Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSIONATE DREAM Jul24         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  TAP IT UP         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 30.00    
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE)         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
4  WILL BE FAMOUS Aug07 Jul14       (brown r)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
5  CALY BALI         (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
6  PERSONAL PURSUIT Jul01         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EIN GEDI (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.70    
8  FOURWAY STOP Jul31 Jun30 Jun05     (nevin michell)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
9  NIGHTSABER (GB)         (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
10  QUARREL         (ribaudo robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
SCR  LEXI'S SPIRIT Aug25         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 7% 13.70    
SCR  LADY CARAGGIO (IRE) Aug25         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB         (pugh d)USKE S 119 30.00    
SCR  EVERY TIME Aug23         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREPOSTEROUS Aug11 Jul27 Jun25 Apr29   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 ★    
2  REIGNING CHICK Jul21 Apr10 Feb21 Jan23   (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★    
3  SHAOLIN Jul29 Jul01 May29 Apr27   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
4  RUN UP THE SCORE Aug12 Jul17 Jun11 May07 Mar27 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  MONSHUN Jul09 May30 Apr09 Mar19   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 29% 2.50    
6  BELARUS Aug11 Jun12 Apr14 Jan08   (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
 
BAQ-3   09/22/2022 7260ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARSHIP MALLOMAR Sep05 Aug06 Jun24 Jun02 Apr23 (abrams ronald)RENDON JAIRO 124 10.00    
2  CREATIVE CAIRO Aug25 Jul31 Jun25 May08   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50    
3  WICKED GROOVE Aug27 Jul30 Jun14 Feb26 Jan28 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Aug30 Jul31 Jun17 May07   (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 ★    
5  GO BIG BLUE NATION Aug30 Jul12 May28 Apr21   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  ROCKY SKY (IRE) Aug25 Aug03 May30 Mar12   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 22% 3.50    
7  BABY MAN Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 May07 Mar27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.00 47% 1.10    
 
BAQ-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ROD LINCOLN Sep04         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
1A  M. C. DOUBLE R Aug14 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
2  WITH KNOW NAME Aug26 Jul29       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
3  SOMAMA BEACH Sep05         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
4  SARATOGA BANKER         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 5.00 12% 7.60    
5  DESTIN HOOFMAN         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 8% 11.10    
6  CENTRAL LOVE         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 9% 9.90    
7  TESTA DURA         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  DR GREENTHUMB Sep05         (aguirre anthony)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
9  FAST STUDY         (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8% 11.10    
10  EXCALIBRATE Sep04 Aug14       (chichakly am)SAMUEL L 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE UNIONS Aug12         (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 ★    
1A  PEBBLE LANE Aug10         (schosberg richa)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
2  LA CONQUISTADORA         (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 ★    
3  SILVER SKILLET Jul27         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  DISRUPTION Jul27         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
5  STONEWALL STAR Sep02         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  MAYA'S DREAM         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★    
7  THE SPLENDID ONE Aug24 Jul15       (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
8  SWEET LIBERTY Sep02 Jun25       (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
9  CARIBBEAN BREEZE         (cox h)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT PHAR NOW Aug31 Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  SHIRAZ Aug31 Jul24 Jun26 Jun16   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YARROW Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 Apr28   (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00    
SCR  NEURO Aug13 Jul17       (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  DEEP COVER Aug21 Jun26 May21 Apr23 Jan14 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50    
6  ME 'N SAP Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul14 Jun16 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
7  BREW PUB Aug21 Jul24 May29 May14 Apr16 (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
SCR  SWASHBUCKLE Jul24 Jun04 Apr21     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
9  BATTLE STATION Aug27 Jul24 Jul04 Jun10 May28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 Apr23 Jan09 (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
11  QUICKFLASH Aug26 Jul30 Jun11 May08 Mar20 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Aug27 Jul14 Apr30 Mar12   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 7% 12.50    
SCR  FOOLISH GHOST Sep03 Jul04       (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALPINE QUEEN Aug04 Jun03 May01 Mar18 Feb04 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER Aug05 Jul03 Jun10 May20 Mar04 (camejo jose )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 ★    
2  ROSEMARY POTATOES Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 Jun19 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
SCR  MIA AT MIDNIGHT Aug24 Jun11 May15 Mar02 Jan26 (walder r)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
4  MAYBE LATER Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 Jul02 Jun12 (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 ★    
5  DREAMFUL May12 Apr20 Mar12 Jan29   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 75% 0.30    
SCR  EXTRAVAGANT ROSIE Aug23 Jul23 Jun02 May15 Mar27 (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  OCEAN AIR Aug17         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  I'M BUZZY Sep01 Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 Apr27 (friedman mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
9  LADY OF THOROTON Aug24 Jul29 Jul02 Jun11 May15 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  TAPPLE CIDER Sep01 Aug12 Jul17     (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00    
11  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Sep02 Aug05 Jun17 May12 Apr13 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
12  RAFFINITY Aug04 Jun24 Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
13  KERIK Aug24 Jun02 May01 Mar18 Feb12 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 124 6.00 ★    
14  SPOOKY ROAD Aug20 Jul27 Jun30 Mar24 Feb28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING CARA Aug12 Jul09 May19 Apr23 Mar25 (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 ★    
2  SNICKET Aug12 Jun26 May07 Apr23 Mar18 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  TO A T Aug21 Aug07 Jul09 May07 Apr28 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 2.00 ★    
4  FIGHT ON LUCY Jul09 Jun10 May07 Apr09 Mar18 (kelly patrick)CARDENAS LUIS 123 15.00    
5  CHLOE ROSE Aug21 Jul16 Jun18 May27 Apr28 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 12% 7.20    
6  MOSIENKO Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Jun04 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.40 38% 1.60    
7  FIRING CAROL Aug21 Jan20       (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 123 10.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS CONNECTED Jan14         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 11% 8.30    
2  SPICY GINGER Jun05         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 9% 9.70    
3  MOSTLY HARMLESS Sep05 Aug06 Jun30 May27 Apr30 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
4  LADY FIREFOOT Aug19 Jul30       (reynolds patri)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE) Jul30 Jun30 May15 Mar23 Mar01 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
6  TEMERITY Jul20 Jun30 Jun10     (abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
7  LINN PIER Sep05 Jul17 Jun10 May15 Apr23 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 121 30.00    
8  DEVILLY Aug19 Jul30 Jun24 May27 Apr22 (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
9  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Aug19 Jul28 Jun04 Apr10 Mar12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  DIVINE WINE         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
SCR  BELLESHAZZA Aug21 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 May20 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  RICELLE Aug21 Jul28 Jun30 Jun10 May15 (legall r)DAVIS A 124 50.00    
13  SHE'S AWESOME Jul27         (klesaris steve)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
14  AFILADA Aug06 Jun23 May13 Apr06 Feb18 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 121 6.00 6% 15.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.