Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCIDITY Aug03 Jul26       (munoz carlos)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
2  MOM'S TOWN Aug03 Jul13       (rivelli larry)REYES LEONEL 119 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  PHLOX Jul19         (danner kel)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 6.00 ★    
4  PRINCIPIA Aug03 Jul17       (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS GRAND SLAM Aug17 Jul26 Jun26 May26   (rodrigue)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 12.00    
6  SWAG IS ON Jul26         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
7  BALI BALIFLY Aug17 Aug03       (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 114 4.50 ★    
 
CNL-2   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARTWITHABANG Aug14 Jul22 Jul10 Jul03 Jun11 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
2  HOT CHOICE Aug14 Jul16 Jun18 May12 Apr24 (howard c)AVILES YAN 118 4.50    
3  WHITE LILACS Jul05 Jun15 Apr29 Mar19   (pino michael )LYNCH FEARGAL 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  TAPERINEA Jul21 Jun16 May23     (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EXTRAVAGANT ROSIE Jul23 Jun02 May15 Mar27 Feb16 (sweezey ken)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 9% 10.50    
6  PALM READER         (graham ed)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 32% 2.20    
7  MO FIRE Aug03 Jul10 Jun19 May27 May14 (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.50 ★    
8  REYNA DE VERANO Jul26 Jul13 Apr24 Apr15 Mar20 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 123 8.00    
 
CNL-3   08/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOWSITY Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 Jun10 May27 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50 ★    
2  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Jun24 May19 Apr21 Feb27 Jan20 (sano antonio)AVILES YAN 113 10.00 ★    
3  TEXIAN Jul31 Jun26       (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  WORLD OF WONDER Jul24 Jun24 Jun09 May26 Apr28 (hartman ch)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  HASHTAG LUCKY Jul01 Jun17 May21 May01 Apr16 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 13% 6.80    
6  BEACH BREEZE Jul11 Apr30 Apr13 Mar20 Feb12 (brown donald)MORRISON AILSA 116 10.00    
 
CNL-4   08/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGS OF A SONG Aug01 Jul05 Jun14     (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
2  DETERMINED CRUSH Aug03         (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 3.50 10% 8.60    
3  EVERY TIME         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 12.00 ★    
4  LUCK IN THE DUSK Aug01         (danner kel)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 2.00 67% 0.50    
5  TROPE         (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 4.00 ★    
6  KATIE GOT LUCKY         (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 119 6.00    
7  G LAURIE         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 ★    
 
CNL-5   08/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREWSINSKI Aug01         (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
2  THANK YA PETE Aug01 Jul18       (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00    
3  DRAGON RUN Aug01 Jul06       (boniface c)AVILES YAN 114 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  MOON SIGN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
5  RUFFLESNFLOURISHES         (cooney s)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
6  NORTHERN WEIGELIA Jul28         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 15.00    
7  BREEZE BABY         (kelly bl)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 10.00 13% 6.70    
8  KAMIKAZE FOX Aug08 Jul18       (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.00    
9  BALI ROLLING TIDE         (werneth robe)SUAREZ ANTHONY 119 5.00 14% 5.90    
 
CNL-6   08/23/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE A STIR Jul23 Jun23 Apr01 Mar18 Feb11 (danner kel)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 16% 5.50    
2  JUST DEAL WITH IT Aug11 Jul15       (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  NOBLE CROSS Aug08 Jul20 Jul12 May26 Apr22 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
4  ONE LUCKY DAY Jul26 Jul04 May28 Apr24 Apr03 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00    
5  FREDISATEN Jul13         (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 3.00 44% 1.20    
SCR  STIMULUS MAKER Jul28 Jul02 Jun05 May15 Apr24 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 8.00    
7  FAST PAYDAY Jul01 Jun11 May26 Apr24 Mar27 (hester leanne)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
8  NOMADIC FIGHTER Aug15 Jul29 Jul10 Jun20   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50 11% 8.20    
9  STRATFORD Jul26 Jul12 May04 Apr10 Mar25 (rountree c)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
10  SIMMS Jun18 May26 Apr16 Mar19 Feb12 (contessa c)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
11  CHAOTIC TEMPO Aug08 Jul13 Jan08     (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
12  KID BOURBON Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 May23 Apr28 (aro c)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-7   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLYHOO PRINCE Jul13 Jun25       (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE TOO Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May26   (magee kieron)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
3  MOTANAAFER Aug01         (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 20.00    
4  BLAME B B Aug01 Jul03 May20     (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00 ★    
5  UNCLE BERLEY Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 May14 Apr07 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 6.00    
6  TARAASHOQ Jul01 Jan07       (parra hernan)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
7  GENERAL STRIKE Aug05 Jun18 Jun08 May07 Mar19 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  THE LAST SCIP Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 Jun04 May19 (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50 50% 1.00    
9  COASTAL CHAOS Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 May15 May04 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 12.00 ★    
 
CNL-8   08/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) Jul14 Jun25 Mar11 Jan22 Jan10 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  TOE CURLIN' KISS Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 (magana j)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 6.00    
3  MIRACLE SILVER Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 May08 (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
4  CITY PLAN Aug09 Jul20 Jul11 Jun24 May30 (zook w)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 ★    
5  BIG ONE Aug09 Aug02 Jun19 May08 Apr09 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 12.00    
6  ACKER Jun20 May09       (abrams ronald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  FARLEY (ARG) Jul20 Jul11 Jun18 May27 Apr30 (sano antonio)ARROYO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMENDED Aug16 Jul23 Jul17 Jul04 Jun26 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 12.00    
9  LOKOYA ROAD Aug09 Mar25 Feb26 Jan08   (locklear)BUTTERFLY L 123 20.00    
SCR  JAG Aug03 Jul14 Jul01 Jun15 May25 (contessa gary )BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
 
CNL-9   08/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONTANO Jul26 May28       (stidham michae)ROCCO S 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
2  STRIKE ME DOWN Jul27 May30 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.00 7% 13.30    
3  LOVE YOU MUCH Jul27 Jul03 May20     (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
4  STREET COPPER Jul14 Jun19       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
5  KOBE TOUGH Jul29 Jul03 May20 Apr23 Feb21 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00    
6  REED KAN Jul27 Jun30 May27 Apr30 Apr09 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00    
7  HAMMER LANE Jul11 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar19 (cooper thoma)MORRISON AILSA 111 8.00    
8  THE CONNECTOR Jul05 Jun19 May22 Mar25 Feb19 (hoffman ma)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
9  GRAY ATTEMPT Jul13 Jun21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan14 (hartman chris)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
10  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) May15 Mar12 Mar06 Jan21 Jan08 (vanden br)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  KINGPIN Aug17 Jun29 May22     (stidham michael)AVILES YAN 117 10.00    
 
CNL-10   08/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG RED CARDINAL Aug15 Jul29       (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MOCA MONSTER Aug17 Jul20 May21 Jan23   (cooper tho)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00    
3  RECTANGLE Aug10 Jul13 May19 May04   (payne beal)MORRISON AILSA 117 20.00    
4  GORUN Aug17 Jul18 Jun24 May21 May04 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00 38% 1.60    
5  A C'S ANALYZER         (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
6  LUXURY BOY Aug17 Aug02       (reardon )STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 20.00    
7  FIRST FORCE Jul31 May27       (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
8  HAD RIGHT Aug10 Jul13 May04 Apr20 Jan05 (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50 8% 12.30    
9  THE THINKER Jul12 Jun25 May08 Apr15 Mar19 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 113 15.00    
10  MINEOLA MIKE Jul23 Jul08       (deiter kelly)ARROYO S 118 8.00 ★    
11  COCHISE Mar25         (lovell miche)MENESES MARCOS 124 12.00    
12  LITTLE G T         (garza hector)MARTIN MATTIE 111 15.00 5% 18.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.