Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Friday - August 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARRETT         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.60    
WHY SHE DEW DAT Jul29 Jun19       (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
SCR  MISS KITTY PIE Jul16 Jun25 May17 May03   (randazzo c)DIEGO JAVIER 118 8.00 12% 7.40    
SWEET TRUFFLES Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 May05 Mar17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
JUST GET IT Jul17 Jun26       (margolis steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
JOEZINE Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11   (macias adolfo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
ELP-2   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORABLE VOW Jun24 Jun11 May22     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 12.00    
RIVER STONES Jun02 Apr30 Mar25 Mar09   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
INDIAN SPRINGS Jul31 Jul16       (campbell dona)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
PRIVATE CONNIE Jul16 Jun19 Jan02     (hancock joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
STAVANGER Jul29 Jun24 Apr24 Feb21 Feb03 (hamilton sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 9% 9.90    
TRIPLE CHROME Jul23 Jul08 Jun11     (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
UNCLE NICK Jul31 Jul03 Jun18     (vaccarezza carl)PENA JONUELLE 114 1.20 37% 1.70    
 
ELP-3   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDACE O Jul08 Feb25       (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
JEZEBEL'S KITTEN May19 Apr24 Mar12 Feb05   (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 1.80    
FAIR GAME Jul17 May19 Apr24 Mar18   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 4.00    
SISTER ANNIE Jul10 Jun10 May11 Mar09   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
SOUTHERN SKY Jul18 Feb24 Jan16     (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 118 8.00    
ENGLISH Jul24 Jun17 Jun03 Apr23   (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIKIO Jul16 Jul01 Apr16     (beckman wh)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
GEM DANCER Jul10 Jun18       (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 119 3.50    
SCR  LISA'S GUY         (french wayne )PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
AWESOME CHARGE         (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 124 1.20 38% 1.70    
CAT FIVE         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
ORO DE MORO MORO Jul31         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
SECRET EDGE         (hancock l)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAFFIC MASTER         (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
THUNDERIAN         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50 18% 4.40    
SHERLOCK'S JEWEL         (mcgaughey i)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
DEER DISTRICT Jun30         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
CRAFTY KING Jul15         (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
FORTUNE         (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00    
SCR  CAJUN BLAST Jul10 Jun30       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
HARD TO COME BY Jun30         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
BLUFF CITY Jul16 Jun23       (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  MR BINGO Jul02         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  GHENT Jul24 Jun26       (hamilton sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
SCR  OSCAR ECLIPSE Jul24         (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  THE BOOKKEEPER Jul30         (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
SCR  MCENROE         (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
ELP-6   08/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEN DREAMING         (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
BARRY'S MUSIC         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 12.00    
STUD LOVIN         (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
MERAJ Jul08         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 46% 1.20    
MEMPHIS PHAROAH Jul16         (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS         (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
BLAMETHEGOODTIMES         (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
LAST COOKIE         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
HARDY CHOICE         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
 
ELP-7   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING ROSES Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 May15 May08 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
1A  KENNESAW Jul24 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May14 (rodriguez e)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
SWITZER Jun22 Apr28 Mar23 Feb12 Jan15 (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50    
SCR  ON K P Jun24 May14 May06 Apr02 Jan07 (rednour jr)COURT K 122 15.00    
OF THE MOMENT Jul24 Jul09 May13 Apr21 Apr08 (williamson brian)LOPEZ E 122 10.00    
SCR  PRESTONSBIRD         (richardson ti)HERRFORTH ERICA 112 20.00    
MUMAYAZ Jul04 Jun11 Apr23 Mar26 Feb26 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Jul08 Jun19 May29 Mar26   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00    
HUNTER JOHN Jul22 May07 Apr24 Apr03 Mar13 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
SPEND BENJAMINS Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 May22 Apr30 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
10  STELLAR TAP Jul10 Jun22 Jun04 Apr23 Apr01 (hawley wesley)LANERIE J 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  SAND MOUNTAIN Jun24 May20       (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  FLAGS UP Jun19 May22       (baker james)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
 
ELP-8   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER BLUR Jul10 Jun17 May22     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
BLUE DEVIL Jun05 Apr02       (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
PREDOMINATE Jul01 May20       (catalano wayn)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00    
HABITUS (GB) Jul24 May13 Apr29 Apr05 Mar15 (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
SCR  WAR ON TRUTH Jul09         (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
SPUNS SON Jul23 May15 May07 Apr16 Mar25 (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 118 30.00    
MUCHO MOJO Jul10 Jun26 Jun03 Apr02 Mar12 (foster eric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
FAITH RUNNER Jun26 May15 Mar03 Jan22   (stewart dall)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
LEVITY Jul15         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
10  ENCOURAGE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET May21 Apr16       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  BLUEGRASS ROYALE May20         (devaux cher)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
13  GET THROUGH         (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
SCR  GRAND CAY Jul14 May20 Apr23 Feb25 Jan02 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON ICE Jul12 Jun01 May11     (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME Jul27 Jun05 Apr30 Apr01   (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.