Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   05/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:13     1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE ICE 1 3 52½ 51¾   13 12½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 ★ 9.60  
7  PICKING ROSES 7 7 77 74¾   23 22½ (jeansonne just)COTTO L 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.30 P
4  CANDIZAR 4 5 64 63¼   43½ 34½ (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 6.80  
3  THE GREEN MO'STER 3 2 21 2nk   33 45½ (singh s)SINGH R 124 6.00 33% 2.00 7.90  
8  YA GOTTA WANNA 8 8 89 85¼   87¾ 510¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 14.40  
2  SENATOR CON 2 1 11 1nk   54½ 610½ (balderas alfon)BACA L 119 15.00 62.10  
5  GOLD BEAR 5 4 32 3.2   77½ 711¼ (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 8% 12.10 7.00  
6  VINYL 6 6 42½ 41¼   66½ 811¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
SCR  FULL OF RUN               (dison phillip)SMITH J 122 20.00    
 
LAD-2   05/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HURRICANE TIZWAY 2 1 11½ 11½   14 15½ (turner patt)FLORES S 124 10.00 ★ 5.10  
4  CUSTOM FOR CARLITA 4 2 21½ 21½   24 25½ (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.00 ★ 4.40 P
1  KODIAK SKY 1 4 48 47½   37 39½ (de beauville)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 28% 2.50 2.40 S
3  MOORAC 3 3 33 32½   47½ 415½ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 6% 14.50 0.70  
SCR  MONGOLIAN HUMOR               (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
LAD-3   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:002     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ARTIST 1 3 11 1½   11 13¼ (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 116 3.00 29% 2.40 1.90 W
2  CUSTOM MEDINA 2 6 31½ 31½   21 23¼ (ramirez julio)GUZMAN JORGE 122 2.50 29% 2.50 2.70 P
7  MRS. DELLA 6 2 21 2½   31 33½ (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 117 10.00 5% 19.00 3.90 S
6  EMMAS RULER 5 5 53 42   44 49¼ (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 8.70  
5  CONSERVATVE VALUES 4 1 42 52   54½ 510¼ (jeansonne j)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 6.00 12% 7.70 3.20  
4  SONG OF PARADISE 3 4 63½ 66   68½ 615 (duhon o)BOREL H 122 15.00 ★ 15.90  
SCR  CHEYANN GLITTERS               (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 2.00    
 
LAD-4   05/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:224 :454       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HARRIET'S DREAM 3 2 1nk 11   11½ 11¼ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 ★ 4.60  
5  SUMMERJUSTBET HER 4 4 52¼ 44   21½ 21¼ (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 116 6.00 2.50  
1A  BLUEBIRD SING 5 7 68¼ 55   52¾ 34½ (duhon o)BOREL H 122 3.50 ★ 5.20 S
7  AIRBORNE GAL 7 1 31 32   32½ 45¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 47% 1.10 3.00  
1  SHELLEY'S MONEY 2 3 42 66   63¾ 57¾ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 5.20  
6  PINK POSSE 6 5 2nk 21   42½ 612¼ (thomas lee)COTTO L 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.10  
2  FASHION MOON 1 6 720¼ 716   711¾ 715¾ (hatcher nathan)GUZMAN JORGE 122 12.00 ★ 35.30  
SCR  APRIORITY LADY               (thomas lee)BACA L 119 20.00    
 
LAD-5   05/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  I'M A CUSTOM TO IT 5 1 1½ 16   18 19 (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 113 3.50 56% 0.80 3.10 W
2  EYESEEMONEY 2 8 75¾ 411   28 29 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 124 6.00 7.20  
8  BAD GAL RIRI 7 9 910¼ 815¾   49½ 310¾ (singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00 2.50  
10  CAJUN ACES 9 4 42 511½   69¾ 411½ (reeves jeff)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00 ★ 5.60  
1  LISTEN JAN 1 7 52¼ 37   39 513¼ (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00 ★ 11.70  
3  TARGET VISION 3 3 2½ 26   59½ 613¼ (mckellar joe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 20.80  
5  T J'S FIRST 4 6 62¾ 615½   714¾ 713¾ (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 124 8.00 10.90  
9  THETHRILLERSGONE 8 5 88¾ 919¾   817¾ 819 (balderas alfon)BACA L 118 12.00 12.30  
7  LOOKING HOT 6 2 32 715½   922¾ 931 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 8% 10.80 6.90  
SCR  HIDDEN EXPECTATION               (ramirez julio)GUZMAN JORGE 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
 
LAD-6   05/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:102     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SILVER RATIO 4 4 1½ 11½   15 17 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 1.60 63% 0.60 0.60 W
1  GUNNER PAUL 1 6 2½ 21½   25 27 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 6% 14.80 4.80 P
2  MISTS OF TIME 2 5 3½ 42   46½ 39½ (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 ★ 14.60 S
6  OTTOMAN EMPIRE 6 7 72¼ 31½   36 412¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 2.50 ★ 2.90  
7  WEDINGTON 7 1 41½ 75   58½ 516½ (turner patti)VARGAS P 116 20.00 35.00  
3  FAR BEYOND 3 3 52 53½   68½ 618¼ (ward ronnie)COTTO L 122 12.00 ★ 19.00  
5  TOE BANDIT 5 2 62¼ 64   79½ 719½ (latour)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 20.40  
 
LAD-7   05/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:123     1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOBLER 5 6 65 44   1½ 12¼ (turner patt)FLORES S 119 15.00 20.40  
4  INCA WARRIOR 2 3 54 54½   43 22¼ (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 8.00 ★ 6.60 P
6  BANJO BILL 4 1 11½ 1½   2½ 33½ (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30 5.20 S
8  RELUCTANT WARRIOR 6 2 31½ 2½   32½ 47 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.00 3.00  
5  DUE APEAL 3 5 43½ 65½   67 511½ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00 33.50  
1  SHARPENDUP 1 4 21½ 32   56 613½ (jeansonne just)COTTO L 124 1.50 63% 0.60 0.60  
SCR  FLAMIN FIRE               (dison phil)ALBERT S 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  LEFTY COMMING               (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 119 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.