Handicappers' Race Results

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Kentucky Downs
Thursday - September 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KD-1   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGH AND PLAY 5 2 1 1   12 1 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 1.15  
BEL ARIA 7 4 5 5   22 2 (parker r)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00 59.41  
CONDIMENT GIRL 6 7 8 7   44 3 (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.73 S
10  SONICUS 8 1 2 3   3 45 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 119 5.00 36% 1.80 8.23  
SOLID TUNE 1 6 6 6   68 512 (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 3.75  
PISTOL 3 5 3 2   5 612¾ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 6.62  
MRS. NUSHI 2 8 75 8   810 713½ (foster eric)LOPEZ E 119 30.00 56.37  
TEA OLIVE 4 3 4 42   7 816½ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 18% 4.40 4.22  
SCR  FRACING NASTY               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  MISSION BELLE               (hernandez arma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  R REPOSADO LOCA               (crichton roh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
KD-2   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:22 :462 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURKY 5 2 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 12.00 9.31  
SPANISH DOUBLOON 9 1 21 2nk   2nk 2hd (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 19% 4.20 12.81 P
16  CURLINS INCHARGE 12 6 98 9   5 3 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 22.76  
SAM STORMY 3 10 65 6   32 4 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 12.65  
10  ICONICUS 10 5 53 5   44 5 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 23.42  
SIR 2 11 1013 10   6 6 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.86  
TRUE PRODIGY 7 9 8 8   7 7 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 5.09  
SUNDANCE 4 7 3 3   911¼ 813¾ (brisset rodolphe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 31% 2.20 1.79  
RECON 6 8 4 4   810¼ 915 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 25% 3.10 19.36  
12  TOLLGATE CANYON 11 4 7 7   1013¾ 1019¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 16.07  
MO SNOW 8 3 1120 1116¾   1116¾ 1120¾ (matejka pave)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 53.02  
BIG POPPER 1 12 1260 1261¾   12100 12100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 20.56  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE               (pierce lacy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  THE BOOKKEEPER               (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00    
SCR  TREPAT               (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00    
SCR  ZED               (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
KD-3   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:213 :461 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMA (GB) 6 6 5 53   2 11 (lynch brian )CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5.78  
STUD LOVIN 8 2 6 3½   1 21 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 33% 2.00 0.93 P
HURRICANE DEBBIE 4 5 3½ 42   3 3 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 117 5.00 6% 15.50 5.14 S
SMOKE LIGHTENING 7 4 7 6   4 4 (potts g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.50 3.89  
LIMITED D'ORO 3 9 812¼ 8   56 5 (pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 28.48  
EL GAVILAN 9 1 2nk 2nk   6 612 (fernandez kelly)BECKMAN ALICE 120 30.00 99.52  
BAYTOWN GET IT ON 1 8 915¼ 910¾   8 713½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 40.26  
TODDCHERO 5 3 1nk 1nk   7 815½ (gelner j)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.40 9.85  
1A  BAYTOWN JAGGER 2 7 4 7   910¼ 917½ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 40.26  
SCR  BAL A KAZOO               (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
 
KD-4   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:22 :461 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNEDIN 3 5 6 56   11 1½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 15.00 22.52  
ROMAN GIANT 2 4 58 6   5 2½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 17% 4.90 4.72 P
WICO (IRE) 5 3 43 43   4 3 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.69  
MO STASH 4 6 2nk 1nk   21 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.68  
RITHM NIC 7 2 3 3   31 54 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 17.90 25.31  
ANGEL OF EMPIRE 6 7 812¾ 813   8 6 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 13% 6.60 5.66  
OCEAN POINTE 1 8 712½ 712   7 712½ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 11.95  
10  KBCYA LATER 8 1 1nk 2nk   6 813½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 4.99  
SCR  FROSTED DEPARTURE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT               (chapm)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
 
KD-5   09/08/2022 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:221 :463 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANACONDA 3 8 97 9   6 1¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 3.89  
UNIFIED REPORT 8 6 21 21   2 2¾ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 38.49  
LIGHT FURY 7 4 63 53   3 3¾ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 24% 3.20 5.46 S
MOMOS 4 1 11 11   1 42 (trombetta mi)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 11.38  
FORE LEFT 6 9 8 8   4 5 (dunca)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 4.94  
12  WAYAKIN 12 10 74 6   5 6 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 7.42  
LONGSHADOW 9 12 1112½ 11   10 7 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 20.00 21.29  
MAJOR WAGER 5 3 31 7   7 87 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00 50.57  
SECOND OF JULY 1 2 4 42   8 9 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 19.34  
10  SUPER DESIGN 10 7 52 32   9 10 (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 7% 13.30 9.59  
BLUE KENTUCKY 2 5 10 10   1111¼ 1114½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 41.57  
11  PYRON 11 11 1214½ 1215¼   1215¼ 1221½ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 3.82  
SCR  ALL WEST               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
SCR  JOKER ON JACK               (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MO HAWK               (avila car)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
SCR  TURN OF EVENTS               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
 
KD-6   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 4:13
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 3 3 2 2nk   1 1¼ (hess b)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.58 W
HAPPY GAL (FR) 5 1 6 6   5 2¼ (o'neill doug)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5.98 DQ↓5
PROMISE OF HOPE 1 6 33 5   42 3½ (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 22% 3.60 3.64 P
BUTTONS 6 2 4 31   3 4 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.16  
10  UP TO SOMETHING 7 7 5 4   2 5 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 6.81  
MOVE IT BABY 2 4 1 1nk   6 6 (rivelli la)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 7% 12.90 3.73  
RIGHT OF REFUSAL 4 5 7 7   712 716 (rosin w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 15.58  
SCR  CRACKALACKING               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  GRAND OAK (IRE)               (motion gra)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SCARPIA               (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
KD-7   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:13 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STELLAR LADY 10 2 32 33 3 32 1hd (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 22% 3.60 3.66 W
BOLTORO 5 6 5 55 4 4 2hd (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 11.49  
STAY LOST 7 8 910 1110¾ 5 54 3 (o'brien p)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 4.05  
MENDED WE STAND 4 1 2½ 21 1nk 1nk 42 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 26% 2.80 9.53  
METAPHYSICAL 3 4 1½ 11 2nk 2nk 5 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 23.12  
NOBLE BERNADETTE 9 7 8 89 9 76 6 (wilkes r)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 54.13  
DON'T GO CHANGING 2 9 77 7 6 6 76 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 21% 3.80 5.15  
TIGER TAP 6 12 1010¼ 1010¾ 10 88 8 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 7.58  
DASHYNS DREAM 8 11 1112¼ 1212¾ 1210½ 9 9 (gelner jayde)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 46.88  
11  WET PAINT 11 3 67 6 7 10 10 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 9% 10.20 4.67  
12  PERFECT ROSE 12 10 1212¾ 9 118 1214¼ 1118¼ (vasqu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 77.75  
LOOKS LOVELY 1 5 43 4 8 1111¾ 1218½ (casse mark)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 17.13  
SCR  LADY SQUARED               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  MAD MADAME MIM (IRE)               (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON               (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS               (faircloth aveor)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
 
KD-8   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:123 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS 9 7 7 53 5 32 1nk (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 7.44  
GREATHEART 3 11 11 116 910 5 2nk (ortiz john )LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 6.58  
12  MAZUMA 11 8 10 7 7 4 3½ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 5.00 8% 11.80 5.81 S
11  REWARD NIGHT 10 1 32 3 3 1nk 4 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 40% 1.50 7.99  
WAKE SURF 7 4 2 2 1nk 2nk 52 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 12.60  
ROUGHIN THE CITY 4 5 5 4 43 6 6 (cano munoz)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 36.88  
PENNER ASH (IRE) 6 3 4 6 66 7 77 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 18.00 4.14  
MR. TIP 1 6 6 9 88 8 8 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 3.31  
HAPPY BOY ROCKET 5 9 9 8 1012½ 10 912 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 9.52  
A LATE ONE 8 2 1 1 2nk 9 1012¼ (matejka pave)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00 88.22  
DEEP STATE 2 10 8 105 1112¾ 1112¾ 1122¼ (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 18.99  
SCR  BASSO               (sacco gregor)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 117 30.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  FUTURE VICTORY               (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER               (hernandez arma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KD-9   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:221 :463 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE CREED 3 3 3 4   2 1¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 9% 9.70 2.79 W
SHARP AZA TACK 2 2 21 2nk   1 2¾ (o'neill doug)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 45% 1.20 0.26 P
ACCIDENT 4 5 5 53   4 3 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 27.39 S
BOURBON THERAPY 1 4 4 31   34 4 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 10.97  
REVERE NOTE 5 1 11 1nk   59 513¼ (ricker c)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 52.58  
SCR  BOURBON SPIRIT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  FADETHENOISE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  HALF A CHANCE               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 4.50    
 
KD-10   09/08/2022 6930ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14 1:391   2:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PERSONAL BEST 11 3 3 32 1½ 14 1 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 38% 1.70 2.13 W
FIVE PRIZES 6 5 66 8 5 34 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00 10.61  
11  QUALITY STAR 10 1011¼ 8 4 43 4 3 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 27% 2.70 3.17 S
MISSONI 1 6 56 6 32 24 4 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 8.74  
DREAM FLY 8 1116¾ 1113¾ 11 910 7 510 (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 17.94  
SEIVER 7 8 10 7 77 57 610¾ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 23.26  
SUFFICE 2 4 44 5 8 8 713¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 11.28  
SOLIDARITY 5 2nk 21 11 2½ 6 814 (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5.64  
AZAMANA EMPIRE 9 1nk 11 21 6 911¼ 920¾ (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 113 30.00 40.07  
D'ORO FOREVER 4 910¾ 9 10 1117 1017¼ 1029 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00 15.78  
PARIS KENTUCKY 3 7 77 9 1017 1117¼ 1129¾ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 29.45  
SCR  FRAGRANT               (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
SCR  HIGH STICK               (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  RED BEE               (cundiff waylo)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.