Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Kentucky Downs
Thursday - September 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KD-1   09/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER SOM         (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  BOUDICA Aug10         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 8.00    
3  DESERT TEMPEST         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
4  FLOWERDEW Jul31         (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS PEABODY         (newton troy)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
6  DOT MARIE Jul23 Jun17       (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 119 15.00    
7  DREAM ROLE         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
8  EAST SHORE Jul23 Jun17       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
9  FABULOSITY Jul31         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
10  CARNABY STREET         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
11  I'M SO COZZE         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
SCR  DIAS ALEGRES         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  METAPHYSICAL Aug06         (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  DAGMAR Jul31         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
SCR  LOVE TANK Aug05 Jun30 Jun05     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  LADY BARON         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
 
KD-2   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRISTER TOM Jun19 Jun05 Feb26     (ewing michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
2  JIMMY DAN Aug06 Jul18 May20 Apr22 Mar10 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
3  PALACE COUP Jul21 Jun18 Mar19 Jan29   (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAIG POINT Jul15 May20 Mar17 Jan08   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
5  ARGENTELLO (IRE) Apr20         (murphy con)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
6  BE HERE Aug14 Jun04 May05 Apr27   (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 ★    
7  HAWK OF WAR Aug06 Jul15 Jun20 May13 Apr21 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
8  LEBLON Aug06 Jul01 Jun02 Apr27 Mar26 (foster eric)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
9  ARTIE'S RUMOR May24 Mar19 Feb26 Feb10   (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  ATTORNEY TIM Jul16 Jun03 Mar12 Feb10 Jan13 (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
11  ERON DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) Jul04 May20       (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00    
12  FREEDOM MATTERS Jul20 Jun12 Apr22 Mar27 Mar02 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  MAX EXPRESS Aug24 Jun23 Jun08 May10   (lauer michae)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT Aug20 Jul09 May13 Apr21 Mar06 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 116 12.00    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Jul23         (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
SCR  DYNABLUE Aug20 Jul30 Jun18 May27 May06 (poulos dee)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
 
KD-3   09/01/2022 6930ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE WARRIOR Jun12 May08 Mar20     (o'dwyer jeremiah)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
2  ROUGHLY A DIAMOND Jul23 Apr29 Mar12 Feb05 Jan01 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00    
3  FAIRCHILD Jul16 May29       (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
4  DESIGNER READY Jun24 May26 Apr23     (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 ★    
5  RUSSIAN MAFIA Jul17 Jun18 Mar26 Mar12 Feb13 (rodriguez ed)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 10% 8.70    
6  VIBURNUM Aug13 Jul11 Jun08 May12 Apr20 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
7  FEDERALIST PAPERS Jun05 Apr27 Feb10     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
KD-4   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIVAKO Jul16 Jun23       (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00    
2  EVALUATE (IRE)         (brown c)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  FORTUNE Aug12         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
4  DONEGAL FACTOR         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
5  BAYTOWN BEAVER Aug22         (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
6  MENDEL'S SECRET         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
7  THE RED FOX         (brown cha)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
8  LOTS OF MISCHIEF         (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
9  JUNIPERO SERRA Jul15         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
10  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA         (toye kara)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
11  MARGARET BURBIDGE Jul24         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 116 3.00 19% 4.20    
12  DECANTED         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Aug05         (nihei miche)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 119 30.00    
SCR  LET ME LOVE YOU Aug10         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  RED ROUTE ONE Aug06         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
SCR  LAVER Jul24         (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
 
KD-5   09/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINER'S QUEEN Aug03 Jul04 Jun12 May21 Feb24 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
2  RED GHOST Aug07 May27 Mar04     (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  RECODED Aug14 Aug07 Jul02 May29 May03 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
4  SOCIAL CHATTER Aug07 Jul18 Jun19     (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
5  PYRAMID PRINCESS Aug07 Mar05 Feb19 Jan28   (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 20.00    
6  AMALFI PRINCESS Jul27 Jun22 May13 Apr08   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  PHANTOM VISION Jul27 May20 Apr16 Mar10 Jan23 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
8  RISKY REWARD Apr16 Mar13 Feb13 Jan06   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MUSIC CITY STAR Aug13 Jun04 Apr28 Mar09 Feb17 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 20.00    
10  THUNDERING CREED Aug06 Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar19 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 20.00    
11  SARANYA Jun22 Apr23       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
12  LEMOS CUNHA Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 May29 Apr30 (caramori eduardo)PARKER L 122 20.00    
SCR  ARM CANDY (IRE) Mar10 Jan30       (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  SIGNIFY Jul13 May29       (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 7% 12.90    
SCR  SOUPER MUNNINGS Jun04         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 122 4.50    
SCR  FOREIGN EXCHANGE Jul11 Jun25 May23 Apr30 Apr08 (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00    
 
KD-6   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATH TO SUCCESS Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 119 20.00    
2  THE PENINSULA Aug20 Jul23 Apr15 Apr09 Feb11 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00    
3  NATIONAL SECURITY Jul24 May16       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 65% 0.50    
4  UNLEASH THE POWER Jul23 Jun19 May07     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
5  RONSTADT Jul27 Jun24       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 ★    
6  BONUS APPRECIATION Jul23 Jul08       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
7  WICKED GENIUS May19 Apr14 Feb11 Jan14   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 1.60 ★    
8  CAN'T HUSH THIS Jul24 Jun29 May20 Mar26 Feb19 (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 10% 9.10    
9  JUST CALL RAY Aug01 Jul04 Jun19 Mar06 Feb04 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 ★    
 
KD-7   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERAPIST May30 Apr30 Apr09     (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 ★    
2  SONNEMAN Jul16 Jun16 Apr30 Apr02 Mar13 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
3  SPRAWL Jul24 Jun25 May26 Feb19 Jan22 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
SCR  NEXT Jul16 May20 Apr16 Mar10   (cowans wi)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
5  LAMPLIGHTER JACK Jul10 Jun10 May01 Apr01 Feb24 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 122 8.00 7% 13.90    
6  MAX K. O. Jul18 Jun12 May05 Mar27 Mar02 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
7  ACCREDIT         (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
8  CUPID'S CLAWS Aug07 Apr02 Feb25 Jan01   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
9  RUNNIN' RAY Jul09 May21 Apr02 Feb19 Jan08 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
10  LONG RANGE TODDY Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 May07 Apr09 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
11  ENDORSED Aug06 Jun05 May07 Apr09 Mar05 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
12  SPA CITY Jul09 Jun23 Apr22 Mar05 Feb11 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 25% 3.10    
 
KD-8   09/01/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODE FOR SUCCESS Aug06 Jun23 May28     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
2  TWO SIXTYONE Jul09 Jun17 Jun08 May07   (king barr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00    
3  TETELLA Aug02 Jun28 Jun11     (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELEGANT JOY Jul31         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
5  PLUS CHIC Aug02 Feb23       (boyce mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
6  HEY KITTEN Jul31 Jun11       (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 16% 5.20    
7  DUPLICITOUS Aug07 Jul08 Jun23 Apr29 Apr08 (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
8  SHANNON Jul31 Apr22       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
9  FAST AS FLIGHT Feb10 Jan15       (lynch brian )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
10  STORM KISS Aug12 Apr22 Jan14     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 14% 6.00    
11  AALIYAH EZRI Aug06 Jul08 May27 Apr13   (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
SCR  SEDUCE Aug13 Jun15 May26     (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00    
13  CUZZYWUZZY Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 May12 Apr20 (guerrero )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
SCR  INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE) Aug10 Jun23 Apr23 Apr09   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00    
SCR  SHELL SHOCK Jul31 Jul03 Apr22     (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
SCR  DAISY BEE         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
 
KD-9   09/01/2022 5490ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMSEY SOLUTION Jun18         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 8.00 30% 2.40    
2  SOUPER DORMY Jul17 Jun11 Apr09 Mar18   (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 122 12.00    
SCR  LIKE THE KING Jul30 Jun04 Apr20     (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PEACE ACHIEVED Jul09         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  ATONE Aug04 Jul15 May21 Apr15 Jan29 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  FLORIFORM Aug04 Jul03 Jun04 Apr27 Feb05 (mott willi)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
7  SHADOW SPHINX Aug13 Jul24 Jun04 May07 Mar27 (miller peter)ROCCO S 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Aug15 Jul31 Mar10 Feb19 Jan22 (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 122 30.00    
9  LAW PROFESSOR Apr02 Mar05 Feb05     (atras rob)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
10  SKYRO Jul04 May20 Apr27 Mar13 Jan30 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
11  MEGACITY Jul16 May21 Apr10     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
12  IN LOVE (BRZ) Jun11 Apr15       (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50    
13  SPANISH KINGDOM Jul31 Jun22 May05 Feb14   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  BAKERS BAY Aug16 Jul27 Apr02 Jan29   (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  NEWSWORTHY         (mott willia)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00    
 
KD-10   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMBASSADOR MIKE Aug12 Jun22 May13     (matejka pa)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 30.00    
2  MIRACLE ON ICE Aug16 Jul12 Jun01 May11   (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00 5% 18.80    
3  GROWTH CAPITAL Jul22 Jun24 Apr16 Feb26   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  HEIR TO GREATNESS Jul24 Jun17       (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
5  LOLAS BEAU Jul09 Jun22 May13 Apr29 Apr02 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 115 30.00    
6  TOLKIEN Jul23 Jun20 May13 Apr13 Mar09 (vaccarezza ca)PENA JONUELLE 114 15.00    
7  AXTHELM Jul17         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 8.00    
8  MINT         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
9  ARCH EGO Jul24 Jun17       (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
10  ANDY CANT Jan06         (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00    
11  BLUE DEVIL Aug12 Jun05 Apr02     (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
12  LEVITY Aug12 Jul15       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00    
SCR  NASHOBA'S JOY         (morey william)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
SCR  INBOUND Jul24         (rodriguez gera)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
SCR  RUTHLESS INTENT Jul01 May21       (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 10.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME Aug12 Jul27 Jun05 Apr30 Apr01 (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.