Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:231 :472 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARQUIST 3 1 42 5   5 11 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 4.40  
BOURBON CHASE 6 5 31 2½   1½ 21 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 33% 2.00 0.90 P
DR. KRAFT 5 3 21 31   3 33 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 16.00 S
CENTRAL LOVE 1 6 5 4   4 4 (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 15% 5.50 11.00  
STORM THE EMPIRE 4 2 11 1½   2½ 5 (englehart jeffr)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 9.30  
LT. MITCHELL 2 4 65 6   610 612¼ (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.95  
 
BAQ-2   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:133 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INFLATION ADJUSTED 9 5 2 2 21 1½ 1hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 5.60  
1A  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO 12 10 97 9 7 42 2hd (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 24.00  
MR. KRINGLE 6 8 54 5 52 3 3nk (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 10.10 S
BOX N SCORE 2 2 86 8 8 7 42 (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 36% 1.70 3.70  
12  DANTE'S FIRE 11 12 12 10 10 9 5 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 8.70  
SONIC SPEED 7 9 65 6 6 63 6 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 19% 4.20 7.50  
SIDD FINCH 4 7 75 7 9 104 7 (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 38.50  
11  ARRIO 10 4 1 1 11 2½ 8 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
AVIANO 8 11 118 12 11 11 9 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 20% 4.10 4.10  
A HUGE CHECKPOINT 3 1 32 32 3 53 10 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 50.00 82.00  
MIGHTY MEISTER 5 6 4 42 42 8 11 (rawles alc)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 30.00 65.75  
GOLDINI 1 3 10 11 12 12 128 (jacobson david)LUZZI J 124 20.00 19.00  
SCR  AL'S PRINCE               (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
SCR  MASKED MARAUDER               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:131 1:383   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEST 1 1 3 31 31 1 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 0.20 49% 1.00 0.05 W
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
FIRST TO ACT 2 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 2 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 9.50 P
  (by CURLIN out of FIRST PASSAGE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HYBRID ECLIPSE 3 3 4 4 45 411 315¼ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 9% 10.30 48.25 S
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
TRAVEL COLUMN 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 38 419½ (mott william)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 10% 8.60 8.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
THE GRASS IS BLUE 4 5 5 54 510 523 537½ (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 37.00  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of SHINE SOFTLY by ALDEBARAN)
 
BAQ-4   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATASHA 1 3 1nk 1nk   1 15 (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7% 13.60 4.20 W
SOUTHERN FLAG 2 2 5¾ 4   2 25 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 32% 2.10 1.95 P
MATT DOYLE 6 1 4¾ 2nk   34 3 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 1.35 S
TIGER TOWN BOY 5 5 6 6   410 413½ (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 7.80  
PSYCHIC INCOME 4 6 2nk 3   515 527¼ (handal ra)VARGAS A 124 20.00 20.00  
CARPE CAPELLA 3 4 3½ 5   623 649¾ (shivmangal loli)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00 10.70  
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 0.60 36% 1.80    
 
BAQ-5   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:12 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STREET VENDOR 11 2 36 34 3 12 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 62% 0.60 1.45 W
ON PALM SUNDAY 2 3 2 2 2½ 22 2 (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7.80 P
FAZARO 3 4 4 6 43 34 36 (williams and)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 18.50 S
10  MAD MAGIC 8 8 7 77 9 8 47 (baker charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 9.70  
11  GREG'S HONOR 9 9 911½ 8 76 6 5 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 5.40  
MEDIA SENSATION 7 5 68 55 55 7 6 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 9.10  
ISLANDMAN 5 6 58 45 65 56 7 (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00 66.00  
BALI RIDDIM 6 7 811 9 8 9 810¾ (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 40.25  
FIERCE DEBATE 4 11 1117½ 1015¾ 1010½ 1011¼ 911½ (begg ben)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 18.60  
12  BARGAINING POWER 10 1 1 1 1½ 44 1013½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 4.20  
RIDEWITHTHEDEVIL 1 10 1012½ 1116¼ 1119½ 1129¼ 1140 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 1.45  
SCR  CASH BAIL               (meadow e)USKE S 120 30.00    
SCR  DRUID               (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 50.00    
SCR  HOOKY PLAYER               (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  WICK LOVES A FIGHT               (noda )HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAGIRROC 2 6 3 31   3½ 1¼ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 40% 1.50 3.60 W
  (by LEA out of EMMA SPENCER (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
GASLIGHT DANCER 6 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 17% 4.80 1.75 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RAINDROPS DROPTOPS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
VACATION DANCE 4 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 3¼ (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 11.50 S
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 3 5 6 5   4 4½ (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 15% 5.50 3.15  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of URBAN BALL by GALILEO)
DUNEDIN 1 7 7 7   6 5½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 122 8.00 10.10  
  (by MUNNINGS out of FAITH IN CATHY by HOLD ME BACK)
DETERMINED JESTER 7 1 4 4   5 66 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 6.00 6% 15.60 6.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CALL MARIAH by DIXIE UNION)
POWER ATTACK 5 3 5 6   7 710¾ (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 12.20  
  (by WAR DANCER out of STREET MAGIC by STREET HERO)
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY               (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NATURALLY NAUGHTY by HOLY BULL)
 
BAQ-7   10/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:131     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MYSTERY 1 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 1½ (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 70% 0.40 0.50 W
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 6 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 2½ (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 5.10 P
CARAMOCHA 3 5 5 5 4 3 310¼ (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.50 6.00 S
MIA BEA STAR 5 7 7 6 5 57 411¾ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 16.50  
NEW YORK BANKER 7 4 41 31 3 4 513¼ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 9.60  
GRINGOTTS 2 2 3½ 4 65 6 613½ (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 124 20.00 27.75  
MELISSA'S SMILE 4 6 65 7 710½ 713½ 719 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00 29.00  
 
BAQ-8   10/09/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:144 1:382   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING CAUSE 4 2 11 11 11 1 12 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 15.40  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of STREET MATE by STREET CRY (IRE))
PIXELATE 6 5 3 3 3 3 22 (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 7% 14.10 7.10 P
  (by CITY ZIP out of SPECKLED by STREET CRY (IRE))
SAFE CONDUCT 9 3 21 21 21 2 32 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 14.10  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of DUCHESS DANCER by CONGRATS)
FIELD PASS 7 6 4 4 42 44 4 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 10% 9.30 24.50  
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
10  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) 10 4 52 64 64 55 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 14% 6.30 2.25  
  (by KINGMAN out of PARLE MOI by MONTJEU (IRE))
LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) 1 8 9 97 96 7 63 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 14.50  
  (by ZOFFANY (IRE) out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
EONS 2 1 6 53 53 6 7 (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 26.50  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of GOLDEN ANTIGUA by HANSEL)
PAO ALTO (FR) 8 9 8 8 85 8 84 (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00 26% 2.90 4.00  
  (by INTELLO (GER) out of PEACEFUL LOVE (GER) by DASHING BLADE (GB))
DYNADRIVE 3 10 10 108 10 9 9 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 11.10  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
L'IMPERATOR (FR) 5 7 7 75 75 10 10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 17% 5.00 3.65  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
 
BAQ-9   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNTY WINDERMERE 3 1 11 1   13 1¼ (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 15.00 52.00  
CERRETTA 7 12 12 1111½   7 2¼ (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 10.10  
LAUGHTER 4 3 6 7   67 3½ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 4.60  
ROBYN AND ELI 5 7 8 910½   8 4½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 51% 1.00 1.35  
ELI DANCER 6 2 21 2   23 5 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 25% 3.00 5.40  
TREAT STREET 8 10 9 6   57 6 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 14.10  
13  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 12 6 44 4   3 7 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 6.60  
12  CRICKET WEST 11 5 7 810   10 8 (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 33.25  
SEEMS TO WHISPER 1 8 5 56   4 9 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 19.40  
10  SHESADANCINGQUEEN 9 11 11 1010½   1111¾ 10 (nevin mic)VARGAS A 121 20.00 88.75  
TONIGHT WE LOVE 2 9 10 1212   1213¼ 11 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00 81.50  
11  RENT CONTROL 10 4 3 3   9 1213¼ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 33.00  
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD               (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  LAOCHI               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00    
SCR  MADAME ROSE               (jones eduardo)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI               (miceli mi)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.