The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Ellis Park
Sunday - August 28, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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ELP-1   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LITTLE WILD 9 4 11 1½   112 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.78 W
T MONEY 4 7 64 3   222 (vaccarezza carlo)PENA JONUELLE 114 6.00 1.97 P
EXTRAVAGATE 1 9 88 79   63(mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 1.72 S
PRIVATE CONNIE 2 6 7 65   47 4(hancock a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 7.06  
IKE AND JACK 7 2 3 2½   3511 (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 37.95  
BRUCE ON THE LOOSE 3 1 21 55   5617½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 10.66  
INDIAN SPRINGS 8 8 910 912½   814 720¼ (campbell h)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00 53.13  
TRAFFIC COP 6 5 53 44   711½ 821 (catalano m)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
MAHAL KITA 5 3 4 8   916½ 933 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 57.18  
SCR  BAD DECISIONS               (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 65% 0.50    
 
ELP-2   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE J 5 6 1nk 2nk   2nk 1hd (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 11.72  
PENSACOLA 1 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 2hd (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 3.35  
NO EASY DAYS 8 7 7 4   33(mccarthy w)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 34.38  
MACHO VILLA 4 5 8 5   54(lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 14.43  
URGENT FURY 3 4 6 6   45 5(ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 50% 1.00 3.39  
10  WINSTON WOLF 10 9 9 8   8611½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10.83  
LOUDMOUTHSOUP 6 2 3½ 7   7711¾ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 20.11  
MAKING MOVES 7 1 4¾ 3   6816 (barkley jason)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 17.38  
PRESIDER 2 8 5 9   910¾ 916½ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 7.80  
GIANNIS 9 10 1012¾ 1013¼   1014¼ 1018¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 25% 3.10 2.53  
 
ELP-3   08/28/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
:223 :453 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME BOY BENNY 6 3 21 1nk   11 12 (winebaugh cheryl)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 15% 5.70 3.15 W
THE BOSS FACTOR 5 5 42 2nk   21 22 (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 122 10.00 8.25 P
DAVID'S GEM 4 2 11 31   33(cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 1.46 S
BOLD ADVENTURE 3 4 5 56   54(peterson annette)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 15.79  
IMPRESSED 2 1 3 4   45(cano munoz)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 31% 2.20 2.83  
RYE HUMOR 1 6 68 68   69 6(morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 20% 4.00 6.31  
 
ELP-4   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
:222 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP IN FORMATION 9 3 13 1   12 1hd (catalano m)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 3.05  
MULLION 5 4 4 4   22 2hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 29% 2.50 0.75 P
TEN DAYS LATER 3 9 7 57   533 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 3.50 25% 3.00 9.99 S
HOW DID HE DO THAT 8 1 23 2   34(asmussen m)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10.70  
10  CLEAR THE AIR 10 5 33 3   44 5(walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.22  
ENDPOINT 1 6 5 7   76(lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 15.70  
SINGLE RULER 7 2 8 810¼   69 7(desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 39.36  
PYRENEES 4 8 6 6   810 8(devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16.36  
O GANGSTER 2 10 1012¾ 912¼   912½ 912¼ (delgado gustavo)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 35.33  
AFFAMATO 6 7 910¾ 1015¼   1016½ 1019¾ (williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 87.27  
 
ELP-5   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
:244 :484 1:12 1:352   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA TOURISTA 3 3 21 2½ 1nk 1½ 1½ (vasquez sr)LANERIE J 123 3.50 3.07  
EDGEE ANGEL 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 2½ (king l)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 8.00 11% 7.90 2.87 P
MOONSHINE DREAMER 5 2 43 4 42 33(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 6.00 17% 4.80 3.74 S
RUNAWAY MOM 4 5 5 5 31 43 43 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 5.00 3.61  
ASKEW 2 4 32 32 5 5510 (winebaugh cheryl)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 2.55  
SCR  LAKE BARKLEY               (hernandez javier)TAVARES JAVIER 123 25.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT               (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.40 39% 1.60    
 
ELP-6   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:10
:21 :44 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE AS SWEET 5 4 3 32   21 12 (walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80 38% 1.60 0.77 W
10  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 9 1 55 56   422 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 37% 1.70 4.49 P
RACETHROUGHTHECITY 3 2 2nk 1nk   11 3(divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
JERSEY PEARL 7 3 42 4   34(lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00 18.19  
11  HOLD MY CROWN 10 6 7 912¼   756 (walden william)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 6.87  
LA CREMA 1 10 6 6   66(arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 10.14  
TENACIOUS LADY 8 9 910 812   87(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 30.05  
DELLA LUCE 6 7 89 711   910¾ 811½ (ruggeri nicole)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00 36.46  
ONE STORMY LADY 2 5 1nk 2nk   5913 (hancock a)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 51.81  
SONG OF STORMS 4 8 1011½ 1014¼   1014¾ 1016¾ (faircloth aveory)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 78.88  
SCR  LADY EVELYN CAN               (hancock l)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00    
SCR  LUCKSME               (diodoro robertino)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
 
ELP-7   08/28/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
:242 :491 1:132 1:26   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEEMER 2 4 3 32 33 31¾ (brisset rodolphe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 5.69  
DENINGTON 4 2 11 11 1½ 11 2¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 24% 3.20 4.62 P
RECKER POINT 5 5 21 21 2½ 21 3(lukas wayne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 16.75 S
FIGHT FIERCELY 3 1 5 53 5 4410 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00  
11  BEN DREAMING 11 7 4 4 44 510 513 (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 5% 17.30 8.33  
MAMBA FOREVER 7 9 9 8 710 714½ 618¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 12.00 18.64  
10  LED TASSO 10 8 7 6 6 614½ 719¼ (asmussen m)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 38.00  
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 8 3 8 75 812 818 827 (ennis john)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 19.65  
OLAZABAL 9 11 10 10 915 920½ 928 (delgado gustavo)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 35.99  
INFINITEEXPERIENCE 1 6 63 97 1018½ 1025½ 1039 (ruggeri nicole)HOLMES GAGE 112 20.00 82.91  
GHOSTSTRYDER 6 10 11 1111 1122 1131 1156¼ (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 15.74  
 
ELP-8   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
:233 :462 1:094 1:343   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ROMEO LIMA 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 12 1(margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5.45  
ALYANAABI 3 4 34 32 34 32(peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 7.34  
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 4 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 22 3(lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 61% 0.60 2.48 S
HEEDING 5 6 79 5 45 45 4(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 2.86  
GET THROUGH 1 5 5 43 5 57 5(combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 21.82  
GRAND CAY 7 7 6 6 6 6613¾ (mcgaughey iii)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 2.66  
PRINCE OF GLORY 6 3 4 7 719¼ 727½ 764¼ (gutierrez faustio)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 12.28  
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50    
SCR  SIMPLY JACK               (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.