELP-2   07/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:58
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD OF WONDER 6 2 1nk 1½   12 1 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 25% 3.10 1.93 W
SWEET CONFUSION 4 6 5 2½   22 2 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 31% 2.20 4.62 P
NANA'S GRAY 7 1 4 4   32 3 (glyshaw tim)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 15% 5.80 1.73 S
ENGLISH 2 4 31 5   4 4 (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 122 10.00 39.66  
MOHAYLADY 1 5 6 7   56 513¾ (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00 6.58  
MURGATROYD 5 7 7 64   6 621½ (macias)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 61.80  
CATCHUSIFYOUCAN 3 3 2nk 3   714½ 769¼ (casse w)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 5.42  
SCR  BEVERLY'S CHARGE               (habeeb do)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 7% 12.90    
 
ELP-3   07/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:131 1:371   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHT PROSPECTER 7 7 5 4 3½ 3.2 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 20% 4.00 5.84 W
SHOGUN WARRIOR 3 5 3 31 4 4 2nk (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 124 5.00 2.47 P
PRINCE OF GLORY 6 6 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 3.2 (gutierrez faust)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 16.87  
ARCH EGO 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 4¼ (drury j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 33% 2.00 3.39  
DAISY'S DOC 2 2 4 52 5 5 5 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 8.75  
HEEDING 4 4 6 7 7 8 63 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.50 20% 3.90 3.80  
MIDNIGHT RAID 5 3 7 63 6 6 74 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 7.09  
HABITUS (GB) 8 8 8 9 8 7 8 (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 56.20  
MAGNIFICUS 9 9 95 8 9 9 916½ (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00 22.27  
 
ELP-4   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:54
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:112 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T HUSH THIS 7 5 1nk 2nk 12 12 1¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.53 W
CHROME'S RIGHT 1 2 4 31 22 22 2¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 35% 1.90 6.58 P
THOUGHT 6 4 2nk 1nk 3 34 3 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 7.11  
11  SCATTERSHACK 10 9 7 5 5 6 411 (cano munoz)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.88  
ALEXIS N NIKO 3 6 84 8 7 78 512¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 118 20.00 44.99  
10  BAD DECISIONS 9 7 6 6 6 57 612¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 7% 13.60 10.95  
T MONEY 5 3 31 4 44 47 712¾ (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 9.83  
EXTRAVAGATE 4 8 99 10 810½ 812½ 817¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 6.61  
DOWN TO BIZZNESS 2 1 5 7 910¾ 915 928 (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 20.78  
LEAD ACTOR 8 10 109 9 1012¼ 1021 1040 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 16% 5.10 3.51  
SCR  PORT ROYAL               (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00    
SCR  THACH               (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
ELP-5   07/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:112 1:234   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYFIELD STRONG 1 1 5 32 3 3.2 1 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 1.93  
LAVER 6 8 7 7 7 4 2 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 14.35  
OSCAR AWARD 8 12 1214¼ 10 8 5 3 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 6.46  
12  AUTO GLIDE 12 4 21 21 2½ 2nk 44 (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 25.33  
OSCAR ECLIPSE 7 7 8 9 9 6 5 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 3.42  
GHENT 4 2 11 11 1½ 1nk 6 (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 50.08  
MAMBA FOREVER 2 9 9 8 10 9 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 19.53  
MENDELSSOHN JOY 3 3 42 5 4 7 8 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50 10% 8.90 4.46  
10  CAMBIASO 10 5 6 6 6 8 910¼ (desormeaux k)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 47.33  
11  DISCOVERY PEAK 11 6 32 42 5 10 1010½ (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 22% 3.60 11.30  
FASTBYTE 5 11 1112¼ 1210½ 1212¼ 118 1112¾ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 29.56  
OVERLY D'ORO 9 10 1011¾ 11 1111¼ 12 1214¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 43.68  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE               (pierce lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRAMA CRITIC               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  DUST STORM               (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
SCR  HEZMORETHANREADY               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00 22% 3.40    
 
ELP-6   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:102 1:224   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 1 2 43 42 4 22 1¼ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 6% 14.70 5.60 W
BRIEFCASE BULLY 7 6 54 53 62 4 2¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 23% 3.40 10.26 P
HAPPY JACK 4 8 810 87 8 6 3¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 26% 2.80 1.41 S
SECOND OF JULY 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 4¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 3.42  
SILVER DUST 5 5 75 63 5 5 5 (calhoun willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 19.08  
BEACHWALKER 6 4 65 7 74 8 65 (shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 40.90  
10  WAYAKIN 8 7 3 31 3.2 3 7 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50 19% 4.30 3.58  
UPSTRIKER 3 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 7 811½ (moquett ronald )GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00 24.17  
SCR  BIG LAKE               (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  FROSTED GRACE               (habeeb donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-7   07/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:10 1:214   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLICY OPTION 5 9 913 89 8 3 1 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 14% 6.00 3.03 W
NATIONAL SECURITY 1 1 1 1 11 1 2 (cox h)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00 21% 3.70 5.00 P
CABLE CHANNEL 4 8 710½ 7 65 5 3 (brisset rodolph)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.95 S
OF THE MOMENT 2 3 34 34 33 2 4 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 3.62  
DECLARE THE MOON 3 2 6 6 76 7 5 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 118 12.00 19.64  
10  COURAGEOUSLY 7 5 45 5 4 64 6 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 2.52  
11  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 8 4 2 2 21 43 712 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00 57.26  
RANDELLO 6 7 812 910½ 9 9 812¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 38% 1.60 11.05  
1A  KENNESAW 9 6 5 45 5 8 913 (rodriguez e)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 42.09  
SCR  EPIMYTHIUM               (meah m)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
SCR  EYE OF THE CAT               (catalano m)EMIGH A 122 12.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez eduardo)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:09     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NECKER ISLAND 1 6 4 4   4 1¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 43% 1.40 1.28 W
10  TUT'S REVENGE 7 1 31 3.2   1nk 2¼ (stuart shea)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 7.52  
11  SURVEILLANCE 8 2 7 5   5 3½ (desormeaux k)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 13.91  
ROBO MAN 6 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 42 (pierce lacy)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 6% 15.00 18.81  
HERE MI SONG 5 7 6 6   6 52 (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00 6% 15.90 11.11  
BANGO 4 4 1nk 1nk   3.2 6 (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.00 1.95  
LYKAN 2 5 52 8   7 7 (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 122 25.00 29.87  
DON'T FORGET 3 8 8 7   8 8 (shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 42.67  
12  SPRAWL 9 9 9 9   9 910¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 14.57  
SCR  HUEY ATTACK               (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 124 30.00    
SCR  KNEEDEEPINSNOW               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  MANNY WAH               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRONGCONSTITUTION               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
 
ELP-9   07/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:112 1:23   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AMERICAN MAYHEM 9 10 11 10 6 1nk 1 (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 42% 1.40 7.22 W
BAJ 8 6 4 4¼ 2nk 2nk 2 (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00 10% 9.20 6.12 P
13  SHIPMAN 12 8 9 82 4 31 3 (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 11% 8.00 5.93 S
HEIR TO GREATNESS 1 1 2½ 2nk 31 6 4 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 3.83  
INBOUND 7 9 63 72 5 4 54 (rodriguez gerard)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 33.88  
PAID TWICE 4 12 10 9 8 7 65 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 21.40  
KENTUCKY MIST 3 4 3½ 1nk 1nk 5 7 (dyer john)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00 31.43  
HE'S A ANGEL 5 5 8 11 9 9 8 (macias adolfo)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 5.89  
G FLAT 2 2 5 5 7 8 911¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 15.17  
11  ROARING GAP 10 11 12 12 11 10 1011¾ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 8.00 45.01  
TEBOW 6 7 1½ 3.2 10 1112¼ 1120 (vaccarezza carl)PENA JONUELLE 114 20.00 41.25  
12  OLD HICKORY 11 3 7 62 12100 12100 12100 (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00 16% 5.40 3.12  
SCR  AUTOPOLIS               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  KALAKAUA               (mulcahy geof)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.