The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 15, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
:232 :48 1:133     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THIRTY THOU KELVIN 5 1 43 31½ 31½ 11½ 11¼ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 ★ 1.70  
4  COOKIE CRUMBS 2 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 31½ 21¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 2.45  
3  DESERT TEMPEST 1 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 21½ 33½ (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 29% 2.50 3.25 S
6  GUSTIAMO 4 2 31½ 42 42 47 415 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 114 15.00 10.90  
1A  TONIC 3 5 57½ 511 520 520½ 518¾ (dutrow w)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 3.50  
SCR  R ROSE' ALL DAY               (joseph a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  ON THE PAYROLL               (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  JUST A SPLASH (IRE)               (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  IDEA GENERATION (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  TREASURED GEM               (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 ★    
 
BAQ-2   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
:232 :48 1:131     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DANCING SOPHIA 4 3 53½ 31½ 21½ 1nk 13¼ (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★ 5.20  
7  FIREWOLVES 7 1 31 2½ 11½ 2nk 23¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 64% 0.60 0.65 P
2  TEKILA 2 4 42 52 67 47¾ 313½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★ 4.40 S
3  TONIGHT WE LOVE 3 5 21 41½ 56 37½ 417 (martin f)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00 22.00  
6  REGAL REBEL 6 2 11 1½ 35 58¼ 517½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★ 6.30  
5  KUKARO 5 7 79¾ 78½ 713 713¾ 620¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 45.50  
1  CARLANN 1 6 63¾ 63 45½ 68¾ 722 (o'connor brice)LUZZI J 120 10.00 8% 10.90 21.80  
 
BAQ-3   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
:232 :464 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLORMEPAZZI 6 1 11½ 11   1½ 1¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 ★ 15.60  
1  BLITZ TO WIN 1 5 42 42   2½ 2¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 14% 6.10 3.65 P
3  DANGEROUS EDGE 3 3 64½ 54½   53½ 34¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 24% 3.10 4.30 S
2  G MUNNING 2 6 32 31½   43½ 45 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 27% 2.60 0.90 DH
4  FORTY TWO ACE 4 2 21½ 21   32½ 45 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 ★ 4.80 DH
5  SALUTE TO AMERICA 5 4 53½ 65   69½ 615¼ (solares axelle)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 22.90  
 
BAQ-4   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
:232 :47 1:12     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BEACHFRONT BID 4 1 1½ 1nk 13 15 18¼ (albertrani thomas)CASTELLANO J 115 10.00 22% 3.50 3.75 W
3  WESTERN LANE 2 3 32 33½ 23 25 28¼ (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 3.15  
2  DIAMOND STATUS 1 2 2½ 2nk 35½ 312½ 326 (martin f)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 2.25  
8  PRETTY PERSUASIVE 3 4 43½ 46 414 430½ 4100 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 ★ 1.25  
SCR  SAREEHA (IRE)               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  MOZAY               (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  KINCHEN (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  YOGI               (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SCR  COMMANDER BUZZKILL (GB)               (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
:224 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOLEY MATRIMONY 3 4 21 21½   21 12 (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 116 4.00 44% 1.30 1.80 W
2  STREET CULTURE 1 5 11 11½   11 22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 ★ 3.05 P
6  CAJUN COMMANDER 5 3 31½ 33   35½ 34¼ (barrera s)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 12.00 ★ 14.00 S
9  GOT THE GOLD 8 2 86¼ 66½   48 48¾ (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 ★ 1.90  
5  RAW COURAGE 4 6 62¾ 77½   610 511 (toscano t)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 34.00  
7  LAST MINUTE MARIO 6 1 41½ 43   58 615¼ (catalano l)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 15.60  
3  MISTER LARRY 2 8 52½ 55½   811½ 716½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 14.70  
8  LORD BROWNIE 7 7 75¾ 88   711 817 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 20.00 33.50  
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT               (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
SCR  SHARDIAL               (jacobson david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
BAQ-6   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
:234 :491 1:133 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EVAN HARLAN 4 1 11 11 11 12½ 12½ (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 19% 4.30 3.50 W
1  BOBBIE D (IRE) 1 2 31½ 32½ 32 22½ 22½ (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 13% 6.90 6.30 P
9  ARUBA 9 4 21 21 21 32½ 32¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 15% 5.60 6.60 S
8  UNEXPECTED OUTCOME (IRE) 8 5 55 55½ 53½ 46 46 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7.90  
5  CELESTIAL MOON 5 6 66 67½ 66 56½ 56½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 9.60  
3  AFJAN 3 7 87½ 89½ 76 68½ 67¼ (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
7  FUNDING GAP (IRE) 7 10 109 1011½ 89 813 713 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 39.75  
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE 2 3 43 43 42½ 711½ 814¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00 59.25  
6  BORDER WAR 6 9 98½ 911 912½ 923 934 (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 4.00  
10  OUTPERFORM 10 8 76 78 10100 10100 10100 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 3.50  
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino a)RIDER TBA 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:23 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROSSA VELOCE 5 1 2½ 11   12 15½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 ★ 1.00  
5  THINKING IT OVER 3 5 32 21   22 25½ (handal raymond)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 18% 4.50 6.30 P
6  BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY 4 4 57 58   412 318¼ (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 ★ 7.50 S
3  JILL'S A HOT MESS 1 3 42½ 32½   39 420 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 ★ 3.20  
4  BLAME IT ON MARY 2 2 1½ 42½   513 527½ (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 3.75  
SCR  THEODORA GRACE               (klesaris p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL               (solares axelle)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
SCR  KOKOPELLI               (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER               (albertrani thomas)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
SCR  TOWERING ORBIT               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50    
SCR  DERRYNANE               (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80    
 
BAQ-8   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
:23 :46 1:103     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EBBEN 7 3 51¾ 41½ 21 1nk 12½ (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00 13.20  
8  CHRIS AND DAVE 8 2 21 2½ 11 2nk 22½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 11% 8.10 4.40 P
6  GENTLEMAN JOE 6 6 84¼ 63¼ 42 43 37¾ (solares axelle)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 ★ 3.65 S
3  DUST DEVIL 2 7 73¼ 73¾ 64¼ 54½ 48¼ (englehart c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 36% 1.80 5.70  
9  JEMOGRAPHY 9 1 11 1½ 31 32½ 59¾ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 ★ 6.90  
4  ROCCO STRONG 4 4 41½ 51¾ 54 67 614 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 4.00  
5  HEALING 5 9 94½ 83¾ 87¼ 88½ 716½ (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 11.20  
1  PIONEER SPIRIT 3 5 31 3½ 74¾ 77½ 818¾ (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 30% 2.40 5.80  
2  LOST IN ROME 1 8 63¼ 94¼ 99¼ 912 920 (younghans william)HARKIE K 122 20.00 41.75  
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS               (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/15/2022 5940ft TURF GOOD Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:58
:252 :51 1:144 1:39   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIMS (GB) 1 2 31 3½ 2½ 12 11 (mcgaughey iii)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 ★ 4.60  
2  VERGARA 2 1 41½ 41½ 41 22 21 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 3.65  
3  EMINENT VICTOR 3 5 63¼ 63¾ 63 54½ 32¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 19% 4.30 4.20 S
9  PIZZA BIANCA 8 8 73¼ 75¼ 84¼ 65 42¾ (clement christophe)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 17% 5.00 1.90  
5  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) 5 7 84¾ 85¼ 73¼ 34 53 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 13% 6.90 8.10  
4  CANISY 4 4 51¾ 51¾ 51½ 44½ 65¼ (clement christophe)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 13.10  
6  HAIL TO 6 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 77½ 78¼ (albertrani thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 14.00  
8  LADY BAFFLED 7 6 2nk 2nk 31 823½ 839¾ (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 41.50  
SCR  BABY MAN               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  GOLDEN ROCKET               (farro patricia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/15/2022 3960ft TURF YIELDING Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
:222 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MRS. GREEN 2 8 63½ 63   52¾ 1hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 10% 8.70 4.60 W
1  BREEZE EASY (GB) 1 7 85 74   31½ 2hd (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 1.85  
7  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE 7 3 2½ 41½   2nk 32½ (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 33.25  
3  FONTANAFREDDA 3 10 106½ 95½   64¼ 43¼ (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 17.40  
8  GLITTER UP 8 4 1½ 1½   1nk 53¾ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10.70  
6  STUCK ON KITTEN 6 6 74 85   95¼ 64¼ (d'angelo francisco)RENDON JAIRO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
9  MISS TAPIRADO 9 2 42 31½   42½ 76 (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 3.20  
5  VIOLENT VIXEN 5 5 52 52   74¾ 88½ (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 38.75  
4  SHE'S THE ONE 4 9 95½ 105¾   106¼ 99¾ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
10  GET THE CANDY 10 1 31½ 2½   84¾ 1014½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 30.50  
SCR  BABA               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY               (kelly j)RIDER TBA 123 10.00    
SCR  MADRILENA (ARG)               (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  QUEEN SHEBA               (demario a)ADORNO ABNER 123 20.00    
SCR  SILKY BLUE               (duarte jr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  SNICKET               (duggan p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.