Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - August 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED JEWEL 8 8 7 7 63 6 1hd (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 115 10.00 14.50  
DIAMOND DISTRICT 6 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 11 2hd (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 4.00 6.12 P
LIGHTER KNOT 7 7 5 5 3 53 3 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 7% 13.00 3.30 S
BLAME IT ON PARIS 3 3 43 3 2½ 21 4 (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.51  
REINA BELLA 4 6 65 6 4 3 5 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 19% 4.20 6.36  
HOLIDAY NECKLACE 2 4 3 4 5 4 6 (wilkes r)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 15.00 39.93  
BEST SELLER 5 5 87 8 75 8 7 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 5.03  
JEFF'S JOY 9 9 911 9 8 77 86 (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00 34.68  
MIDNIGHT XO 1 1 1½ 1nk 9 915¼ 937 (hancock dana)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 42.49  
 
ELP-2   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPEIGHTFUL 6 2 2½ 21   2½ 1 (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 34% 1.90 1.70 W
YELLOW CREEK ROAD 1 4 3 32   3 2 (hancock john)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.00 16% 5.50 3.59 P
FOX CREEK LADY 3 3 1½ 11   1½ 3 (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 8.00 6.52 S
ARNEIS 4 1 42 5   45 4 (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50 10.99  
TIZMISSBETTY 5 6 6 610½   611½ 517¼ (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 119 4.00 16% 5.30 7.15  
DANIELLA'S CAUSE 2 5 5 44   5 620 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 2.50  
 
ELP-3   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:122 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA RUNNER 5 3 2½ 31 21 1½ 1nk (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 16% 5.10 6.67 W
MISS EVERYTHING 2 2 5 52 32 3 2nk (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 113 5.00 19% 4.30 2.67 P
MISSED OPPORTUNITY 1 1 1½ 2½ 11 2½ 3 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 2.46 S
AMENSET 3 5 41 1½ 45 4 414½ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 7.32  
CONTESSINA 4 4 6 63 6 5 516¾ (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15% 5.70 8.51  
SACRED KITTEN 6 6 31 4 57 611½ 619¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 27% 2.70 2.38  
SCR  GLAMOROUS DAYS               (mcgaughey cl)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/26/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:243 :47 1:10 1:332   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTAGE PRINT 1 2 1½ 11 1½ 15 1 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.20 37% 1.70 0.28 W
CREDIBILITY 3 3 43 45 3 3 2 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 18% 4.60 4.73 P
CIVIL WAR 2 4 57 59 56 4 39 (demeritte la)VILLASANA CARLOS 122 6.00 17.62  
ON A SPREE 6 1 2½ 21 2½ 25 4 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 12% 7.60 6.10  
BLANKET OF ROSES 5 6 611 615½ 616 515½ 514¾ (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 26.60  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 4 5 3 3 4 616½ 623¼ (cundiff waylo)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 122 20.00 35.47  
SCR  FAN CLUB               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
ELP-5   08/26/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:22 :443 :554     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO MUCH INFO 3 3 11 11   1 1 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5.22  
SACRED GROUND 2 2 3 33   2 2 (diodoro roberti)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 6.29  
ACCIDENT 7 4 43 43   34 34 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50 10% 9.40 10.60 S
HEZMORETHANREADY 5 1 21 21   45 48 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 2.00 24% 3.20 2.79  
MENDEAVOUR 1 7 58 57   59 5 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 2.40  
KELL'S BELLS 8 8 712 713½   613½ 613¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 43% 1.30 4.76  
WOLF WARRIOR 4 6 814 821½   823 725½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 13.02  
WICKED REVIEW 6 5 69 613   720½ 826 (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 37.52  
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
 
ELP-6   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE MI SONG 6 6 63 4   3 1 (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 46% 1.20 0.93 W
KAVOD 1 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 2 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 19% 4.30 1.74 P
MY MAN FLINTSTONE 2 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 3 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 28.45 S
DON'T FORGET 3 3 31 32   4 4 (shorter aaron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 10.98  
AGGRESSIVITY 4 1 5 5   5 5 (cook b)LANERIE J 122 6.00 11.10  
SOUNION 5 7 7 6   6 6 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 7% 13.40 14.83  
K J'S NOBILITY 7 5 42 7   713¾ 723¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 13.86  
 
ELP-7   08/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKES ON BLUE 1 9 4 36   23 1hd (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 19.27  
TWO MINUTE DRILL 4 5 1½ 13   13 2hd (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 10% 8.70 4.26 P
12  FRIGID LADY 9 11 10 811½   3 3 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 35% 1.80 5.92 S
RIGHT NOW 2 8 9 912   410 410¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 13.70  
ACRIMONY 5 4 2½ 23   511½ 514½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.32  
FREE SPIRITED 3 10 88 711   716 616¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 14.95  
13  ADALINDA 10 1 5 57   818 723¼ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50 25% 2.90 14.51  
10  GOODBETTERBEST 8 3 33 46   615½ 823¾ (cox h)LANERIE J 119 10.00 11.61  
BONITA D'ORO 7 6 7 1014½   920½ 928¼ (devaux cher)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 26.06  
15  TATTERED HEART 11 2 6 610   1025 1043¾ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 23.46  
LA SHARK 6 7 1112¼ 1149½   11100 11100 (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 20.65  
SCR  DELLA LUCE               (ruggeri nicole)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  EAST SHORE               (romans dale)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00    
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER               (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PLAY THE MUSIC               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET SWEETFANTASY               (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:24 :462 1:094 1:212   1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN MAYHEM 3 4 1½ 24 2 13 1 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20 1.25 W
BRITAIN'S KITTEN 7 5 7 68 5 4 2 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 2.24 P
BLUE NORTHER 5 3 4 46 3 23 34 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79 S
JR'S GIFT 4 2 3½ 35 4 57 4 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 23% 3.40 18.12  
ATRAS 8 6 2½ 14 1 33 5 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 3.62  
WORDS OF WISDOM 6 8 6 5 66 69 614¼ (york keith)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 31.43  
ARROW STRIKE 1 1 811¼ 821 721 729 760¼ (butler gerald)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 55.84  
SEIZE THE TREASURE 2 7 53 79 823 836 891½ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 15.86  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.