Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:231 :472 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARQUIST 3 1 42 5   5 11 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 4.40  
BOURBON CHASE 6 5 31 2½   1½ 21 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 33% 2.00 0.90 P
DR. KRAFT 5 3 21 31   3 33 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 16.00 S
CENTRAL LOVE 1 6 5 4   4 4 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 15% 5.50 11.00  
STORM THE EMPIRE 4 2 11 1½   2½ 5 (englehart jeffrey)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 9.30  
LT. MITCHELL 2 4 65 6   610 612¼ (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.95  
 
BAQ-2   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:133 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INFLATION ADJUSTED 9 5 2 2 21 1½ 1hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 5.60  
1A  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO 12 10 97 9 7 42 2hd (englehart jef)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 24.00  
MR. KRINGLE 6 8 54 5 52 3 3nk (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 10.10 S
BOX N SCORE 2 2 86 8 8 7 42 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 36% 1.70 3.70  
12  DANTE'S FIRE 11 12 12 10 10 9 5 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 8.70  
SONIC SPEED 7 9 65 6 6 63 6 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 19% 4.20 7.50  
SIDD FINCH 4 7 75 7 9 104 7 (levine bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 38.50  
11  ARRIO 10 4 1 1 11 2½ 8 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
AVIANO 8 11 118 12 11 11 9 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 20% 4.10 4.10  
A HUGE CHECKPOINT 3 1 32 32 3 53 10 (breed rona)DAVIS A 122 50.00 82.00  
MIGHTY MEISTER 5 6 4 42 42 8 11 (rawles alcin)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 30.00 65.75  
GOLDINI 1 3 10 11 12 12 128 (jacobson david)LUZZI J 124 20.00 19.00  
SCR  AL'S PRINCE               (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
SCR  MASKED MARAUDER               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:131 1:383   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEST 1 1 3 31 31 1 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 0.20 49% 1.00 0.05 W
FIRST TO ACT 2 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 2 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 9.50 P
HYBRID ECLIPSE 3 3 4 4 45 411 315¼ (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 9% 10.30 48.25 S
TRAVEL COLUMN 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 38 419½ (mott i)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 10% 8.60 8.20  
THE GRASS IS BLUE 4 5 5 54 510 523 537½ (motion graham)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 37.00  
 
BAQ-4   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATASHA 1 3 1nk 1nk   1 15 (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7% 13.60 4.20 W
SOUTHERN FLAG 2 2 5¾ 4   2 25 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 32% 2.10 1.95 P
MATT DOYLE 6 1 4¾ 2nk   34 3 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 1.35 S
TIGER TOWN BOY 5 5 6 6   410 413½ (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 7.80  
PSYCHIC INCOME 4 6 2nk 3   515 527¼ (handal raym)VARGAS A 124 20.00 20.00  
CARPE CAPELLA 3 4 3½ 5   623 649¾ (shivmangal lolita)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00 10.70  
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 0.60 36% 1.80    
 
BAQ-5   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:12 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STREET VENDOR 11 2 36 34 3 12 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 62% 0.60 1.45 W
ON PALM SUNDAY 2 3 2 2 2½ 22 2 (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7.80 P
FAZARO 3 4 4 6 43 34 36 (williams andre)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 18.50 S
10  MAD MAGIC 8 8 7 77 9 8 47 (baker charlto)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9.70  
11  GREG'S HONOR 9 9 911½ 8 76 6 5 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 5.40  
MEDIA SENSATION 7 5 68 55 55 7 6 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 9.10  
ISLANDMAN 5 6 58 45 65 56 7 (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00 66.00  
BALI RIDDIM 6 7 811 9 8 9 810¾ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 40.25  
FIERCE DEBATE 4 11 1117½ 1015¾ 1010½ 1011¼ 911½ (begg bentl)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 18.60  
12  BARGAINING POWER 10 1 1 1 1½ 44 1013½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 4.20  
RIDEWITHTHEDEVIL 1 10 1012½ 1116¼ 1119½ 1129¼ 1140 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 1.45  
SCR  CASH BAIL               (meadow e)USKE S 120 30.00    
SCR  DRUID               (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 50.00    
SCR  HOOKY PLAYER               (duarte jor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  WICK LOVES A FIGHT               (noda or)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAGIRROC 2 6 3 31   3½ 1¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 40% 1.50 3.60 W
GASLIGHT DANCER 6 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 17% 4.80 1.75 P
VACATION DANCE 4 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 3¼ (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 11.50 S
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 3 5 6 5   4 4½ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 15% 5.50 3.15  
DUNEDIN 1 7 7 7   6 5½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 122 8.00 10.10  
DETERMINED JESTER 7 1 4 4   5 66 (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 119 6.00 6% 15.60 6.50  
POWER ATTACK 5 3 5 6   7 710¾ (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 12.20  
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY               (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:131     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MYSTERY 1 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 1½ (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 70% 0.40 0.50 W
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 6 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 2½ (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 5.10 P
CARAMOCHA 3 5 5 5 4 3 310¼ (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.50 6.00 S
MIA BEA STAR 5 7 7 6 5 57 411¾ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 16.50  
NEW YORK BANKER 7 4 41 31 3 4 513¼ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 9.60  
GRINGOTTS 2 2 3½ 4 65 6 613½ (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 124 20.00 27.75  
MELISSA'S SMILE 4 6 65 7 710½ 713½ 719 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00 29.00  
 
BAQ-8   10/09/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:144 1:382   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING CAUSE 4 2 11 11 11 1 12 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 15.40  
PIXELATE 6 5 3 3 3 3 22 (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 7% 14.10 7.10 P
SAFE CONDUCT 9 3 21 21 21 2 32 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 14.10  
FIELD PASS 7 6 4 4 42 44 4 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 10% 9.30 24.50  
10  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) 10 4 52 64 64 55 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 14% 6.30 2.25  
LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) 1 8 9 97 96 7 63 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 14.50  
EONS 2 1 6 53 53 6 7 (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 26.50  
PAO ALTO (FR) 8 9 8 8 85 8 84 (motion graham)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00 26% 2.90 4.00  
DYNADRIVE 3 10 10 108 10 9 9 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 11.10  
L'IMPERATOR (FR) 5 7 7 75 75 10 10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 17% 5.00 3.65  
 
BAQ-9   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNTY WINDERMERE 3 1 11 1   13 1¼ (ryan s)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 15.00 52.00  
CERRETTA 7 12 12 1111½   7 2¼ (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 10.10  
LAUGHTER 4 3 6 7   67 3½ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 4.60  
ROBYN AND ELI 5 7 8 910½   8 4½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 51% 1.00 1.35  
ELI DANCER 6 2 21 2   23 5 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 25% 3.00 5.40  
TREAT STREET 8 10 9 6   57 6 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 14.10  
13  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 12 6 44 4   3 7 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 6.60  
12  CRICKET WEST 11 5 7 810   10 8 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 33.25  
SEEMS TO WHISPER 1 8 5 56   4 9 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 19.40  
10  SHESADANCINGQUEEN 9 11 11 1010½   1111¾ 10 (nevin miche)VARGAS A 121 20.00 88.75  
TONIGHT WE LOVE 2 9 10 1212   1213¼ 11 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00 81.50  
11  RENT CONTROL 10 4 3 3   9 1213¼ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 33.00  
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD               (barker edward )CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  LAOCHI               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00    
SCR  MADAME ROSE               (jones e)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI               (miceli mich)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.