The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 22, 2022

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BAQ-1   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 2:05
:23 :474       1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERSONAL PURSUIT 5 2 2½ 1nk   11(casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10 W
10  QUARREL 8 1 3 2nk   22(ribaudo j)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 3.75  
FOURWAY STOP 6 8 7 78   611 316 (nevin michelle)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 3.95  
NIGHTSABER (GB) 7 6 6 5   410½ 416½ (trites lands)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 27.75  
WILL BE FAMOUS 3 3 4 8   711¼ 518 (brown r)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 4.90  
TAP IT UP 2 7 53 44   3620 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 30.00 37.00  
PASSIONATE DREAM 1 5 8 6   811¼ 720½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 20% 3.90 6.80  
CALY BALI 4 4 1½ 33   510½ 827½ (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 11% 7.80 4.40  
SCR  EIN GEDI (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  EVERY TIME               (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE)               (dutrow w)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  LADY CARAGGIO (IRE)               (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (pugh d)USKE S 119 30.00    
SCR  LEXI'S SPIRIT               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
BAQ-2   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:234 :48 1:133     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSHUN 5 1 1 11   113 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 29% 2.50 1.15 W
REIGNING CHICK 2 6 5 5   46 23 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 6.80 P
RUN UP THE SCORE 4 2 4 43   33(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 39% 1.60 3.40 S
BELARUS 6 3 2 21   246 (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 12.70  
SHAOLIN 3 5 3 3   57 510 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 11.60  
PREPOSTEROUS 1 4 64 65   6611¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 3.45  
 
BAQ-3   09/22/2022 7260ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
:244 :493 1:144 1:403   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY MAN 4 1 11 11 11 11½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.00 47% 1.10 1.00 W
GO BIG BLUE NATION 3 2 3 21 21 22½ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 4.50 P
WICKED GROOVE 2 3 21 31 3 322½ 331 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 9% 10.00 2.70 S
CREATIVE CAIRO 1 4 42 43 410½ 427½ 435 (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 3.00  
SCR  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED               (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00    
SCR  ROCKY SKY (IRE)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 22% 3.50    
SCR  STARSHIP MALLOMAR               (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 3:38
:233 :484 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH KNOW NAME 3 9 98 76   44 1nk (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 1.80  
CENTRAL LOVE 7 3 53 6   52nk (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 9% 9.90 12.60 P
1A  M. C. DOUBLE R 2 1 3 1½   1nk 3.15 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 4.30  
DESTIN HOOFMAN 6 8 4 2½   2nk 4½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 8% 11.10 16.20  
FAST STUDY 9 6 7 9   953 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8% 11.10 14.60  
SARATOGA BANKER 5 7 10 10   86(dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 5.00 12% 7.60 8.40  
TESTA DURA 8 10 8 8   67(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 42% 1.40 6.10  
HOT ROD LINCOLN 1 5 6 43   38(rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 4.30  
10  EXCALIBRATE 10 4 1nk 32   7914¼ (chichakly amira)SAMUEL L 119 20.00 16.10  
SOMAMA BEACH 4 2 2nk 5   1013¼ 1030 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 5.70  
SCR  DR GREENTHUMB               (aguirre jr)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 4:09
:23 :473 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONEWALL STAR 5 3 1½ 1   11(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 42% 1.40 2.15 W
DISRUPTION 3 7 52 44   22(brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 6.60  
SILVER SKILLET 2 8 74 55   37 36 (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60 S
THREE UNIONS 4 1 2½ 2   47 412¼ (schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 8.00  
CARIBBEAN BREEZE 10 10 1014¾ 1010   713 514 (cox h)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 8.10  
THE SPLENDID ONE 8 2 31 33   58 615¼ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 23.30  
1A  PEBBLE LANE 7 9 9 7   611 715¾ (schosberg richard)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8.00  
MAYA'S DREAM 6 6 6 9   813¼ 817¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 15.80  
SWEET LIBERTY 9 4 42 8   1014¾ 920¼ (quick j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 12.00  
LA CONQUISTADORA 1 5 8 66   914¼ 1021¼ (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 12.60  
 
BAQ-6   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE STATION 4 3 3 22   11(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 5% 19.00 2.65 W
BREW PUB 3 4 44 4   32(arenas marcelo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00 6.20  
11  QUICKFLASH 5 2 2½ 3   4311¼ (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 2.15  
NOT PHAR NOW 1 1 1½ 12   2412½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 41% 1.40 1.45  
ME 'N SAP 2 5 5 511½   512½ 518¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 14.60  
SCR  SWASHBUCKLE               (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS               (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
SCR  SHIRAZ               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEURO               (ribaudo j)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 7% 12.50    
SCR  YARROW               (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00    
SCR  DEEP COVER               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50    
SCR  FOOLISH GHOST               (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:233 :474 1:142     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  KERIK 7 3 77 68 5 42 1(noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 11.30  
12  RAFFINITY 6 2 41 44 3 32 2(rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 20.80  
14  SPOOKY ROAD 8 1 3½ 31 2nk 1½ 3(rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 4.70  
DREAMFUL 3 4 2nk 2½ 1nk 2½ 4(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 75% 0.30 1.60  
MAYBE LATER 2 7 1nk 1½ 4 557 (morey e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 2.00  
LADY OF THOROTON 4 6 6 5 6 6622 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 13.70  
ROSEMARY POTATOES 1 5 53 7 713¼ 714½ 731¾ (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 28.50  
11  EXCEPT TEMPTATION 5 8 811 813½ 816¾ 818 834½ (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 12.70  
SCR  ALPINE QUEEN               (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
SCR  EXTRAVAGANT ROSIE               (sweezey kent)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  I'M BUZZY               (friedman mitchell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  MIA AT MIDNIGHT               (walder r)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
SCR  OCEAN AIR               (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER               (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  TAPPLE CIDER               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/22/2022 4290ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:23 :47 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSIENKO 6 3 41 2½   13 14 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.40 38% 1.60 0.80 W
TO A T 3 6 53 5   23 24 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 2.00 3.75 P
SNICKET 2 2 2½ 1½   33 3(duggan p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 23% 3.40 3.50 S
FIGHT ON LUCY 4 5 6 6   54(kelly j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 18.50  
FIRING CAROL 7 7 74 74   7510½ (legall e)SAMUEL L 123 10.00 20.40  
CHLOE ROSE 5 1 31 4   4610¾ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 12% 7.20 23.70  
CHASING CARA 1 4 1½ 3½   6715¾ (friedman mitchell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 13.30  
 
BAQ-9   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
:231 :48 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILLY 7 3 42 42   1nk 12 (ferraro w)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 14.10  
13  SHE'S AWESOME 10 1 3 3   2nk 22 (klesaris steve)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 21.00  
LADY FIREFOOT 4 4 2½ 2½   3½ 32 (reynolds j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 15% 5.50 8.80 S
10  DIVINE WINE 9 11 1116½ 8   54(abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 7.20  
14  AFILADA 11 8 7 64   65(englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 6% 15.70 12.50  
BIRTHDAY TIME 8 2 6 5   46(sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 31% 2.20 2.35  
MOSTLY HARMLESS 3 10 8 7   77(martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 5.40  
TEMERITY 5 7 1013 1110½   1012¼ 816¼ (abreu fernando)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 26.50  
LINN PIER 6 9 99 109   911¼ 916¾ (toscano t)SAMUEL L 121 30.00 64.25  
SPICY GINGER 2 5 1½ 1½   81023¼ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 9% 9.70 4.10  
ALWAYS CONNECTED 1 6 5 98   1113¾ 1125¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 11% 8.30 10.50  
SCR  BELLESHAZZA               (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE)               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  RICELLE               (legall e)DAVIS A 124 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.