Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE FORWARD ESSIE         (lockett le)MATA U 123 30.00    
MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Jun26         (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
PUT A BOW ON IT Jun26 May14 Mar04 Jan19   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
GETONOUTTAHERE Jun26 Apr28 Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 (rossi j)ERAMIA E 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  VERNONSWEETBETTY Jun26 May15 Apr08     (wright james )HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
A BIT EDGY         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
FARASINO May28 May06 Apr01 Mar06 Feb13 (scholl kevin )MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.40    
CRAFTY WARRIOR Jun24 May01       (caldwe)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 6% 14.50    
 
LS-2   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIVE UP Jun16 Apr20 Mar30     (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00    
CATO'S LADY Jun17 May22 May01 Apr02 Feb17 (whitelaw michael)MORA GERARDO 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
OSCARETTE Apr16 Feb21       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 13% 6.50    
TIME BREAK Jun28 Jun21 Jun07 May21 May07 (hughes timothy)ORM CORY 123 20.00    
SUMMER LIGHTNING Jun24 May20       (dodwell dale)DIEGO V 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
TYLER'S DREAM Jun24 May28 May07 Mar27 Feb27 (green )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50    
 
LS-3   07/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE EROS Jun16 Feb23 Jan29 Jan07   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
LUCKY BREAK Jun19 Apr22 Mar10 Feb16   (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
KISS ME D ORO May01 Mar15 Feb08 Jan18   (loma humberto)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
WINDIGO SPIRIT May18 Apr25 Apr11     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 12.00    
GETTINHOT'NHERE Jun11 Mar23 Mar03     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
DEL MOON Jun24 May07 Apr09 Mar23   (donaldson jer)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
BREW CREW         (jac)DE CRUZ 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
 
LS-4   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DURANGO JESS Jun24 May21 Mar10 Jan13   (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
GOLD ACCOUNT Mar31 Mar16       (eoff terry)TORRES A 122 20.00    
FLEXATI Jul08 Jun24 May14     (bravo francis)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00    
SCR  ESCROW STYLE Jul02 May30 Apr01 Feb26 Jan28 (tracy greg)WETHEY JR 121 12.00    
DIAL IN FOR LUTE May22 May01 Mar19 Mar05   (trout r)ALVAREZ L 122 1.20 65% 0.50    
MY HARBORS DREAM Jun12 May09 Jan28     (tracy greg)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 10% 9.10    
TEXAS BAD BOY Jul08 Feb26 Feb05 Jan21   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.50    
 
LS-5   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINN ELLA Jul01 May30 May19 Mar10 Feb23 (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
PRETTY IN PINK Jul02 May30       (ashford h)GONCALVES R 123 12.00    
LAVENDER (IRE) Jun18 May30 May06 Mar18 Jan30 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 123 8.00 14% 6.10    
FAIRCHILD May29         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 3.00    
SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE Jun18 May30 May19 May06 Mar24 (willis mind)TORRES A 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR May30 May06 Apr09 Mar24 Feb25 (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00    
DISAPPEARING ACT May28 Apr21 Jan17     (baltas richard)BRAVO J 123 2.00    
 
LS-6   07/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TOO SMARTE Jun28 Jun24 May28 May15 May01 (hughes timothy)ORM CORY 123 20.00    
PRINCESS PHONE Jun24 May22 May01 Mar30 Feb18 (rou)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
TIZ MAGIC May30 May08 Feb10     (jacks e)DIEGO V 117 4.50 7% 13.60    
QUICK QUICK QUICK Jun24 May08 Mar10 Feb10 Jan20 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
STORMIEIS BLUE Jun24 Jun10 May21     (whitelaw mic)ERAMIA E 117 30.00    
RUNNING MEMORIES Jun10 May08 Apr09 Feb18 Jan12 (orseno f)BRAVO J 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
UPTOWNBLINGITHOME Jun24 May08       (padilla carlo)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
YES IT'S GINGER Jan01         (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.00 9% 9.70    
 
LS-7   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENTH OF GOLD Jul02 Jun04 May01 Apr09 Mar26 (durham danele)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
KENTUCKY BOURBON Jan15         (smith p)SORENSON D 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  GOLD N SILVER Jun10 May19 Apr08 Mar16 Feb24 (offolter joe)ERAMIA E 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
AFFRAY Jun18 May29       (ashford h)GONCALVES R 121 8.00    
SECRET HOLIDAY Jul02 May27 May07 Apr28 Apr08 (duhon paul)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 6.00    
CUNNING         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00    
HEMPSTEAD Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr29 Apr09 (hurley )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 20.00    
I'M A COOL CAT May29         (green greg)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 5.00    
 
LS-8   07/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCE D'ORO Jun25 May29 May07 Mar24 Feb19 (keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00    
GIVE IT EVERYTHING Jun25 Jun09 Jan30     (pish danny)SORENSON D 124 20.00    
EXCESS MAGIC May30 May07 Mar19 Jan22   (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
HIGH LIMIT ROOM Jun19 May22 Mar27 Jan14   (camejo m)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
SIGN OF WAR Jun09 May30 May06 Mar26 Mar02 (gov)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
ARCHIDUST May30 May07 Mar19 Jan30   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50    
EMPIRE OF GOLD May30 May06 Apr16     (eoff terry)TORRES A 120 15.00 16% 5.10    
CUCINA Jun25 May12 Mar02 Jan22   (diodoro robertin)QUINONEZ S 118 20.00    
BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Jun11 May07 Mar12 Mar06 Jan22 (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 124 5.00    
10  YANKEE SEVEN Jun04 Apr14 Mar26 Feb18 Feb04 (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 7% 13.10    
11  REBEL POSSE Jun09 May13       (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 124 20.00    
 
LS-9   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELD PASS Jun04 Apr23 Jan29     (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 2.00    
MEGACITY May21 Apr10       (maker j)ROCCO S 124 3.00    
PERFECT STAR Apr30 Mar11 Feb18 Jan27   (duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
U S NAVY CROSS Jul09 Jun19 May27 May22 Feb21 (broberg kar)TORRES A 120 20.00 6% 16.90    
SONNEMAN Jun16 Apr30 Apr02 Mar13 Jan28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00 15% 5.60    
FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Jul02 Jun09 May19 Apr30 Mar12 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  POPULAR KID Jun16 May30 Apr30 Mar19 Feb12 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  CELLIST May21 Apr27 Feb05     (arnold george)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.