Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Kentucky Downs
Thursday - September 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
KD-1   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGH AND PLAY   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 1.15  
BEL ARIA   (parker donald)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00 59.41  
CONDIMENT GIRL   (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.73 S
10  SONICUS   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 5.00 36% 1.80 8.23  
SOLID TUNE   (beckman whit)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 3.75  
PISTOL   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 6.62  
MRS. NUSHI   (foster eric)LOPEZ E 119 30.00 56.37  
TEA OLIVE   (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 18% 4.40 4.22  
SCR  FRACING NASTY   (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  MISSION BELLE   (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  R REPOSADO LOCA   (crichton r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
KD-2   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURKY   (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 12.00 9.31  
SPANISH DOUBLOON   (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 19% 4.20 12.81 P
16  CURLINS INCHARGE   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 22.76  
SAM STORMY   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 12.65  
10  ICONICUS   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 23.42  
SIR   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.86  
TRUE PRODIGY   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 5.09  
SUNDANCE   (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 31% 2.20 1.79  
RECON   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 25% 3.10 19.36  
12  TOLLGATE CANYON   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 16.07  
MO SNOW   (matejka pa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 53.02  
BIG POPPER   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 20.56  
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE   (pierce lac)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  THE BOOKKEEPER   (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00    
SCR  TREPAT   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00    
SCR  ZED   (o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
KD-3   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 2:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMA (GB)   (lynch bria)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5.78  
STUD LOVIN   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 33% 2.00 0.93 P
HURRICANE DEBBIE   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 117 5.00 6% 15.50 5.14 S
SMOKE LIGHTENING   (potts ron )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.50 3.89  
LIMITED D'ORO   (pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 28.48  
EL GAVILAN   (fernandez kel)BECKMAN ALICE 120 30.00 99.52  
BAYTOWN GET IT ON   (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 40.26  
TODDCHERO   (gelner jayde)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.40 9.85  
1A  BAYTOWN JAGGER   (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 40.26  
SCR  BAL A KAZOO   (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
 
KD-4   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNEDIN   (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 15.00 22.52  
ROMAN GIANT   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 17% 4.90 4.72 P
WICO (IRE)   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.69  
MO STASH   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.68  
RITHM NIC   (richard chris)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 17.90 25.31  
ANGEL OF EMPIRE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 13% 6.60 5.66  
OCEAN POINTE   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 11.95  
10  KBCYA LATER   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 4.99  
SCR  FROSTED DEPARTURE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT   (cha)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
 
KD-5   09/08/2022 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANACONDA   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 3.89  
UNIFIED REPORT   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 38.49  
LIGHT FURY   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 24% 3.20 5.46 S
MOMOS   (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 11.38  
FORE LEFT   (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 4.94  
12  WAYAKIN   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 7.42  
LONGSHADOW   (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 20.00 21.29  
MAJOR WAGER   (meah m)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00 50.57  
SECOND OF JULY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 19.34  
10  SUPER DESIGN   (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 7% 13.30 9.59  
BLUE KENTUCKY   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 41.57  
11  PYRON   (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 3.82  
SCR  ALL WEST   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
SCR  JOKER ON JACK   (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MO HAWK   (avila c)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
SCR  TURN OF EVENTS   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
 
KD-6   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 4:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWGIRL LYNNE B   (hess b)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.58 W
HAPPY GAL (FR)   (o'neill doug)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5.98 DQ↓5
PROMISE OF HOPE   (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 22% 3.60 3.64 P
BUTTONS   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 2.16  
10  UP TO SOMETHING   (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 6.81  
MOVE IT BABY   (rivelli )SANTANA JR 118 4.50 7% 12.90 3.73  
RIGHT OF REFUSAL   (rosin w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 15.58  
SCR  CRACKALACKING   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  GRAND OAK (IRE)   (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SCARPIA   (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
KD-7   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STELLAR LADY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 22% 3.60 3.66 W
BOLTORO   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 11.49  
STAY LOST   (o'brien joseph)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 4.05  
MENDED WE STAND   (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 26% 2.80 9.53  
METAPHYSICAL   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 23.12  
NOBLE BERNADETTE   (wilkes ian)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 54.13  
DON'T GO CHANGING   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 21% 3.80 5.15  
TIGER TAP   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 7.58  
DASHYNS DREAM   (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 46.88  
11  WET PAINT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 9% 10.20 4.67  
12  PERFECT ROSE   (vas)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 77.75  
LOOKS LOVELY   (casse mar)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 17.13  
SCR  LADY SQUARED   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  MAD MADAME MIM (IRE)   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON   (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS   (faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
 
KD-8   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 7.44  
GREATHEART   (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 6.58  
12  MAZUMA   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 8% 11.80 5.81 S
11  REWARD NIGHT   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 40% 1.50 7.99  
WAKE SURF   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 12.60  
ROUGHIN THE CITY   (cano muno)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 36.88  
PENNER ASH (IRE)   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 18.00 4.14  
MR. TIP   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 3.31  
HAPPY BOY ROCKET   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 9.52  
A LATE ONE   (matejka pa)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00 88.22  
DEEP STATE   (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 18.99  
SCR  BASSO   (sacco greg)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO   (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 117 30.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  FUTURE VICTORY   (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER   (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KD-9   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 5:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE CREED   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 9% 9.70 2.79 W
SHARP AZA TACK   (o'neill doug)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 45% 1.20 0.26 P
ACCIDENT   (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 27.39 S
BOURBON THERAPY   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 10.97  
REVERE NOTE   (ricker c)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 52.58  
SCR  BOURBON SPIRIT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  FADETHENOISE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  HALF A CHANCE   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 4.50    
 
KD-10   09/08/2022 6930ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PERSONAL BEST   (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 38% 1.70 2.13 W
FIVE PRIZES   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00 10.61  
11  QUALITY STAR   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 27% 2.70 3.17 S
MISSONI   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 8.74  
DREAM FLY   (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 17.94  
SEIVER   (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 23.26  
SUFFICE   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 11.28  
SOLIDARITY   (delacour arnau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5.64  
AZAMANA EMPIRE   (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 113 30.00 40.07  
D'ORO FOREVER   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00 15.78  
PARIS KENTUCKY   (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 29.45  
SCR  FRAGRANT   (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
SCR  HIGH STICK   (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  RED BEE   (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.