The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Ellis Park
Friday - August 19, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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ELP-1   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:253 :493 1:131 1:251   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANNITY 2 1 32 32 32 21¼ (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 123 5.00 9.82  
MARKITOFF 6 5 11 11 1 12¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 123 1.80 2.60 P
MOLIERE 4 8 86 8 8 73(vanden brittany)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 3.82  
KENTUCKY COOL 7 3 21 21 2 42 4(fernandez edward)REYES R 123 20.00 33.70  
RUDIGER 3 6 75 7 7 35(sanner e)COURT K 123 12.00 11% 8.30 11.45  
CAN'T HIDE FROM ME 1 2 6 6 6 53 6(stinson jr)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 12% 7.30 9.89  
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 5 4 53 53 5 67(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50 19% 4.20 1.85  
JAMMERS JUSTICE 8 7 42 42 42 88(gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 10.89  
SCR  GO FOR SHERRIE               (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
ELP-2   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:28
:234 :481 1:142 1:28   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEED SOME MONEY 2 4 48 45 42 2nk 1(hamilton sarah)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 7.73  
DESTINE TO RACE 1 6 611½ 6 54 1nk 2(mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 2.50 21% 3.80 1.94 P
MARSANNE 3 3 12 1½ 1½ 3.2 3(ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 30.80  
FASHION IDOL 6 2 33 32 31 4416 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.89  
RUM RUNNER READY 5 1 22 2½ 2½ 5517 (morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 3.03  
SOLO ALBUM 4 5 510½ 57 67 6620¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 6.48  
 
ELP-3   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
:234 :464 1:124 1:244   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE OF THE CAT 4 6 610 612 53 3½ 1¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 5.00 28% 2.60 3.67 W
TIZ TACT TOE 6 5 59 410 32 2nk 2¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 3.22 P
FORWARD CURVE 1 1 22 24 2 1nk 3(becker scott)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.01 S
EL AHIJADO 5 4 47 310 42 443 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 6.71  
MY BROTHER CAM 3 3 12 14 1 55(vanden brittany)EMIGH A 120 4.00 5% 19.00 3.86  
CHISHOLM TRAIL 2 2 37 511 618 633½ 686 (hawley wesley)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 9.48  
SCR  BEL ARIA               (parker r)BECKMAN ALICE 108 15.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez eduardo)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
SCR  LANSDOWNE               (lukas wayne)COURT K 118 6.00    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS               (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
:224 :453 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESPECTFUL 2 6 3 1nk   11nk (brisset rodolphe)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 21% 3.80 2.31 W
AMARYLLIS KISS 3 3 21 2nk   22nk (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80 7% 13.30 2.53 P
TWILIGHT DREAMS 5 5 6 5   45 3(mott i)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 8.49  
INDIGO MISS 1 2 11 3.2   34(lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.54  
CANDY ISLAND 4 1 4 4   5513¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 8.38  
SURE SHOT ANNIE 6 4 54 6   6614½ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 124 30.00 43.93  
 
ELP-5   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:52
:214 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO STASH 4 8 32 3   1nk 1nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 4.05  
CUORE SACRO 2 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (lynch a)LANERIE J 119 6.00 2.70 P
THE BOOKKEEPER 5 1 4 42   33(divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 5.39  
12  HUNTER'S DRIVE 10 5 5 5   54(desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00 8.00  
SAILOR'S CHANCE 6 2 6 6   657 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 2.92  
10  ICONICUS 9 7 9 9   97 6(catalano m)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 65.07  
MEANT TO BE LUCKY 3 10 8 8   87 7(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 16.75  
PREMIUM 7 6 7 7   78(asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 18.21  
MONEY RUN 1 4 1nk 1nk   4911½ (asmussen m)TALAMO JOSEPH 114 4.50 12% 7.10 14.18  
FAST TRAFFIC 8 9 1010¼ 1011¾   1011 1016 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 29.14  
SCR  COACHES MEETING               (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  KING SHAMAN               (navarrete anna)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  MENDEAVOUR               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 10.00    
SCR  MO SNOW               (matejka pavel)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
:223 :46 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT BE TOUCHED 6 1 1 12   13 110¼ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 2.02  
SWEET CONFUSION 5 6 55 4   3210¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 1.20 37% 1.70 0.98 P
SENORITA AURORA 3 3 66 5   56 310¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 122 10.00 29.23 S
JOY ENAMORADA 2 2 2 22   23 412½ (duvall e)COURT K 118 6.00 13% 6.80 7.42  
MURGATROYD 1 4 3 33   45 514¼ (macias adolfo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 36.36  
BEVERLY'S CHARGE 4 5 44 67   69 614½ (habeeb j)DE CRUZ 118 4.00 16% 5.40 4.01  
 
ELP-7   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
:21 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK MUNNY 5 2 2 2   12 1(barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 32% 2.20 9.90 W
MY MY MUNNY 1 5 5 44   32 2(stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 5.00 16.32 P
BITTY BOSS 4 8 6 6   432 (walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.29 S
THE CLUB 2 9 9 8   74(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 3.94  
BROADWAY BLAZE 6 3 3 34   55 5(pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 4.12  
STORM CHARGING 8 4 4 5   665 (fernandez edward)REYES R 122 20.00 44.70  
STELLA TERESA 7 1 1 1   22 76 (wojczynski justin)LEBRON VICTOR 118 6.00 8% 12.10 8.13  
SOCIAL MANDATE 3 6 7 7   88(hancock a)COURT K 118 15.00 46.74  
HOPE AND DREAMS 9 7 8 910¾   915¼ 916¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 3.00 3.76  
 
ELP-8   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
:233 :464 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MR. CUNNINGHAM 10 8 3 3 1 11nk (meredith charles)HOLMES GAGE 111 15.00 17.42  
TRICOLOUR 6 4 77 6 2 22nk (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11.04  
BEOCCA 5 10 1112¼ 1211¼ 9 63(minnock g)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 4.36 S
12  KEEP ON 12 11 1010¼ 10 63 37 410¼ (williamson brian)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 10.63  
COMMAND CENTRAL 9 5 55 5 32 5510¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 62% 0.60 3.20  
11  FLAGSTONE 11 9 6 7 7 7611½ (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 17.09  
GO VIRTUAL 7 12 1212¼ 1110¾ 11 911¼ 711¾ (gonzalez e)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 10.45  
GET US ONE 4 7 910 9 8 8812¼ (meah m)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00 5% 17.90 12.08  
BICKELL 1 1 4 4 42 47 912¼ (demeritte larry)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00 12.17  
LARK 8 6 88 8 10 1013¾ 1016¾ (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 124 3.50 9% 10.10 3.68  
MR. MARIAH 3 3 2nk 1½ 5 1119¾ 1132½ (pittman bonnie)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 21.12  
ARTIE AND JESSIE 2 2 1nk 2½ 12 1228¾ 1255¾ (horvath k)BECKMAN ALICE 124 50.00 88.08  
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY               (beckman whitworth)COHEN DAVID 124 15.00    
SCR  NO LIMITATION               (morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.