The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ELP-1   08/21/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:50
:223 :462 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  T MAX 5 1 11 11   13 15¾ (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 ★ 8.25  
8  AMARYLLIS 6 4 41½ 42½   34 25¾ (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 24% 3.10 3.87 P
2  CLOUDY BAY 2 2 21 21   23 311 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 8.00 ★ 5.60 S
5  GATHERING STORM 4 3 31½ 32½   411½ 426½ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 50% 1.00 0.69  
4  LUCKY PHOENIX 3 5 63½ 58   517 538½ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 ★ 8.82  
1  TOP MULE 1 6 53 69   618½ 659¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 16.73  
SCR  DESSERT FIRST               (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
SCR  LADAN               (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
:222 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BIG SPORT 6 4 41¼ 41¼   52½ 11¼ (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.31 W
1  SHAPE OF YOU 1 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 21¼ (pittman bonnie)STILLION BROOKE 117 12.00 ★ 8.59 P
6  MISS GETTY UP 5 3 51¾ 51¾   1½ 31¼ (parker r)BECKMAN ALICE 110 20.00 33.64  
4  AWESOME FAMILY 4 2 2nk 2nk   32 41¾ (rodriguez eduardo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 ★ 13.83  
8  CREEKMORE 7 1 3.2 3.2   42 52¼ (cox e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 11% 7.90 6.98  
2  DUEL FUEL 2 7 74¼ 64¼   76 62¾ (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 115 10.00 10.49  
3  SIR ACEALOT 3 6 63¾ 74¼   64 73½ (rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00 24.00  
SCR  CYRIL'S BOY               (poulos dee)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
ELP-3   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
:234 :472 1:122 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHASING RAINBOWS 6 5 11 11 1½ 11 11 (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 17% 4.70 2.68 W
1  TEN GAUGE 1 1 41½ 41½ 32½ 21 21 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 13% 6.90 4.77 P
3  JOLLY TOMMY 3 3 61¾ 52 44½ 42½ 34¼ (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 23.88  
7  BOURBON HEIST 7 6 31 31 2½ 31 45½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 46% 1.20 1.49  
2  CHROME'S RIGHT 2 4 83¼ 73½ 66 66¼ 510 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 ★ 10.70  
5  ALEXIS N NIKO 5 9 912¾ 98 88¼ 56 610¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 118 20.00 45.63  
8  TRIPLE OPTION 8 8 51¾ 62½ 76¼ 79¼ 721¾ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 8.12  
10  BOLD MEDICATION 10 7 21 21 56 810¾ 826¾ (calhoun bret)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 17.85  
4  HE'S A ANGEL 4 2 72¾ 85 913¼ 916¾ 934¼ (macias adolfo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 6.00 ★ 37.39  
9  ISLAND MISCHIEF 9 10 1019¾ 1017 1020¼ 1022¼ 1042½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 32.20  
 
ELP-4   08/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
:232 :463 1:114 1:25   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GUANA CAY 3 5 41½ 42 42½ 3½ 1¼ (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 46% 1.20 2.18 W
5  NEW ROO 5 2 3½ 31 2nk 1½ 2¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 26% 2.80 4.33 P
2  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 2 4 1½ 11 1nk 2½ 33¼ (meah m)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00 ★ 7.36 S
1  LADY LILLY 1 3 63¼ 63¾ 31 42 44¾ (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 ★ 6.20  
6  LINDALEVESOLTA (ARG) 6 6 51¾ 52¼ 55 59 516½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.00 ★ 1.76  
4  FRONT STREET 4 1 2½ 21 65¼ 610½ 631 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 10.07  
 
ELP-5   08/21/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
:242 :472 1:12 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DILMUNIA 2 3 12 12½ 12½ 12½ 13 (catalano m)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00 7.17  
1  LAYLA'S SONG 1 1 54 56 43½ 22½ 23 (leonard iii)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 8.90  
8  MAYSVILLE MISS 6 4 42½ 44½ 32½ 33½ 35½ (hamilton sarah)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 ★ 1.82 S
9  NO COMMENT 7 7 65 66 53¾ 55 46 (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.69  
5  MADRE DI GRANDEZZA 4 2 32 22½ 22½ 44½ 57 (ortiz alexander)DIAZ RENE 113 6.00 20% 4.00 5.60  
4  BELLA MORNING 3 5 76 78½ 67¼ 67½ 69¾ (pittman bonnie)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 9.84  
7  MAYA'S WISH 5 6 22 33 79¼ 714½ 722½ (barkley jason)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00 47.04  
SCR  BRIE'S LIL' BIT               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  DOGWOODS BECCA               (scott l)MILLER CHASE 118 6.00    
SCR  KENKEAD               (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 117 50.00    
SCR  MS MERRABEL               (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
ELP-6   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
:223 :46 1:12     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COUNTERSPY 4 4 31½ 31½   11 11 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 28% 2.60 4.04 W
8  MAGNIFICENT MILE 8 2 21 2nk   21 21 (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.91  
7  SPIELMAN 7 6 53½ 43   45 39¼ (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 ★ 8.25 S
3  EL CERRITO 3 7 66 64¼   55 414¼ (asmussen m)LANERIE J 119 4.00 ★ 9.29  
2  SPANISH DOUBLOON 2 5 43 74¾   66 516½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 42% 1.40 4.39  
10  AIRTIME 10 1 11 1nk   34 617½ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 5% 19.00 11.28  
9  JUL QUIST 9 3 812 810¾   810½ 718½ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 7.07  
5  ROCKING ROCKET 5 9 76½ 54   710 826½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 7.86  
1  MARTINI SHOT 1 8 912½ 919¾   917½ 930¼ (barkley jason)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 42.53  
6  AIRBIZ 6 10 1020½ 10100   10100 10100 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 36.03  
 
ELP-7   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:243 :481 1:121 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREYES CREEK 1 1 44 55 41¼ 21½ 1nk (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 ★ 2.17  
3  BULLSEYE BUN 3 3 21 21½ 2nk 11½ 2nk (green troy)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 12.38  
8  RISK MANAGER 7 7 65 76¾ 73¼ 42 3¾ (gutierrez faustio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 9% 9.70 3.26 S
6  SUPREMACY 6 6 54 44 31 52½ 44¼ (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 16% 5.10 5.34  
10  WHISKEY DOUBLE 8 8 75¼ 66½ 62¾ 64 56 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 4.95  
2  DYN O MITE 2 2 11 11½ 1nk 32 68¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 43% 1.30 4.39  
5  MY SIXTH SENSE 5 5 33 34 52¾ 75½ 710¾ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 17.45  
4  YOU'RE TO BLAME 4 4 86¾ 88¾ 86¼ 88 811¾ (dyer john)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 43.10  
SCR  BETWITHBOTHHANDS               (hernandez armando)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
SCR  NEXT               (cowans d)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
 
ELP-8   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
:222 :462 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WILLTORUN 4 6 53 42½   2nk 11 (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 3.38  
2  MOUNT KISCO 2 4 42 31½   31 21 (howell jessica)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 13.76  
1  IT'S A BANG BANG 1 3 11½ 11½   1nk 31 (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 3.49  
8  STROKE OF MIDNIGHT 6 5 76½ 75¼   52¼ 41¾ (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 6.28  
7  GREYS THE BOY 5 2 21½ 21½   41¼ 52 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 23% 3.30 2.90  
3  BOOYAH 3 1 32 53½   64¼ 67 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.50 ★ 3.79  
9  MY ROAD 7 7 64 65   76¾ 711 (rider m)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 9.84  
SCR  BRESLAU               (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)SANJUR SANTO 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  GOODASIWONSWAS               (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 112 15.00    
SCR  MASTER GAME               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 7% 14.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.