Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL LOVE Sep22         (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
LT. MITCHELL Sep05         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
STARQUIST         (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00    
STORM THE EMPIRE Aug11         (englehart jeffrey)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
DR. KRAFT         (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50    
BOURBON CHASE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 33% 2.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Sep11 Aug20 Jun19 Apr14 Feb11 (englehart jef)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  AL'S PRINCE Aug24 Jul21 Jul15 Jun05 Apr15 (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
SCR  MASKED MARAUDER Sep14 Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 May14 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00    
GOLDINI Aug04 Jun10 May08 Feb18   (jacobson david)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
BOX N SCORE Sep07 Aug20 Jul24 Jun10 Jun03 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 36% 1.70    
A HUGE CHECKPOINT Sep12 Aug15 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 (breed rona)DAVIS A 122 50.00    
SIDD FINCH Jun23 Jun05 May20     (levine bruce)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
MIGHTY MEISTER Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 May12 Apr22 (rawles alcina)MENA E 124 30.00    
MR. KRINGLE Aug27 Aug10 Jul16 Jun18 May13 (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
SONIC SPEED Sep24 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
AVIANO Aug20 Jul01 May06 Apr13 Feb27 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
10  INFLATION ADJUSTED Sep05 Aug10 Jul02     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
11  ARRIO Sep24         (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  DANTE'S FIRE Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 May29   (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEST Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 May06 Apr08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 0.20 49% 1.00    
FIRST TO ACT Aug19 Jul10 Jun12 Apr15 Mar10 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
HYBRID ECLIPSE Aug27 Jul02 Jun08 Feb21   (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 9% 10.30    
THE GRASS IS BLUE Aug16 Jul02 May14     (motion graham)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
TRAVEL COLUMN Aug28 Jun29       (mott i)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
BAQ-4   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATASHA Mar12         (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7% 13.60    
SOUTHERN FLAG Aug13 Jun26       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
CARPE CAPELLA         (shivmangal lolita)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00    
PSYCHIC INCOME Aug19 Jul16       (handal raym)VARGAS A 124 20.00    
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Aug13         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 0.60 36% 1.80    
TIGER TOWN BOY         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
MATT DOYLE Aug28         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDEWITHTHEDEVIL Mar04 Jan30       (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
1A  STREET VENDOR Aug20 Jul24 Jul03     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
ON PALM SUNDAY Aug11 Jul29 Jun23 May13   (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
FAZARO Sep30 Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 (williams andre)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SCR  CASH BAIL Aug18 Jun29       (meadow e)USKE S 120 30.00    
FIERCE DEBATE         (begg bentl)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
ISLANDMAN Sep15 Aug24 Jul10 Jun12 May01 (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00    
BALI RIDDIM Sep17 Aug19 Jul10 Jun11 Jun03 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00    
MEDIA SENSATION Sep02 Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 May30 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
SCR  WICK LOVES A FIGHT Jul10 Jun12       (noda or)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
10  MAD MAGIC Aug24 Jul29 Jul03     (baker charlto)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
11  GREG'S HONOR Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 May20 Apr09 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
12  BARGAINING POWER Sep10         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  DRUID Aug11 Jul29 Jun17     (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 50.00    
SCR  HOOKY PLAYER Sep24 Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 May15 (duarte jor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
BAQ-6   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNEDIN Sep08 Aug08 Jul19     (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 122 8.00    
NAGIRROC Sep24 Aug22       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
INFLATION NATION (IRE) Sep01 Jul22       (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
VACATION DANCE Sep04         (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
POWER ATTACK Sep17 Jul30 Jul08 Jun09   (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY Sep08 Jun27 May30 Apr28   (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
GASLIGHT DANCER Sep03 Aug13       (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
DETERMINED JESTER Sep06 Aug16 Jul21     (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 119 6.00 6% 15.60    
 
BAQ-7   10/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MYSTERY Sep15 Aug13 Jul09 Jun16   (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 70% 0.40    
GRINGOTTS Sep15 Aug17 Jul22 Jun25 May27 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
CARAMOCHA Sep15 Aug17 Jul22     (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.50    
MELISSA'S SMILE Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jun29 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
MIA BEA STAR Sep15 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00    
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Sep16 Aug13 Jun24 May27 Apr30 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
NEW YORK BANKER Sep05 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 May27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/09/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) Aug19 Jul09 May29 Apr15 Jan05 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
EONS Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 Apr10 Feb05 (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
DYNADRIVE Sep05 Aug06 Jul01 Mar11 Feb25 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
KING CAUSE Sep14 Aug21 Jul31 Jun14 May07 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
L'IMPERATOR (FR) Sep10 Jul31 Jun11 May07 Feb05 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 17% 5.00    
PIXELATE Sep10 Jul16       (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 7% 14.10    
FIELD PASS Sep14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun04 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 10% 9.30    
PAO ALTO (FR) Sep10         (motion graham)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00 26% 2.90    
SAFE CONDUCT Aug06 Jun18 May05 Mar05   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
10  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) Sep10 Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 May07 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
BAQ-9   10/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEMS TO WHISPER Aug20 Jul20       (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD Jun17 Apr28 Apr03     (barker edward )CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
TONIGHT WE LOVE May07 Apr21 Mar25 Feb26 Feb05 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00    
BUNTY WINDERMERE Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 Jun12 May27 (ryan s)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 15.00    
LAUGHTER Aug31 Aug03 Jul04 Jun04 May07 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
ROBYN AND ELI Aug18 Jul16 Jun19     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
ELI DANCER Sep03 Aug12 Jul09 Feb18   (camejo m)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
CERRETTA Aug31 Jul16 May21 Apr23 Feb19 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00    
TREAT STREET Aug31 Jul23 Apr29     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
10  SHESADANCINGQUEEN Aug31 Jun17 Apr28     (nevin miche)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
11  RENT CONTROL Sep03 Jul04 Jun17 May27   (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00    
12  CRICKET WEST Mar25 Feb12 Jan01     (terranova p)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
13  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Sep03 Jun26 May27 Apr28   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI Sep17         (miceli mich)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
SCR  LAOCHI Aug26 Mar11 Jan22 Jan16   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00    
SCR  MADAME ROSE Sep04 Aug06 Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 (jones e)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.