The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lonestar Park
Saturday - July 16, 2022

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LS-1   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
:23 :472 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETONOUTTAHERE 4 2 12 1½   1½ 1(rossi j)ERAMIA E 120 10.00 12% 7.40 8.90 W
A BIT EDGY 5 6 6 41   2½ 2(caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 4.50 14% 6.00 2.80 P
PUT A BOW ON IT 3 1 22 2½   33(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 35% 1.90 1.80 S
FARASINO 6 3 5 52   45 4(scholl g)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.40 2.30  
MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL 2 4 44 6   6513½ (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 123 15.00 11.40  
CRAFTY WARRIOR 7 5 32 31   57 614 (caldwell r)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 6% 14.50 10.90  
MOVE FORWARD ESSIE 1 7 715¼ 712½   717½ 727¼ (lockett lee)MATA U 123 30.00 19.00  
SCR  VERNONSWEETBETTY               (wright a)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
 
LS-2   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
:221 :454 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSCARETTE 3 2 2nk 1½   11(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 13% 6.50 1.30 W
SUMMER LIGHTNING 5 1 31 2½   22(dodwell dale)DIEGO V 120 2.00 49% 1.00 3.00 P
TYLER'S DREAM 6 5 46 4   339 (green greg)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 4.00 S
CATO'S LADY 2 4 59 5   47 415 (whitelaw r)MORA GERARDO 120 4.00 12% 7.00 4.90  
TIME BREAK 4 6 612 611   610½ 516½ (hughes timothy)TORRES A 123 20.00 11.20  
CHIVE UP 1 3 1nk 3   58 631½ (calhoun bret)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00 8.80  
 
LS-3   07/16/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
:223 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE EROS 1 6 7 77   2½ 1(caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 1.80 24% 3.20 2.70 W
KISS ME D ORO 3 4 4 3   3½ 2(loma p)INIRIO J 122 10.00 11.70 P
BREW CREW 7 7 6 55   53(jacks e)DE CRUZ 122 1.40 47% 1.10 1.50 S
DEL MOON 6 3 22 23   41 45 (donaldson jerry)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
GETTINHOT'NHERE 5 1 12 13   1½ 59 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 4.90  
LUCKY BREAK 2 5 5 6   6615 (govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
WINDIGO SPIRIT 4 2 32 4   74 715¼ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 12.00 17.90  
 
LS-4   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:24
:233 :464 1:113     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL IN FOR LUTE 4 4 2½ 1nk   12 1(trout r)ALVAREZ L 122 1.20 65% 0.50 1.00 W
FLEXATI 3 5 52 52   32(bravo francisco)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00 8.10 P
MY HARBORS DREAM 5 1 1½ 2nk   22 37 (tracy greg)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 10% 9.10 3.40 S
TEXAS BAD BOY 6 3 41 3½   44(caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.50 4.70  
DURANGO JESS 1 2 31 4   53 5(calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 6.90  
GOLD ACCOUNT 2 6 6 66   618 634 (eoff terry)TORRES A 122 20.00 10.20  
SCR  ESCROW STYLE               (tracy greg)WETHEY JR 121 12.00    
 
LS-5   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
:233 :48 1:122 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRCHILD 4 2 31 31 2nk 11(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 3.00 2.80  
DISAPPEARING ACT 6 3 6 6 5 52(baltas richard)BRAVO J 123 2.00 2.00  
QUINN ELLA 1 6 5 5 6 63(govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 37% 1.70 6.70 S
LAVENDER (IRE) 3 1 21 21 3.2 44(davis h)CABRERA DAVID 123 8.00 14% 6.10 6.80  
SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE 5 5 42 42 4¾ 25(willis mindy)TORRES A 123 2.50 24% 3.20 2.70  
PRETTY IN PINK 2 4 11 11 1nk 3610 (ashford ray)GONCALVES R 123 12.00 8.10  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR               (govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00    
 
LS-6   07/16/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
:213 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK QUICK QUICK 4 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 9% 10.40 5.50 W
PRINCESS PHONE 2 4 5 4   32 2¾ (roubion steve)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 15.30  
YES IT'S GINGER 8 2 32 5   532 (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.00 9% 9.70 4.70 S
TIZ MAGIC 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 43 (jacks e)DIEGO V 117 4.50 7% 13.60 3.60  
RUNNING MEMORIES 6 6 63 6   653 (orseno f)BRAVO J 123 1.60 53% 0.90 1.20  
UPTOWNBLINGITHOME 7 7 4 3½   46(padilla a)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 15.00  
WAY TOO SMARTE 1 8 811 812¼   87(hughes timothy)TORRES A 123 20.00 17.40  
STORMIEIS BLUE 5 5 77 7   78(whitelaw r)ERAMIA E 117 30.00 15.00  
 
LS-7   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
:223 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET HOLIDAY 4 2 1nk 1½   1½ 1nk (duhon paul)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 6.00 5.90  
KENTUCKY BOURBON 2 6 4 43   2½ 2nk (smith p)SORENSON D 121 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 P
I'M A COOL CAT 7 3 2nk 2½   32 3(green greg)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 5.00 5.50  
TENTH OF GOLD 1 4 5 6   54(durham danele)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 15% 5.60 7.10  
CUNNING 5 7 7 5   64 57 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 2.70  
AFFRAY 3 1 3.2 32   4610¼ (ashford ray)GONCALVES R 121 8.00 8.90  
HEMPSTEAD 6 5 6 7   79 714½ (hurley rena)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 20.00 14.70  
SCR  GOLD N SILVER               (offolter s)ERAMIA E 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
LS-8   07/16/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:214 :44       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH LIMIT ROOM 4 5 42 4   21nk (camejo m)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 28% 2.60 2.50 W
SIGN OF WAR 5 1 11 1½   12nk (govea cesar)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 22.90  
BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) 9 10 7 7   53¾ (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 124 5.00 7.40  
EXCESS MAGIC 3 8 10 10   94(calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50 27% 2.70 3.60  
GIVE IT EVERYTHING 2 7 9 9   85(pish danny)SORENSON D 124 20.00 14.40  
11  REBEL POSSE 11 4 6 5   462 (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 124 20.00 11.60  
EMPIRE OF GOLD 7 9 8 8   1074 (eoff terry)TORRES A 120 15.00 16% 5.10 11.00  
ARCHIDUST 6 2 21 3½   64 8(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 5.30  
SILENCE D'ORO 1 6 5 6   79(keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00 16.80  
10  YANKEE SEVEN 10 3 31 2½   310(govea cesar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 7% 13.10 12.40  
CUCINA 8 11 119 11   1111(diodoro robertino)QUINONEZ S 118 20.00 18.00  
 
LS-9   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
:241 :481 1:111 1:352   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGACITY 2 3 1½ 11 11 11¼ (maker j)ROCCO S 124 3.00 3.60 DQ↓2
FIELD PASS 1 4 3 32 32 22¼ (maker j)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 0.80  
U S NAVY CROSS 4 6 6 69 67 534 (broberg karl)TORRES A 120 20.00 6% 16.90 9.70 S
PERFECT STAR 3 1 2½ 21 21 34(duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 8.00 12% 7.10 4.30  
SONNEMAN 5 5 53 54 54 45(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00 15% 5.60 9.00  
FRED'STWIRLINCANDY 6 2 4 42 42 6619 (cravens iii)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 27% 2.70 10.80  
SCR  CELLIST               (arnold r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50    
SCR  POPULAR KID               (davis h)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.