Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Kentucky Downs
Thursday - September 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KD-1   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLID TUNE Aug15 Jul03 Apr15 Feb26 Jan20 (beckman whit)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
SCR  MISSION BELLE Aug20 Jul22 Jun23 May13 Mar16 (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 ★    
3  MRS. NUSHI Jul22 Jun29 Jun09 May25 May05 (foster eric)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
4  PISTOL Jul29 Jun29 Jun02 Apr21 Mar16 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
5  TEA OLIVE Jul16 Jun12       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
6  LAUGH AND PLAY Aug05 May15 Mar12 Jan15   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50    
7  CONDIMENT GIRL May22 Apr29       (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEL ARIA Jul30 Jul23 Jun22 Jun03 May12 (parker donald)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00    
SCR  R REPOSADO LOCA Aug04 Jun30 May04     (crichton r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
10  SONICUS Aug20 Jun30       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  FRACING NASTY Jun02 May21 Apr02 Feb18   (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
 
KD-2   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG POPPER         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
2  SIR         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAM STORMY         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
4  SUNDANCE Aug06         (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
5  MURKY         (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 12.00    
6  RECON         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
7  TRUE PRODIGY         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
8  MO SNOW         (matejka pa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00    
9  SPANISH DOUBLOON Aug21 Jul16       (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
10  ICONICUS Aug19         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
SCR  TREPAT Jun26         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00    
12  TOLLGATE CANYON         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
SCR  AUGUSTUS BLUE Aug13 Jul30       (pierce lac)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  ZED         (o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  THE BOOKKEEPER Aug19 Jul30       (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 ★    
16  CURLINS INCHARGE         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
 
KD-3   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Jul09 Jun22 Jun14 May27 Apr28 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00    
1A  BAYTOWN JAGGER Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May30 (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 120 30.00    
SCR  BAL A KAZOO Sep06 Aug22       (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 10.00 ★    
3  LIMITED D'ORO Jul15         (pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
4  HURRICANE DEBBIE May05 Apr14       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 5.00 6% 15.50    
5  TODDCHERO Jul09 Jun10       (gelner jayde)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
6  PANAMA (GB)         (lynch bria)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
7  SMOKE LIGHTENING Aug20 Aug02       (potts ron )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
8  STUD LOVIN Aug12         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 33% 2.00    
9  EL GAVILAN Jun01 May20       (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
 
KD-4   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN POINTE         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
2  ROMAN GIANT Aug14 Jul16 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  DUNEDIN Aug08 Jul19       (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
4  MO STASH Aug19         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  WICO (IRE) Jul22 Apr28       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
SCR  FROSTED DEPARTURE Aug14 Jul22 Jul02     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANGEL OF EMPIRE Aug09         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT Aug26 Aug19 Jul16 Jun26 Jun08 (cha)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
9  RITHM NIC Aug21         (richard chris)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 17.90    
10  KBCYA LATER Aug14 Jul21 Jun22 May29   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
 
KD-5   09/08/2022 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECOND OF JULY Aug13 Jul24 Jun26 Jun03 May12 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
2  BLUE KENTUCKY Jul17 Jun19 May29 Apr14 Mar09 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
3  ANACONDA Jul29 May30 Apr09 Mar11 Jan30 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
4  MOMOS Jul03 Jun08 May22 Apr09 Jan01 (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
5  MAJOR WAGER Aug27 Aug06 Jul13 Jun11 May30 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00    
6  FORE LEFT Jul23 Jun12 May15 Apr17 Feb27 (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 ★    
7  LIGHT FURY Aug06 Jan29       (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
8  UNIFIED REPORT Jul02 Apr30 Apr08 Mar12 Feb05 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
9  LONGSHADOW Aug17 Jul27       (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
10  SUPER DESIGN Jun02 Apr21 Mar23 Jan21 Jan06 (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
11  PYRON Jul18 Jun04 May06 Feb19   (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00    
12  WAYAKIN Jul24 Jun19 Apr16 Mar18 Feb18 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  JOKER ON JACK Aug08         (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  TURN OF EVENTS Aug06 Jun26       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  MO HAWK Aug15 Jul29 Jun18 May07 Feb24 (avila c)ZAYAS J 122 8.00    
SCR  ALL WEST Aug25 Aug02 Jun29 Jun18 Apr16 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
 
KD-6   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROMISE OF HOPE Aug07 Jul01       (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SCARPIA Aug07         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  MOVE IT BABY Jul26         (rivelli )SANTANA JR 118 4.50 7% 12.90    
4  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B Aug20 Jul22       (hess b)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRACKALACKING Aug14 Jul04 Apr21     (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
6  RIGHT OF REFUSAL Aug20         (rosin w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
7  HAPPY GAL (FR) Aug04 Jun28       (o'neill doug)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  GRAND OAK (IRE) Sep06 Aug20 May20 Apr21   (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
9  BUTTONS Jun28         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
10  UP TO SOMETHING Jul09         (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
 
KD-7   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKS LOVELY         (casse mar)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
2  DON'T GO CHANGING Aug14         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  METAPHYSICAL Aug06         (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
4  MENDED WE STAND Jul29         (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
5  BOLTORO Jul04         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
6  TIGER TAP         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
7  STAY LOST Aug07         (o'brien joseph)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
8  DASHYNS DREAM         (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
9  NOBLE BERNADETTE         (wilkes ian)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
10  STELLAR LADY Aug05 Jul20       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
11  WET PAINT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 9% 10.20    
12  PERFECT ROSE Aug13 Aug07 Jul31     (vas)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00    
SCR  LADY SQUARED Aug06 Jul15 Jun17     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  MARMO MOON Aug14         (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS Aug28 Jul14 Jul01     (faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
SCR  MAD MADAME MIM (IRE) Jul22         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
 
KD-8   09/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. TIP Jul02 May28 May06 Apr16   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
2  DEEP STATE Aug06 Jul09 May21 Apr03 Mar09 (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00    
3  GREATHEART Aug06 Jul02 May12 Apr22 Mar25 (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
4  ROUGHIN THE CITY Aug06 Jun30 Jun11 Apr19 Mar17 (cano muno)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00    
5  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Jun12 Apr23 Apr16 Mar12 Jan29 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE Sep05 Aug12       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
7  PENNER ASH (IRE) Aug16         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 18.00    
8  WAKE SURF Aug06 May18 Mar12 Jan22   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
9  A LATE ONE Aug15 Jul12 May21     (matejka pa)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00    
10  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS Jan16         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
11  REWARD NIGHT Aug06 Jul09       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 40% 1.50    
12  MAZUMA Mar26 Feb19 Jan22     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  BASSO Aug24 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 May15 (sacco greg)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO Aug19 Jul09 Jun09 May22 Apr21 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 117 30.00    
SCR  PROTONIC POWER Jul30 Jul17 Jun24 May12 Mar31 (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  FUTURE VICTORY Jul22 Jul02 May28 Apr23   (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 ★    
 
KD-9   09/08/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON THERAPY Jun27 May30 Apr28     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
2  SHARP AZA TACK Jul30 Jun10       (o'neill doug)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 45% 1.20    
SCR  BOURBON SPIRIT Aug27 Jul16       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  FADETHENOISE Aug19 Jul16 Jun09     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
5  PRIVATE CREED Aug19 Jul30       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 9% 9.70    
6  ACCIDENT Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 Jul08 Jun26 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 ★    
7  REVERE NOTE Aug24 Jul22 May30 Apr28 Apr20 (ricker c)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00    
SCR  HALF A CHANCE Jul14 Jun05       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 4.50 ★    
 
KD-10   09/08/2022 6930ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLIDARITY Aug01 Jun15       (delacour arnau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  FRAGRANT Aug07 Jun23       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 ★    
2  MISSONI Aug24 Jul06 May30 Mar26   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 ★    
3  SUFFICE         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
4  PARIS KENTUCKY Aug18 Jul12 Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
5  D'ORO FOREVER         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00    
6  FIVE PRIZES Aug07 Jun23 May27 Mar06 Feb05 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00    
7  SEIVER Aug24 Jul23 Jun22     (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
8  DREAM FLY Aug25 Jul14 May27     (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
9  AZAMANA EMPIRE Aug18 Jul03       (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 113 30.00    
SCR  HIGH STICK Aug18 Jul06       (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
11  QUALITY STAR Aug14 Jul06 May29 May04 Apr15 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
12  PERSONAL BEST Aug16 Jun17 Apr15 Mar13   (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  RED BEE Aug07 Jul08       (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 114 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.