Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRAL LOVE Sep22         (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  LT. MITCHELL Sep05         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  STARQUIST         (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 ★    
4  STORM THE EMPIRE Aug11         (englehart jeffr)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
5  DR. KRAFT         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 ★    
6  BOURBON CHASE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 33% 2.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Sep11 Aug20 Jun19 Apr14 Feb11 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  AL'S PRINCE Aug24 Jul21 Jul15 Jun05 Apr15 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
SCR  MASKED MARAUDER Sep14 Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 May14 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00    
2  GOLDINI Aug04 Jun10 May08 Feb18   (jacobson david)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
3  BOX N SCORE Sep07 Aug20 Jul24 Jun10 Jun03 (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 36% 1.70    
4  A HUGE CHECKPOINT Sep12 Aug15 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 50.00    
5  SIDD FINCH Jun23 Jun05 May20     (levine bruc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
6  MIGHTY MEISTER Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 May12 Apr22 (rawles alcina)MENA E 124 30.00    
7  MR. KRINGLE Aug27 Aug10 Jul16 Jun18 May13 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 ★    
8  SONIC SPEED Sep24 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
9  AVIANO Aug20 Jul01 May06 Apr13 Feb27 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
10  INFLATION ADJUSTED Sep05 Aug10 Jul02     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
11  ARRIO Sep24         (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  DANTE'S FIRE Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 May29   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEST Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 May06 Apr08 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 0.20 49% 1.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
2  FIRST TO ACT Aug19 Jul10 Jun12 Apr15 Mar10 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of FIRST PASSAGE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  HYBRID ECLIPSE Aug27 Jul02 Jun08 Feb21   (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 9% 10.30    
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
4  THE GRASS IS BLUE Aug16 Jul02 May14     (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 ★    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of SHINE SOFTLY by ALDEBARAN)
5  TRAVEL COLUMN Aug28 Jun29       (mott william)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
BAQ-4   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATASHA Mar12         (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7% 13.60    
2  SOUTHERN FLAG Aug13 Jun26       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  CARPE CAPELLA         (shivmangal loli)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00    
4  PSYCHIC INCOME Aug19 Jul16       (handal ra)VARGAS A 124 20.00    
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Aug13         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 0.60 36% 1.80    
6  TIGER TOWN BOY         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 ★    
7  MATT DOYLE Aug28         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 ★    
 
BAQ-5   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDEWITHTHEDEVIL Mar04 Jan30       (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
1A  STREET VENDOR Aug20 Jul24 Jul03     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
2  ON PALM SUNDAY Aug11 Jul29 Jun23 May13   (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 ★    
3  FAZARO Sep30 Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 (williams and)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  CASH BAIL Aug18 Jun29       (meadow e)USKE S 120 30.00    
5  FIERCE DEBATE         (begg ben)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
6  ISLANDMAN Sep15 Aug24 Jul10 Jun12 May01 (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00    
7  BALI RIDDIM Sep17 Aug19 Jul10 Jun11 Jun03 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00    
8  MEDIA SENSATION Sep02 Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 May30 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
SCR  WICK LOVES A FIGHT Jul10 Jun12       (noda )HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
10  MAD MAGIC Aug24 Jul29 Jul03     (baker charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
11  GREG'S HONOR Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 May20 Apr09 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 ★    
12  BARGAINING POWER Sep10         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  DRUID Aug11 Jul29 Jun17     (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 50.00    
SCR  HOOKY PLAYER Sep24 Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 May15 (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
BAQ-6   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNEDIN Sep08 Aug08 Jul19     (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 122 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FAITH IN CATHY by HOLD ME BACK)
2  NAGIRROC Sep24 Aug22       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by LEA out of EMMA SPENCER (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
3  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Sep01 Jul22       (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of URBAN BALL by GALILEO)
4  VACATION DANCE Sep04         (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 ★    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
5  POWER ATTACK Sep17 Jul30 Jul08 Jun09   (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STREET MAGIC by STREET HERO)
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY Sep08 Jun27 May30 Apr28   (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NATURALLY NAUGHTY by HOLY BULL)
7  GASLIGHT DANCER Sep03 Aug13       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RAINDROPS DROPTOPS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  DETERMINED JESTER Sep06 Aug16 Jul21     (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 6.00 6% 15.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CALL MARIAH by DIXIE UNION)
 
BAQ-7   10/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MYSTERY Sep15 Aug13 Jul09 Jun16   (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 70% 0.40    
2  GRINGOTTS Sep15 Aug17 Jul22 Jun25 May27 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
3  CARAMOCHA Sep15 Aug17 Jul22     (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.50 ★    
4  MELISSA'S SMILE Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jun29 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
5  MIA BEA STAR Sep15 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 ★    
6  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Sep16 Aug13 Jun24 May27 Apr30 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★    
7  NEW YORK BANKER Sep05 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 May27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
BAQ-8   10/09/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) Aug19 Jul09 May29 Apr15 Jan05 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
  (by ZOFFANY (IRE) out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
2  EONS Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 Apr10 Feb05 (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of GOLDEN ANTIGUA by HANSEL)
3  DYNADRIVE Sep05 Aug06 Jul01 Mar11 Feb25 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  KING CAUSE Sep14 Aug21 Jul31 Jun14 May07 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of STREET MATE by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  L'IMPERATOR (FR) Sep10 Jul31 Jun11 May07 Feb05 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
6  PIXELATE Sep10 Jul16       (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 7% 14.10    
  (by CITY ZIP out of SPECKLED by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  FIELD PASS Sep14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun04 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 10% 9.30    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
8  PAO ALTO (FR) Sep10         (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by INTELLO (GER) out of PEACEFUL LOVE (GER) by DASHING BLADE (GB))
9  SAFE CONDUCT Aug06 Jun18 May05 Mar05   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of DUCHESS DANCER by CONGRATS)
10  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) Sep10 Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 May07 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by KINGMAN out of PARLE MOI by MONTJEU (IRE))
 
BAQ-9   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEMS TO WHISPER Aug20 Jul20       (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD Jun17 Apr28 Apr03     (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 ★    
3  TONIGHT WE LOVE May07 Apr21 Mar25 Feb26 Feb05 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00    
4  BUNTY WINDERMERE Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 Jun12 May27 (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 15.00    
5  LAUGHTER Aug31 Aug03 Jul04 Jun04 May07 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
6  ROBYN AND ELI Aug18 Jul16 Jun19     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
7  ELI DANCER Sep03 Aug12 Jul09 Feb18   (camejo m)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  CERRETTA Aug31 Jul16 May21 Apr23 Feb19 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00    
9  TREAT STREET Aug31 Jul23 Apr29     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
10  SHESADANCINGQUEEN Aug31 Jun17 Apr28     (nevin mic)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
11  RENT CONTROL Sep03 Jul04 Jun17 May27   (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00    
12  CRICKET WEST Mar25 Feb12 Jan01     (terranova john)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
13  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Sep03 Jun26 May27 Apr28   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI Sep17         (miceli mi)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
SCR  LAOCHI Aug26 Mar11 Jan22 Jan16   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  MADAME ROSE Sep04 Aug06 Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 (jones eduardo)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.