Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO B May17 Mar12 Feb19 Feb10 Jan08 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  DOUBLE BOGEY Jun19 Jun07 May28     (vincent jarvis)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRIPPER JOHN Jun18 May31 May17 Apr27 Mar23 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  CPRIORITY Jun07 Jan15       (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 2.50    
5  FAR BEYOND May31 May16 Feb11 Jan26   (ward ronnie)FLORES S 124 10.00 ★    
6  DREAM BOSS         (morris rowdy)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00    
7  ESCROW STYLE May30 Apr01 Feb26 Jan28   (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
 
LAD-2   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOCAN DANCE Jun13 May14 Mar05 Feb04 Jan15 (lara jorge)COTTO L 124 5.00 ★    
2  PETEY Mar04 Feb18 Jan21 Jan08   (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00 ★    
3  LIT A SHUCK Jun19         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 119 3.00 17% 4.70    
4  MR. K W Jun12 May17 May09 Mar24 Feb24 (zenon charl)MORALES ROBERTO 119 1.60 52% 0.90    
5  SHANKINSTINE Jun12 May14       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
6  HALF A BUCK Jun12 May22 Feb24 Feb11   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 3.50 ★    
 
LAD-3   07/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEBOY Jun18 May31 May15 May07 Mar20 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 6% 15.80    
2  TAPPED OUT Jun07 Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 Jan30 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00    
SCR  WATSONS BAY Jun18 Jan13       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
4  GUARDSMAN PASS May29 May08 Apr07 Mar25 Feb17 (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
5  OBVIOUSLY TOO Jun18 May01 Apr16 Mar19 Feb26 (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 119 2.50 65% 0.50    
6  THISGUYCANFLY Jun18 Jun06 May15 Apr22 Apr08 (mallery von)FLORES S 121 4.50 ★    
7  RY DONT LIE Jun06 May24 May14 Mar05 Feb10 (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 116 10.00 ★    
8  BAYOU SARGE Jun14 Jun06 May17 Mar18 Jan29 (turner patt)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 116 15.00    
 
LAD-4   07/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET RACHEL May31 May07 Mar05 Feb18 Feb02 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 6.00 ★    
2  BOSTON REPO May30         (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  DONNA'S COURT Jun13 Mar03 Feb10 Jan16   (singh s)SINGH R 122 10.00    
4  TRUMP MEDIA Jun11 May21 May09     (adcock char)FLORES S 122 15.00    
5  HALFMOON REEF Mar16 Feb11 Jan16     (clark d)BOREL H 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  MORRICONE Jun06 May20 May06 Apr07 Mar09 (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
7  PERFECT PERIGEE Jun11 May21 Mar24 Feb28 Feb14 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 9% 10.10    
 
LAD-5   07/02/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUMMER TSUNAMI Jun05 May10 Mar23 Feb26 Jan23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 ★    
2  LADY JEOPARDY Jun13         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00    
3  EARLY DISMISSAL Jun05 May14 May01 Apr15   (witt ii)COTTO L 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  INPENDING BREEZE Jun19         (kanhai joseph)MURRAY M 124 30.00    
SCR  WHISKEY TO WINE Jun13         (singh s)SINGH R 121 20.00    
6  TYPO May28 Apr29 Feb04     (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
7  JAGO Jun05 May14 Feb04     (mckellar p)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
SCR  DEROUTANTE         (meaux jason)FLORES S 116 8.00 ★    
9  DREWSILLA Jun05 Mar12 Feb19 Jan22 Jan01 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 12.00 ★    
10  JAZLA Apr17 Mar26 Jan19     (nicks ralph )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
LAD-6   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR OVERANALYZE Jun11 Mar02 Feb04 Jan20   (ramirez e)GUZMAN JORGE 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  MEANT FOR ME May29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan13   (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 117 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  OSO NEGRO Jun19         (singh s)SINGH R 122 4.50    
4  STEALING APRIORITY Jun08 May17 Mar05 Feb20 Jan20 (thomas lee)COTTO L 119 6.00 ★    
5  MY BOY SAM Jun07 May23 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 12.00 ★    
6  GUNNER PAUL Jun20 Jun02 May16 Apr23 Mar13 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
7  EXCLAIM Jun07 Jan29       (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 8.00    
 
LAD-7   07/02/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABRO TORO May14 Feb19 Feb05 Jan14   (beavin judy)COTTO L 119 10.00 ★    
2  BLUME Jun04 May09 Jan05     (johnson b)BOREL H 124 10.00 ★    
3  HUDSON'S TURN Jun07 May15 Mar06 Feb20   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 1.00 67% 0.50    
4  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF May24 May14 Feb25 Feb11   (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 ★    
5  BIG JABOT Jun07 May22 Feb19 Feb05 Jan12 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 119 15.00    
6  WILD T RANGER         (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
SCR  A MILLION LIGHTS Jun07 May22 Mar19 Jan19 Jan01 (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 119 2.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.