Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Kentucky Downs
Thursday - September 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
KD-1   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LAUGH AND PLAY 5 2 11½ 11½   12 12¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 1.15  
8  BEL ARIA 7 4 53½ 52½   22 22¼ (parker donald)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00 59.41  
7  CONDIMENT GIRL 6 7 85¼ 73¼   44 33¾ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.73 S
10  SONICUS 8 1 21½ 31½   32½ 45 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 5.00 36% 1.80 8.23  
1  SOLID TUNE 1 6 64½ 62¾   68 512 (beckman whit)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 3.75  
4  PISTOL 3 5 32½ 21½   56½ 612¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 6.62  
3  MRS. NUSHI 2 8 75 85¾   810 713½ (foster eric)LOPEZ E 119 30.00 56.37  
5  TEA OLIVE 4 3 43½ 42   78½ 816½ (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 18% 4.40 4.22  
SCR  FRACING NASTY               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  MISSION BELLE               (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  R REPOSADO LOCA               (crichton r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
KD-2   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:22 :462 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MURKY 5 2 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 12.00 9.31  
9  SPANISH DOUBLOON 9 1 21 2nk   2nk 2hd (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 19% 4.20 12.81 P
16  CURLINS INCHARGE 12 6 98 94¾   54¼ 31½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 22.76  
3  SAM STORMY 3 10 65 63¾   32 41¾ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 12.65  
10  ICONICUS 10 5 53 53¼   44 53¼ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 23.42  
2  SIR 2 11 1013 107¾   65¼ 63½ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.86  
7  TRUE PRODIGY 7 9 87½ 84¾   78¼ 75¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 5.09  
4  SUNDANCE 4 7 32½ 31½   911¼ 813¾ (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 31% 2.20 1.79  
6  RECON 6 8 42½ 41¾   810¼ 915 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 25% 3.10 19.36  
12  TOLLGATE CANYON 11 4 75½ 74¼   1013¾ 1019¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 16.07  
8  MO SNOW 8 3 1120 1116¾   1116¾ 1120¾ (matejka pa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 53.02  
1  BIG POPPER 1 12 1260 1261¾   12100 12100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 20.56  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE               (pierce lac)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  THE BOOKKEEPER               (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  TREPAT               (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00    
SCR  ZED               (o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
KD-3   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:213 :461 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PANAMA (GB) 6 6 52¾ 53   22½ 11 (lynch bria)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5.78  
8  STUD LOVIN 8 2 63¾ 3½   12½ 21 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 33% 2.00 0.93 P
4  HURRICANE DEBBIE 4 5 3½ 42   32½ 32¼ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 117 5.00 6% 15.50 5.14 S
7  SMOKE LIGHTENING 7 4 74¼ 63¼   44½ 45¼ (potts ron )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.50 3.89  
3  LIMITED D'ORO 3 9 812¼ 88¾   56 56½ (pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 28.48  
9  EL GAVILAN 9 1 2nk 2nk   67½ 612 (fernandez kel)BECKMAN ALICE 120 30.00 99.52  
1  BAYTOWN GET IT ON 1 8 915¼ 910¾   89¼ 713½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 40.26  
5  TODDCHERO 5 3 1nk 1nk   77¾ 815½ (gelner jayde)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.40 9.85  
1A  BAYTOWN JAGGER 2 7 42½ 74¾   910¼ 917½ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 40.26  
SCR  BAL A KAZOO               (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 10.00 ★    
 
KD-4   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:22 :461 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUNEDIN 3 5 68½ 56   11 1½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 15.00 22.52  
2  ROMAN GIANT 2 4 58 66½   53¼ 2½ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 17% 4.90 4.72 P
5  WICO (IRE) 5 3 43 43   41¼ 32½ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.69  
4  MO STASH 4 6 2nk 1nk   21 43¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.68  
9  RITHM NIC 7 2 31½ 31½   31 54 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 17.90 25.31  
7  ANGEL OF EMPIRE 6 7 812¾ 813   88¼ 68¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 13% 6.60 5.66  
1  OCEAN POINTE 1 8 712½ 712   77¾ 712½ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 11.95  
10  KBCYA LATER 8 1 1nk 2nk   67¾ 813½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 4.99  
SCR  FROSTED DEPARTURE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT               (cha)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
 
KD-5   09/08/2022 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:221 :463 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANACONDA 3 8 97 96¾   64¼ 1¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 3.89  
8  UNIFIED REPORT 8 6 21 21   21½ 2¾ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 38.49  
7  LIGHT FURY 7 4 63 53   31½ 3¾ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 24% 3.20 5.46 S
4  MOMOS 4 1 11 11   11½ 42 (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 11.38  
6  FORE LEFT 6 9 85½ 84¾   43½ 52¼ (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 ★ 4.94  
12  WAYAKIN 12 10 74 63¼   53¾ 64¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 7.42  
9  LONGSHADOW 9 12 1112½ 119¾   108¾ 75¼ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 20.00 21.29  
5  MAJOR WAGER 5 3 31 73¾   75¼ 87 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00 50.57  
1  SECOND OF JULY 1 2 41½ 42   86¼ 97¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 19.34  
10  SUPER DESIGN 10 7 52 32   98¼ 107½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 7% 13.30 9.59  
2  BLUE KENTUCKY 2 5 107½ 109¼   1111¼ 1114½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 41.57  
11  PYRON 11 11 1214½ 1215¼   1215¼ 1221½ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 3.82  
SCR  ALL WEST               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
SCR  JOKER ON JACK               (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MO HAWK               (avila c)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
SCR  TURN OF EVENTS               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 ★    
 
KD-6   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 4:13
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 3 3 21½ 2nk   11½ 1¼ (hess b)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.58 W
7  HAPPY GAL (FR) 5 1 64½ 62¼   53½ 2¼ (o'neill doug)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5.98 DQ↓5
1  PROMISE OF HOPE 1 6 33 51¾   42 3½ (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 22% 3.60 3.64 P
9  BUTTONS 6 2 43½ 31   31½ 41¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.16  
10  UP TO SOMETHING 7 7 54½ 41½   21½ 54½ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 6.81  
3  MOVE IT BABY 2 4 11½ 1nk   65½ 67½ (rivelli )SANTANA JR 118 4.50 7% 12.90 3.73  
6  RIGHT OF REFUSAL 4 5 75½ 74¾   712 716 (rosin w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 15.58  
SCR  CRACKALACKING               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  GRAND OAK (IRE)               (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SCARPIA               (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
KD-7   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:13 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STELLAR LADY 10 2 32 33 32½ 32 1hd (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 22% 3.60 3.66 W
5  BOLTORO 5 6 55½ 55 44½ 43½ 2hd (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 11.49  
7  STAY LOST 7 8 910 1110¾ 54¾ 54 31¼ (o'brien joseph)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 4.05  
4  MENDED WE STAND 4 1 2½ 21 1nk 1nk 42 (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 26% 2.80 9.53  
3  METAPHYSICAL 3 4 1½ 11 2nk 2nk 53¼ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 23.12  
9  NOBLE BERNADETTE 9 7 89½ 89 96½ 76 65½ (wilkes ian)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 54.13  
2  DON'T GO CHANGING 2 9 77 76½ 64¾ 64½ 76 (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 21% 3.80 5.15  
6  TIGER TAP 6 12 1010¼ 1010¾ 107½ 88 86¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 7.58  
8  DASHYNS DREAM 8 11 1112¼ 1212¾ 1210½ 98¼ 97¼ (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 46.88  
11  WET PAINT 11 3 67 66½ 76¼ 109¼ 107¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 9% 10.20 4.67  
12  PERFECT ROSE 12 10 1212¾ 99¼ 118 1214¼ 1118¼ (vas)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 77.75  
1  LOOKS LOVELY 1 5 43 43½ 86½ 1111¾ 1218½ (casse mar)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 17.13  
SCR  LADY SQUARED               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  MAD MADAME MIM (IRE)               (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON               (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS               (faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
 
KD-8   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:123 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS 9 7 73¾ 53 54½ 32 1nk (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 7.44  
3  GREATHEART 3 11 117¼ 116 910 52¾ 2nk (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 6.58  
12  MAZUMA 11 8 105¼ 74¼ 76½ 42½ 3½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 8% 11.80 5.81 S
11  REWARD NIGHT 10 1 32 31½ 31½ 1nk 41¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 40% 1.50 7.99  
8  WAKE SURF 7 4 21½ 21½ 1nk 2nk 52 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 12.60  
4  ROUGHIN THE CITY 4 5 52½ 42½ 43 63¾ 66½ (cano muno)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 36.88  
7  PENNER ASH (IRE) 6 3 42½ 63¼ 66 75¼ 77 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 18.00 4.14  
1  MR. TIP 1 6 62¾ 94¾ 88 85¾ 89¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 3.31  
5  HAPPY BOY ROCKET 5 9 95¼ 84¾ 1012½ 108¾ 912 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 9.52  
9  A LATE ONE 8 2 11½ 11½ 2nk 96¾ 1012¼ (matejka pa)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00 88.22  
2  DEEP STATE 2 10 84¼ 105 1112¾ 1112¾ 1122¼ (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 18.99  
SCR  BASSO               (sacco greg)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 117 30.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  FUTURE VICTORY               (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER               (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KD-9   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:221 :463 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRIVATE CREED 3 3 32½ 41½   21½ 1¾ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 9% 9.70 2.79 W
2  SHARP AZA TACK 2 2 21 2nk   11½ 2¾ (o'neill doug)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 45% 1.20 0.26 P
6  ACCIDENT 4 5 55½ 53   45½ 34¼ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 ★ 27.39 S
1  BOURBON THERAPY 1 4 43½ 31   34 46¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 10.97  
7  REVERE NOTE 5 1 11 1nk   59 513¼ (ricker c)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 52.58  
SCR  BOURBON SPIRIT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  FADETHENOISE               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  HALF A CHANCE               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 4.50 ★    
 
KD-10   09/08/2022 6930ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:391   2:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PERSONAL BEST 11 32½ 32½ 32 1½ 14 13¾ (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 38% 1.70 2.13 W
6  FIVE PRIZES 6 56½ 66 85¾ 54½ 34 23¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00 10.61  
11  QUALITY STAR 10 1011¼ 87¼ 43½ 43 44½ 37½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 27% 2.70 3.17 S
2  MISSONI 1 68½ 56 64½ 32 24 48¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 ★ 8.74  
8  DREAM FLY 8 1116¾ 1113¾ 119¼ 910 77¾ 510 (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 17.94  
7  SEIVER 7 89¾ 107¾ 75½ 77 57 610¾ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 23.26  
3  SUFFICE 2 44½ 44 53½ 87½ 88¼ 713¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 11.28  
1  SOLIDARITY 5 2nk 21 11 2½ 67¼ 814 (delacour arnau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5.64  
9  AZAMANA EMPIRE 9 1nk 11 21 65½ 911¼ 920¾ (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 113 30.00 40.07  
5  D'ORO FOREVER 4 910¾ 97¾ 107¼ 1117 1017¼ 1029 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00 15.78  
4  PARIS KENTUCKY 3 79½ 77 97¼ 1017 1117¼ 1129¾ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 29.45  
SCR  FRAGRANT               (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  HIGH STICK               (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  RED BEE               (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.