Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:131 1:251   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANNITY 2 1 32 32 32 2 1¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 5.00 9.82  
MARKITOFF 6 5 11 11 1 1 2¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 123 1.80 2.60 P
MOLIERE 4 8 86 8 8 7 3 (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 3.82  
KENTUCKY COOL 7 3 21 21 2 42 4 (fernandez edward)REYES R 123 20.00 33.70  
RUDIGER 3 6 75 7 7 3 5 (sanner e)COURT K 123 12.00 11% 8.30 11.45  
CAN'T HIDE FROM ME 1 2 6 6 6 53 6 (stinson w)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 12% 7.30 9.89  
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 5 4 53 53 5 6 7 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50 19% 4.20 1.85  
JAMMERS JUSTICE 8 7 42 42 42 8 8 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 10.89  
SCR  GO FOR SHERRIE               (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
ELP-2   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:142 1:28   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEED SOME MONEY 2 4 48 45 42 2nk 1 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 7.73  
DESTINE TO RACE 1 6 611½ 6 54 1nk 2 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 2.50 21% 3.80 1.94 P
MARSANNE 3 3 12 1½ 1½ 3.2 3 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 30.80  
FASHION IDOL 6 2 33 32 31 4 416 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.89  
RUM RUNNER READY 5 1 22 2½ 2½ 5 517 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 3.03  
SOLO ALBUM 4 5 510½ 57 67 6 620¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 6.48  
 
ELP-3   08/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:124 1:244   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE OF THE CAT 4 6 610 612 53 3½ 1¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 5.00 28% 2.60 3.67 W
TIZ TACT TOE 6 5 59 410 32 2nk 2¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 3.22 P
FORWARD CURVE 1 1 22 24 2 1nk 3 (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.01 S
EL AHIJADO 5 4 47 310 42 4 43 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 6.71  
MY BROTHER CAM 3 3 12 14 1 5 5 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 4.00 5% 19.00 3.86  
CHISHOLM TRAIL 2 2 37 511 618 633½ 686 (hawley wesley)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 9.48  
SCR  BEL ARIA               (parker r)BECKMAN ALICE 108 15.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
SCR  LANSDOWNE (GB)               (lukas wayne)COURT K null      
SCR  T J MUNNINGS               (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESPECTFUL 2 6 3 1nk   1 1nk (brisset rodolph)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 21% 3.80 2.31 W
AMARYLLIS KISS 3 3 21 2nk   2 2nk (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80 7% 13.30 2.53 P
TWILIGHT DREAMS 5 5 6 5   45 3 (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 8.49  
INDIGO MISS 1 2 11 3.2   3 4 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.54  
CANDY ISLAND 4 1 4 4   5 513¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 8.38  
SURE SHOT ANNIE 6 4 54 6   6 614½ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 124 30.00 43.93  
 
ELP-5   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:214 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO STASH 4 8 32 3   1nk 1nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 4.05  
CUORE SACRO 2 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (lynch a)LANERIE J 119 6.00 2.70 P
THE BOOKKEEPER 5 1 4 42   3 3 (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 5.39  
12  HUNTER'S DRIVE 10 5 5 5   5 4 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00 8.00  
SAILOR'S CHANCE 6 2 6 6   6 57 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 2.92  
10  ICONICUS 9 7 9 9   97 6 (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 65.07  
MEANT TO BE LUCKY 3 10 8 8   87 7 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 16.75  
PREMIUM 7 6 7 7   7 8 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 18.21  
MONEY RUN 1 4 1nk 1nk   4 911½ (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 114 4.50 12% 7.10 14.18  
FAST TRAFFIC 8 9 1010¼ 1011¾   1011 1016 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 29.14  
SCR  COACHES MEETING               (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  KING SHAMAN               (navarrete a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  MENDEAVOUR               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 10.00    
SCR  MO SNOW               (matejka pav)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT BE TOUCHED 6 1 1 12   13 110¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 2.02  
SWEET CONFUSION 5 6 55 4   3 210¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 1.20 37% 1.70 0.98 P
SENORITA AURORA 3 3 66 5   56 310¼ (thurman rhonda)EMIGH A 122 10.00 29.23 S
JOY ENAMORADA 2 2 2 22   23 412½ (duvall e)COURT K 118 6.00 13% 6.80 7.42  
MURGATROYD 1 4 3 33   45 514¼ (macias)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 36.36  
BEVERLY'S CHARGE 4 5 44 67   69 614½ (habeeb do)DE CRUZ 118 4.00 16% 5.40 4.01  
 
ELP-7   08/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:21 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK MUNNY 5 2 2 2   12 1 (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 32% 2.20 9.90 W
MY MY MUNNY 1 5 5 44   32 2 (stuart shea)EMIGH A 122 5.00 16.32 P
BITTY BOSS 4 8 6 6   4 32 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.29 S
THE CLUB 2 9 9 8   7 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 3.94  
BROADWAY BLAZE 6 3 3 34   55 5 (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 4.12  
STORM CHARGING 8 4 4 5   6 65 (fernandez edward)REYES R 122 20.00 44.70  
STELLA TERESA 7 1 1 1   22 76 (wojczynski just)LEBRON VICTOR 118 6.00 8% 12.10 8.13  
SOCIAL MANDATE 3 6 7 7   8 8 (hancock a)COURT K 118 15.00 46.74  
HOPE AND DREAMS 9 7 8 910¾   915¼ 916¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 3.00 3.76  
 
ELP-8   08/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MR. CUNNINGHAM 10 8 3 3 1 1 1nk (meredith charles)HOLMES GAGE 111 15.00 17.42  
TRICOLOUR 6 4 77 6 2 2 2nk (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11.04  
BEOCCA 5 10 1112¼ 1211¼ 9 6 3 (minnock g)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 4.36 S
12  KEEP ON 12 11 1010¼ 10 63 37 410¼ (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 10.63  
COMMAND CENTRAL 9 5 55 5 32 5 510¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 62% 0.60 3.20  
11  FLAGSTONE 11 9 6 7 7 7 611½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 17.09  
GO VIRTUAL 7 12 1212¼ 1110¾ 11 911¼ 711¾ (gonzalez )DE CRUZ 118 8.00 10.45  
GET US ONE 4 7 910 9 8 8 812¼ (meah m)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00 5% 17.90 12.08  
BICKELL 1 1 4 4 42 47 912¼ (demeritte la)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00 12.17  
LARK 8 6 88 8 10 1013¾ 1016¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 124 3.50 9% 10.10 3.68  
MR. MARIAH 3 3 2nk 1½ 5 1119¾ 1132½ (pittman bonni)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 21.12  
ARTIE AND JESSIE 2 2 1nk 2½ 12 1228¾ 1255¾ (horvath k)BECKMAN ALICE 124 50.00 88.08  
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY               (beckman whitwor)COHEN DAVID 124 15.00    
SCR  NO LIMITATION               (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.