Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TONIC         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  JUST A SPLASH (IRE) Sep23         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  HOLA GATA Aug21 Jul24       (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 ★    
3  DESERT TEMPEST Sep01         (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 29% 2.50    
4  COOKIE CRUMBS Aug21         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  R ROSE' ALL DAY Aug07 Jul22       (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
6  GUSTIAMO Sep01 Aug04       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
SCR  ON THE PAYROLL         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  TREASURED GEM Sep18 Aug21 Jul24     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Sep01 Jul24       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
10  THIRTY THOU KELVIN Sep04 Jul14       (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 ★    
 
BAQ-2   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLANN Sep04 Jul17       (o'connor matthew )LUZZI J 120 10.00 8% 10.90    
2  TEKILA Sep10 Aug06 Jun23 May13   (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★    
3  TONIGHT WE LOVE Oct09 May07 Apr21 Mar25 Feb26 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
4  DANCING SOPHIA Sep17 Jul28 Jul04 Mar11 Feb16 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★    
5  KUKARO Sep24 Aug31 Aug05     (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
6  REGAL REBEL Aug05 Jun25       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
7  FIREWOLVES Sep29 Feb26 Jan23     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 64% 0.60    
 
BAQ-3   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLITZ TO WIN Sep18 Aug20       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 14% 6.10    
2  G MUNNING Aug27 Jul31 May30 Apr23 Mar13 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
3  DANGEROUS EDGE Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  FORTY TWO ACE Sep18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun18 Mar19 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 ★    
5  SALUTE TO AMERICA Apr30 Apr07 Feb05     (solares axe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
6  COLORMEPAZZI Sep20 Aug27 Jul31 Jul08 May31 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-4   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAREEHA (IRE) Sep18 Aug06       (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
2  DIAMOND STATUS Sep16 Aug19 Jun30 May15   (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
3  WESTERN LANE Sep16 Apr15       (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE) Sep18 Aug14 Jul20 Jun25 May28 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  COMMANDER BUZZKILL (GB)         (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  KINCHEN (IRE) Sep18         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  MOZAY Aug16 Jul23 May28 May01 Mar11 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  PRETTY PERSUASIVE         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
9  BEACHFRONT BID Sep23 Aug19 Jun25 May14 Apr08 (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  YOGI Aug31 Aug03       (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT Oct08 Aug19 Jul04 Jun03 May20 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
SCR  SHARDIAL Sep23 Aug18       (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  STREET CULTURE Sep16 Aug13 Apr16 Mar13 Feb27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 ★    
3  MISTER LARRY Aug29 Aug02 Jun22 Jun07 May11 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
4  HOLEY MATRIMONY         (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 44% 1.30    
5  RAW COURAGE Sep16 Aug03 Jul24 Jun23 May13 (toscano t)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00    
6  CAJUN COMMANDER Aug21 Jul24 Jun30 May08 Apr15 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 12.00 ★    
7  LAST MINUTE MARIO Sep19 Sep07 Jul19 Jun01 May11 (catalano l)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
8  LORD BROWNIE Sep01 Jul24 May28 May13 Apr24 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
9  GOT THE GOLD Sep01 Aug19 Jul24 Jul08 May15 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 ★    
 
BAQ-6   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBIE D (IRE) Sep17         (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE Oct03         (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00    
3  AFJAN Sep05 Aug28 Jul14 Jul01 Jun08 (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  EVAN HARLAN Jul13 May21 Apr10     (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  CELESTIAL MOON         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
6  BORDER WAR Jan15         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
7  FUNDING GAP (IRE) Sep02 Jul24       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
8  UNEXPECTED OUTCOME (IRE) Jan21         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
9  ARUBA (IRE) Sep17 Jan09       (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE null      
10  OUTPERFORM Sep02 Aug19 Jul08     (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB Aug13 Jun26       (schettino dominic)RIDER TBA 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DERRYNANE Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May28 Apr15 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80    
SCR  KOKOPELLI Sep16 Jul22       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  TOWERING ORBIT Sep16 Aug28 May20 Apr23 Mar25 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 121 3.50    
3  JILL'S A HOT MESS Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 May27 May19 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 ★    
4  BLAME IT ON MARY Sep23 Aug26 Jul29 Jun11 Apr30 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
5  THINKING IT OVER Sep02 Jul15 May28 Apr30 Mar18 (handal raymond)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 18% 4.50    
6  BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY Sep25 Jul22 Feb27 Feb06   (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 ★    
SCR  THEODORA GRACE Sep16 Aug12 Jun26 May14 Apr16 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER Sep18 Aug18 Jul22 May27 Jan29 (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) Sep16 Jun24 May27     (solares axel)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
10  ROSSA VELOCE Sep01 Jul15 May27 Apr22 Mar31 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 ★    
 
BAQ-8   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER SPIRIT Jul28 Jul22 Jun18 Apr21 Mar20 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS Sep25 Aug24 Jul22 Jun30 May27 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
2  LOST IN ROME Oct01 Sep01 Jul28 Jun30 May29 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
3  DUST DEVIL Sep16 Aug25 Jul23 May28 Apr28 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  ROCCO STRONG Aug25 Apr22 Mar27 Feb26 Feb06 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
5  HEALING Sep30 Sep05 Aug21 Jul30 May20 (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
6  GENTLEMAN JOE Sep05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 (solares axell)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 ★    
7  EBBEN Aug14 Jun18 May28 Apr16 Mar18 (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
8  CHRIS AND DAVE Sep16 Jul16 Jun18 May29 May06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
9  JEMOGRAPHY Sep17 Aug05 Jul10 Jun23 Jun16 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-9   10/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIMS (GB) Sep05 Aug25 Jul22 Jun09 Apr09 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 ★    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of ROYAL DECREE by REGAL INTENTION)
2  VERGARA Sep05 Aug06 Jun09 May20 Apr02 (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FIGURE OF BEAUTY by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  EMINENT VICTOR Aug20 Jul22 Jun25     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MR. Z out of JULIET VICTOR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  CANISY Sep17 Aug25 Jul14 Jun16 May01 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
5  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Sep06 Jul22 Jun16     (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SUPREME SPIRIT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
6  HAIL TO Sep02 Aug05 Jul10 May20 Apr02 (albertrani tho)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  GOLDEN ROCKET Sep18 Aug18 Jul23 Jul03 Jun03 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
8  LADY BAFFLED Aug19 Jul03 Apr09     (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of BAFFLING by MONTBROOK)
9  PIZZA BIANCA May20 Apr24       (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by FASTNET ROCK (AUS) out of WHITE HOT (GB) by WELDNAAS)
SCR  BABY MAN Sep22 Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 May07 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 30% 2.30    
  (by BIRD SONG out of ALASKAN BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
 
BAQ-10   10/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREEZE EASY (GB) Sep18 Aug11 Jun25 May28   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
2  MRS. GREEN Sep15 Aug14 Jul20 Jun24 May27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  FONTANAFREDDA Sep16 Aug18 Jul29 Jun11 Apr14 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
4  SHE'S THE ONE Jul02 May30 Apr23     (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  VIOLENT VIXEN Feb06 Jan01       (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00    
6  STUCK ON KITTEN Sep17 Aug28 Aug04 Jul08   (d'angelo jose )RENDON JAIRO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Sep15 Aug27 Jul29 Jun12 Apr29 (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00    
8  GLITTER UP Sep16 Aug14 Jul27 Jun19 Jan13 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
9  MISS TAPIRADO Sep15 Aug27 Jul08 Jun17 Apr09 (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
10  GET THE CANDY Sep15 Aug18 Jul22 Jun26 May27 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
SCR  SILKY BLUE Sep30 Sep15 Jul30 Jul02 May30 (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN SHEBA Sep30 Sep11 Aug10 Jul22 Jul03 (demario charle)ADORNO ABNER 123 20.00    
SCR  MADRILENA (ARG) Sep13 Jul09       (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  BABA Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 Apr15 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY Sep22 Jul09 Jun10 May07 Apr09 (kelly j)RIDER TBA 123 10.00    
SCR  SNICKET Sep22 Aug12 Jun26 May07 Apr23 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.