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Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


ELP-1			08/21/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($33K)			2		F		PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	T MAX									(walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 119						8.00		★				8.25
8	AMARYLLIS									(brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119						3.50		24%		3.10		3.87	P
2	CLOUDY BAY									(davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119						8.00		★				5.60	S
5	GATHERING STORM (SAF)									(cox h)HERNANDEZ J 119						2.50		50%		1.00		0.69
4	LUCKY PHOENIX									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 119						4.50		★				8.82
1	TOP MULE									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						6.00						16.73
SCR	DESSERT FIRST									(lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 119						15.00
SCR	LADAN									(bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119						6.00

ELP-2			08/21/2022		3630ft	TURF	RC0	FIRM	Optional Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($16.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	BIG SPORT									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 124						1.40		52%		0.90		0.31	W
1	SHAPE OF YOU									(pittman bon)STILLION BROOKE 117						12.00		★				8.59	P
6	MISS GETTY UP									(parker donald)BECKMAN ALICE 110						20.00						33.64
4	AWESOME FAMILY									(rodriguez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						5.00		★				13.83
8	CREEKMORE									(cox e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						8.00		11%		7.90		6.98
2	DUEL FUEL									(foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 115						10.00						10.49
3	SIR ACEALOT									(rodriguez eduardo)DIAZ RENE 117						12.00						24.00
SCR	CYRIL'S BOY									(poulos dee)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						3.00		15%		5.50

ELP-3			08/21/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($60K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	CHASING RAINBOWS									(cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						3.50		17%		4.70		2.68	W
1	TEN GAUGE									(asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50		13%		6.90		4.77	P
3	JOLLY TOMMY									(contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00						23.88
7	BOURBON HEIST									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118						2.50		46%		1.20		1.49
2	CHROME'S RIGHT									(foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118						15.00		★				10.70
5	ALEXIS N NIKO									(thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 118						20.00						45.63
8	TRIPLE OPTION									(medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00						8.12
10	BOLD MEDICATION									(calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						8.00						17.85
4	HE'S A ANGEL									(macias adolfo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118						6.00		★				37.39
9	ISLAND MISCHIEF									(heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118						12.00						32.20

ELP-4			08/21/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($40K)					Purse ($62K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	GUANA CAY									(contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						5.00		46%		1.20		2.18	W
5	NEW ROO									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						3.00		26%		2.80		4.33	P
2	JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)									(meah m)DIAZ RENE 117						6.00		★				7.36	S
1	LADY LILLY									(vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						3.50		★				6.20
6	LINDALEVESOLTA (ARG)									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122						2.00		★				1.76
4	FRONT STREET									(asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122						8.00						10.07

ELP-5			08/21/2022		5280ft	TURF	RC0	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($16K)					Purse ($15.5K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	DILMUNIA									(catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118						12.00						7.17
1	LAYLA'S SONG									(leonard g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00						8.90
8	MAYSVILLE MISS									(hamilton s)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						4.00		★				1.82	S
9	NO COMMENT									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						2.50		44%		1.30		1.69
5	MADRE DI GRANDEZZA									(ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 113						6.00		20%		4.00		5.60
4	BELLA MORNING									(pittman bonni)MORALES EDGAR 118						30.00						9.84
7	MAYA'S WISH									(barkley jas)HERRFORTH ERICA 108						15.00						47.04
SCR	BRIE'S LIL' BIT									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						5.00		★
SCR	DOGWOODS BECCA									(scott anthony )MILLER CHASE 118						6.00
SCR	KENKEAD									(schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 117						50.00
SCR	MS MERRABEL									(ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 118						3.50		13%		6.80

ELP-6			08/21/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($60K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	COUNTERSPY									(casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						8.00		28%		2.60		4.04	W
8	MAGNIFICENT MILE									(brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119						8.00						2.91
7	SPIELMAN									(desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						10.00		★				8.25	S
3	EL CERRITO									(asmussen steven)LANERIE J 119						4.00		★				9.29
2	SPANISH DOUBLOON									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						3.00		42%		1.40		4.39
10	AIRTIME									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						5.00		5%		19.00		11.28
9	JUL QUIST									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00						7.07
5	ROCKING ROCKET									(lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119						8.00						7.86
1	MARTINI SHOT									(barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						15.00						42.53
6	AIRBIZ									(maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00						36.03

ELP-7			08/21/2022		5610ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($63K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	GREYES CREEK									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122						3.00		★				2.17
3	BULLSEYE BUN									(green troy)BEJARANO R 122						15.00						12.38
8	RISK MANAGER									(gut)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124						6.00		9%		9.70		3.26	S
6	SUPREMACY									(cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						4.50		16%		5.10		5.34
10	WHISKEY DOUBLE									(maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 122						10.00						4.95
2	DYN O MITE									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122						3.50		43%		1.30		4.39
5	MY SIXTH SENSE									(hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						12.00						17.45
4	YOU'RE TO BLAME									(dyer john)MORALES EDGAR 122						20.00		5%		19.00		43.10
SCR	BETWITHBOTHHANDS									(hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122						12.00
SCR	NEXT									(cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 122						8.00

ELP-8			08/21/2022		3630ft	TURF	RC1	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($60K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	WILLTORUN									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119						6.00						3.38
2	MOUNT KISCO									(howell jess)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						8.00						13.76
1	IT'S A BANG BANG									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						5.00						3.49
8	STROKE OF MIDNIGHT									(londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 119						8.00						6.28
7	GREYS THE BOY									(foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119						5.00		23%		3.30		2.90
3	BOOYAH									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						4.50		★				3.79
9	MY ROAD									(rider m)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						9.84
SCR	BRESLAU									(brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119						2.50		46%		1.20
SCR	CLOUD WITHOUT REIN									(barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 119						3.50		★
SCR	GOODASIWONSWAS									(warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 112						15.00
SCR	MASTER GAME									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						3.00		7%		14.10



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.