Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Sunday - August 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LITTLE WILD 9 4 11 1½   1 12 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.78 W
T MONEY 4 7 64 3   2 22 (vaccarezza ca)PENA JONUELLE 114 6.00 1.97 P
EXTRAVAGATE 1 9 88 79   6 3 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 1.72 S
PRIVATE CONNIE 2 6 7 65   47 4 (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 7.06  
IKE AND JACK 7 2 3 2½   3 511 (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 37.95  
BRUCE ON THE LOOSE 3 1 21 55   5 617½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 10.66  
INDIAN SPRINGS 8 8 910 912½   814 720¼ (campbell do)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00 53.13  
TRAFFIC COP 6 5 53 44   711½ 821 (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
MAHAL KITA 5 3 4 8   916½ 933 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 57.18  
SCR  BAD DECISIONS               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 65% 0.50    
 
ELP-2   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE J 5 6 1nk 2nk   2nk 1hd (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 11.72  
PENSACOLA 1 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 2hd (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 3.35  
NO EASY DAYS 8 7 7 4   3 3 (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 34.38  
MACHO VILLA 4 5 8 5   5 4 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 14.43  
URGENT FURY 3 4 6 6   45 5 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 50% 1.00 3.39  
10  WINSTON WOLF 10 9 9 8   8 611½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10.83  
LOUDMOUTHSOUP 6 2 3½ 7   7 711¾ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 20.11  
MAKING MOVES 7 1 4¾ 3   6 816 (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 17.38  
PRESIDER 2 8 5 9   910¾ 916½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 7.80  
GIANNIS 9 10 1012¾ 1013¼   1014¼ 1018¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 25% 3.10 2.53  
 
ELP-3   08/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME BOY BENNY 6 3 21 1nk   11 12 (winebaugh )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 15% 5.70 3.15 W
THE BOSS FACTOR 5 5 42 2nk   21 22 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 10.00 8.25 P
DAVID'S GEM 4 2 11 31   3 3 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 1.46 S
BOLD ADVENTURE 3 4 5 56   5 4 (peterson annett)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 15.79  
IMPRESSED 2 1 3 4   4 5 (cano juan )HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 31% 2.20 2.83  
RYE HUMOR 1 6 68 68   69 6 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 20% 4.00 6.31  
 
ELP-4   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP IN FORMATION 9 3 13 1   12 1hd (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 3.05  
MULLION 5 4 4 4   22 2hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 29% 2.50 0.75 P
TEN DAYS LATER 3 9 7 57   5 33 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 3.50 25% 3.00 9.99 S
HOW DID HE DO THAT 8 1 23 2   3 4 (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10.70  
10  CLEAR THE AIR 10 5 33 3   44 5 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.22  
ENDPOINT 1 6 5 7   7 6 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 15.70  
SINGLE RULER 7 2 8 810¼   69 7 (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 39.36  
PYRENEES 4 8 6 6   810 8 (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16.36  
O GANGSTER 2 10 1012¾ 912¼   912½ 912¼ (delgado gust)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 35.33  
AFFAMATO 6 7 910¾ 1015¼   1016½ 1019¾ (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 87.27  
 
ELP-5   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:12 1:352   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA TOURISTA 3 3 21 2½ 1nk 1½ 1½ (vasquez german )LANERIE J 123 3.50 3.07  
EDGEE ANGEL 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 2½ (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 8.00 11% 7.90 2.87 P
MOONSHINE DREAMER 5 2 43 4 42 3 3 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 6.00 17% 4.80 3.74 S
RUNAWAY MOM 4 5 5 5 31 43 43 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 5.00 3.61  
ASKEW 2 4 32 32 5 5 510 (winebaugh )MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 2.55  
SCR  LAKE BARKLEY               (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 123 25.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.40 39% 1.60    
 
ELP-6   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:21 :44 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE AS SWEET 5 4 3 32   21 12 (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80 38% 1.60 0.77 W
10  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 9 1 55 56   4 22 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 37% 1.70 4.49 P
RACETHROUGHTHECITY 3 2 2nk 1nk   11 3 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
JERSEY PEARL 7 3 42 4   3 4 (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00 18.19  
11  HOLD MY CROWN 10 6 7 912¼   7 56 (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 6.87  
LA CREMA 1 10 6 6   6 6 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 10.14  
TENACIOUS LADY 8 9 910 812   8 7 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 30.05  
DELLA LUCE 6 7 89 711   910¾ 811½ (ruggeri nicole)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00 36.46  
ONE STORMY LADY 2 5 1nk 2nk   5 913 (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 51.81  
SONG OF STORMS 4 8 1011½ 1014¼   1014¾ 1016¾ (faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 78.88  
SCR  LADY EVELYN CAN               (hancock jack )BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00    
SCR  LUCKSME               (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
 
ELP-7   08/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132 1:26   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEEMER 2 4 3 32 33 3 1¾ (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 5.69  
DENINGTON 4 2 11 11 1½ 11 2¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 24% 3.20 4.62 P
RECKER POINT 5 5 21 21 2½ 21 3 (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 16.75 S
FIGHT FIERCELY 3 1 5 53 5 4 410 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00  
11  BEN DREAMING 11 7 4 4 44 510 513 (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 5% 17.30 8.33  
MAMBA FOREVER 7 9 9 8 710 714½ 618¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 12.00 18.64  
10  LED TASSO 10 8 7 6 6 614½ 719¼ (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 38.00  
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 8 3 8 75 812 818 827 (ennis john)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 19.65  
OLAZABAL 9 11 10 10 915 920½ 928 (delgado gust)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 35.99  
INFINITEEXPERIENCE 1 6 63 97 1018½ 1025½ 1039 (ruggeri nicole)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00 82.91  
GHOSTSTRYDER 6 10 11 1111 1122 1131 1156¼ (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 15.74  
 
ELP-8   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:094 1:343   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ROMEO LIMA 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 12 1 (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5.45  
ALYANAABI 3 4 34 32 34 3 2 (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 7.34  
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 4 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 22 3 (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 61% 0.60 2.48 S
HEEDING 5 6 79 5 45 45 4 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 2.86  
GET THROUGH 1 5 5 43 5 57 5 (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 21.82  
GRAND CAY 7 7 6 6 6 6 613¾ (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 2.66  
PRINCE OF GLORY 6 3 4 7 719¼ 727½ 764¼ (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 12.28  
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50    
SCR  SIMPLY JACK               (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.