Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE ICE         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 ★    
2  SENATOR CON Feb26 Feb05       (balderas alfon)BACA L 119 15.00    
3  THE GREEN MO'STER Mar25 Mar03 Feb14 Jan27 Jan07 (singh s)SINGH R 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
4  CANDIZAR Feb24         (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
5  GOLD BEAR Apr13 Mar24 Mar16 Feb18 Jan22 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 8% 12.10    
6  VINYL         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PICKING ROSES Feb26 Jan22       (jeansonne just)COTTO L 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
8  YA GOTTA WANNA Mar31 Mar04 Feb05 Jan20   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  FULL OF RUN Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 Jan28 Jan08 (dison phillip)SMITH J 122 20.00    
 
LAD-2   05/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KODIAK SKY May07 Mar03 Jan12     (de beauville)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
2  HURRICANE TIZWAY Jan14         (turner patt)FLORES S 124 10.00 ★    
3  MOORAC Mar06 Feb19 Feb03 Jan14 Jan06 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 6% 14.50    
4  CUSTOM FOR CARLITA May07 Mar23 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.00 ★    
SCR  MONGOLIAN HUMOR Jan26         (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
LAD-3   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ARTIST Mar12 Jan09       (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 116 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  CUSTOM MEDINA Mar28 Feb24       (ramirez julio)GUZMAN JORGE 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  CHEYANN GLITTERS Mar20 Feb13 Jan27 Jan06   (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 2.00    
4  SONG OF PARADISE Mar20 Jan06       (duhon o)BOREL H 122 15.00 ★    
5  CONSERVATVE VALUES Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 Jan22   (jeansonne j)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 6.00 12% 7.70    
6  EMMAS RULER Jan28 Jan19       (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00    
7  MRS. DELLA Mar20 Jan17       (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   05/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELLEY'S MONEY Mar24         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50    
1A  BLUEBIRD SING Feb24         (duhon o)BOREL H 122 3.50 ★    
2  FASHION MOON May07 Mar20 Mar06 Feb21 Jan14 (hatcher nathan)GUZMAN JORGE 122 12.00 ★    
3  HARRIET'S DREAM Feb24         (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  APRIORITY LADY Mar09 Feb12 Jan23     (thomas lee)BACA L 119 20.00    
5  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Apr29 Apr07 Feb25     (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 116 6.00    
6  PINK POSSE Feb09         (thomas lee)COTTO L 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  AIRBORNE GAL May06 Apr01 Feb12     (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
LAD-5   05/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISTEN JAN Mar25 Mar10       (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00 ★    
2  EYESEEMONEY May08         (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 124 6.00    
3  TARGET VISION Feb02 Jan01       (mckellar joe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
SCR  HIDDEN EXPECTATION Mar02 Feb02       (ramirez julio)GUZMAN JORGE 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  T J'S FIRST Apr07 Mar24 Mar02     (cangemi daniel)COTTO L 124 8.00    
6  I'M A CUSTOM TO IT Mar25 Mar09 Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 113 3.50 56% 0.80    
7  LOOKING HOT Mar11 Feb14 Jan28 Jan07   (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
8  BAD GAL RIRI Apr28 Mar25 Mar11 Feb14 Jan28 (singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00    
9  THETHRILLERSGONE Mar09 Jan01       (balderas alfon)BACA L 118 12.00    
10  CAJUN ACES May08 Mar25 Mar02     (reeves jeff)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 8.00 ★    
 
LAD-6   05/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNER PAUL Apr23 Mar13 Feb25 Jan29 Jan08 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 6% 14.80    
2  MISTS OF TIME Mar06 Jan13       (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
3  FAR BEYOND Feb11 Jan26       (ward ronnie)COTTO L 122 12.00 ★    
4  SILVER RATIO Apr22 Apr09 Mar23 Mar04   (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 1.60 63% 0.60    
5  TOE BANDIT Apr15 Mar23 Feb10     (latour)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
6  OTTOMAN EMPIRE Apr15 Mar06 Feb11     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 2.50 ★    
7  WEDINGTON Feb19 Jan29       (turner patti)VARGAS P 116 20.00    
 
LAD-7   05/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARPENDUP Feb14 Jan22       (jeansonne just)COTTO L 124 1.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  FLAMIN FIRE Mar04 Feb04 Jan20     (dison phil)ALBERT S 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  LEFTY COMMING         (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 119 20.00 ★    
4  INCA WARRIOR Jan26         (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 8.00 ★    
5  DUE APEAL         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
6  BANJO BILL May01 Mar31 Mar10     (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
7  GOBLER Mar03         (turner patt)FLORES S 119 15.00    
8  RELUCTANT WARRIOR Mar06 Feb13 Jan21     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.