Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:133     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THIRTY THOU KELVIN 5 1 43 3 3 1 1 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 1.70  
COOKIE CRUMBS 2 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 3 2 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 2.45  
DESERT TEMPEST 1 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 2 3 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 29% 2.50 3.25 S
GUSTIAMO 4 2 3 42 42 47 415 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 114 15.00 10.90  
1A  TONIC 3 5 5 511 520 520½ 518¾ (dutrow anthony)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 3.50  
SCR  R ROSE' ALL DAY               (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  ON THE PAYROLL               (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  JUST A SPLASH (IRE)               (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
SCR  IDEA GENERATION (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  TREASURED GEM               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:131     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING SOPHIA 4 3 5 3 2 1nk 1 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 5.20  
FIREWOLVES 7 1 31 2½ 1 2nk 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 64% 0.60 0.65 P
TEKILA 2 4 42 52 67 4 313½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 4.40 S
TONIGHT WE LOVE 3 5 21 4 56 3 417 (martin )HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00 22.00  
REGAL REBEL 6 2 11 1½ 35 5 517½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 6.30  
KUKARO 5 7 7 7 713 713¾ 620¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 45.50  
CARLANN 1 6 6 63 4 6 722 (o'connor br)LUZZI J 120 10.00 8% 10.90 21.80  
 
BAQ-3   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORMEPAZZI 6 1 1 11   1½ 1¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 15.60  
BLITZ TO WIN 1 5 42 42   2½ 2¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 14% 6.10 3.65 P
DANGEROUS EDGE 3 3 6 5   5 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 24% 3.10 4.30 S
G MUNNING 2 6 32 3   4 45 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 27% 2.60 0.90 DH
FORTY TWO ACE 4 2 2 21   3 45 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 4.80 DH
SALUTE TO AMERICA 5 4 5 65   6 615¼ (solares axell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 22.90  
 
BAQ-4   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACHFRONT BID 4 1 1½ 1nk 13 15 1 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 115 10.00 22% 3.50 3.75 W
WESTERN LANE 2 3 32 3 23 25 2 (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 3.15  
DIAMOND STATUS 1 2 2½ 2nk 3 312½ 326 (martin f)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 2.25  
PRETTY PERSUASIVE 3 4 4 46 414 430½ 4100 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 1.25  
SCR  SAREEHA (IRE)               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  MOZAY               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  KINCHEN (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  YOGI               (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SCR  COMMANDER BUZZKILL (GB)               (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLEY MATRIMONY 3 4 21 2   21 12 (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 116 4.00 44% 1.30 1.80 W
STREET CULTURE 1 5 11 1   11 22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 3.05 P
CAJUN COMMANDER 5 3 3 33   3 3 (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 12.00 14.00 S
GOT THE GOLD 8 2 8 6   48 4 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 1.90  
RAW COURAGE 4 6 6 7   610 511 (toscano t)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 34.00  
LAST MINUTE MARIO 6 1 4 43   58 615¼ (catalano l)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 15.60  
MISTER LARRY 2 8 5 5   811½ 716½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 14.70  
LORD BROWNIE 7 7 7 88   711 817 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 20.00 33.50  
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT               (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
SCR  SHARDIAL               (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
BAQ-6   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:133 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVAN HARLAN 4 1 11 11 11 1 1 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 19% 4.30 3.50 W
BOBBIE D (IRE) 1 2 3 3 32 2 2 (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 13% 6.90 6.30 P
ARUBA (IRE) 9 4 21 21 21 3 3 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE null   6.60  
UNEXPECTED OUTCOME (IRE) 8 5 55 5 5 46 46 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7.90  
CELESTIAL MOON 5 6 66 6 66 5 5 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 9.60  
AFJAN 3 7 8 8 76 6 6 (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
FUNDING GAP (IRE) 7 10 109 1011½ 89 813 713 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 39.75  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 2 3 43 43 4 711½ 814¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00 59.25  
BORDER WAR 6 9 9 911 912½ 923 934 (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 4.00  
10  OUTPERFORM 10 8 76 78 10100 10100 10100 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 3.50  
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino dominick )RIDER TBA 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROSSA VELOCE 5 1 2½ 11   12 1 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 1.00  
THINKING IT OVER 3 5 32 21   22 2 (handal raymond)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 18% 4.50 6.30 P
BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY 4 4 57 58   412 318¼ (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 7.50 S
JILL'S A HOT MESS 1 3 4 3   39 420 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 3.20  
BLAME IT ON MARY 2 2 1½ 4   513 527½ (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 3.75  
SCR  THEODORA GRACE               (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE)               (solares axelle)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
SCR  KOKOPELLI               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER               (albertrani)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
SCR  TOWERING ORBIT               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50    
SCR  DERRYNANE               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80    
 
BAQ-8   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EBBEN 7 3 5 4 21 1nk 1 (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00 13.20  
CHRIS AND DAVE 8 2 21 2½ 11 2nk 2 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 11% 8.10 4.40 P
GENTLEMAN JOE 6 6 8 6 42 43 3 (solares axelle)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 3.65 S
DUST DEVIL 2 7 7 7 6 5 4 (englehart jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 36% 1.80 5.70  
JEMOGRAPHY 9 1 11 1½ 31 3 5 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 6.90  
ROCCO STRONG 4 4 4 5 54 67 614 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 4.00  
HEALING 5 9 9 8 8 8 716½ (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 11.20  
PIONEER SPIRIT 3 5 31 3½ 7 7 818¾ (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 30% 2.40 5.80  
LOST IN ROME 1 8 6 9 9 912 920 (younghans will)HARKIE K 122 20.00 41.75  
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS               (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:144 1:39   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIMS (GB) 1 2 31 3½ 2½ 12 11 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 4.60  
VERGARA 2 1 4 4 41 22 21 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 3.65  
EMINENT VICTOR 3 5 6 6 63 5 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 19% 4.30 4.20 S
PIZZA BIANCA 8 8 7 7 8 65 4 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 17% 5.00 1.90  
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) 5 7 8 8 7 34 53 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 13% 6.90 8.10  
CANISY 4 4 5 5 5 4 6 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 13.10  
HAIL TO 6 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 7 7 (albertrani thoma)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 14.00  
LADY BAFFLED 7 6 2nk 2nk 31 823½ 839¾ (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 41.50  
SCR  BABY MAN               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  GOLDEN ROCKET               (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. GREEN 2 8 6 63   5 1hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 10% 8.70 4.60 W
BREEZE EASY (GB) 1 7 85 74   3 2hd (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 1.85  
RUNAWAY ROCKETTE 7 3 2½ 4   2nk 3 (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 33.25  
FONTANAFREDDA 3 10 10 9   6 4 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 17.40  
GLITTER UP 8 4 1½ 1½   1nk 5 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10.70  
STUCK ON KITTEN 6 6 74 85   9 6 (d'angelo fr)RENDON JAIRO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
MISS TAPIRADO 9 2 42 3   4 76 (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 3.20  
VIOLENT VIXEN 5 5 52 52   7 8 (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 38.75  
SHE'S THE ONE 4 9 9 10   10 9 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
10  GET THE CANDY 10 1 3 2½   8 1014½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 30.50  
SCR  BABA               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY               (kelly j)RIDER TBA 123 10.00    
SCR  MADRILENA (ARG)               (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  QUEEN SHEBA               (demario charles )ADORNO ABNER 123 20.00    
SCR  SILKY BLUE               (duarte jor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  SNICKET               (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.