The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Ellis Park
Friday - August 26, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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ELP-1   08/26/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 2 F PT- 4:00
:231 :47 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED JEWEL 8 8 7 7 63 61hd (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 115 10.00 14.50  
DIAMOND DISTRICT 6 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 11 2hd (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 4.00 6.12 P
LIGHTER KNOT 7 7 5 5 3 53 3(maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 7% 13.00 3.30 S
BLAME IT ON PARIS 3 3 43 3 2½ 21 4(brisset rodolphe)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.51  
REINA BELLA 4 6 65 6 4 35(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 19% 4.20 6.36  
HOLIDAY NECKLACE 2 4 3 4 5 46(wilkes r)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 15.00 39.93  
BEST SELLER 5 5 87 8 75 87(maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 5.03  
JEFF'S JOY 9 9 911 9 8 77 86 (hughes g)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00 34.68  
MIDNIGHT XO 1 1 1½ 1nk 9 915¼ 937 (hancock dana)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 42.49  
 
ELP-2   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
:231 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPEIGHTFUL 6 2 2½ 21   2½ 1(wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 34% 1.90 1.70 W
YELLOW CREEK ROAD 1 4 3 32   32(hancock a)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.00 16% 5.50 3.59 P
FOX CREEK LADY 3 3 1½ 11   1½ 3(campbell h)EMIGH A 124 8.00 6.52 S
ARNEIS 4 1 42 5   45 4(hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50 10.99  
TIZMISSBETTY 5 6 6 610½   611½ 517¼ (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 119 4.00 16% 5.30 7.15  
DANIELLA'S CAUSE 2 5 5 44   5620 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 2.50  
 
ELP-3   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
:241 :473 1:122 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA RUNNER 5 3 2½ 31 21 1½ 1nk (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 16% 5.10 6.67 W
MISS EVERYTHING 2 2 5 52 32 32nk (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 113 5.00 19% 4.30 2.67 P
MISSED OPPORTUNITY 1 1 1½ 2½ 11 2½ 3(vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 2.46 S
AMENSET 3 5 41 1½ 45 4414½ (stewart dallas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 7.32  
CONTESSINA 4 4 6 63 6 5516¾ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15% 5.70 8.51  
SACRED KITTEN 6 6 31 4 57 611½ 619¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 27% 2.70 2.38  
SCR  GLAMOROUS DAYS               (mcgaughey iii)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/26/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
:243 :47 1:10 1:332   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTAGE PRINT 1 2 1½ 11 1½ 15 1(lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.20 37% 1.70 0.28 W
CREDIBILITY 3 3 43 45 3 32(casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 18% 4.60 4.73 P
CIVIL WAR 2 4 57 59 56 439 (demeritte larry)VILLASANA CARLOS 122 6.00 17.62  
ON A SPREE 6 1 2½ 21 2½ 25 4(cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 12% 7.60 6.10  
BLANKET OF ROSES 5 6 611 615½ 616 515½ 514¾ (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 26.60  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 4 5 3 3 4 616½ 623¼ (cundiff waylon)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 122 20.00 35.47  
SCR  FAN CLUB               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
ELP-5   08/26/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:52
:22 :443 :554     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO MUCH INFO 3 3 11 11   11(diodoro robertino)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5.22  
SACRED GROUND 2 2 3 33   22(diodoro robertino)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 6.29  
ACCIDENT 7 4 43 43   34 34 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50 10% 9.40 10.60 S
HEZMORETHANREADY 5 1 21 21   45 48 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 2.00 24% 3.20 2.79  
MENDEAVOUR 1 7 58 57   59 5(davis christopher)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 2.40  
KELL'S BELLS 8 8 712 713½   613½ 613¾ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 43% 1.30 4.76  
WOLF WARRIOR 4 6 814 821½   823 725½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 13.02  
WICKED REVIEW 6 5 69 613   720½ 826 (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 37.52  
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
 
ELP-6   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
:224 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE MI SONG 6 6 63 4   31(stinson jr)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 46% 1.20 0.93 W
KAVOD 1 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 2(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 19% 4.30 1.74 P
MY MAN FLINTSTONE 2 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 3(hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 28.45 S
DON'T FORGET 3 3 31 32   44(shorter aaron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 10.98  
AGGRESSIVITY 4 1 5 5   55(cook b)LANERIE J 122 6.00 11.10  
SOUNION 5 7 7 6   66(cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 7% 13.40 14.83  
K J'S NOBILITY 7 5 42 7   713¾ 723¾ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 13.86  
 
ELP-7   08/26/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 6:48
:222 :454 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKES ON BLUE 1 9 4 36   23 1hd (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 19.27  
TWO MINUTE DRILL 4 5 1½ 13   13 2hd (barkley jason)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 10% 8.70 4.26 P
12  FRIGID LADY 9 11 10 811½   33(asmussen m)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 35% 1.80 5.92 S
RIGHT NOW 2 8 9 912   410 410¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 13.70  
ACRIMONY 5 4 2½ 23   511½ 514½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.32  
FREE SPIRITED 3 10 88 711   716 616¾ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 14.95  
13  ADALINDA 10 1 5 57   818 723¼ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50 25% 2.90 14.51  
10  GOODBETTERBEST 8 3 33 46   615½ 823¾ (cox h)LANERIE J 119 10.00 11.61  
BONITA D'ORO 7 6 7 1014½   920½ 928¼ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 26.06  
15  TATTERED HEART 11 2 6 610   1025 1043¾ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 23.46  
LA SHARK 6 7 1112¼ 1149½   11100 11100 (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 20.65  
SCR  DELLA LUCE               (ruggeri nicole)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  EAST SHORE               (romans dale)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00    
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER               (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PLAY THE MUSIC               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET SWEETFANTASY               (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/26/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 7:16
:24 :462 1:094 1:212   1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN MAYHEM 3 4 1½ 24 2 13 1(divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20 1.25 W
BRITAIN'S KITTEN 7 5 7 68 5 42(williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 2.24 P
BLUE NORTHER 5 3 4 46 3 23 34 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79 S
JR'S GIFT 4 2 3½ 35 4 57 4(andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 23% 3.40 18.12  
ATRAS 8 6 2½ 14 1 33 5(cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 3.62  
WORDS OF WISDOM 6 8 6 5 66 69 614¼ (york keith)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 31.43  
ARROW STRIKE 1 1 811¼ 821 721 729 760¼ (butler gerald)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 55.84  
SEIZE THE TREASURE 2 7 53 79 823 836 891½ (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 15.86  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.