The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 02, 2022

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LAD-1   07/02/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:23 :461       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO B 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (foster m)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 2.50 19% 4.20 1.80 DQ↓3
ESCROW STYLE 6 6 53 34   32¼ (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 8% 12.30 2.50 W
TRIPPER JOHN 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3½ (melancon donald)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 47% 1.10 1.60 P
FAR BEYOND 4 5 6 5   45 45 (ward ronnie)FLORES S 124 10.00 7.80  
DOUBLE BOGEY 2 4 32 4   55(vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
DREAM BOSS 5 1 4 6   610½ 614½ (morris rowdy)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00 15.00  
SCR  CPRIORITY               (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 2.50    
 
LAD-2   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
:234 :474 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. K W 4 5 4 1nk   13 1½ (zenon charles)MORALES ROBERTO 119 1.60 52% 0.90 1.20 W
TOOCAN DANCE 1 3 2nk 3.2   23 2½ (lara jorge)COTTO L 124 5.00 11.80 P
HALF A BUCK 6 2 32 4   43(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 3.50 3.40 S
LIT A SHUCK 3 1 1nk 2nk   34(hatcher d)CULP BRIANNE 119 3.00 17% 4.70 6.70  
SHANKINSTINE 5 4 53 5   5511½ (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 8.70  
PETEY 2 6 65 6   610½ 621¼ (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00 3.50  
 
LAD-3   07/02/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
:25 :49 1:14 1:401   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEBOY 1 5 4 21 1nk 1½ 1½ (beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 6% 15.80 3.20 W
RY DONT LIE 6 3 22 3 2nk 2½ 2½ (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 116 10.00 5.00 P
THISGUYCANFLY 5 2 55 54 4 33(mallery vonn)FLORES S 121 4.50 9.60 S
GUARDSMAN PASS 3 7 78 68 67 5410¼ (asmussen m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 7.40  
BAYOU SARGE 7 4 67 7 7 67 512¾ (turner patti)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 116 15.00 12.30  
OBVIOUSLY TOO 4 6 33 42 53 4615¾ (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 119 2.50 65% 0.50 3.10  
TAPPED OUT 2 1 12 11 31 78 716 (prather h)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 2.50  
SCR  WATSONS BAY               (foster m)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00    
 
LAD-4   07/02/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:224 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSTON REPO 2 1 11 11   11 1(gibson jonas)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 17% 5.00 8.40 W
HALFMOON REEF 5 7 7 5   21 2(clark d)BOREL H 122 2.50 30% 2.30 2.70 P
DONNA'S COURT 3 3 42 42   32 3(singh s)SINGH R 122 10.00 30.00  
MORRICONE 6 2 21 21   42 4(morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 18% 4.60 1.20  
PERFECT PERIGEE 7 5 31 31   55(foster m)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 9% 10.10 3.80  
SWEET RACHEL 1 4 6 7   666 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 122 6.00 7.00  
TRUMP MEDIA 4 6 53 6   77(adcock charles)FLORES S 122 15.00 34.70  
 
LAD-5   07/02/2022 4950ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
:234 :48 1:123 1:384   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JEOPARDY 1 1 14 16 110 110 1(duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 2.20  
EARLY DISMISSAL 2 5 34 26 210 210 2(witt ii)COTTO L 124 3.00 25% 3.10 4.30 P
TYPO 3 2 24 310 312 313 310¼ (asmussen m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50 2.60  
JAGO 4 3 5 512 413½ 416 422¼ (mckellar p)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 36.90  
DREWSILLA 6 6 4 411½ 514½ 516½ 523 (mouton patrick)VARGAS P 116 12.00 12.00  
10  JAZLA 5 4 67 612 617½ 620½ 627¼ (nicks e)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 49% 1.10 1.90  
SCR  DEROUTANTE               (meaux h)FLORES S 116 8.00    
SCR  INPENDING BREEZE               (kanhai joseph)MURRAY M 124 30.00    
SCR  SUMMER TSUNAMI               (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50    
SCR  WHISKEY TO WINE               (singh s)SINGH R 121 20.00    
 
LAD-6   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:24 :474 1:121     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNER PAUL 5 1 1nk 1nk   14 1(delany sarah)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 25% 3.00 0.30 W
STEALING APRIORITY 3 2 2nk 2nk   24 2(thomas lee)COTTO L 119 6.00 6.10 P
MY BOY SAM 4 3 34 3   3314 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 12.00 13.50 S
SIR OVERANALYZE 1 6 68 6   6415¾ (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 119 5.00 7.10  
OSO NEGRO 2 5 4 4   4517 (singh s)SINGH R 122 4.50 7.00  
EXCLAIM 6 4 5 5   5617¼ (savoie sherman)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 8.00 30.90  
SCR  MEANT FOR ME               (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 117 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
LAD-7   07/02/2022 4950ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
:241 :484 1:134 1:403   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 4 2 2½ 1nk 1 13 1(nixon w)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 6.00  
BIG JABOT 5 3 3 3½ 2 23 2(dunn ray)VARGAS P 119 15.00 17.90  
CABRO TORO 1 1 1½ 2nk 4 34 3(beavin judy)COTTO L 119 10.00 7.90 S
HUDSON'S TURN 3 4 6 53 3 44 47 (foster m)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 1.00 67% 0.50 0.60  
BLUME 2 5 54 4 5 512 526 (johnson b)BOREL H 124 10.00 4.90  
WILD T RANGER 6 6 4 69 614¾ 632 662¼ (gomez c)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 8.10  
SCR  A MILLION LIGHTS               (johnson b)GUZMAN JORGE 119 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.