Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Friday - August 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($21K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT XO Jul17 Jun28       (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
2  HOLIDAY NECKLACE Aug10 Jun22       (wilkes ian)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 15.00    
3  BLAME IT ON PARIS Jul31         (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  REINA BELLA         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
5  BEST SELLER Aug06 Jul04       (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 ★    
6  DIAMOND DISTRICT Jul31 Jul01       (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 4.00 ★    
7  LIGHTER KNOT Aug07 Jul09       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 7% 13.00    
8  RED JEWEL Aug05         (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 115 10.00    
9  JEFF'S JOY Jul31         (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00    
 
ELP-2   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YELLOW CREEK ROAD Jul15 Jun19 May19     (hancock jo)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.00 16% 5.50    
2  DANIELLA'S CAUSE Jun03 May03 Mar24 Jan01   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 ★    
3  FOX CREEK LADY Aug05 Jul22       (campbell h)EMIGH A 124 8.00 ★    
4  ARNEIS Jul22 Jun17       (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50    
5  TIZMISSBETTY Jul29 Jul03 Mar12 Feb18   (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
6  INSPEIGHTFUL         (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
ELP-3   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSED OPPORTUNITY Jul30 Jun19 Apr10     (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 ★    
2  MISS EVERYTHING Jul23 Jun30 Mar06 Feb06 Jan07 (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 113 5.00 19% 4.30    
3  AMENSET Jul28 Jun23 May27 May04 Mar26 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
4  CONTESSINA Jun29         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15% 5.70    
5  BELLA RUNNER Mar05 Jan01       (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  GLAMOROUS DAYS         (mcgaughey )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
7  SACRED KITTEN Jul29 Jun30 Jun04 May15 Apr22 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
ELP-4   08/26/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE PRINT Jul15         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
2  CIVIL WAR Jul04 Jun19 May15 Apr08   (demeritte )VILLASANA CARLOS 122 6.00    
3  CREDIBILITY Apr29 Apr08 Mar05 Jan22   (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  ARTEMUS EAGLE Aug13 Jul16 May20     (cundiff way)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 122 20.00    
5  BLANKET OF ROSES Jul21 Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr22 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 ★    
6  ON A SPREE Jul17 May21 May01 Mar19 Feb26 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  FAN CLUB Aug06 Jun18 May07 Apr15 Mar18 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
ELP-5   08/26/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENDEAVOUR         (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
2  SACRED GROUND         (diodoro rober)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
3  TOO MUCH INFO         (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
4  WOLF WARRIOR         (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
5  HEZMORETHANREADY Jul30 Jun27 May19     (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  WICKED REVIEW         (hancock a)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 ★    
7  ACCIDENT Aug13 Jul16 Jul08 Jun26   (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50 10% 9.40    
8  KELL'S BELLS         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 ★    
 
ELP-6   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAVOD May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 19% 4.30    
2  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Jul15 Jun25 Jun08 May22   (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DON'T FORGET Jul24 Jun22 May29 Apr23 Mar27 (shorter aaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 ★    
4  AGGRESSIVITY Jul08 Jun11 May28 May07 Apr17 (cook b)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
5  SOUNION Jul15 Jun05 Mar18 Feb03   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 7% 13.40    
6  HERE MI SONG Jul24 Jul08 Apr16 Mar12 Jan01 (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  K J'S NOBILITY Jun30 May07 Apr10 Mar05 Feb13 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PLAY THE MUSIC         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
2  JOKES ON BLUE         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
3  RIGHT NOW         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
4  FREE SPIRITED         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
SCR  EAST SHORE Jul23 Jun17       (romans dale)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00    
6  TWO MINUTE DRILL Jul14         (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 10% 8.70    
7  ACRIMONY         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  LA SHARK         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
9  BONITA D'ORO         (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
10  GOODBETTERBEST         (cox h)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER         (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  FRIGID LADY Jul22 Jul01       (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 5.00 35% 1.80    
13  ADALINDA Aug05 Jul09       (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  DELLA LUCE         (ruggeri nicol)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
15  TATTERED HEART Aug04         (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SWEET SWEETFANTASY         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROW STRIKE Aug05 Jun24 Jun11 May14 Apr22 (butler gerald)HUGHES CARLY 113 15.00    
2  SEIZE THE TREASURE Jun11         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
3  AMERICAN MAYHEM Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 May28   (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  JR'S GIFT Aug06 Jul02 Jun12 May27 Apr02 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  BLUE NORTHER Jul29 Apr16 Feb20 Jan15   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WORDS OF WISDOM Aug05 Jul16 May15 Apr08 Feb26 (york keit)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
7  BRITAIN'S KITTEN Aug05 Jul04 Jun12 May15 Apr23 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 ★    
8  ATRAS Jul04 Apr23 Mar18     (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.