Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:131 1:251   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HANNITY 2 1 32 32 32 21½ 1¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 5.00 9.82  
6  MARKITOFF 6 5 11 11 11½ 11½ 2¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 123 1.80 ★ 2.60 P
4  MOLIERE 4 8 86 86¾ 85¾ 73¼ 31½ (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 3.82  
7  KENTUCKY COOL 7 3 21 21 21½ 42 41½ (fernandez edwa)REYES R 123 20.00 33.70  
3  RUDIGER 3 6 75 74¾ 73¾ 31½ 51¾ (sanner e)COURT K 123 12.00 11% 8.30 11.45  
1  CAN'T HIDE FROM ME 1 2 64½ 64½ 62¾ 53 61¾ (stinson)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 12% 7.30 9.89  
5  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 5 4 53 53 52½ 63¼ 72½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50 19% 4.20 1.85  
8  JAMMERS JUSTICE 8 7 42 42 42 84¼ 85¼ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 10.89  
SCR  GO FOR SHERRIE               (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
ELP-2   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:142 1:28   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEED SOME MONEY 2 4 48 45 42 2nk 13½ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 ★ 7.73  
1  DESTINE TO RACE 1 6 611½ 67½ 54 1nk 23½ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 2.50 21% 3.80 1.94 P
3  MARSANNE 3 3 12 1½ 1½ 3.2 37½ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 30.80  
6  FASHION IDOL 6 2 33 32 31 42¾ 416 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.89  
5  RUM RUNNER READY 5 1 22 2½ 2½ 52¾ 517 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 ★ 3.03  
4  SOLO ALBUM 4 5 510½ 57 67 65¾ 620¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 ★ 6.48  
 
ELP-3   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:124 1:244   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EYE OF THE CAT 4 6 610 612 53 3½ 1¼ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 5.00 28% 2.60 3.67 W
9  TIZ TACT TOE 6 5 59 410 32 2nk 2¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 ★ 3.22 P
1  FORWARD CURVE 1 1 22 24 21½ 1nk 32¼ (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.01 S
7  EL AHIJADO 5 4 47 310 42 41½ 43 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 ★ 6.71  
3  MY BROTHER CAM 3 3 12 14 11½ 53½ 59¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 4.00 5% 19.00 3.86  
2  CHISHOLM TRAIL 2 2 37 511 618 633½ 686 (hawley wesley)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 9.48  
SCR  BEL ARIA               (parker donald)BECKMAN ALICE 108 15.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
SCR  LANSDOWNE (GB)               (lukas wayne)COURT K null      
SCR  T J MUNNINGS               (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RESPECTFUL 2 6 32½ 1nk   11½ 1nk (brisset rodol)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 21% 3.80 2.31 W
3  AMARYLLIS KISS 3 3 21 2nk   21½ 2nk (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80 7% 13.30 2.53 P
5  TWILIGHT DREAMS 5 5 67½ 55¾   45 32½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 8.49  
1  INDIGO MISS 1 2 11 3.2   32½ 47¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.54  
4  CANDY ISLAND 4 1 42½ 44¼   57½ 513¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 ★ 8.38  
6  SURE SHOT ANNIE 6 4 54 66¼   69½ 614½ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 124 30.00 ★ 43.93  
 
ELP-5   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:214 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MO STASH 4 8 32 31½   1nk 1nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 ★ 4.05  
2  CUORE SACRO 2 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (lynch a)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★ 2.70 P
5  THE BOOKKEEPER 5 1 42¼ 42   32½ 32¾ (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 5.39  
12  HUNTER'S DRIVE 10 5 53¾ 54½   54¾ 44¾ (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00 8.00  
6  SAILOR'S CHANCE 6 2 64¾ 65½   64¾ 57 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 ★ 2.92  
10  ICONICUS 9 7 97¾ 98¾   97 67¾ (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 65.07  
3  MEANT TO BE LUCKY 3 10 87¼ 88½   87 79½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 16.75  
7  PREMIUM 7 6 75¾ 76½   76¾ 89¾ (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 18.21  
1  MONEY RUN 1 4 1nk 1nk   42¾ 911½ (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 114 4.50 12% 7.10 14.18  
9  FAST TRAFFIC 8 9 1010¼ 1011¾   1011 1016 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 29.14  
SCR  COACHES MEETING               (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  KING SHAMAN               (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  MENDEAVOUR               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 10.00    
SCR  MO SNOW               (matejka p)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CANT BE TOUCHED 6 1 11½ 12   13 110¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 ★ 2.02  
5  SWEET CONFUSION 5 6 55 43½   34½ 210¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 1.20 37% 1.70 0.98 P
3  SENORITA AURORA 3 3 66 56½   56 310¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 122 10.00 ★ 29.23 S
2  JOY ENAMORADA 2 2 21½ 22   23 412½ (duvall e)COURT K 118 6.00 13% 6.80 7.42  
1  MURGATROYD 1 4 33½ 33   45 514¼ (maci)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 36.36  
4  BEVERLY'S CHARGE 4 5 44 67   69 614½ (habeeb )DE CRUZ 118 4.00 16% 5.40 4.01  
 
ELP-7   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:21 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  QUICK MUNNY 5 2 22½ 21½   12 11¼ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 32% 2.20 9.90 W
1  MY MY MUNNY 1 5 54¾ 44   32 21¼ (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 5.00 ★ 16.32 P
4  BITTY BOSS 4 8 66¾ 65¾   43½ 32 (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.29 S
2  THE CLUB 2 9 99¼ 88¼   76¼ 43½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 3.94  
6  BROADWAY BLAZE 6 3 34½ 34   55 53¾ (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 4.12  
8  STORM CHARGING 8 4 44½ 54¼   65¼ 65 (fernandez edwa)REYES R 122 20.00 44.70  
7  STELLA TERESA 7 1 12½ 11½   22 76 (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 118 6.00 8% 12.10 8.13  
3  SOCIAL MANDATE 3 6 77¼ 78¼   86¾ 86¼ (hancock a)COURT K 118 15.00 46.74  
9  HOPE AND DREAMS 9 7 88¼ 910¾   915¼ 916¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 3.00 ★ 3.76  
 
ELP-8   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MR. CUNNINGHAM 10 8 32½ 33½ 11½ 11½ 1nk (meredith charle)HOLMES GAGE 111 15.00 17.42  
6  TRICOLOUR 6 4 77 66½ 21½ 21½ 2nk (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11.04  
5  BEOCCA 5 10 1112¼ 1211¼ 94¼ 67¾ 38½ (minnock g)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 ★ 4.36 S
12  KEEP ON 12 11 1010¼ 109¾ 63 37 410¼ (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 10.63  
9  COMMAND CENTRAL 9 5 55 54½ 32 57½ 510¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 62% 0.60 3.20  
11  FLAGSTONE 11 9 66½ 76¾ 73½ 78¾ 611½ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 17.09  
7  GO VIRTUAL 7 12 1212¼ 1110¾ 116¼ 911¼ 711¾ (gonzale)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 ★ 10.45  
4  GET US ONE 4 7 910 99¾ 83¾ 88¾ 812¼ (meah m)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00 5% 17.90 12.08  
1  BICKELL 1 1 44½ 44½ 42 47 912¼ (demeritte )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00 12.17  
8  LARK 8 6 88 88¼ 104¼ 1013¾ 1016¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 3.50 9% 10.10 3.68  
3  MR. MARIAH 3 3 2nk 1½ 52½ 1119¾ 1132½ (pittman bon)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 21.12  
2  ARTIE AND JESSIE 2 2 1nk 2½ 128¼ 1228¾ 1255¾ (horvath frank)BECKMAN ALICE 124 50.00 88.08  
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY               (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 124 15.00    
SCR  NO LIMITATION               (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.