The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Ellis Park
Friday - August 12, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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ELP-1   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:261 :504 1:151 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY SHE DEW DAT 1 1 2 2½ 11 13 15 (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 2.79  
JUST GET IT 3 4 45 3 21 23 25 (margolis r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 4.78  
SWEET TRUFFLES 2 2 1 1½ 3 3311 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.70 S
JOEZINE 4 3 3 4 44 4448½ (macias adolfo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.00 26% 2.90 4.28  
SCR  BARRETT               (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.60    
SCR  MISS KITTY PIE               (randazzo c)DIEGO JAVIER 118 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
ELP-2   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
:231 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE NICK 7 1 2nk 11   113 (vaccarezza carlo)PENA JONUELLE 114 1.20 37% 1.70 1.09 W
PRIVATE CONNIE 4 3 3 33   33 23 (hancock a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 13% 6.80 2.95 P
HONORABLE VOW 1 7 6 78   78 35 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 12.00 5.64 DH
INDIAN SPRINGS 3 4 4 5   435 (campbell h)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00 56.74 DH
RIVER STONES 2 6 78 6   55(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00 18.29  
TRIPLE CHROME 6 2 1nk 21   266 (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 119 2.50 20% 4.10 3.75  
STAVANGER 5 5 55 46   67(hamilton sarah)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 9% 9.90 18.54  
 
ELP-3   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
:242 :484 1:133 1:253   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDACE O 1 1 23 2 2½ 111 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 1.87  
FAIR GAME 3 4 35 4 32 32 21 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 3.39 P
JEZEBEL'S KITTEN 2 3 56 5 42 233 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 1.80 1.64 S
SOUTHERN SKY 5 6 6 6 54 55 4(royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 118 8.00 28.57  
SISTER ANNIE 4 2 13 1 1½ 45(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 68% 0.50 4.06  
ENGLISH 6 5 46 3 6 6612½ (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 15.00 34.70  
 
ELP-4   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
:223 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORO DE MORO MORO 5 3 31 2nk   1nk 1(morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 15% 5.60 1.48 W
RIKIO 1 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 2(beckman whitworth)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 3.44 P
AWESOME CHARGE 3 2 43 4   35 3(diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 124 1.20 38% 1.70 1.72 S
CAT FIVE 4 5 55 5   4412 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 27% 2.70 8.12  
SECRET EDGE 6 6 66 6   6513¼ (hancock l)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 54.14  
GEM DANCER 2 1 2½ 3   5621 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 119 3.50 10.23  
SCR  LISA'S GUY               (french r)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
 
ELP-5   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
:263 :524 1:172 1:284   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEER DISTRICT 4 5 2 21 2½ 1nk 1nk (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 1.45  
HARD TO COME BY 7 4 4 42 42 32nk (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 8.62  
BLUFF CITY 8 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 3(catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00 5% 19.00 10.43 S
SHERLOCK'S JEWEL 3 3 3 32 5 44(mcgaughey iii)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 11.71  
FORTUNE 6 8 7 74 7 55(walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00 15.95  
CRAFTY KING 5 6 6 6 6 66(casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 13.54  
TRAFFIC MASTER 1 7 9 9 9 810¼ 712¾ (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 6.05  
10  MR BINGO 9 9 5 5 32 7813 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5.60  
THUNDERIAN 2 1 8 85 8 911¼ 917 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50 18% 4.40 7.72  
SCR  CAJUN BLAST               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  GHENT               (hamilton sarah)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
SCR  MCENROE               (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  OSCAR ECLIPSE               (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  THE BOOKKEEPER               (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
 
ELP-6   08/12/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
:23 :46 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUD LOVIN 3 3 11 1½   13 1(maker j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 2.58  
MERAJ 4 1 21 3½   32(asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 46% 1.20 1.42 P
BEN DREAMING 1 8 8 8   7310½ (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 21.53 S
MEMPHIS PHAROAH 5 6 4 42   44 410½ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 15% 5.70 10.65  
BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 6 2 31 2½   23 510¾ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 13.99  
BLAMETHEGOODTIMES 7 4 53 6   5613 (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00 14.84  
LAST COOKIE 8 9 9 9   9714½ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 17% 4.90 6.87  
HARDY CHOICE 9 5 7 7   6815¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 15.33  
BARRY'S MUSIC 2 7 6 5   8920¼ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 12.00 12.76  
 
ELP-7   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:222 :454 :571     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTER JOHN 5 2 11 11   11 1½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 32% 2.10 1.75 W
MUMAYAZ 3 7 52 5   52½ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 10.00  
SWITZER 1 5 4 42   31 3(moquett e)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50 4.31  
TWIRLING ROSES 7 1 21 21   42 4(rodriguez eduardo)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 5% 19.00 5.96  
OF THE MOMENT 2 6 63 8   65(williamson brian)LOPEZ E 122 10.00 8.28  
1A  KENNESAW 9 3 31 31   21 6(rodriguez eduardo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 5.96  
SPEND BENJAMINS 6 8 7 63   77(gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 36.57  
10  STELLAR TAP 8 9 8 7   886 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 118 6.00 10% 9.00 4.27  
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 4 4 9 9   99(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 8.71  
SCR  FLAGS UP               (baker james)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
SCR  ON K P               (rednour jr)COURT K 122 15.00    
SCR  PRESTONSBIRD               (richardson tim)HERRFORTH ERICA 112 20.00    
SCR  SAND MOUNTAIN               (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00 31% 2.20    
 
ELP-8   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
:234 :473 1:124 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ENCOURAGE 9 6 5 56 5 3½ 1nk (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 6.74  
BLUE DEVIL 2 2 2nk 2 2nk 2½ 2nk (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 2.50 60% 0.70 0.71 P
SILVER BLUR 1 1 44 46 4 1½ 3(calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 14% 6.30 6.90 S
LEVITY 8 7 33 35 31 41 4(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 6.50  
FAITH RUNNER 7 5 6 6 7 55(stewart dallas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 19.04  
PREDOMINATE 3 8 1015¼ 1016 911 9612¼ (catalano m)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00 28.10  
HABITUS 4 4 7 7 6 6714¼ (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 50.19  
SPUNS SON 5 9 912¼ 914½ 88 89 816¾ (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 118 30.00 86.96  
MUCHO MOJO 6 3 1nk 1 1nk 78 918¼ (foster eric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 10.15  
13  GET THROUGH 10 10 810¼ 813½ 1014 1024¼ 10100 (combs bentley)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 28.05  
SCR  BLUEGRASS ROYALE               (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  GRAND CAY               (mcgaughey iii)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON ICE               (hughes g)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR ON TRUTH               (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME               (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.