Handicappers' Race Results

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Kentucky Downs
Thursday - September 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KD-1   09/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:214 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CARNABY STREET 10 4 33 32   1nk 1 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 35% 1.90 1.45 W
MISS PEABODY 5 11 1116½ 1116½   9 2 (newton troy)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 42.06  
DESERT TEMPEST 3 6 45 46   4 3 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 4.31  
MASTER SOM 1 2 12 11   2nk 4 (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 18% 4.60 6.74  
DOT MARIE 6 7 9 7   67 5 (caramori eduardo)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 29.39  
BOUDICA 2 10 5 5   5 6 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 8.00 11.54  
DREAM ROLE 7 5 88 6   7 7 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 18.64  
FABULOSITY 9 1 22 21   32 810½ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 11.65  
EAST SHORE 8 9 1011 89   8 910¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 21.39  
11  I'M SO COZZE 11 8 7 910   1011¾ 1011¼ (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 53.62  
FLOWERDEW 4 3 6 1010½   1112 1112¼ (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.27  
SCR  DAGMAR               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
SCR  DIAS ALEGRES               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  LADY BARON               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  LOVE TANK               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  METAPHYSICAL               (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
 
KD-2   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:092 1:214   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWK OF WAR 7 8 7 7 6 4 1nk (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 46% 1.20 2.74 W
ARTIE'S RUMOR 9 5 5 5 45 1nk 2nk (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.67 P
12  FREEDOM MATTERS 12 1 4 31 3 63 3 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 121 4.50 22% 3.50 8.20 S
PALACE COUP 3 3 2nk 1nk 22 2nk 4 (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.02  
LEBLON 8 6 6 4 55 52 5 (foster eric)LOPEZ E 121 20.00 94.06  
BE HERE 6 2 1nk 2nk 12 31 6 (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 4.17  
ARGENTELLO (IRE) 5 10 10 10 8 8 7 (murphy conor)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 4.59  
HAIG POINT 4 7 8 8 7 7 8 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 35.52  
11  ERON DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) 11 9 9 9 910 9 9 (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 40.86  
10  ATTORNEY TIM 10 12 1112¼ 1214½ 1113¼ 106 10 (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 29.05  
JIMMY DAN 2 11 1212½ 1113½ 1013 1110 1116¼ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 31.08  
BARRISTER TOM 1 4 3 6 1218¼ 1215 1231¼ (ewing a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 15.10  
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL               (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
SCR  DYNABLUE               (poulos dee)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  MAX EXPRESS               (lauer michael)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT               (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 116 12.00    
 
KD-3   09/01/2022 6930ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:152 1:402   2:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIBURNUM 6 4 44 43 3 31 1nk (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 10% 9.10 4.60 W
FEDERALIST PAPERS 7 21 2 2½ 21 1nk 2nk (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 14% 6.30 4.08 P
FAIRCHILD 3 11 1 1½ 11 2nk 3.15 (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 122 1.40 44% 1.30 1.08 S
ROUGHLY A DIAMOND 2 7 66 65 53 4 4¼ (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 8.55  
RUSSIAN MAFIA 5 66 77 75 7 5 57 (rodriguez edua)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 10% 8.70 8.18  
DESIGNER READY 4 5 5 54 65 6 6 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 9.81  
DANCE WARRIOR 1 3 33 32 4 7 79 (o'dwyer jeremiah)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 33.11  
 
KD-4   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:123 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENDEL'S SECRET 6 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 1hd (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 7.03  
12  DECANTED 12 1 44 44 2½ 2nk 2hd (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 20% 4.00 12.51 P
JUNIPERO SERRA 9 9 7 6 53 4 3 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 16.40  
FORTUNE 3 5 3 32 4 3 4 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 8.39  
EVALUATE (IRE) 2 12 10 8 7 6 5 (brown c)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 8.94  
SIVAKO 1 11 9 10 9 7 6 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 22.28  
DONEGAL FACTOR 4 3 5 5 6 5 7 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 3.60  
BAYTOWN BEAVER 5 6 6 7 8 8 812½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 ######  
THE RED FOX 7 8 11 1110¾ 1112¾ 11 915¼ (brown chad )LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 8.43  
10  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 10 10 8 98 10 9 1017¼ (toye l)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 78.26  
11  MARGARET BURBIDGE 11 2 2 21 3 10 1120¾ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 116 3.00 19% 4.20 2.19  
LOTS OF MISCHIEF 8 7 1212¾ 1214¼ 1221¾ 1221½ 1259½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 37.01  
SCR  HOME SCHOOL (IRE)               (nihei michell)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 30.00    
SCR  LAVER               (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  LET ME LOVE YOU               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  RED ROUTE ONE               (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
 
KD-5   09/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THUNDERING CREED 9 6 6 6   1nk 1¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 20.00 13.35  
12  LEMOS CUNHA 11 11 1111 11   6 2¾ (caramori ed)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 20.00 48.83  
RED GHOST 2 2 23 31   2nk 31 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 38% 1.60 5.66 S
RISKY REWARD 7 4 5 4   42 4 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.23  
11  SARANYA 10 8 1010 9   53 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 3.82  
MINER'S QUEEN 1 1 34 2½   3½ 6 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 32.91  
SOCIAL CHATTER 3 9 9 10   10 7 (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 5.17  
AMALFI PRINCESS 5 10 88 7   9 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 28% 2.60 3.40  
PYRAMID PRINCESS 4 7 77 8   11 9 (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 20.00 83.70  
PHANTOM VISION 6 5 4 5   74 106 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 8.33  
MUSIC CITY STAR 8 3 13 1½   8 116 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 20.00 66.78  
SCR  ARM CANDY (IRE)               (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 122 4.50    
SCR  FOREIGN EXCHANGE               (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00    
SCR  RECODED               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  SIGNIFY               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 7% 12.90    
SCR  SOUPER MUNNINGS               (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 122 4.50    
 
KD-6   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:13
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:111 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED GENIUS 7 7 7 74 5 53 1nk (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 1.60 2.87  
RONSTADT 5 1 5 53 3½ 1½ 2nk (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 6.73 P
NATIONAL SECURITY 3 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 3½ 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 65% 0.50 1.98 S
THE PENINSULA 2 2 4 3 42 4 4 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 15.65  
BONUS APPRECIATION 6 8 8 8 8 6 5 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 14.22  
UNLEASH THE POWER 4 6 6 63 6 7 6 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 14.04  
JUST CALL RAY 9 9 96 95 9 8 7 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 4.06  
CAN'T HUSH THIS 8 5 1nk 1½ 1nk 2½ 8 (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 10% 9.10 14.07  
PATH TO SUCCESS 1 4 3 42 7 9 98 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 119 20.00 84.62  
 
KD-7   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:092 1:211   1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX K. O. 5 2 42 32 1nk 12 1 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 5.00 31% 2.20 8.21 W
RUNNIN' RAY 8 1 1½ 2½ 32 32 2 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 8% 11.20 11.67 P
ACCREDIT 6 7 6 54 4 4 3 (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5.10  
THERAPIST 1 10 10 10 8 6 4 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 1.51  
LAMPLIGHTER JACK 4 3 2½ 1½ 2nk 22 54 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 122 8.00 7% 13.90 5.90  
11  ENDORSED 10 5 32 4 5 5 6 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 22.14  
12  SPA CITY 11 6 5 64 6 7 7 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 25% 3.10 10.72  
CUPID'S CLAWS 7 11 9 7 7 8 8 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 17.31  
SPRAWL 3 8 8 8 9 912¾ 917¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 35.35  
SONNEMAN 2 9 11 11 1012¼ 1017¾ 1020½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 24.48  
10  LONG RANGE TODDY 9 4 7 9 1112¾ 1119¾ 1133¼ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 20.24  
SCR  NEXT               (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
 
KD-8   09/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STORM KISS 10 11 3½ 1   2nk 1nk (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 14% 6.00 10.22 W
SHANNON 8 8 2½ 2   1nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 27% 2.70 2.95 P
DUPLICITOUS 7 6 7 6   33 3 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 18.40  
FAST AS FLIGHT 9 9 6 4   5 4 (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 17% 4.80 3.81  
11  AALIYAH EZRI 11 10 9 7   8 5 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 17.70  
CODE FOR SUCCESS 1 1 12 8   6 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 30.37  
HEY KITTEN 6 7 11 99   96 7 (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 16% 5.20 3.99  
TWO SIXTYONE 2 2 4 54   7 8 (king barry )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 4.88  
PLUS CHIC 5 4 1½ 32   4 9 (boyce michel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 33.25  
13  CUZZYWUZZY 12 12 10 1011   10 10 (guerrero sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 67.71  
TETELLA 3 3 5 1113   1113½ 1123 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 20.00 5% 19.00 63.35  
ELEGANT JOY 4 5 8 1217   1221½ 1243¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 12.44  
SCR  DAISY BEE               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
SCR  INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE)               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00    
SCR  SEDUCE               (motion gra)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00    
SCR  SHELL SHOCK               (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
 
KD-9   09/01/2022 5490ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:09 1:34   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAW PROFESSOR 7 3 2nk 3 32 1nk 1½ (atras rob)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 9.55  
13  SPANISH KINGDOM 11 10 5 2½ 1 2nk 2½ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 15.51  
SHADOW SPHINX 5 9 107 9 8 42 3 (miller peter)ROCCO S 126 20.00 5% 19.00 34.31 S
FLORIFORM 4 5 72 52 2 3 4 (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 22% 3.60 3.85  
12  IN LOVE (BRZ) 10 8 84 8 6 5 5 (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50 2.27  
RAMSEY SOLUTION 1 7 31 6 53 6 6 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 8.00 30% 2.40 4.23  
SOUPER DORMY 2 6 6 7 7 74 75 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 122 12.00 24.69  
10  SKYRO 8 2 4 42 9 8 810¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 11.44  
NEW YEAR SURPRISE 6 11 1111½ 10 1011¼ 1011½ 911½ (dorochenko gennad)VEGA L 122 30.00 ######  
11  MEGACITY 9 1 1nk 1½ 42 9 1018 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 7.22  
PEACE ACHIEVED 3 4 97 1113¾ 11100 11100 11100 (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 17.42  
SCR  ATONE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  BAKERS BAY               (mcgaughey c)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  LIKE THE KING               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEWSWORTHY               (mott william )PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00    
 
KD-10   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:102 1:222   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AXTHELM 7 5 3 2 21 2nk 1nk (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 120 8.00 7.19  
GROWTH CAPITAL 3 2 1 1 11 1nk 2nk (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 21% 3.80 1.84 P
TOLKIEN 6 7 53 43 3 3 3 (vaccarezza carl)PENA JONUELLE 114 15.00 57.63  
11  BLUE DEVIL 11 10 43 5 510 6 4 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 12% 7.50 2.79  
MIRACLE ON ICE 2 12 1210¼ 10 610 76 5 (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00 5% 18.80 53.17  
10  ANDY CANT 10 9 8 9 1011 5 67 (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00 15.64  
MINT 8 4 2 32 47 4 7 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 34% 1.90 11.92  
AMBASSADOR MIKE 1 6 10 11 1111½ 88 8 (matejka pave)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 30.00 73.67  
12  LEVITY 12 11 9 75 710¼ 9 910 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 9.58  
ARCH EGO 9 8 6 6 810¼ 1010 1014¼ (drury j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 14.27  
LOLAS BEAU 5 1 7 8 910½ 1212 1116¾ (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 115 30.00 ######  
HEIR TO GREATNESS 4 3 11 12 1213½ 1112 1218 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 9.08  
SCR  INBOUND               (rodriguez gerard)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
SCR  NASHOBA'S JOY               (morey e)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
SCR  RUTHLESS INTENT               (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 10.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME               (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.