The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 23, 2022

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CNL-1   08/23/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:45
:224 :462 1:113 1:242   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI BALIFLY 7 3 2½ 21 13 16 110½ (huffman g)AVILES YAN 114 4.50 7.20  
MOM'S TOWN 2 5 5 32 23 26 210½ (rivelli larry)REYES LEONEL 119 2.00 19% 4.40 1.40 P
PHLOX 3 7 6 6 66 38 311½ (danner kelsey)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 6.00 15.60 S
PRINCIPIA 4 2 4 5 34 4412 (rodriguez m)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
LUCIDITY 1 1 31 42 45 510½ 518¼ (munoz carlos)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 13.80  
MISS GRAND SLAM 5 6 7 7 7 613½ 624¼ (rodriguez m)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 12.00 31.00  
SWAG IS ON 6 4 1½ 11 56 715½ 730¾ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 53% 0.90 1.50  
 
CNL-2   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:233 :471 1:121 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRAVAGANT ROSIE 5 6 53 52 5 1½ 1(sweezey kent)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 9% 10.50 5.70 W
PALM READER 6 5 4 41 4 42 2(graham edward)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 32% 2.20 2.80 P
MO FIRE 7 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 3(howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.50 6.70 S
REYNA DE VERANO 8 7 64 6 6 74(munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 123 8.00 24.60  
HOT CHOICE 2 1 7 73 7 65(howard c)AVILES YAN 118 4.50 5.40  
TAPERINEA 4 3 3 31 31 52 6(granitz j)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
WHITE LILACS 3 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 31 79 (pino v)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 4.00 31% 2.20 4.40  
STARTWITHABANG 1 8 814¼ 810 810¾ 811¾ 820¼ (sanchez-salomon rodolfo)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 5.50  
 
CNL-3   08/23/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
:231 :454 1:104 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASHTAG LUCKY 5 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1½ 1¼ (sanchez-salomon rodolfo)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 13% 6.80 3.30 W
FRECCIA D'ARGENTO 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 2½ 2¼ (sano antonio)AVILES YAN 113 10.00 7.20 P
GLOWSITY 1 6 42 32 4 33(sanchez-salomon rodolfo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50 3.50 S
WORLD OF WONDER 4 3 31 42 32 45 48 (hartman chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.00 23% 3.30 2.80  
BEACH BREEZE 6 4 63 5 5 57 511¾ (brown l)MORRISON AILSA 116 10.00 4.90  
TEXIAN 3 5 5 6 6 69 618¼ (mcgaughey iii)BOYCE FOREST 118 1.80 40% 1.50 3.50  
 
CNL-4   08/23/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:09
:234 :48 1:132 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G LAURIE 7 7 6 6 3.2 13 16 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 3.00  
DETERMINED CRUSH 2 6 2 21 2nk 23 26 (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 119 3.50 10% 8.60 2.30 P
KATIE GOT LUCKY 6 4 7 7 75 67 3(rubley kelly)ROCCO S 119 6.00 16.80  
EVERY TIME 3 2 1 11 1nk 34(brion keri)CARRASCO R 119 12.00 4.80  
WINGS OF A SONG 1 5 5 5 5 55(schoenthal phil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00 16.60  
TROPE 5 3 4 4 6 44 6(motion graham)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 4.00 7.00  
LUCK IN THE DUSK 4 1 3 31 4 77 713½ (danner kelsey)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 2.00 67% 0.50 2.60  
 
CNL-5   08/23/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
:223 :463 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANK YA PETE 2 1 1 1   11 11 (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00 20.70  
KAMIKAZE FOX 8 3 2 2   21 21 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00 0.50  
MOON SIGN 4 7 6 5   43(russell t)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50 15% 5.80 4.70 S
DRAGON RUN 3 6 5 6   343 (boniface c)AVILES YAN 114 2.00 22% 3.50 5.80  
NORTHERN WEIGELIA 6 4 43 33   54 5(figgins l)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 15.00 58.70  
RUFFLESNFLOURISHES 5 5 76 76   77 6(cooney s)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 12% 7.30 25.70  
BREWSINSKI 1 2 3 4   65 712¼ (salzman e)CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00 41.70  
BREEZE BABY 7 8 8 89   815 818¾ (kelly blake)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 10.00 13% 6.70 29.80  
BALI ROLLING TIDE 9 9 98 9   920 932 (werneth a)SUAREZ ANTHONY 119 5.00 14% 5.90 9.00  
 
CNL-6   08/23/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:23 :47 1:12 1:371   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST DEAL WITH IT 2 6 78 710 7 41½ (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00 17.70 W
NOBLE CROSS 3 1 1 12 1 12½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 123 6.00 5.40  
FREDISATEN 5 4 47 38 4 23¾ (nuesch patrick)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 3.00 44% 1.20 4.80 S
FAST PAYDAY 6 11 1010¼ 1114¼ 10 74 4(hester leanne)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00 33.60  
ONE LUCKY DAY 4 7 9 912¼ 8 65(o'connell kathleen)ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00 11.40  
NOMADIC FIGHTER 7 3 3 48 54 56(asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50 11% 8.20 2.90  
12  KID BOURBON 11 8 68 59 32 374 (aro c)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
10  SIMMS 9 9 8 810¼ 64 885 (contessa c)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 15.10  
CAUSE A STIR 1 5 5 6 9 999 (danner kelsey)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 16% 5.50 8.60  
STRATFORD 8 10 1110¼ 1014¼ 1110¼ 111010½ (rountree cathy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 87.30  
11  CHAOTIC TEMPO 10 2 2 22 2 108 1113½ (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 10.00 25.80  
SCR  STIMULUS MAKER               (mcmahon i)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 8.00    
 
CNL-7   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:24 :474 1:124 1:253   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALLYHOO PRINCE 1 1 3 27 22 11(nuesch patrick)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00 2.80  
UNCLE BERLEY 4 3 2 38 3 32(asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 6.00 2.70  
GENERAL STRIKE 6 4 1 17 12 23(magee kieron)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.00 24% 3.10 7.30 S
BLAME B B 3 2 56 510 5 44 44 (aguirre jr)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00 3.40  
TARAASHOQ 5 8 8 812½ 89 757 (parra hernan)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 13.10  
COASTAL CHAOS 8 6 6 611 6 67 6(cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 12.00 29.30  
THE LAST SCIP 7 7 45 49 4 57(merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50 50% 1.00 3.60  
MOTANAAFER 2 5 78 711 78 89 811¼ (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 20.00 36.70  
SCR  TAKE CHARGE TOO               (magee kieron)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
 
CNL-8   08/23/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:232 :481 1:124 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKAFUMI (BRZ) 1 3 6 6 5 33 1½ (maker j)KARAMANOS A 123 2.00 37% 1.70 0.20 W
CITY PLAN 4 1 1 1 1½ 12 2½ (zook w)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 15.00 P
FARLEY 7 5 55 4 32 22 32 (sano antonio)ARROYO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00 18.70 S
TOE CURLIN' KISS 2 4 4 5 63 66 4(magana j)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 6.00 10.90  
ACKER 6 8 810 77 75 76 5(abrams ronald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 20.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
MIRACLE SILVER 3 6 3 2 2½ 46(d'angelo francisco)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 32% 2.10 8.60  
BIG ONE 5 2 2 32 42 54 7(asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 12.00 15.80  
LOKOYA ROAD 8 7 78 8 810 816 819 (locklear james)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 47.00  
SCR  AMENDED               (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 12.00    
SCR  JAG               (contessa c)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
 
CNL-9   08/23/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
:223 :444 :563     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE ME DOWN 2 4 56 5   41(lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.00 7% 13.30 3.90 W
LONTANO 1 2 3 33   32 2(stidham michael)ROCCO S 122 5.00 11% 8.30 4.20 P
10  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) 10 1 1½ 1nk   13(vanden brittany)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00 6% 15.10 11.50 S
KOBE TOUGH 5 10 78 7   743 (keefe l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 15.80  
REED KAN 6 6 910 910½   55(asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00 7.10  
HAMMER LANE 7 3 2½ 2nk   26(cooper thomas)MORRISON AILSA 111 8.00 12.50  
GRAY ATTEMPT 9 8 67 6   67(hartman chris)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 35% 1.90 2.10  
STREET COPPER 4 9 1011½ 1010¾   98(trombetta j)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 15% 5.70 11.10  
THE CONNECTOR 8 5 4 46   89(hoffman mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 14.90  
LOVE YOU MUCH 3 7 89 8   1010(allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 33.30  
SCR  KINGPIN               (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 117 10.00    
 
CNL-10   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
:241 :481 1:132 1:26   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAD RIGHT 7 8 6 5 3.2 1nk 1¼ (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50 8% 12.30 2.10 W
GORUN 3 6 8 84 5½ 2nk 2¼ (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00 38% 1.60 8.10 P
THE THINKER 8 5 9 10 93 63(allen ferris)AVILES YAN 113 15.00 21.00  
10  MINEOLA MIKE 9 10 11 11 11 443 (deiter lynn)ARROYO S 118 8.00 10.90  
11  COCHISE 10 11 10 95 104 105(lovell michelle)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00 9.00  
12  LITTLE G T 11 7 4 4 4¼ 76(garza hector)MARTIN MATTIE 111 15.00 5% 18.80 45.60  
RECTANGLE 2 4 1nk 1nk 1nk 32 7(payne beale)MORRISON AILSA 117 20.00 49.80  
FIRST FORCE 6 3 31 3 6½ 88(aguirre jr)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 20.00 41.60  
BIG RED CARDINAL 1 9 7 7 7 53 910¾ (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 28% 2.60 3.40  
A C'S ANALYZER 4 2 5 6 8 111012¾ (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 2.70  
LUXURY BOY 5 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 94 1115 (reardon c)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 20.00 77.30  
SCR  MOCA MONSTER               (cooper thomas)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.