Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:122 1:354   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE OF WAR 1 1 1½ 2nk 31½ 11½ 1nk (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 7.68  
7  ELLE EST FORTE 7 6 51½ 52 63¼ 21½ 2nk (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.65 P
4  SHE'S GONE 4 3 73½ 74¼ 74¾ 52½ 3.2 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 13% 6.50 6.22 S
6  MALIBU MARLEE 6 7 41½ 1nk 1½ 31½ 42½ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00 19.21  
2  LIVY B 2 2 2½ 3½ 2½ 42 53½ (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 125 10.00 ★ 34.02  
3  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 3 5 31 41½ 41½ 64½ 65¼ (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 2.00 21% 3.70 1.50  
5  TWILIGHT 5 4 62½ 62¼ 51¾ 75½ 76 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 ★ 8.53  
 
ELP-2   07/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:58
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WORLD OF WONDER 6 2 1nk 1½   12 15¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 25% 3.10 1.93 W
5  SWEET CONFUSION 4 6 52¼ 2½   22 25¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 31% 2.20 4.62 P
8  NANA'S GRAY 7 1 41¼ 41½   32 37¼ (glyshaw ti)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 15% 5.80 1.73 S
3  ENGLISH 2 4 31 52½   44½ 48¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 122 10.00 39.66  
2  MOHAYLADY 1 5 63¼ 74½   56 513¾ (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00 6.58  
6  MURGATROYD 5 7 74¼ 64   68½ 621½ (maci)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 61.80  
4  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN 3 3 2nk 31½   714½ 769¼ (casse w)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 ★ 5.42  
SCR  BEVERLY'S CHARGE               (habeeb )DE CRUZ 118 10.00 7% 12.90    
 
ELP-3   07/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:131 1:371   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRIGHT PROSPECTER 7 7 51¾ 41½ 3½ 3.2 1nk (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 20% 4.00 5.84 W
3  SHOGUN WARRIOR 3 5 31½ 31 41½ 41¼ 2nk (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 5.00 ★ 2.47 P
6  PRINCE OF GLORY 6 6 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 3.2 (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 16.87  
1  ARCH EGO 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 4¼ (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 33% 2.00 3.39  
2  DAISY'S DOC 2 2 41½ 52 51¾ 51¾ 51½ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 8.75  
4  HEEDING 4 4 62¾ 73¼ 72¾ 84¾ 63 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.50 20% 3.90 3.80  
5  MIDNIGHT RAID 5 3 72¾ 63 61¾ 62¾ 74 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 7.09  
8  HABITUS (GB) 8 8 84¾ 96¼ 84¼ 73¼ 84½ (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 56.20  
9  MAGNIFICUS 9 9 95 86¼ 94½ 97¾ 916½ (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00 22.27  
 
ELP-4   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:54
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:112 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAN'T HUSH THIS 7 5 1nk 2nk 12 12 1¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.53 W
1  CHROME'S RIGHT 1 2 41¼ 31 22 22 2¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 35% 1.90 6.58 P
7  THOUGHT 6 4 2nk 1nk 32½ 34 36½ (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 118 15.00 7.11  
11  SCATTERSHACK 10 9 73¾ 52¾ 56½ 67½ 411 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.88  
4  ALEXIS N NIKO 3 6 84 84¼ 77½ 78 512¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 118 20.00 44.99  
10  BAD DECISIONS 9 7 62¾ 63¼ 67½ 57 612¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 7% 13.60 10.95  
6  T MONEY 5 3 31 41¼ 44 47 712¾ (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 9.83  
5  EXTRAVAGATE 4 8 99 108¼ 810½ 812½ 817¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 6.61  
2  DOWN TO BIZZNESS 2 1 52¾ 73¾ 910¾ 915 928 (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 20.78  
9  LEAD ACTOR 8 10 109 97¼ 1012¼ 1021 1040 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 16% 5.10 3.51  
SCR  PORT ROYAL               (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00    
SCR  THACH               (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
ELP-5   07/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:112 1:234   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYFIELD STRONG 1 1 52¼ 32 31½ 3.2 11¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 1.93  
6  LAVER 6 8 77¼ 76¼ 75¼ 42¼ 21¼ (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 14.35  
8  OSCAR AWARD 8 12 1214¼ 109¼ 85¼ 52¾ 31½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 6.46  
12  AUTO GLIDE 12 4 21 21 2½ 2nk 44 (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 25.33  
7  OSCAR ECLIPSE 7 7 89¼ 97¾ 96¾ 62¾ 54½ (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 3.42  
4  GHENT 4 2 11 11 1½ 1nk 65½ (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 50.08  
2  MAMBA FOREVER 2 9 99¾ 87¾ 107¼ 95½ 77¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 19.53  
3  MENDELSSOHN JOY 3 3 42 52¼ 41½ 73¾ 87¾ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50 10% 8.90 4.46  
10  CAMBIASO 10 5 64¾ 64¼ 63¾ 85¼ 910¼ (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 47.33  
11  DISCOVERY PEAK 11 6 32 42 51¾ 105½ 1010½ (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 3.50 22% 3.60 11.30  
5  FASTBYTE 5 11 1112¼ 1210½ 1212¼ 118 1112¾ (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 29.56  
9  OVERLY D'ORO 9 10 1011¾ 119½ 1111¼ 128½ 1214¾ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 43.68  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE               (pierce lac)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRAMA CRITIC               (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  DUST STORM               (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
SCR  HEZMORETHANREADY               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00 22% 3.40    
 
ELP-6   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:102 1:224   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 1 2 43 42 41¾ 22 1¼ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 6% 14.70 5.60 W
9  BRIEFCASE BULLY 7 6 54 53 62 42½ 2¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 23% 3.40 10.26 P
5  HAPPY JACK 4 8 810 87 84½ 64¼ 3¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 26% 2.80 1.41 S
2  SECOND OF JULY 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 4¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 3.42  
7  SILVER DUST 5 5 75 63 51¾ 52¾ 51¾ (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 19.08  
8  BEACHWALKER 6 4 65 73½ 74 84¾ 65 (shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 40.90  
10  WAYAKIN 8 7 31½ 31 3.2 32½ 76½ (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50 19% 4.30 3.58  
4  UPSTRIKER 3 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 74¼ 811½ (moquett ronal)GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00 24.17  
SCR  BIG LAKE               (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  FROSTED GRACE               (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-7   07/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:10 1:214   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POLICY OPTION 5 9 913 89 86½ 32½ 12¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 14% 6.00 3.03 W
2  NATIONAL SECURITY 1 1 12½ 12½ 11 12½ 22¼ (cox h)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00 21% 3.70 5.00 P
6  CABLE CHANNEL 4 8 710½ 77½ 65 53½ 35¾ (brisset rodol)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.95 S
3  OF THE MOMENT 2 3 34 34 33 22½ 45¾ (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 3.62  
5  DECLARE THE MOON 3 2 68½ 67½ 76 74¼ 56¼ (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 118 12.00 19.64  
10  COURAGEOUSLY 7 5 45 55½ 43½ 64 66¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 2.52  
11  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 8 4 22½ 22½ 21 43 712 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00 57.26  
9  RANDELLO 6 7 812 910½ 99½ 97¾ 812¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 38% 1.60 11.05  
1A  KENNESAW 9 6 56½ 45 53½ 85¼ 913 (rodriguez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 42.09  
SCR  EPIMYTHIUM               (meah m)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  EYE OF THE CAT               (catalano m)EMIGH A 122 12.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez eduar)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:09     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECKER ISLAND 1 6 41½ 41¼   41¼ 1¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 43% 1.40 1.28 W
10  TUT'S REVENGE 7 1 31 3.2   1nk 2¼ (stuart she)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 7.52  
11  SURVEILLANCE 8 2 72¼ 51¼   51¼ 3½ (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 13.91  
9  ROBO MAN 6 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 42 (pierce lacy)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 6% 15.00 18.81  
7  HERE MI SONG 5 7 62¼ 61¾   62¾ 52 (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00 6% 15.90 11.11  
5  BANGO 4 4 1nk 1nk   3.2 63½ (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.00 1.95  
2  LYKAN 2 5 52 83¼   73¼ 74½ (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 122 25.00 29.87  
3  DON'T FORGET 3 8 83¾ 72¾   85¾ 86¾ (shorter aaron)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 42.67  
12  SPRAWL 9 9 95¾ 95¼   96¾ 910¼ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 14.57  
SCR  HUEY ATTACK               (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 124 30.00    
SCR  KNEEDEEPINSNOW               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  MANNY WAH               (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRONGCONSTITUTION               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
 
ELP-9   07/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:112 1:23   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AMERICAN MAYHEM 9 10 115¼ 103¾ 62¼ 1nk 11¾ (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 42% 1.40 7.22 W
9  BAJ 8 6 41½ 4¼ 2nk 2nk 21¾ (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00 10% 9.20 6.12 P
13  SHIPMAN 12 8 94¾ 82 41¼ 31 33½ (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 11% 8.00 5.93 S
1  HEIR TO GREATNESS 1 1 2½ 2nk 31 61¾ 43½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 3.83  
8  INBOUND 7 9 63 72 51¾ 41¼ 54 (rodriguez gera)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 33.88  
5  PAID TWICE 4 12 105¼ 93½ 85¼ 73¼ 65 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 21.40  
3  KENTUCKY MIST 3 4 3½ 1nk 1nk 51¾ 76¾ (dyer john)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00 31.43  
6  HE'S A ANGEL 5 5 84½ 113¾ 96¾ 96¾ 89¼ (macias adolfo)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 5.89  
2  G FLAT 2 2 52½ 51¾ 74¼ 85¾ 911¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 15.17  
11  ROARING GAP 10 11 127¾ 125¾ 117¾ 108¼ 1011¾ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 8.00 45.01  
7  TEBOW 6 7 1½ 3.2 107¾ 1112¼ 1120 (vaccarezza ca)PENA JONUELLE 114 20.00 41.25  
12  OLD HICKORY 11 3 73½ 62 12100 12100 12100 (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00 16% 5.40 3.12  
SCR  AUTOPOLIS               (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  KALAKAUA               (mulcahy ge)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.