Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MAX 5 1 11 11   13 1 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 8.25  
AMARYLLIS 6 4 4 4   34 2 (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 24% 3.10 3.87 P
CLOUDY BAY 2 2 21 21   23 311 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 8.00 5.60 S
GATHERING STORM (SAF) 4 3 3 3   411½ 426½ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 50% 1.00 0.69  
LUCKY PHOENIX 3 5 6 58   517 538½ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 8.82  
TOP MULE 1 6 53 69   618½ 659¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 16.73  
SCR  DESSERT FIRST               (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
SCR  LADAN               (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SPORT 6 4 4 4   5 1 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.31 W
SHAPE OF YOU 1 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 2 (pittman bonni)STILLION BROOKE 117 12.00 8.59 P
MISS GETTY UP 5 3 5 5   1½ 3 (parker r)BECKMAN ALICE 110 20.00 33.64  
AWESOME FAMILY 4 2 2nk 2nk   32 4 (rodriguez e)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 13.83  
CREEKMORE 7 1 3.2 3.2   42 5 (cox e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 11% 7.90 6.98  
DUEL FUEL 2 7 7 6   76 6 (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 115 10.00 10.49  
SIR ACEALOT 3 6 6 7   64 7 (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00 24.00  
SCR  CYRIL'S BOY               (poulos dee)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
ELP-3   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING RAINBOWS 6 5 11 11 1½ 11 11 (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 17% 4.70 2.68 W
TEN GAUGE 1 1 4 4 3 21 21 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 13% 6.90 4.77 P
JOLLY TOMMY 3 3 6 52 4 4 3 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 23.88  
BOURBON HEIST 7 6 31 31 2½ 31 4 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 46% 1.20 1.49  
CHROME'S RIGHT 2 4 8 7 66 6 510 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 10.70  
ALEXIS N NIKO 5 9 912¾ 98 8 56 610¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 118 20.00 45.63  
TRIPLE OPTION 8 8 5 6 7 7 721¾ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 8.12  
10  BOLD MEDICATION 10 7 21 21 56 810¾ 826¾ (calhoun willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 17.85  
HE'S A ANGEL 4 2 7 85 913¼ 916¾ 934¼ (macias adolfo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 6.00 37.39  
ISLAND MISCHIEF 9 10 1019¾ 1017 1020¼ 1022¼ 1042½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 32.20  
 
ELP-4   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114 1:25   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUANA CAY 3 5 4 42 4 3½ 1¼ (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 46% 1.20 2.18 W
NEW ROO 5 2 3½ 31 2nk 1½ 2¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 26% 2.80 4.33 P
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 2 4 1½ 11 1nk 2½ 3 (meah m)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00 7.36 S
LADY LILLY 1 3 6 6 31 42 4 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 6.20  
LINDALEVESOLTA (ARG) 6 6 5 5 55 59 516½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.00 1.76  
FRONT STREET 4 1 2½ 21 6 610½ 631 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 10.07  
 
ELP-5   08/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:12 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DILMUNIA 2 3 12 1 1 1 13 (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 7.17  
LAYLA'S SONG 1 1 54 56 4 2 23 (leonard geo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 8.90  
MAYSVILLE MISS 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 (hamilton sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 1.82 S
NO COMMENT 7 7 65 66 5 55 46 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.69  
MADRE DI GRANDEZZA 4 2 32 2 2 4 57 (ortiz alexande)DIAZ RENE 113 6.00 20% 4.00 5.60  
BELLA MORNING 3 5 76 7 6 6 6 (pittman bonnie)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 9.84  
MAYA'S WISH 5 6 22 33 7 714½ 722½ (barkley jason)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00 47.04  
SCR  BRIE'S LIL' BIT               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SCR  DOGWOODS BECCA               (scott l)MILLER CHASE 118 6.00    
SCR  KENKEAD               (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 117 50.00    
SCR  MS MERRABEL               (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
ELP-6   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:12     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTERSPY 4 4 3 3   11 11 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 28% 2.60 4.04 W
MAGNIFICENT MILE 8 2 21 2nk   21 21 (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.91  
SPIELMAN 7 6 5 43   45 3 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 8.25 S
EL CERRITO 3 7 66 6   55 414¼ (asmussen m)LANERIE J 119 4.00 9.29  
SPANISH DOUBLOON 2 5 43 7   66 516½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 42% 1.40 4.39  
10  AIRTIME 10 1 11 1nk   34 617½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 5% 19.00 11.28  
JUL QUIST 9 3 812 810¾   810½ 718½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 7.07  
ROCKING ROCKET 5 9 7 54   710 826½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 7.86  
MARTINI SHOT 1 8 912½ 919¾   917½ 930¼ (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 42.53  
AIRBIZ 6 10 1020½ 10100   10100 10100 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 36.03  
 
ELP-7   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:121 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREYES CREEK 1 1 44 55 4 2 1nk (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 2.17  
BULLSEYE BUN 3 3 21 2 2nk 1 2nk (green troy)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 12.38  
RISK MANAGER 7 7 65 7 7 42 3¾ (gutie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 9% 9.70 3.26 S
SUPREMACY 6 6 54 44 31 5 4 (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 16% 5.10 5.34  
10  WHISKEY DOUBLE 8 8 7 6 6 64 56 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 4.95  
DYN O MITE 2 2 11 1 1nk 32 6 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 43% 1.30 4.39  
MY SIXTH SENSE 5 5 33 34 5 7 710¾ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 17.45  
YOU'RE TO BLAME 4 4 8 8 8 88 811¾ (dyer john)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 43.10  
SCR  BETWITHBOTHHANDS               (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
SCR  NEXT               (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
 
ELP-8   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :462 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLTORUN 4 6 53 4   2nk 11 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 3.38  
MOUNT KISCO 2 4 42 3   31 21 (howell jessic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 13.76  
IT'S A BANG BANG 1 3 1 1   1nk 31 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 3.49  
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 6 5 7 7   5 4 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 6.28  
GREYS THE BOY 5 2 2 2   4 52 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 23% 3.30 2.90  
BOOYAH 3 1 32 5   6 67 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.50 3.79  
MY ROAD 7 7 64 65   7 711 (rider m)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 9.84  
SCR  BRESLAU               (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)SANJUR SANTO 119 3.50    
SCR  GOODASIWONSWAS               (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 112 15.00    
SCR  MASTER GAME               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 7% 14.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.